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Our Mission:

The Center for LTC Reform is a private institute dedicated to ensuring quality long-term care for all Americans by promoting public policy that targets scarce public resources to the neediest, while encouraging people who are young, healthy and affluent enough, to take responsibility for themselves.   We do this through...


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Join the Center for Long-Term Care Reform.  Help us fight for rational LTC policy reform.  Receive our daily email publications.  Get a user name and password to our Members-Only Zone.  Only $150 per year.  Mail your check to Center for Long-Term Care Reform, Inc., 2212 Queen Anne Avenue North, #110, Seattle, Washington, 98109.  Contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com if you have questions.  Join the team!

 

 

 


READ STEVE'S BIO

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Updated, Friday, January 27, 2012, 11:59 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

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LTC BULLET:  NEAR-TERM PROSPECTS FOR LONG-TERM CARE FINANCING REFORM

LTC Comment:  Our latest study, in collaboration with the Cato Institute, explains why LTC financing reform is stymied for now, but hopeful next year.  Read all about it after the ***news.***

*** TODAY'S LTC BULLET is sponsored by Claude Thau, a General Agent whose proprietary sales tools enable your clients to make informed final decisions about whether to buy LTCi in 15-20 minutes. He’ll help you build your business in any market (individual, executive carve-out, work-site, affinity, financial institution, referrals from other professionals, etc.). Claude is the lead author of the Milliman Broker World LTCi Survey, was named one of the 10 "Power People" in the LTCi industry by Senior Market Advisor in 2007 and was Chairman of the Board of the Center for Long-Term Care Financing. Test Claude by calling 800-999-3026, x2241 or email him at claudet@targetins.com to ask questions or get references. ***

*** SPOTLIGHT ON:  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform’s “Almanac of Long-Term Care” is a compendium of information on all aspects of long-term care service delivery and financing organized chronologically by subject for quick and easy access.  The “LTC Almanac” conveniently provides information that will give you a competitive advantage in your long-term care profession.  Members can access the “LTC Almanac” by clicking here.  If you need your user name and password, or are not yet a member, contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com for quick access to The Zone and the LTC Almanac. ***

*** SPEAKER:  Need a speaker for your next conference or event?  Steve Moses says:  “This is the year to wake up the media, policy makers and the public to the critical need for LTC planning and policy reform.  I’m hitting the road again with that message.  Let me bring it to your group and through you to your local media and public.”  Check out the details here.  Contact Steve directly at smoses@centerltc.com or 206-283-7036. ***

*** CLIPPING SERVICE:  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform has a new clipping service aimed at anyone who needs to stay current on LTC news and data.  Get all the details here.  In a nutshell:  Subscribe to our new "LTC Clipping Service" and Steve Moses will send you an average of 1 to 3 critical LTC articles per day so you can spend your time doing business instead of searching the web.  Cost?  Discounted thanks to a grant:  Only $100 per year for Center members (including people covered by corporate memberships); $120 per year for non-members; and free to Regional Representatives of the Center.  Contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com to subscribe. *** 

*** PREMIUM MEMBERSHIPS AND REGIONAL REPSHIPS.  Check out our newly revised “Membership Levels and Benefits” schedule here.  Premium Members ($250 per year) get the new clipping service at no extra charge.  Premium Elite Members ($500) get all the benefits of premium membership, including the clipping service, for one assistant as well, and may qualify as a Regional Representative of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform.  Get involved.  This is our year, working together, to lay the groundwork for a major LTC policy push in 2013. ***

 

LTC BULLET:  NEAR-TERM PROSPECTS FOR LONG-TERM CARE FINANCING REFORM

LTC Comment:  We posted the following report to the Center for Long-Term Care Reform’s website today.  Check it out here.  Damon’s cover design, showing an elder riding a free-from-Medicare scooter hell-bent toward a brick wall of fiscal reality, is worth a look in its own right. 

Although frustrated by our inability this year to move the powers-that-be in Washington, DC toward major LTC financing reform, we aren’t giving up.  We expect that 2013 will offer a chance to fix long-term care policy once and for all.

It better.  The window of opportunity to improve long-term care without catastrophic damage to aging Americans is closing rapidly.  The problem isn’t complicated and the solution is easy as we explain in this report.  Just do it!

---------------

Final Report to the Milbank Foundation for Rehabilitation
on the Project
"Near-Term Prospects for Long-Term Care Financing Reform"

Narrative Report

Project Background

During the Summer and Fall of 2011, the Cato Institute sub-contracted with the Center for Long-Term Care Reform of Seattle, Washington for the purpose of engaging researcher Stephen A. Moses to conduct a study of long-term care (LTC) financing.  He has been a Medicaid state representative for the Health Care Financing Administration and senior analyst for the inspector general of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.  Michael Cannon, Cato's Director of Health Policy, provided oversight for the project.

            Medicaid is a means-tested public assistance program, i.e. welfare.  Yet Medicaid is the principal funding source for long-term care (LTC) throughout the United States, not only for the poor, but for most Americans.  Although LTC users are only seven percent of the Medicaid population, they account for more than half of the program's costs nationally.  The only way Medicaid can survive as a long-term care safety net for the poor is if more prosperous people plan responsibly and pay privately for their own long-term care.  But Medicaid crowds out most private LTC financing alternatives such as home equity conversion and insurance.  The trend toward greater and greater dependency on welfare-financed nursing home care is reversible.  It will be reversed by responsible public policy or by default as costs skyrocket and public resources dwindle with the aging of the baby boom.

            Conceived as a project to identify, present, and win support for a cost-saving Medicaid reform initiative, the project and its proposal encountered political and bureaucratic apathy despite dramatic and escalating state and national fiscal crises.  Adapting to this reality, the project produced and published several papers intended to educate legislators, policy makers, interest groups and the media about the Medicaid and long-term care financing issues.  Researcher Stephen Moses testified before Congress on September 21, 2011 at a hearing titled "Examining Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility Rules."  The Milbank Foundation for Rehabilitation provided a grant a $40,000 in support of this work.

            Under the terms of the agreement, Moses committed "to spend a minimum of six weeks in the Washington, DC in late summer or early fall of 2011 "to conduct interviews with key long-term care policy experts and to "produce a report that reflects the views of the interviewees and threads the needle of conflicting interests to produce realistically achievable recommendations for Congress to consider."  Stephen Moses lived full time and conducted interviews in Washington, DC from July 25, 2011 to August 8, 2011 and from September 2, 2011 until October 28, 2011, a total of ten weeks. 

Strategy

            The premise behind this project was that the U.S. government faces severe debt and deficit problems exacerbated by massive unfunded entitlement liabilities and that, therefore, public officials should be receptive to common sense proposals that save money and improve programs.  Frequent warnings from the Congressional Budget Office and the Government Accountability Office, the December 2010 report of the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform (Simpson/Bowles report), and an impending debt ceiling crisis substantiated this sense of urgency as the Summer of 2011 began. 

            Thus, the proposed strategy was to (1) propose an approach to Medicaid long-term care savings, (2) brief and interview key Congressional members and staff on the proposal and get their agreement on what would be realistic to achieve politically, then (3) go to LTC interest groups such as providers, insurers, and senior advocates to seek their support, and finally (4) propose practical recommendations to Congress suitable for adaptation into legislative language. 

            As a practical matter, in response to political polarization and legislative inertia, the project's strategy evolved through three phases into a more modest one of raising consciousness about the Medicaid long-term care issue among policy makers in Washington, DC and the broader public.  The following sections explain challenges the project encountered, how its focus changed, and what it achieved in the end.

Phase 1 (July - August, 2011)

            Moses’s first step in the project was to interview David Rosenfeld, Senior Health Counsel to the House Republican Caucus.  Rosenfeld was a co-founder of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform in 1998.  Moses believes he understands the Medicaid and long-term care financing issues better than any other Congressional staffer.  He was instrumental--as Health Counsel to the House Energy and Commerce Committee--in the writing and passage of the last major national reform language affecting Medicaid and long-term care financing, the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005.  Mr. Rosenfeld provided the names and contact information for key House and Senate members and staff who have knowledge and influence related to budgets, appropriations, and specifically Medicaid and long-term care funding.

            Rosenfeld advised that congressional members and staff were extremely concerned at that time (mid-Summer 2011) about the Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR or "Doc Fix") issue.  He explained that Congress needed to find $30 billion per year or $300 billion over ten years to avoid the automatic implementation of a 30-percent cut in Medicare physicians' fees created by an earlier law.  He recommended that a good way to get the attention and buy-in of Congress for a Medicaid long-term care reform recommendation would be to show how such a reform could save some or all the revenue needed to fund the Doc Fix.  Rosenfeld particularly recommended that he reach out to members of Congress who are also physicians.

            Reasoning that the Doc Fix issue would indeed be an excellent hook to get the attention of key policy makers, Moses then prepared a report titled "Pay for the Doc Fix by Fixing Medicaid LTC."[1]  This report, the project's first deliverable, was published and posted to the Center for Long-Term Care Reform's website on August 5, 2011 (see end note 1).  It explained in detail how a relatively simple, common sense change to Medicaid's long-term care eligibility rules could achieve sufficient savings to fund the Doc Fix.

Phase 2 (September 2011)

            Even as this flagship proposal to garner interest was being prepared, however, the attention of Congress refocused onto a different and broader fiscal issue.  A late-July 2011 debt ceiling crisis captured everyone's attention.  After it culminated with the President's signing the Budget Control Act of 2011 on August 2, the main thing on the minds of people on the Hill was the "Super Committee" and how it would raise the newly mandated $1.2 trillion dollars in budget savings by a December 23, 2011 deadline.

            So, to keep the project in tune with the short attention span and current preoccupation of Congress, Moses modified the original flagship report changing it from a proposal to fund the Doc Fix to a means of supplying one-fourth of the Super Committee's savings mandate, or $300 billion over ten years.  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform published the project's second deliverable titled "Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion Per Year AND Improve the Program" and posted it to our website.[2]   Moses and the Center continued to bring both position papers to the attention of people briefed and interviewed for the project depending on each individual's principal area of interest.

            As these adjustments in strategy and approach were taking place, Moses continued conducting interviews with Congressional staff and influential interest groups.  His argument was simple and well supported in both of the reports mentioned above.  To wit:  Medicaid long-term care eligibility rules exempt at least half a million dollars of home equity.  Most seniors own homes and most senior homeowners own their homes free and clear.  By reducing Medicaid's home equity exemption--which increased to $525,000 or $786,000 at state legislative discretion effective January 1, 2012--to an amount closer to England's asset exemption (23,500 British pounds or approximately $36,400), many of Medicaid's most expensive recipients (potential dual eligibles) would need to pay for their own long-term care which would delay or prevent their dependence on welfare, thus producing the estimated savings of $30 billion per year.

            During the interview phase of the project, the following people were briefed and interviewed:  James Holland representing Senator Jim DeMint (R, SC); Rodney Whitlock, Senator Charles Grassley (R, IA); Winthrop Cashdollar, America's Health Insurance Plans; Dan Elling, Staff Director, Committee on Ways and Means, Subcommittee on Health; Janice Zalen, Steven Gregory, Teresa Cagnolatti and Karl Polzer of the American Health Care Association; James "JP" Paluskiewicz representing Congressman Michael Burgess, M.D. (R, TX); Kris Skrzycki, Chief of Staff, Republican Policy Committee and Laura Holland representing Chairman Tom Price, M.D. (R, GA); Stephanie J. Carlton, Health Policy Advisor, U.S. Senate Committee on Finance Minority Staff; Greg D'Angelo, U.S. Senate Committee on the Budget; Josh Trent representing Senator Tom A. Coburn, M.D. (R, OK); Anna K. Abram, Senator Richard Burr (R, NC); John Greene, National Association of Health Underwriters; Robert Horne, Congressman Phil Gingrey, M.D. (R, GA); Christie Herrera, American Legislative Exchange Council; Steven M. Lieberman, National Governors Association; Brian Blase, House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform; Robert Moffit and Nina Owcharenko, the Heritage Foundation; Joe Antos and Robert Helms, American Enterprise Institute.

Phase 2 Results

            While individual responses varied somewhat, as a general thrust, those interviewees expressed shock and concern about Medicaid's wasteful home equity exemption policy.  They showed interest in the potentially enormous savings from the reform we proposed, but their concern for the political sensitivity of reducing any senior benefit, however worthwhile such a change might be, trumped their anxiety about budget issues.  Democrats refused to touch Medicaid no matter how much sense a proposed change would make, no matter how much it would save, and no matter how much it would improve the program.  Republicans said, in essence, "We can't do anything on Medicaid because the Democrats say it is off the table."

            Nevertheless, the project did not reach a total dead end.  Several promising possibilities opened up:

  • A Senate Budget Committee staffer asked for "specs" he could use to request a "score" from the Congressional Budget Office for our proposal to reduce or eliminate the Medicaid home equity exemption.  Moses supplied those specifications backed up by recent reports supporting the $30 billion per year savings and by state-level studies published by the Center for Long-Term Care Reform and local think tanks in Pennsylvania, California, and New York earlier in 2011.
  • Two Senate staffers requested "the right questions to ask the Government Accountability Office" to study in order to document the need for and potential savings from reducing or eliminating the Medicaid home equity exemption for long-term care.  He supplied those proposed questions plus back up documentation.
  • One House staff member asked for help preparing a letter to the Department of Health and Human Services Inspector General requesting a study of Medicaid planning abuses and updating Medicaid estate recovery results by state.

            While the request to CBO for a score has not gone forward, letters to both the GAO and the DHHS Inspector General requesting studies relevant to our project's objectives either have been sent or will be sent soon from members of Congress.  The content of those letters remains confidential, but both Moses and the Cato Institute consider them major achievements, the third and fourth deliverables of the project respectively.

Congressional Hearing

            Moses contends that his biggest impact during the second phase of the project was to assist with the selection of witnesses for and to testify at a hearing, titled "Examining Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility Rules," conducted by the House Oversight and Government Reform's Sub-Committee on Healthcare.  Video and witnesses' testimonies are available. (See end note 3)  Congress published Moses' testimony, titled "Medicaid Long-Term Care Benefits:  Friendly Fire in the Class War".[3]  It is the project's fifth deliverable.  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform also published his testimony and analysis of the hearing.

            By the end of September 2011, it was clear that the project's original strategy would not work.  The powers-that-be in Washington, DC simply were not as motivated to deal with excess spending, debt and deficit problems as the objective gravity of these problems previously suggested that they would (and should) be.  Despite all the rhetoric about the fiscal crisis, policy makers were not yet scared enough to tackle the Medicaid entitlement program.  Virtually everyone with whom Moses spoke agreed with the facts and analysis, but neither the left nor the right were willing to move forward with serious review of the proposal.  Subsequent events, such as the failure of the Super Committee to achieve its relatively modest goal of $1.2 trillion in savings over ten years, substantiated this conclusion.

Phase 3 (October 2011)

            Under the circumstances, it was necessary to modify the project's strategy yet again.  If action on Medicaid reform is premature due to government control’s being politically divided--with the Presidency and Senate held by one party and the House by the other--Moses concluded that his best strategy would be to use the remainder of the project to prepare for a time when the political landscape would be better suited for reform.  That meant focusing on documentation of and education about the problem as leveraged by outreach to influential organizations and people who can help to publicize the proposed solution.

            Thus, he began work on a series of briefing papers designed to provide legislators, policy makers, pundits and the public with a primer on the Medicaid and long-term care financing issue.  Fortuitously, Moses was invited to attend and to present formally in early November at a prestigious national conference.  The 13th annual Health Sector Assembly's (HSA) 2011 topical focus was "Long-Term Care:  The Unacknowledged Elephant in the Room," a title reflecting the reality that long-term care service delivery and financing are bigger problems than commonly recognized.

            At the HSA meeting in Sundance, Utah on November 4, 2011, Moses delivered remarks on "Challenges to Effective Long-Term Care:  Cost and Affordability."  The purpose of this invited speech was to raise questions for discussion by the leading national health care experts convened.  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform published the presentation on December 9, 2011.  It is the project's sixth deliverable.[4]  The meeting referenced and the Health Sector Assembly distributed to all attendees a one-page handout titled "Overview:  How to Fix Long-Term Care."  That handout is available[5] and includes internet links to each of the following six briefing papers:

Briefing Paper #1:  The History of Long-Term Care Financing or How We Got Into This Mess www.centerltc.com/BriefingPapers/1.pdf

How did the USA come to have a welfare-financed, institutionally biased LTC system in the wealthiest country in the world where no one wants to go to a nursing home?  We answer this question first or we risk treating symptoms instead of causes and making problems worse instead of better. 

Briefing Paper #2:  Medicaid Long-Term Care Eligibility www.centerltc.com/BriefingPapers/2.pdf

Despite the conventional wisdom that people must spend down into impoverishment before qualifying for Medicaid LTC benefits, the truth is that income and asset eligibility rules are so generous that most people qualify easily without spending down significant wealth.  This brief explains how and why.

Briefing Paper #3:  Medicaid Planning for Long-Term Care www.centerltc.com/BriefingPapers/3.pdf

Even people who are too affluent to qualify for Medicaid LTC benefits under the generous basic eligibility rules can qualify easily with the help of simple or sophisticated legal techniques marketed by "Medicaid planners."  This brief explains how.

Briefing Paper #4:  Rebalancing Long-Term Care www.centerltc.com/BriefingPapers/4.pdf

Despite the high hopes of many analysts and policymakers, rebalancing Medicaid LTC services from nursing home care to home care without simultaneously tightening eligibility will not save money and will increase costs interminably.  This brief explains why.

Briefing Paper #5:  Dual Eligibles and Long-Term Care:  How to Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion Per Year and Pay for the "Doc Fix" www.centerltc.com/BriefingPapers/5.pdf

Medicaid recipients also eligible for Medicare are the program's most expensive.  Better public policy could delay or prevent Medicaid dependency for millions who would otherwise become dual eligibles.  This brief explains precisely what needs to be done to achieve that goal.

Briefing Paper #6:  Private Long-Term Care Financing Alternatives www.centerltc.com/BriefingPapers/6.pdf

Medicaid does not have to bear the brunt of most LTC financing if policy makers unleash the potential of the four major private financing alternatives that currently go mostly untapped.  This brief explains what those sources are and what needs to be done to maximize their potential.

Project Completion

            The Center for Long-Term Care Reform will publish all six of the preceding "briefing papers" one a week beginning in February and encourage its readership to distribute them widely along with the "Overview" paper which links to each of them.  Together, those publications represent the project's seventh deliverable.  Moses intends to reach out to the media and to "bull horn" organizations such as the Concord Coalition, Citizens Against Government Waste, the National Taxpayers Union and others, to seek their help in publicizing the problem and the solution.  On October 28, 2011, for example, he met with and briefed David M. Walker, the former Comptroller General and current founder and president of the Comeback America Initiative.  At a future date, the Cato Institute will publish for wider dissemination a Policy Analysis based on the briefing papers, and will distribute the papers to attendees of its upcoming State Health Policy Summit (funded in part by the JM Foundation).

Subsequent to the completion of this project, Barron’s published an editorial based on an interview with Stephen Moses.  It explained the problem he tackled in the project and described the difficulty he encountered mobilizing support for a solution.  The editorial is available online:  Thomas G. Donlan, “A Medicaid Mess,” Barron’s, January 14, 2012, (link).

            Both Moses and Cato think that, although this project veered from its originally intended course due to practical necessity, it did produce several important work products, including the seven deliverables referenced above.  Our bottom line conclusion is that the legislative and executive branches of the U.S. government are not yet ready to tackle the problem of long-term care financing by reforming Medicaid.  We hope that this project has helped to document and promulgate the gravity of that problem and to propose a viable solution for when policy makers are finally ready to act.  We are very grateful to the trustees of the Milbank Foundation for Rehabilitation for their support and recognition. 

Bios

            Stephen A. Moses is president of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform in Seattle, Washington (www.centerltc.com).  The Center promotes universal access to top-quality long-term care by encouraging private financing as an alternative to Medicaid dependency for most Americans.  Previously, Mr. Moses was president of the Center for Long-Term Care Financing (1998-2005), Director of Research for LTC, Inc., (1989-98), a senior analyst for the Inspector General of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (1987-89), a Medicaid state representative for the Health Care Financing Administration (1978-87), a HHS Departmental Management Intern (1975-78), and a Peace Corps Volunteer in Venezuela (1968-1970).  He is widely recognized as an expert and innovator in the field of long-term care.  Mr. Moses’ articles have appeared often in distinguished publications like The Gerontologist, The Journal of Accountancy, The Journal of Financial Planning, Contemporary Long-Term Care, Best’s Review, National Underwriter, Assisted Living Today and Nursing Homes magazine. He has testified before Congress and most of America’s state legislatures.  He frequently addresses professional conferences in the fields of law, aging and insurance.  His recommendations are quoted often in the national media including the “CBS Evening News,” PBS’s “Frontline” and “The Financial Advisors,” CNN, National Public Radio, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Newsweek, USA Today, Forbes, The New Republic, Smart Money, National Journal, and Jane Bryant Quinn’s syndicated column.  He appeared in a public television documentary titled “The Aging of America:  The Dilemma of Long-Term Care.”  Bachelor of Arts in Political Science, Highest Honors, Phi Beta Kappa, University of California, Davis (1967); Master of Arts in Political Science, High Honors, University of Maryland, College Park (1971).

            Michael F. Cannon is the Cato Institute's director of health policy studies. Previously, he served as a domestic policy analyst for the U.S. Senate Republican Policy Committee under Chairman Larry E. Craig, where he advised the Senate leadership on health, education, labor, welfare, and the Second Amendment. A columnist for Kaiser Health News, Cannon has appeared on ABC, CBS, CNN, CNBC, C-SPAN, Fox News Channel, and NPR. Cited by the Washington Post as "an influential health-care wonk at the libertarian Cato Institute," his articles have been featured in USA Today, the Los Angeles Times, the New York Post, the Chicago Tribune, the Chicago Sun-Times, the San Francisco Chronicle, Forum for Health Economics & Policy, and the Yale Journal of Health Policy, Law, and Ethics. Cannon is coauthor of Healthy Competition: What's Holding Back Health Care and How to Free It. He holds a bachelor's degree in American government (B.A.) from the University of Virginia, and master's degrees in economics (M.A.) and law & economics (J.M.) from George Mason University.

 


 

End Notes

[1] Stephen A. Moses, "Pay for the Doc Fix by Fixing Medicaid LTC," Center for Long-Term Care Reform, Seattle, Washington, August 5, 2011; http://www.centerltc.com/pubs/Pay_for_the_Doc_Fix_by_Fixing_Medicaid_LTC.pdf.

[2] Stephen A. Moses, "Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion Per Year AND Improve the Program," Center for Long-Term Care Reform, Seattle, Washington, September 9, 2011; (link)

[3] Stephen A. Moses, "Medicaid Long-Term Care Benefits: Friendly Fire in the Class War," Hearing Documents, United States House of Representatives Committee on Oversight and Government Reform September 21, 2011 Hearing "Examining Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility Rules;" (link).     

[4] Stephen A. Moses, "Challenge Remarks:  Cost and Affordability of Long-Term Care," Health Sector Assembly Presentation, Sundance, Utah, November 4, 2011; http://www.centerltc.com/bullets/latest/939.htm.

 

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Updated, Monday, January 23, 2012, 12:42 PM (Pacific)

Seattle--

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LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

LTC Comment:  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform has a new, discounted “LTC Clipping Service.”  Get the latest LTC articles, reports, and statistics emailed to you in real time.  Check it out here.

*** REGISTRATION IS OPEN for the 12th Annual Intercompany Long-Term Care Insurance Conference to be held March 18-21, 2012 at the Paris and Bally’s Hotels in Las Vegas.  Click here or on the banner above for all the details and to register.  Some highlights:

*  Apply for a (non-home-office) agent scholarship at a special $395 rate here.
*  First time attendees may qualify for a new, special $495 registration ($995 otherwise)
*  Take Harley Gordon’s CLTC Master Class for only $95 extra!  (12-15 CE hours, the exam and one re-take included)
*  And don’t miss this conference highlight:  Steve Moses and Harley Gordon will debate! ***

*** JANUARY 31ST is the last day to register for the 2012 National LTCi Summit at the lowest rate of $199.  The Summit, organized this year by the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance and the CLTC designation program takes place November 10-12, 2012 in Las Vegas.  Regular registration for the two-and-a-half-day Summit is $349. Find complete information on the Association's website here. ***

*** STATE LTCI TAX DEDUCTIONS:  "The American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance has published a state-by-state listing of available tax deductions on its website at www.aaltci.org/tax." Long-Term Care Insurance Tax-Deductibility Rules - LTC Tax Rules. *** 

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1/21/2012, More Elderly Find They Can't Afford Not to Work,” by Kelly Greene and Anne Tergesen, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "As of December, 1.31 million people ages 75 and older were working, a 25% jump from 1.05 million in 2005, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Now, 7.3% of the oldest Americans have jobs, up from 5.3% a decade ago and the highest level since 1966, according to the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College. The numbers offer a glimpse into the future for the 77 million baby boomers, Americans born between 1946 and 1964. This generation began turning 65 last year. By 2018, the government estimates, about 10% of people 75 or older-about two million Americans-will be working or seeking work."   

LTC Comment:  Working longer to build savings for ultimate retirement means older workers will have more principal to protect and more earnings to afford LTCI premiums to protect it.

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1/20/2012, New York Life Appoints John Kim and Chris Blunt to New Business Roles,” MarketWatch 

Quote:  "In addition to Mr. Blunt's responsibility for U.S. life insurance, he will also be responsible for the company's long-term care insurance business and the marketing, finance, technology, and service functions that support those product lines."

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1/20/2012, Lack of retirement planning options,” by Mark Miller, Reuters

Quote:  "Failing to sign up for Medicare at the right time can cost you - big time. The monthly Part B premium jumps 10 percent for each full 12-month period that a senior could have had coverage but didn't sign up. A mistake can be costly; someone who fails to enroll for five years would face a 50 percent Part B penalty - 10 percent for each year of delay. That penalty is permanent, and can translate into thousands of dollars in unnecessary lifetime penalty expenses; a headache no one needs on top of already soaring healthcare costs."

LTC Comment:  Big penalties await those who delay Medicare.

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1/19/2012, “Medicare savings ideas have missed the mark,” Associated Press

Quote:  "Nonpartisan analysts looked at experiments that promoted better care coordination for the chronically ill, trying to keep them out of the hospital. They also studied experiments that changed the way doctors and hospitals get paid, rewarding quality instead of volume. A report issued Thursday concluded neither approach reduced spending."

LTC Comment:  So much for the idea that managed care will save the day fiscally for Medicaid and Medicare.

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1/19/2012, When the Nursing Home Resident in the Next Room Is a Convicted Criminal,” by Katharine Mieszkowski, New York Times  

Quote:  "As an incentive for private nursing homes to accept the parolees, the state can offer to pay as much as 30 percent more than the Medicare fee schedule for their care. The state is also eligible for reimbursement from the federal government for some of the patients' medical care, from programs like Medi-Cal, Medicare, veterans' benefits and Social Security."

LTC Comment:  One more reason to prepare to pay privately for 100% non-Medicaid care.

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1/19/2012, “National Underwriter Launches New Resource to Guide Clients through Long-Term Care Options” (link)

Quote:  "At a time when hands-on, real-world guidance on long-term care issues is needed more than ever, The National Underwriter Company today announced the release of The Advisor's Guide to Long-Term Care, the latest addition to its authoritative new Advisor's Guide series."

LTC Comment:  If someone from National Underwriter would like to send us a copy, we’ll have a look and publish a review.

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1/18/2012, Should You Buy Long-Term Care Insurance? Maybe Not,” by Howard Gleckman, Forbes

Quote"Private long-term care insurance can be an important tool to protect against the risk of needing costly personal assistance in old age. But two respected financial economists conclude it is very expensive relative to the benefits it provides and may not be appropriate for many buyers. At the same time, a new consumer brief from the Society of Actuaries suggests how much wealth you should have for coverage to make sense."

LTC CommentThis column and the journal article it references miss a critical point: choosing Medicaid or LTC insurance is not "six of one, half a dozen of the other." Medicaid is a bankrupt welfare program that pays too little to insure quality care even in a nursing home. The insured and other private payers command red-carpet access to top quality care at home or in assisted living or a nursing home.  Access to quality care in the private market is the most important reason to purchase LTC insurance.  And thanks a lot SOA for suggesting that people with less than $250K or more than $2M don't need LTCI. With friends like that, enemies hardly matter.

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1/18/2012, Panel Moves to Repeal Suspended Long-Term Care Program,” by Melissa Attias, CQ Online

Quote:  "A House panel endorsed legislation Wednesday to repeal a suspended long-term care program included in the 2010 health care law, paving the way for likely House floor consideration next month."

LTC Comment:  How many stakes in the heart is it going to take to kill CLASS?

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1/18/2012, Who Should Do a Reverse Mortgage?,” by Donna Fuscaldo, Forbes

Quote"Smith says a reverse mortgage makes sense for someone who has enough cash flow to live, but may not have enough to pay for supplemental long term care insurance. In that instance, they can use the reverse mortgage to cover those monthly payments, he says. 'A reverse loan program really should be part of every senior's plan. It doesn't mean it has to be the program used.'"

LTC Comment:  Expect advice like this will become mainstream as the Medicaid LTC safety net continues to disintegrate and personal responsibility for long-term care financing replaces it.

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1/17/2012, Cost of Long Term Care Study,” Northwestern Mutual

Quote:  "Northwestern Mutual just released its annual "Cost of Long-Term-Care study." As you might imagine, the costs of long-term-care can vary, depending on which region of the country you live in and whether you hire an aide to help you at home or enter an assisted living facility or nursing home." 

LTC Comment:  A link to Northwestern Mutual’s 2012 “Cost of Long Term Care Study” has been added to our “Long-Term Care Cost Surveys” feature in The Zone so that Center members can access this information and past surveys easily anytime.  If you don’t have access to The Zone, contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com to join the Center. 

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1/17/2012,  Amid Squeeze on Home Equity, A Revival for Reverse Mortgages,” by Annamaria Andriotis, Smart Money

Quote:  "Converting home equity into cash has been a challenge for homeowners since the real-estate downturn, but a growing number of lenders are quietly reviving a loan for seniors that does just that: the reverse mortgage.”

LTC Comment:  Tapping home equity is the key to solving the long-term care financing crisis.  We’ve predicted a resurgence of reverse mortgages and it is happening.

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1/17/2012, The Biggest Threat to Your Life Savings,” by Erik Carter, Forbes

Quote:  "One solution is to buy 5 years' worth of coverage. This way they can give away their assets when they need care and let Medicaid kick in after their insurance expires. However, there are three problems with this. First, most people would prefer not to give up their assets before they pass away. Second, the 5-yr Medicaid rule could be extended in the future. After all, it used to be 3 years and Medicaid's financial prospects aren't very rosy. Finally, this could expose the children to capital gains taxes."

LTC Comment:  This article, as most in the major media, misses the main reason not to go on Medicaid:  the program pays providers less than the cost of delivering the care and consequently has a reputation for poor care access and quality which is only likely to get much worse in the future.

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1/17/2012, Nearly Half of U.S Lives in Household Receiving Government Benefits,” by Sara Murray, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "Some 48.6% of the population lived in a household receiving some type of government benefit in the second quarter of 2010, up a notch from 48.5% in the first quarter, according to Census data."

LTC Comment:  How long can half the population carry the other half without dropping its load?

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1/13/2012, MedPAC votes to lower the boom on skilled nursing providers,” McKnight’s LTC News 

Quote:  "The Medicare Payment Advisory Commission voted Wednesday to recommend that the way skilled nursing providers are paid by the government be drastically overhauled within two years. MedPAC commissioners also voted to recommend that they receive no Medicare inflationary pay increase during the next fiscal year."

LTC Comment:  Nursing homes make up for inadequate Medicaid revenues with generous Medicare reimbursements, but not for much longer if Med-Pac has its way.

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1/11/2012, Medicaid: a year of excruciating decisions,” by Christine Vestal, Stateline

Quote:  "Two years ago, Medicaid eclipsed K-12 education as the most expensive item in state budgets. Since then, it has only kept growing. Medicaid now comprises 24 percent of state budgets, when federal funds are counted. That's up from 22 percent last year, according to the National Association of State Budget Officers. The upward spiral seems to be continuing. Even as states get ready to write their budgets for fiscal year 2013, which starts in July in most states, half of them expect to be wrestling with Medicaid shortfalls in their 2012 budgets, according to a survey by the Kaiser Family Foundation."

LTC Comment:  As Medicaid gobbles more and more of state and federal budgets, expect a continued decline in the program’s already poor LTC access and quality.

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12/26/2011, “Judge: State gets $178K found in safe,” by Jill Harmacinski, Eagle-Tribune

Quote:  "City firefighters first spotted the abandoned safe in a vacant lot in November 2008. Then, when $178,496 cash was found inside, several people, including a tow truck driver and relatives of former shoe store owner Sally Daher filed claims for the cash. Now, more than three years later, the state has been awarded the $178,496 to cover medical costs for Daher, who spent five years in a skilled nursing facility prior to her 2001 death."

LTC Comment:  Medicaid estate recovery bonanza!  But did anyone bother to ask why someone with $178K qualified for Medicaid in the first place?

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12/22/2011, Retirement Assets Tumble 7.5% to $17 Trillion in 3Q,” by Lee Barney, Financial Planning

Quote:  "Total retirement assets fell to $17 trillion by the end of the third quarter, down 7.5% from the record high of $18.4 trillion that investors socked away in the prior quarter. The decline corresponded with a 13.9% drop in the S&P 500 during the third quarter."

LTC Comment:  Not a good way to start the new year.

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Updated, Friday, January 20, 2012, 10:51 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

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LTC BULLET:  NEW LTC CLIPPING SERVICE

LTC Comment:  Have Steve Moses search the web for must-read articles and email them to you daily so you can spend your valuable professional time in front of clients and doing business.

*** TODAY’S BULLET IN A NUTSHELL:  Subscribe to our new “LTC Clipping Service” and Steve Moses will send you an average of 1 to 3 critical LTC articles per day so you can do business instead of searching the web.  Cost?  Discounted thanks to a grant:  Only $100 per year for Center members; $120 per year for non-members; and free to Regional Representatives of the Center.  Contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com to subscribe.  Details follow. ***

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LTC BULLET:  NEW LTC CLIPPING SERVICE

LTC Comment:  Do you spend hours searching the internet for information about long-term care issues? 

Do you feel behind the curve because you’re not always up to speed on questions your clients ask?

Have you ever lost a sale or missed an opportunity because someone else knew something that you discovered too late?

What if you could receive LTC articles and reports that precisely meet your information needs daily and in real time?  That’s what we propose to give you. 

Don’t worry.  We’re not talking about a data deluge.  Rather, you’ll receive on average one to three key articles daily with a representative quote, a link to the full source, and occasionally a sentence or two of explanation.

Who’s going to find this material and send it to you? 

Steve Moses

McKnight’s Long-Term Care NEWS called him “one of the 100 most influential people in long-term care.”  Long-Term Living named Steve one of five "people making a difference in LTC."  Senior Market Advisor magazine put him on the cover and in its top-ten LTC insurance "Power List."  Nursing Homes magazine reported “there is probably no more articulate spokesperson for privately financed long-term care than Stephen Moses.”

Says Steve: 

“It’s my job to scan all sources of information about long-term care services and financing.  I have to know what’s going on and who’s saying what.  Why should you duplicate my efforts?  Let’s divide the labor.  I’ll do the research and send you the information.  You make the sales, close the deals, earn the money and enjoy the extra leisure time and reduced eye strain you’ll have when you delegate most of this tedious web searching to me.”

What will you find and send to me? 

Steve will search the web for everything relevant to the following topics:  Long-Term Care, Long-Term Care Insurance, Medicaid, Medicare, Medicare Advantage, Medicare Supplemental, Critical Illness, Critical Illness Insurance.  He’ll also find lots of valuable information from dozens of e-letters to which he subscribes and from the many professional journals he follows.  You’ll never lack for the latest analysis, commentary, statistics, data, government reports and academic studies.

What’s this going to cost me, you ask?

The cost is nominal, especially if you are a premium member of the Center.  Our new premium membership is $250 per year or $21 per month.  Premium members receive all the usual benefits of Center for Long-Term Care Reform membership plus the clipping service.  That’s only $100 per year more than our regular $150 annual membership fee, which by the way, hasn’t changed since it began in 2002.  Think of it as less than $2 per week to save you many hours of frustrating internet research.

If you’re not a member of the Center, why not?  You’re already missing out on tons of invaluable information, including The Zone and our weekly LTC Bullets and LTC E-Alerts.  But at least you can still get our new clipping service for only $10 per month or $120 per year.  That’s less than 33 cents per day!

Finally, for you serious LTC people, if you can meet the stringent requirements to become a “Regional Representative of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform,” you’ll get the clipping service for no extra charge included in your $500 per year investment in the Center.

How can we offer this service at such rock bottom rates?  It’s thanks to a grant from two outstanding corporate members and long-time supporters of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform.  Each clipping we send you will be headed by the following banner:

The Center for Long-Term Care Reform's discounted clipping service is made possible by a grant from:

GoldenCareUSA
and
American Independent Marketing

Maybe you’re wondering:  why subscribe to this clipping service when, as a member of the Center, I already receive Steve’s weekly digest of key LTC articles in the LTC E-Alerts?

Our LTC E-Alerts contain a lot of the same information as the clipping service, but you have to wait a week to get them and finding time to read a lot of information all at once is difficult.  With the clipping service, you’ll get the articles immediately and one-at-a-time, making the information more timely and easier to digest.

To subscribe to the Center for Long-Term Care Reform’s new clipping service, just call or email Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com.  Tell him:

  • I’m a Center member.  Make me a premium member for $250 per year and send me Steve’s clippings.  Pay only a prorated fee now and $250 at your annual renewal.
  • I’m not a Center member, but I want the clippings.  Bill me $120 or $10 per month.  Monthly payments are by PayPal automatic withdrawal.
  • I’d like to become a Regional Representative of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform.  Please have Steve contact me about this.

Thanks for your interest.  We look forward to hearing from you.

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Updated, Tuesday, January 17, 2012, 12:35 PM (Pacific)

Seattle--

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BARRON’S EDITORIAL AND LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

LTC Comment:  At the tail end of my sojourn in Washington, DC last Fall, I had lunch with the editorial page editor of Barron’s.  We talked about unfunded entitlement liabilities, especially the challenges facing Medicaid, the dominant payer for long-term care in the U.S.  Tom Donlan’s resulting column titled “A Medicaid Mess” reached a nationwide audience on Saturday, January 14.  Read it here.  It’s gated so you may need to register for a free preview subscription.  Here’s an excerpt:

 

"Stephen A. Moses has spent 30 years trying to bring this Medicaid long-term care issue to broad public attention. He heads the Center for Long-term Care Reform, based in Seattle, and he says this of the California program:

 

"'The effect of easy eligibility and increasingly attractive services-including even payments for friends or relatives to provide home care-has been to anesthetize the public to long-term-care risk and cost. Consequently, private-pay insurance for long-term care has declined precipitously, and only 5.4% of Californians age 50-plus have purchased private LTC insurance.'

 

"He reckons that federal and state governments could save $30 billion a year if Congress only required people to spend down the equity in their homes before receiving Medicaid for long-term care, using home-equity loans or reverse-annuity mortgages. More could be saved, he says, if states showed more determination to force people to pay for their own care until they are really broke-or if states effectively went after patients' estates for reimbursement of Medicaid payments."

 

I'm mis-quoted slightly in this Barron's editorial. I didn't say private insurance declined precipitously, but rather that private pay for LTC from all sources dropped by nearly half in the past 40 years during which time the proportion of LTC paid by Medicaid and Medicare doubled.  (For details, see LTC Bullet:  So What if the Government Pays for Most Long-Term Care, 2010 Data Update.”)  Enforcing strong income and asset eligibility limits, collecting from recipients’ estates, and using some of the savings to incentivize responsible LTC planning could save the public LTC safety net and unleash the market for private LTC insurance.

*** REGISTRATION IS NOW OPEN for the 12th Annual Intercompany Long-Term Care Insurance Conference to be held March 18-21, 2012 at the Paris and Bally’s Hotels in Las Vegas.  Click here or on the banner above for all the details and to register.  Act fast!  The early registration deadline is Thursday, January 19, after which fees increase by $100.  Some highlights:

*  Apply for a (non-home-office) agent scholarship at a special $295 rate here.
*  First time attendees may qualify for a new, special $395 registration ($895 otherwise)
*  Take Harley Gordon’s CLTC Master Class for only $95 extra!  (12-15 CE hours, the exam and one re-take included)
*  And don’t miss this conference highlight:  Steve Moses and Harley Gordon will debate! ***

*** AALTCI and CLTC will co-sponsor the 2012 National Long-Term Care Insurance Producers Summit scheduled to convene November 10-12 at the Tropicana Hotel in Las Vegas.  "It is a milestone for the industry . . . that two leading national organizations are cooperating to put on the three-day conference," declares Jesse Slome, AALTCI executive director.  "We look forward to presenting three days of ideas that will show producers the most effective ways to create new markets," explains Harley Gordon, President of the Corporation for Long-Term Care Certification, Inc.  "CLTC's top trainers will be organizing a special daylong advanced program for the over 10,000 insurance professionals who have earned the CLTC designation."  For more information, call AALTCI (818) 597-3227. ***

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1/13/2012, Private Carriers Cover More Nursing and LTC Costs,” by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "Commercial carriers' share of the longer-term care (LTC) and skilled nursing tab was up from 8.9% in 2009 and up from 8.8% in 2000. Commercial carriers' share of the tab has increased every year since 2004."

LTC Comment:  This article explains that the private health insurance reported by CMS as covering nursing home costs does not include most private LTC insurance.  See also last Friday’s LTC Bullet: Who Cares if the Government Pays for Most Long-Term Care, 2010 Data Update where I explain why the CMS data are so confusing and misleading. 

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1/12/2012, A Step Backward for Economic Freedom in 2012,” Wall Street Journal Editorial

Quote:  "How about the U.S., historically the country more responsible than any other for leading the march of freedom? . . . Its economic freedom score has dropped to 76.3 in 2012 from 81.2 in 2007 (on a scale of 0-100). Government expenditures have grown to a level equivalent to over 40% of GDP, and total public debt exceeds the size of the economy."

LTC Comment:  Ominous tidings from this annual report card on freedom in the world.

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1/12/2012, How Boomers Can Get Their Retirement Back on Track in 2012,” by Casey Dowd, FOXBusiness

Quote:  "Boomers and financial advisors are not planning enough for the cost of long-term care. People generally underestimate its cost, and are stunned at the amount of health expenses that aren't covered, and have to be paid out of pocket down the road. People who can afford to buy long-term care insurance should, it will keep their retirement savings in a much more secure place. Medicare and most health insurances do not cover long-term care."

LTC Comment:  Good advice in a major media outlet.

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1/12/2012, New LIFE Chair Has Deep LTCI Roots,” by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "Debra Newman - a holder of the Long Term Care Professional designation who has been selling long-term care insurance (LTCI) since 1990 - is the new chair of the Life and Health Insurance Foundation for Education (LIFE)."

LTC Comment:  Congratulations to Center corporate member and long-time supporter Deb Newman for this honor.

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1/12/2012, “Survey: Docs Face Stress, Burnout Medicare, Medicaid Policies Among Major Causes,” by Meg LaPorte, Provider (link)

Quote:  "Doctors are stressed out, according to a recent national survey of U.S. physicians. Conducted by Cejka Search, the survey found that the majority of U.S. physicians are moderately to severely stressed or burned out on an average day, with nearly 63 percent of respondents saying their stress has risen moderately to dramatically in the past three years. ... Medicare and Medicaid policies were among the top four causes of doctors' stress and burnout, according to the survey."

LTC Comment:  Even if you are a private payer not dependent on government-financed care, you will suffer the consequence of burned out physicians overworked and underpaid by Medicare and Medicaid.

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1/11/2012, How to Get Prospects to Return Your Calls,” by Josh Mellberg, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "Here are six simple questions you can ask yourself to increase the chances of getting a returned call."

LTC Comment:  A few sales pointers for good measure.

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1/10/2012, “Americans Ignore Need for LTC Planning Despite Knowing More About the Risks --Economy and Reliance on Medicaid Seen as Factors --Discrepancies Cause for Concern,” MarketWatch (link)

Quote:  "According to a recent national survey of 1,000 Americans, more know the basics of long-term care (LTC) and LTC insurance than five years ago and a majority believe they will someday need some LTC (60%). However, fewer have planned for the possibility in their own lives, and many said they'd rely on Medicaid despite admitting they did not understand how the program worked. ... Although most respondents said they thought LTC insurance would be the best way to cover long-term care needs (61%), only 11 percent reported having purchased it. More than half of those who hadn't bought LTC insurance (53%) said they plan to cover their LTC costs by qualifying for Medicaid."

LTC Comment:  Finally, a survey that explains why Americans know more about LTC risk and cost yet still don’t buy LTC insurance.  Well done, John Hancock.  Whether they realize it consciously or not, the easy availability of Medicaid LTC benefits after the insurable event occurs has prevented most Americans from purchasing private LTC insurance.  Either they plan to use Medicaid, or more likely, they don’t plan at all because they’ve been desensitized to the risk as a result of Medicaid’s having paid for most expensive LTC since 1965.

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1/10/2012,  “Multi-Generational Views on Family Financial Obligations:  A MetLife Survey of Baby Boomers and Members of Generations X and Y,” MetLife Mature Market Institute (link)

Quote:  “A sense of strong responsibility and obligation is widely felt by respondents across the generations for the following scenarios:  * Saving enough for retirement to avoid having to ask family members for assistance  * Having a parent live with them if they need help due to a major health or financial issue  * Making sure a spouse or child would have enough money if a financial provider dies unexpectedly  * Helping to pay for a child's college education  * Providing strong and consistent emotional and non-financial support and contact.”

LTC Comment:  This study is evidence of the public’s good intentions about family financial obligations which are undercut by perverse public policy that rewards failure to plan for LTC. 

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1/10/2012, Government releases Alzheimer's taskforce plan,” McKnight’s LTC News

Quote:  "The vast majority of people do not think about or plan for the long-term services and supports they will need until they experience a disability or Alzheimer's disease. Many Americans incorrectly believe that Medicare will cover most of the costs of these supportive services.  Unfortunately, by the time care is needed, it is difficult to get coverage in the private long-term care insurance market, and options are limited."

LTC Comment:  What is alarming about the new government approach to Alzheimer's is how little attention it pays to financing care.  The quote above is from the document itself.  How alarming that no insurance company is willing to sell LTC insurance to people after they already need expensive care!  Sounds like a job for the government, which doesn't have to worry about collecting premiums, investing reserves, or in the long run, paying claims.  I fear these people learned nothing from the CLASS experience.

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1/9/2012, 65-and-Older Population Soars,” by Emily Brandon, U.S. News & World Report

Quote:  "There are now more Americans age 65 and older than at any other time in U.S. history.  According to a new Census Bureau report, there were 40.3 million people age 65 and older on April 1, 2010, up 5.3 percent from 35 million in 2010 (and just 3.1 million in 1900)."

LTC Comment:  The Age Wave is surging.

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1/9/2012, Top 10 Trends in Senior Housing for 2012,” by George Yedinak, Senior Housing News

Quote:  "Long-term care insurance is becoming more prevalent and will continue to grow in senior housing communities during 2012. As younger seniors enter communities with LTC insurance, the increases in the administrative work and burden on supporting handling LTC insurance claims added with any kind of additional support adds to the overhead costs for owners and operators. At some point, these additional costs will be passed along through rate increases in one fashion or another. The good news is that some communities are finding that their newer entrants have a well-balanced retirement plan that includes LTC insurance but the bad news is that those seniors may become 'high maintenance' residents given the complexity of their LTC insurance."  

LTC Comment:  More good news about the expanding LTCI market.

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1/9/2012, National Health Spending Grew Slowly In 2010,” by Marilyn Werber Serafini, Kaiser Health News 

Quote:  "At the same time, there has been a shift in health care spending from the private sector and the states to the federal government. The federal government's share of total national health care spending increased from 23 to 29 percent between 2007 and 2010. Over the same time, business' share of health care spending decreased from 23 percent to 21 percent, and spending by state and local governments declined from 18 percent to 16 percent."

LTC Comment:  The late economist Herb Stein used to say "trends that can't continue, won't."  We're seeing the beginning of the end of the trend of government financed LTC and the start of a new era when private financing, including LTC insurance, will prevail.

 

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1/9/2012, “Cetera Brings on 2,000 More Advisors, Reps in Genworth Unit Acquisition,” by Ann Marsh, Financial Planning (link)

Quote:  “Cetera Financial Group has agreed to buy Genworth Financial Investment Services, an independent broker-dealer with almost 2,000 independent advisors specializing in integrating wealth management services with tax and accounting services." 

LTC Comment:  Anyone care to comment on what impact this development may have on Genworth’s LTCI business?

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1/9/2012, Scrutiny rises on Bankers Life,” by J.K. Wall, IBJ News

Quote:  "But then last week, CBS News focused on how hundreds of Bankers Life's long-term-care insurance policyholders have accused the company of having 'beat them down with bureaucracy.’ . . .  Bankers Life noted that it paid out $1.3 billion in claims to policyholders last year. In a statement provided to CBS, officials said the company is ‘committed to the highest standards for ethics, fairness and accountability.’”

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1/8/2012, “Protecting Your Future: Trying to protect assets is just plain common sense,” by Bonnie Kraham, Times Herald-Record (link)

Quote:  "Occasionally, I meet with someone who expresses the opinion that it's immoral or wrong to protect assets from nursing home costs. Asset protection for long-term care costs includes strategies such as the Medicaid Asset Protection Trust (MAPT), spousal refusal for married couples, and the gift-and-loan strategy for single people, all of which I have described in past columns."

LTC Comment:  Medicaid planners continue to justify artificially impoverishing their clients even in the face of the financial collapse of Medicaid.

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1/7/2012, “When Insurance Fails:  Cheaper Policies Bought in the Workplace Can Have Drawbacks,” by Leslie Scism, Wall Street Journal (link)

Quote:  "Many people assume insurance offered by their employer is a better deal than they can get on their own.  But while the premiums can be lower, such policies have drawbacks."

LTC Comment:  How does LTCI fare in this regard?

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1/4/2012, “Happier Staffers at Nonprofit Nursing Homes,” by Paula Span, New York Times

Quote:  "Ownership isn't a fail-safe way to choose, sadly. Good commercial homes do exist, and so do lousy nonprofits. In any case, there aren't enough nonprofits for all the older people who will need long-term care."

LTC Comment:  The key difference between non-profit and for-profit nursing homes is the source of payment. For-profits rely much more heavily on Medicaid which according to the latest annual study reimburses nursing homes $20 per bed day less than the cost of providing the care. Therefore, the key to access and quality of institutional care is the ability to pay privately.

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1/4/2012,  “Hot (or Not): The Year in LTCI Agents Struggle to Reach the Rest of the Market,” by David Port, LifeHealthPRO (link)

Quote:  "Despite all of the turmoil at the companies issuing long-term care insurance (LTCI) policies, it looks as if 2011 LTCI sales were pretty solid."

LTC Comment:  Well, hallelujah, just as we predicted all last year.  LTC insurance is growing as confidence in the social safety net declines.

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1/4/2012, “Survey: 57% of Residential Care Facilities Shun Medicaid for Private-Pay,” Alyssa Gerace, Senior Housing News (link)

Quote:  “With most states facing Medicaid budget shortfalls, many publicly traded long-term care providers are making efforts to shift away from depending on government benefits programs or to avoid dependence on these programs from the start, and a recent survey shows that more than half of facilities don't have any Medicaid patients."

LTC Comment:  This story and the one that follows make the same point.  Long-term care choice depends on avoiding Medicaid dependency.

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1/3/2012,  “Medicaid underfunding care by $6.3 billion, report finds,” James M. Berklan, McKnight’s LTC News

Quote:  "It's no wonder long-term care providers prefer residents whose care is reimbursed by something other than Medicaid:  The federal-state program was expected to underfund care by an average of nearly $20 per beneficiary day in 2011, according to a new analysis."

LTC Comment:  We’ve hammered home the same point repeatedly.  It is true already and will be truer in the future that access to quality long-term care at home or in an institution depends on the ability to pay privately.

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1/3/2012,  “LTC Global, Inc. Names Deborah Skiff Chief Marketing Officer,” MarketWatch

Quote:  "LTC Global, Inc., a leading national distributor of senior market insurance products, today announced the appointment of Deborah Skiff to the newly created position of Chief Marketing Officer, effective immediately."

LTC Comment:  Congratulations, Deborah.

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Updated, Friday, January 13, 2012, 12:00 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

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LTC BULLET:  SO WHAT IF THE GOVERNMENT PAYS FOR MOST LTC?, 2010 DATA UPDATE

LTC Comment:  Heads up!  We're about to explain why long-term care insurance sales have disappointed, why people don't "use their homes to stay at home" and why LTC providers who depend on public financing are at risk.  Details after the ***news.***

*** REGISTRATION IS NOW OPEN for the 12th Annual Intercompany Long-Term Care Insurance Conference to be held March 18-21, 2012 at the Paris and Bally’s Hotels in Las Vegas.  Click here or on the banner above for all the details and to register.  Act fast!  The early registration deadline is Thursday, January 19, after which fees increase by $100.  Some highlights:

*  Apply for a (non-home-office) agent p at a special $295 rate here.
*  First time attendees may qualify for a new, special $395 registration ($895 otherwise)
*  Take Harley Gordon’s CLTC Master Class for only $95 extra!  (12-15 CE hours, the exam and one re-take included)
*  And don’t miss this conference highlight:  Steve Moses and Harley Gordon will debate! ***

*** NEW FEATURE:  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform’s public and members-only websites are full of useful information.  Yet members often tell us they were unaware of this or that resource.  So we’ve decided to point you periodically to information we think you can use.  Watch for our new “Spotlight On” feature in LTC Bullets and LTC E-Alerts.  Center VP Damon Moses will author them and you can contact him if you have any questions or comments:  damon@centerltc.com or 206-283-7036.  Here’s number 1 in our “Spotlight On” series:

SPOTLIGHT ON:  “LTC Bullets” Archives.  LTC Bullets is our informative newsletter covering the latest developments in long-term care services and financing.  You already know these critical emails--authored by CLTCR President, Stephen Moses--arrive in your inbox weekly, but did you know every “LTC Bullet” ever published is archived by date and by subject on our website?  Over 940 informative “LTC Bullets” dating back to 1998 are easily searchable and available for all to view.  Check them out here.  In the archive, you’ll find the “LTC Bullets” organized into seven subjects: (1) The LTC Problem and Solutions, (2) Reality Check: The Facts on LTCI, (3) Medicaid Planning, (4) LTC Services, (5) Politics and Legislation, (6) Demographics and Other Data, and (7) CLTCR News. We provide this free service to educate the public, legislators, policy makers and long-term care professionals in order to encourage rational long-term care policy reform and responsible LTC planning.  Browse to our “LTC Bullets” archives and start reading and researching today! ***

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LTC BULLET:  SO WHAT IF THE GOVERNMENT PAYS FOR MOST LTC?, 2010 DATA UPDATE

LTC Comment:  Once a year around this time the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) report health care expenditure data for the latest year of record.  Recently, CMS posted 2010 statistics on its website at http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf

The current issue of Health Affairs (Vol. 31, No. 1, pps. 208-219) contains a summary and analysis of the new data titled "Growth in US Health Spending Remained Slow in 2010; Health Share of Gross Domestic Product Was Unchanged From 2009."  Registered subscribers to Health Affairs can access the full text of the article online at http://content.healthaffairs.org/content/31/1/208.full.pdf+html.  

Note that CMS changed the definition of National Health Expenditure Accounts (NHEA) categories last year, adding for example Continuing Care Retirement Communities (CCRCs) to Nursing Care Facilities.  This change had the effect of reducing Medicaid's reported contribution to the cost of nursing home care from over 40% in 2008 to under one-third (32.8%) in 2009.  CMS also created a new category called "Other Third Party Payers" (7.1%) which includes "worksite health care, other private revenues, Indian Health Service, workers' compensation, general assistance, maternal and child health, vocational rehabilitation, other federal programs, Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, other state and local programs, and school health."  For definitions of all NHEA categories, see http://www.cms.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/quickref.pdf

Following is our annual analysis of the new nursing home and home health care data. 

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"So What If the Government Pays for Most LTC?, 2010 Data Update"
by
Stephen A. Moses

Ever wonder why LTC insurance sales and market penetration are so discouraging?  Or why reverse mortgages are rarely used to pay for long-term care?  Or why LTC service providers are always struggling to survive financially and still provide quality care?  Read on.

America spent $143.1 billion on nursing facilities and Continuing Care Retirement Communities in 2010.  The percentage of these costs paid by Medicaid and Medicare has gone up over the past 40 years (from 26.8% in 1970 to 53.8% in 2010, up 27.0 % of the total) while out-of-pocket costs have declined (from 49.5% in 1970 to 28.3% in 2010, down 21.2% of the total).  Source:  http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf, Table 12.

SO WHAT?  Consumers' liability for nursing home and CCRC costs has declined by 43% in the past four decades, while the share paid by Medicaid and Medicare has more than doubled. 

No wonder people are not as eager to buy LTC insurance as insurers would like them to be!  No wonder they don't use home equity for LTC when Medicaid exempts most home equity.  No wonder nursing homes are struggling financially--their dependency on parsimonious government reimbursements is increasing while their more profitable private payers are disappearing. 

Unfortunately, these problems are even worse than the preceding data suggest.  Over half of the so-called "out-of-pocket" costs reported by CMS are really just contributions toward their cost of care by people already covered by Medicaid!  These are not out-of-pocket costs in terms of ASSET spend down, but rather only INCOME, most of which comes from Social Security benefits, another government program.  Thus, although Medicaid pays less than one-third the cost of nursing home care (31.5% of the dollars in 2010), it covers two-thirds of all nursing home residents.  Because people in nursing homes on Medicaid tend to be long-stayers, Medicaid pays something toward nearly 80 percent of all patient days. 

SO WHAT?  Medicaid pays in full or subsidizes almost four-fifths of all nursing home patient days.  If it pays even one dollar per month (with the rest contributed from the recipient's income), the nursing home receives Medicaid's dismally low reimbursement rate. 

No wonder the public is not as worried about nursing home costs as LTC insurers think they should be.  No wonder nursing homes are facing insolvency all around the United States when so much of their revenue comes from Medicaid, often at reimbursement rates less than the cost of providing the care.

Don't be fooled by the 8.9% of nursing home costs that CMS reports as having been paid by "private health insurance" in 2010.  That category does not include private long-term care insurance.  (See category definitions here.)  No one knows how much LTC insurance pays toward nursing home care, because most LTCI policies pay beneficiaries, not nursing homes.  Thus, a large proportion of insurance payments for nursing home care gets reported as if it were "out-of-pocket" payments because private payers write the checks to the nursing home but are reimbursed by their LTC insurance policies.  This fact further inflates the out-of-pocket figure artificially.

How does all this affect assisted living facilities?  ALFs are 90% private pay and they cost an average of $41,724 per year (Source:  2011 MetLife survey here).  Many people who could afford assisted living by spending down their illiquid wealth, especially home equity, choose instead to take advantage of Medicaid nursing home benefits.  Medicaid exempts one home and all contiguous property (up to $525,000 or $786,000 depending on the state), plus one business, and one automobile of unlimited value, plus many other non-countable assets, not to mention sophisticated asset sheltering and divestment techniques marketed by Medicaid planning attorneys.  Income rarely interferes with Medicaid nursing home eligibility unless such income exceeds the cost of private nursing home care. 

SO WHAT?  For most people, Medicaid nursing home benefits are easy to obtain without spending down assets significantly and Medicaid's income contribution requirement is usually much less expensive than paying the full cost of assisted living. 

No wonder ALFs are struggling to attract enough private payers to be profitable.  No wonder people are not as eager to buy LTC insurance as insurers would like them to be.

The situation with home health care financing is very similar to nursing home financing.  According to CMS, America spent $70.2 billion on home health care in 2010.  Medicare (44.9%) and Medicaid (37.3%) paid 82.2% of this total and private insurance paid 6.4%.  Only 7.1% of home health care costs were paid out of pocket.  The remainder came from several small public and private financing sources.  Data source:  http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf, Table 4.

SO WHAT?  Only one out of every 14 dollars spent on home health care comes out of the pockets of patients and a large portion of that comes from the income (not assets) of people already on Medicaid.

No wonder the public does not feel the sense of urgency about this risk that long-term care insurers think they should.  

Bottom line, people only buy insurance against real financial risk.  As long as they can ignore the risk, avoid the premiums, and get government to pay for their long-term care when and if such care is needed, they will remain in "denial" about the need for LTC insurance.  As long as Medicaid and Medicare are paying for a huge proportion of all nursing home and home health care costs while out-of-pocket expenditures remain only nominal, nursing homes and home health agencies will remain starved for financial oxygen. 

The solution is simple.  Target Medicaid financing of long-term care to the needy and use the savings to fund education and tax incentives to encourage the public to plan early to be able to pay privately for long-term care.  For ideas and recommendations on how to implement this solution, see www.centerltc.com.

Note especially:

"Medi-Cal Long-Term Care:  Safety Net or Hammock?" at http://www.pacificresearch.org/docLib/20110104_LongTermCare_final(2).pdf;

"Doing LTC RIght" at http://www.centerltc.com/pubs/Doing_LTC_RIght.pdf;

"The LTC Graduate Seminar Transcript" at http://www.centerltc.com/members/LTCGradSemTranscription.pdf (requires password, contact smoses@centerltc.com);

"Aging America's Achilles' Heel:  Medicaid Long-Term Care" at http://www.centerltc.com/AgingAmericasAchillesHeel.pdf; and  

"The Realist's Guide to Medicaid and Long-Term Care" at http://www.centerltc.org/realistsguide.pdf.

In the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005, Congress took some small steps toward addressing these problems.  A cap was placed on Medicaid's home equity exemption and several of the more egregious Medicaid planning abuses were ended.  But much more remains to be done.  With the Age Wave starting to crest and threatening to crash over the next two decades, we can only hope it isn't too late already.

Stephen A. Moses is president of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform in Seattle, Washington.  The Center's mission is to ensure quality long-term care for all Americans.  Steve Moses writes, speaks and consults throughout the United States on long-term care policy.  He is the author of the study "Aging America's Achilles' Heel: Medicaid Long-Term Care," published by the Cato Institute (www.cato.org).  Learn more at www.centerltc.com or email smoses@centerltc.com.

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Updated, Tuesday, January 3, 2012, 12:40 PM (Pacific)

Seattle-- 

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LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

Happy New Year!

 

LTC Comment:  Both of the big LTC insurance conferences are on the calendar for this year. 

 

The Intercompany LTCI Conference is up first, running from March 18-21, 2012 at the Paris Hotel in Las Vegas.  Get all the details and register here.  I'll be there to debate CLTC's Harley Gordon about the role of Medicaid.  A few exhibit booths were still available as of 12/18/11.  If you have any questions about exhibiting, please contact Jim Glickman at 818-867-2223 or e-mail your inquiries to Jim.Glickman@LifeCareAssurance.com.

 

The 10th LTCI Producers Summit will convene November 10-12, 2012 at the Tropicana hotel, also in Las Vegas, immediately after the presidential election.  We're rolling the dice this year in more ways than one!  Get Sponsor and Exhibitor information here.  Get information on the 2012 Long Term Care Insurance Sales Achievement Awards here and apply here.

 

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1/1/2012, "One and Only: A rise in single Americans will likely result in more clients who will need someone to care for them," by Donald Jay Korn, Financial Planning (link)

Quote:  "Planners have been hearing about and preparing for the baby boom ever since the first 1946er became a client. Yet their single-minded focus on boomers may mean they've missed another demographic trend: the singles surge. . . .  Erin Botsford, CEO of the Botsford Group in Frisco, Texas, and author of The Big Retirement Risk: Running out of Money Before You Run out of Time, agrees. 'Buying long-term-care insurance would be my No. 1 recommendation for a single person. Most people do not want to become a burden on their families. Regardless of their financial status, single people should obtain long-term-care insurance while they are still able to qualify medically.'"

LTC Comment:  LTCI for singles.

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12/31/2011, "Aging and Broke, More Lean on Family," by E.S. Browning, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "Thirty-nine percent of adults with parents 65 and older reported giving parents financial aid in the past year, according to a September Pew Research Center survey. Some parents may have trouble acknowledging it: 10% of parents 65 and older reported receiving aid. ...  In 1900, 57% of adults 65 and older lived with relatives, according to Pew Research. Because of Social Security, Medicare and improving health and wealth, that rate declined to 17% by 1990, Pew says. Now it is up to 20%."

LTC Comment:  Marketing opportunity to middle-aged adult children of aging parents?  If Mom and Dad have LTCI, maybe they won't have to move in.

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12/26/2011, "Increased Broken Bones Among Boomers Is Precursor Of Future Long-Term Care Needs," OpenPR (link)

Quote:  "A new study suggests that the number of baby boomers visiting hospital emergency rooms for broken arms could rise by nearly a third by 2030. That is when the youngest baby boomers will have just turned 65.  . . .  'Prevention is vital, but so is planning for living a long life,' Slome explains. 'If you live into your 80s or beyond, the likelihood you will need long term care is vastly increased but you need to start preparing for this in your 50s and early 60s when the most planning options are still available to you.'"

LTC Comment:  For a good second act, don't "break a leg."

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12/24/2011, "When Divorce Unravels Your Retirement Plans," by Ruthie Ackerman, Wall Street Journal 

Quote:  "Long-term-care insurance, which covers services such as assisted-living or nursing-home care, home care and medical equipment, can be even more important for divorced people, since they are likely to have a smaller nest egg that could easily be wiped out by serious illness or disability."

LTC Comment:  This LTCI for singles theme is one I'm seeing more and more lately. 

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12/23/2011, "LTCI Watch: Panic Shopping," by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "Maybe one of the best places to set up a LTCI outreach table would be near a display full of Christmas wrapping paper that's on sale after the holidays. Remind conscientious prospects that they're conscientious. If they plan ahead for a $25 Christmas gift, why wouldn't they plan ahead for the possibility of needing $250,000 in LTC?"   

LTC Comment:  Conscientious people who think ahead and prepare for risks and costs certainly describes the LTCI market.

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12/23/2011, "Fiscal Year 2011 Financial Report of the United States Government," Government Accountability Office (GAO)

Quotes:  "The U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) cannot render an opinion on the 2011 consolidated financial statements of the federal government, because of widespread material internal control weaknesses, significant uncertainties, and other limitations."

"In addition, GAO was unable to render an opinion on the 2011 Statement of Social Insurance and the 2011 Statement of Changes in Social Insurance Amounts because of significant uncertainties, primarily related to the achievement of projected reductions in Medicare cost growth."

"'The comprehensive fiscal projections presented in the 2011 Financial Report show that - absent policy changes - the federal government continues to face an unsustainable long-term fiscal path,' [Comptroller General] Dodaro said."

LTC Comment:  Happy New Year!  Isn't it nice to know our government is in the hands of such financially responsible people?

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12/21/2011, "The Slow Starvation of Senior Services," by Howard Gleckman, Forbes

Quote:  "Congress is slowly starving senior services programs.  In the 2012 budget it passed as it was leaving town last weekend, Congress froze or cut spending for a broad range of government programs aimed at seniors and their caregivers-everything from Meals on Wheels to long-term care ombudsman training to information and referral services."

LTC Comment:  I submitted the following comment after reading this article:

"What a tragedy that needful senior programs are cut while (effective 1/1/12) Medicaid bumps the home equity exemption for long-term care eligibility to $525,000 or $786,000 at state option.

"Penny wise, pound foolish. In fact, the entire asset exemption in England, including home equity, is only 23,500 British pounds (roughly $38,400). Who'd have thought our reputedly draconian Medicaid program was so much more generous than England's socialized health care system?

"Reducing Medicaid's home equity exemption to something closer to England's would generate enough savings to restore all the cuts mentioned in this article and prevent other, even deeper cuts that are inevitably coming."

 

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12/21/2011, "Things Medicare Won't Tell You," by Catey Hill, SmartMoney

Quote:  "The government's massive entitlement program is full of costly glitches."

LTC Comment:  This article lists and describes ten such glitches.

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12/19/2011, "Spending Surge for Seniors: Medicare and Social Security Total 50 Percent of Budget by 2030," by Veronique de Rugy, Mercatus Center (link)

Quote:  "Half of the entire budget will be consumed by payments for senior citizens by 2030."

LTC Comment:  Ominous data!

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12/19/2011, "Feds Unveil First National Survey of ALF Facilities, Residents," Patrick Connole, Provider

Quote:  "A first-of-its-kind survey by the federal government of assisted living/residential care facilities and residents provides a large new source of data on the profession, including important trends like the growing role of the Medicaid program in the field, experts said recently. . . .  The study found that 19 percent of residents received Medicaid funding, and 43 percent of facilities had at least one resident receiving Medicaid assistance."

LTC Comment:  I warned about the danger of Medicaid's funding assisted living facilities in "The Sirens' Call, The Primrose Path, and Assisted Living," Assisted Living, April 2004.  Read it to learn how Medicaid ruined nursing homes even for private payers and could destroy assisted living for the same reasons. 

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12/2011, "It Begins!," Ronald R. Hagelman Jr., Broker World

Quote:  "After previewing the preliminary third quarter LIMRA annualized LTC insurance figures, I must say that by any measure the industry is experiencing the best new premium production in almost a decade. This is grand, spectacular news!  The new numbers are amazing and historic.  They will cause an incredible volume of speculation.  The growth was dramatic across all lines of business."

LTC Comment:  Ron Hagelman's column in the December issue of Broker World gives 9 reasons why LTCI sales are surging and will continue to do so.  Evidence we were right when we told you so 2011 was LTCI's turnaround year. 

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12/19/2011, "Financing Your Future:  A Push to Turn 'For Sale' Into 'Sold'," by Rachel Louise Ensign, Wall Street Journal  

Quote:  "For those seeking to sell a home in order to move into a continuing-care community or similar retirement residence, help is increasingly available. Owners and operators of such developments are stepping forward with home staging and repair programs, no-interest bridge loans, buyouts and reduced entrance fees. The goal: to get you out of your space and into theirs."

LTC Comment:  Yet another way home equity conversion is critical to financing long-term care.

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12/12/2011, "Magic or mayhem: What's ahead? Part 2," by Richard L. Peck, Long-Term Living

Quote:  "It's simple: Once we get past the housing crisis and the Medicare crackdown, long-term care looks to be an investment bonanza. Independent living, assisted living, skilled nursing-all levels of senior housing and care are poised to accommodate surging baby boomers and their Silent Generation predecessors. Even with retirement being put increasingly on hold and average age for facility occupancy hovering around the early 80s, savvy providers are gearing up for some potential boom years."

LTC Comment:  Second half of the "LTC predictions" article from Long-Term Living magazine, which follows.

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11/18/2011, "Magic or mayhem: What's ahead?, Part 1," by Richard L. Peck, Long-Term Living

Quote:  "[A]s the vast baby boom generation and its parents start learning their LTC lessons the hard way, public perception will grow exponentially. The LTC financing model will almost certainly change no matter what happens to Medicare, Medicaid or CLASS. The predictions that follow do in fact indicate what that model will eventually look like, and which providers will likely succeed and prosper."

LTC Comment:  Every so often, it's good to look at the bigger picture of long-term care from the providers' perspective.

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Updated, Monday, December 19, 2011, 11:07 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

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LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

LTC Comment:  Honey Leveen, self-proclaimed "LTCI Queen" and faithful supporter of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform, reports the following endorsement from a client:

"I've been collecting from my LTC insurance policy since January 2011.  It's paying beautifully and even covers the mileage charges when my caregiver transports me.  I love my caregivers.  This policy is making a huge difference in the quality of my life, as well as my sense of security.  I am very grateful to you for selling it to me in 1998 and for still being present to answer my questions and guide me through the claims process." ~ Marienne J, Houston, TX

Kind of a nice reminder of what it's all about at a time of the year when it's good to reflect on such things.

Happy Holidays, we'll see you in January.

Your Center for Long-Term Care Reform

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12/15/2011, "Boomers Push Back Retirement Six Years," by Lee Barney, Financial Planning

Quote:  "The 11th quarterly Allstate-National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll found that near-retiree Baby Boomers have pushed back initial plans to retire from an average of age 60 to 66. Additionally, 68% of Baby Boomers expect to work in some form after retirement, the survey of 1,200 Americans found. Only 11% of current retirees currently work."

LTC Comment:  More boomers working means more income to pay LTCI premiums and a greater need for the product to protect their retirement savings.

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12/15/2011, "The Top Ten Reasons Long-Term Care Insurance May Be the Best Holiday Gift Ever," PR Newswire (link)

Quote:  "Whether you celebrate Christmas, Hanukkah, or another end-of-year holiday, long-term care insurance just might be the best present you could possibly give."

LTC Comment:  Maybe it is "better to give than receive," but LTCI is one gift that benefits the giver as well as the receiver by protecting the inheritance of the giver and the long-term care of the receiver.

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12/15/2011, "Medicaid outlook bleak for providers in 2012, report finds," McKnight's LTC News

Quote:  "The unreimbursed funds from Medicaid to nursing homes is [sic] projected to exceed $6.3 billion in 2011, which means an average per-patient shortfall of $19.55 per day, according to an annual study conducted by Eljay LLC, on behalf of the American Health Care Association. That's a jump from a $16.54 per day loss in 2009 . . .  .  And while many providers have relied on Medicare to subsidize Medicaid patients, they will lose that patch in 2012. 'The combined shortfall of both Medicare and Medicaid is projected to exceed $2 billion, marking an end to the current reliance on Medicare cross-subsidization of Medicaid shortfalls and the beginning of greater uncertainty,' the report states."

LTC Comment:  Nursing homes will be more desperate than ever as they compete for a dwindling supply of private payers while facing the double jeopardy of declining Medicaid and Medicare reimbursement.

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12/15/2011, "Long Term Care Insurance 2012 Tax Guides Published," PR*Urgent

Quote:  "Long term care insurance may be fully tax deductible and the 2012 limits and rules are spelled out in two new guides published by the American Association for Long Term Care Insurance."

LTC Comment:  Happy New Year! 

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12/15/2011, "Retirement fears jump the wealth gap to strike affluent Americans," by Lisa Gillespie, Employee Benefit News (link)

Quote:  "About a quarter of affluent Americans (23%) say they are not confident they will have saved enough for retirement, and this is especially true for Americans with assets between $100,000 and $250,000 (33%) and people without a written retirement plan (32%) and women (31%)." 

LTC Comment:  What better way to protect principal than LTCI?

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12/14/2011, "Elderly care reforms may have to wait until 2025," Tim Ross, The Telegraph

Quote:  "An estimated 20,000 people a year are forced to sell their homes to pay fees for nursing and residential care, which can reach hundreds of thousands of pounds."

LTC Comment:  Did our draconian Medicaid program force these people into impoverishment and make them sell their homes?  No, this news comes from a British paper where people supposedly enjoy "free," socialized care.  In the USA, Medicaid exempts $525,000 of home equity in 40 states and $786,000 of home equity in 10 states and DC.  If Medicaid were no more restrictive than England, which allows a home equity exemption of approximately $38,000, Medicaid could save $30 billion per year and the market for private LTC insurance would explode.  See our report with the evidence here.

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12/14/2011, "Consumer Alert:  High Health Deductibles Coming," by Merrill Goozner, The Fiscal Times

Quote:  "More than one in five Americans who are privately insured are now part of high-deductible plans, a figure that's at an all-time high and growing rapidly according to a new survey by the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI)."

LTC Comment:  High deductible health plans when linked with Health Savings Accounts allow healthy people to accumulate tax favored savings that can be used later to pay LTCI premiums.

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12/13/2011, "Pre-retirees and retirees are happy and optimistic," by Lisa Gillespie, Employee Benefit Adviser

Quote:  "Among retirees, the more affluent are twice as likely as others to cite giving up a fulfilling career as a negative to retirement. When it comes to planning, both pre-retirees and retirees said a milestone birthday (19% of pre-retirees, 14% of retirees) or the realization that they are within 10 years of retiring (15% of pre-retirees, 11% of retirees) were the two most common triggers for serious financial planning. It also seems that early planning plays off: More affluent retirees - those with $250,000 or more of investable assets - are twice as likely to say they began serious financial planning when they got their first job." (Emphasis added)

LTC Comment:  Maybe identifying people reaching "milestone birthdays," i.e., 50, 60, 65, would be a good source of LTCI leads.

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12/13/2011, "Some Long-Term-Care Insurance Is Better Than None," by Glenn Ruffenach, SmartMoney

Quote:  "The best is the enemy of the good.  Or so said Voltaire, the French philosopher.  I could be wrong, but...I think he was talking about long-term-care insurance -- and how to fix what is probably the biggest hole in your plans for retirement."

LTC Comment:  Author Glenn Ruffenach attended the last Intercompany LTC Insurance conference.  Evidently, the industry made a good impression.

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12/13/2011, "Bigger Share of State Cash for Medicaid," by Michael Cooper, New York Times

Quote:  "The Medicaid program accounted for 21.9 percent of all state expenditures in 2009, 22.3 percent in 2010, and is estimated to account for 23.6 percent in 2011, the report found.  At the same time the share spent on elementary and secondary education has declined, dropping to 20.1 percent in 2011 from 21.5 percent of all state expenditures in 2009."

LTC Comment:  Evidence continues to mount that Medicaid's continued role as the dominant payer for LTC in the USA is doubtful.

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12/12/2011, "Connecticut Schedules LTCI Rate Hearing," by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO 

Quote:  "The Connecticut Insurance Department has scheduled a hearing on a 41% rate increase proposed for a closed block of long-term care insurance (LTCI) policies (link) for 9 a.m. Jan. 11.  Metropolitan Life Insurance Company, a unit of MetLife Inc., New York (NYSE:MET), is asking for the increase for 3 separate but related blocks of LTCI business . . .."

LTC Comment:  What's often missed when private LTCI carriers raise rates responsibly to cover actual claims experience and protect policy holders is that "public carriers," such as Medicaid and Medicare, have failed to set aside any reserves, much less adequate reserves, to meet political promises of future benefits.  When will they schedule a "hearing" to review that?

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12/12/2011, "How to plan for retirement," The Nation

Quote:  "Obtain medical and long-term care insurance: In the absence of an omnibus insurance policy that include [sic] healthcare, obtaining a separate medical and long-term care insurance policy provides you cover against health challenges that may come with old age."

LTC Comment:  What's particularly interesting about this quote is its source, an article in The Nation, self-described as "the flagship of the left," according to Wikipedia.

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12/12/2011, "Biggest Handouts to 1 Percent Are Social Security and Medicare," Nick Gillespie, Reason

Quote:  "Using IRS data, IBD [Investor's Business Daily] found that the top 1% of income earners claimed approximately $7 billion in Social Security benefits in 2009.  That year, the program paid super-rich seniors - those with adjusted gross incomes exceeding $10 million - an average of $33,000 each."

LTC Comment:  We often report how affluent people easily access Medicaid LTC benefits, but the same holds true for Social Security and Medicare, only more so.  Policy makers and pundits have those two formerly "social insurance" programs in their sights for conversion to means-tested welfare programs.  Ironically, the powers-that-be continue to leave Medicaid as a de-facto entitlement with toothless income and asset limits.

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12/12/2011, "Troubled nursing homes aren't closed," by Robin Erb and Kristi Tanner, Detroit Free Press

Quote:  "All these years later, Qazi said, recruiting staff in some of Detroit's poorest neighborhoods is 'an ongoing struggle.'  He said money is tight because residents are overwhelmingly poor and rely on Medicaid.  Qazi said higher-income Medicare patients, whose short-term daily reimbursements are much higher, 'keep us in business.'"

LTC Comment:  With both Medicaid and Medicare funding in doubt, access to and quality of institutional care is likely to deteriorate further for people unable to pay privately for home or nursing facility care.

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Updated, Friday, December 16, 2011, 11:50 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

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LTC BULLET:  NEW MEDICAID AND MEDICARE NUMBERS ANNOUNCED FOR 2012

LTC Comment:  You need to know these new numbers for 2012.  We've also updated tables in The Zone that provide the numbers for every year since the early 1990s.  Details follow the ***news.***

*** Happy Hanukkah, Merry Christmas, Happy New Year and overall Season's Greetings. ***

*** 2012 LTCI PRODUCERS SUMMIT will take place at the Tropicana Hotel in Las Vegas November 10-12, 2012.  The conference begins just four days after the next presidential election, so you can celebrate or drown your sorrows depending on the outcome. ***

*** WHAT HAVE YOU DONE FOR ME LATELY?  It's been a very productive year for your Center for Long-Term Care Reform.  We published 41 LTC Bullets counting this one and 43 LTC E-Alerts counting Monday's.  Our studies of LTC financing in Pennsylvania, New York and California were released jointly with major state think tanks in the first two months of the year.  Steve Moses gave 17 speeches and published 11 bylined articles or reports.  He spent 10 weeks living in the Silver Bullet of LTC in Washington, DC collaborating with the Cato Institute, interviewing and briefing key policy makers, testifying before Congress on September 21, 2011 (video and testimony), and sending you 13 "LTC Embed Reports."  We wrapped up this successful year with Steve (presenting) and Damon attending the prestigious, invitation-only Health Sector Assembly meeting in Sundance, Utah.  At that event, we previewed our six new briefing papers on "How to Fix Long-Term Care" which we'll publish one at a time early in the new year.  Thanks again for your support, both financial and "moral," for our work.  ***

*** THE ZONE has been updated to include all the new Medicaid and Medicare numbers for 2012.  Check them out here.  You'll not only find the latest 2012 numbers, you can see how each threshold number has increased year by year since 1991 for Medicaid and since 1993 for Medicare.  Access to The Zone is gated for Center for Long-Term Care Reform members only.  If you need a reminder of your user name and password or if you'd like to join the Center to get immediate access to this and our many other resources in The Zone, contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com. ***

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LTC BULLET:  NEW MEDICAID AND MEDICARE NUMBERS ANNOUNCED FOR 2012

LTC Comment:  First, why do these new numbers matter?  Once upon a time, long, long ago (like until 1988), Medicaid routinely impoverished healthy, community spouses of institutionalized recipients.  It worked like this:

Medicaid nursing home recipients had to contribute most of their income to offset their cost of care to Medicaid.  That's still true, but until the Medicare Catastrophic Coverage Act of 1988 (MCCA '88), Medicaid rules made no allowance for the financial well-being of healthy spouses who remained in the community.  Usually the husband would enter the nursing home and go onto Medicaid first.  Most of the family income was in his name.  So the wife was left at home with few liquid assets (only $2,000 in most states) and no more than her own income or at most a few hundred dollars worth of the Medicaid husband's income.

MMMNA and CSRA

Congress and President Reagan eliminated the problem of "spousal impoverishment" in MCCA '88 by requiring that community spouses of institutionalized Medicaid recipients be allowed to retain up to $1,500 per month of income (the Minimum Monthly Maintenance Needs Allowance or MMMNA) plus half the joint assets not to exceed $60,000 (the Community Spouse Resource Allowance or CSRA).  The law also provided for annual increases in these thresholds based on inflation.  With inflation flat for the previous two years, these amounts had not increased since 2009, remaining at $2,739 and $109,500, respectively for 2010 and 2011.  But inflation jumped 3.7 percent in 2011, so the new thresholds effective January 1, 2012 will be $2,841 for the MMMNA upper limit and $113,640 for the CSRA, an 89.4 percent increase over the original 1988 protected amounts.

Home Equity Exemption

Several other Medicaid numbers are of interest and increasing.  Under federal law, one home including all contiguous property, is exempt from asset eligibility limits so long as the Medicaid applicant/recipient expresses a subjective intent to return to the home.  Up until the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 (DRA '05), there was no limit whatsoever on the value of the retained home, land and property.  The DRA '05 set a cap of $500,000 on protected home equity or $750,000 at state legislative option.  Those limits increased to $506,000 and $758,000 respectively in 2011.  The Medicaid long-term care home equity exemption levels leap to $525,000 and $786,000, effective January 1, 2012.

An interesting fact about Medicaid's home equity exemption is that, at its maximum of $786,000, it is nearly 22 times as high as the total asset exemption, including home equity, allowed in England.  (According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, 11 states allow the maximum home equity exemption, including some with huge budget deficits:  California, Connecticut, DC, Hawaii, Idaho, Maine, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, and Wisconsin.)  A recent article in the British newspaper The Telegraph stated:  "An estimated 20,000 [English] people a year are forced to sell their homes to pay fees for nursing and residential care, which can reach hundreds of thousands of pounds."  Using reverse mortgages to fund long-term care could harness the value of home equity for many people without their needing to sell their homes.  But isn't it fascinating that the USA's reputedly draconian Medicaid program is so much more generous than England's socialized health care system?

Other Medicaid Numbers

What we referred to above as the "MMMNA upper limit" is actually the upper end of the income transfer allowance available to community spouses who have additional expenses, such as for housing.  The lower end, the actual minimum community spouses are allowed to receive from their institutionalized spouse's income, is calculated by multiplying the poverty level for a couple by 1.5, i.e., 150 percent.  Currently the MMMNA lower limit is $1,839.  It will remain at that level until July 2012 when it will be reset as the new poverty level for a couple is reported.  We announce that change each year in July when it happens and we update the information in The Zone.

Most states have "medically needy" income eligibility systems, which means they deduct medical and long-term care expenses from applicant/recipient's income before determining eligibility.  Some states, however, use an "income cap" system.  Those states allow only 300 percent of the Supplemental Security Income (SSI) allowance for a single individual.  The SSI allowance will increase to $698 per month from $674 effective January 1, 2012 causing the 300 percent income cap to increase from $2,022 to $2,094.  For all practical purposes, however, it makes little difference whether Medicaid recipients live in medically needy or income cap states.  Income level rarely interferes with eligibility in either system due to the medical/LTC deduction in medically needy states and the availability of Miller income diversion trusts in income cap states.

Medicare Numbers

Several key Medicare numbers change effective January 1, 2012.  The Part A skilled nursing facility co-insurance amount for the 21st through 100th day in a nursing home increases from $141.50 to $144.50.  This is up from $84.50 in 1993, a 67 percent increase. 

The Part A inpatient hospital deductible for the 1st 60 days will rise from $1,132 to $1,156, up from $676 in 1993, a 71 percent increase.

On the other hand, one key Medicare number is actually going down.  The Part B annual deductible declines $22 from $162 to $140 effective New Year's Day.

The Part B monthly premium remains a moving target, bouncing around depending on several factors including personal income.  For details on such complications, refer to "The 2012 Medicare Part B Premium and Deductible Lower Than Expected," a 10/27/11 article posted on the AARP website.  For most Medicare beneficiaries, the Part B premium will increase from $96.40 to $99.90 per month. 

See also "Medicare premiums and coinsurance rates for 2012," "Fact Sheet:  Medicare Premiums and Deductibles For 2012," and "2012 Part B Premium Amounts for Persons with Higher Income Levels" on the Medicare.gov website.

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Updated, Monday, December 12, 2011, 10:20 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

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LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

LTC Comment:  CMS has announced the new Medicaid and Medicare numbers that will become effective January 1, 2012.  They include some pretty dramatic changes.  For example, the upper end Medicaid home equity exemption will rise to $786,000.  It was originally $750,000 but increases with inflation.  The Medicare Part B annual deductible drops by a nearly unprecedented $22 from $162 to $140.  In this Friday's LTC Bullet, we'll bring you full coverage of these changes and an updated table in The Zone showing key Medicaid and Medicare numbers year by year since the early 1990s and through 2012.

 

For now, here's our LTC media retrospective since 10/31/11.

 

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12/9/2011, "Rhythms Flow as Aging Pianist Finds New Audience," by Dan Barry, New York Times  

Quote:  "Boyd Lee Dunlop found his musical talent during the Great Depression. But after years of playing in bars and nightclubs, it took a damaged piano in a Buffalo nursing home for him to be discovered."

LTC Comment:  Charming story of a life and talent renewed.

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12/8/2011, "Home Health Care Franchises on the Rise as Boomers Age, Costs Rise," by Liza Porteus Viana, Fox Business 

Quote:  "[Nautilus Senior Home Care founder] Bruce explained that the availability of long-term care insurance, combined with the fact that more patients are being forced to pay out of pocket for care is why he and his wife have a rosy outlook on their company's growth."

LTC Comment:  As we emphasize here often, the ability to pay privately for care will drive access and quality of care in the future.  Private financing, including LTCI, will also help to grow and expand home and community-based care which is financially starved today by its heavy dependence on unreliable public funding.

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12/6/2011, "More Exercise Can Help You Sleep Better," OpenPR

Quote:  "Inadequate sleep has been linked to depression, cardiovascular disease and other health problems notes Slome. Increased risk of cardiovascular disease puts aging Americans at greater risk of needing benefits from their long-term care insurance Slome explains."

LTC Comment AALTCI director Jesse Slome continues to link new medical research to the need for LTC insurance protection in a series of creative, low-cost press releases.

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12/5/2011, "Many Workers in Public Sector Retiring Sooner," by Monica Davey, New York Times

Quote:  "As states and cities struggle to resolve paralyzing budget shortfalls by sending workers on unpaid furloughs, freezing salaries and extracting larger contributions for health benefits and pensions, a growing number of public-sector workers are finding fewer reasons to stay."

LTC Comment:  The surge of public employee retirements could be a rich source of LTCI leads.

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12/5/2011, "Long-Term Care Awareness Campaign '3 in 4 Need More' Gains Additional Support and New Board Members," Insurance Broadcasting (link)

Quote: "In November the 3in4 Association added seven new members to its advisory board, and received increased support from two insurance carriers: John Hancock, an existing member of the organization, and Genworth, which provided sponsorship of a meaningful consumer study. 'We're gaining momentum,' says Mark Goldberg, Treasurer of the association that runs the '3 in 4 Need More' campaign."

LTC Comment:  Congratulations to the 3in4 Association and the 3in4 Need More campaign.

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12/2011, "US life insurance industry outlook," Ernst & Young

Quote:  "Life insurers in the United States face a conundrum as they head into 2012-managing both capital and risk in an economically and politically uncertain year, while continuing to lay the groundwork for future growth. The uncertain economic climate, compounded by ongoing concerns over US debt, continues to put pressure on life insurer ratings and capital levels.

"Factors intensifying this pressure include: 

* Low interest rates raising concerns over spread compression

* Volatile equity markets increasing hedging costs and reserve requirements

* Impacts of the unfolding euro zone financial crisis - particularly for multinationals

* Insistent investors wanting higher returns

* The changing regulatory environment"

LTC Comment:  Interesting content and analysis because the challenges facing LTC insurance are so similar to those confronting life insurance.

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12/3/2011, "Debate rises over whether Medicare pay cuts will hurt doctors' practices, patients," by N.C. Aizenman, The Washington Post (link

 

Quote: "The impact of mandatory Medicare pay cuts triggered by the congressional debt panel's recent failure to reach a deal is the subject of sharp disagreement.  Doctors and hospital officials are warning that the cuts could have serious repercussions for American health care, prompting many doctors to drop Medicare patients and forcing hospitals to lay off staff and consolidate facilities." 

 

LTC Comment:  The Center for LTC Reform offered a solution to this problem based on Medicaid LTC savings and increased LTC insurance:  see "Pay for the Doc Fix by Fixing Medicaid LTC."     

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12/3/2011, "Health Official Takes Parting Shot at 'Waste,'" by Robert Pear, New York Times  

Quote:  "The official in charge of Medicare and Medicaid for the last 17 months says that 20 percent to 30 percent of health spending is 'waste' that yields no benefit to patients, and that some of the needless spending is a result of onerous, archaic regulations enforced by his agency." 

LTC Comment:  Medicaid not only crowds out most of the LTC insurance market according to researchers cited below, but a quarter to a third of its spending is wasted on top of that damage, according to the outgoing CMS Administrator.

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12/1/2011, "A CLASS denied: Shelving of the CLASS act could mean big business for brokers," by Brian M. Kalish, Employee Benefit Adviser (link)

Quote:  "The CLASS Act's greatest gift may have actually been in its shelving, says Slome. 'In the years ahead, the greatest gift of the CLASS Act has been to really increase the level of consumer awareness and the death of [the Act] has really made it clear to intelligent individuals and business owners that the government is not coming to the rescue,' he concludes. 'It's evermore clear that people have to act and that's what you are seeing and will continue to see.'"

LTC Comment:  That is indeed the net effect of thousands of hours and millions of dollars expended by legislators, staff, pundits, analysts, and producers promoting or debunking and ultimately killing a program that was hopelessly flawed from the start.

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11/27/2011, "Hearing testimony suggests Medicaid abuse attracts all income levels," by  Lou Ann Anderson, Estate of Denial

Quote:  "In October of this year, ElderLawAnswers.com featured a post, House Panel Hunts the Elusive 'Millionaire on Medicaid', that examined a September 21 congressional hearing on alleged abuses of Medicaid long-term care eligibility rules."

 

LTC Comment:  The articles cited and referenced discuss the Congressional hearing on Medicaid planning in which Stephen Moses testified.  We covered the hearing in detail here.

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11/17/2011, "Researchers Call for Peers to Study LTC," by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "But even middle-income people can qualify for nursing home benefits from Medicaid, the health insurance program for the poor, by spending or giving away assets, to make themselves artificially poor, and Medicaid may appear on the surface be a better deal than private LTCI for about two-thirds of U.S. residents, the researchers estimate."

LTC Comment:  New article by the researchers who concluded Medicaid crowds out 2/3 to 90% of the LTC insurance market.  Full citation:  Brown, Jeffrey R., and Amy Finkelstein. 2011. "Insuring Long-Term Care in the United States." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 25(4): 119–42.

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11/2011, "The Fiscal Survey of the States:  Fall 2011," National Governors Association and the National Association of State Budget Officials

Quote: "While overall state spending is expected to grow slowly over the next few years, spending on Medicaid is expected to consume an increasing share of state budgets and grow more rapidly than state revenue growth. Factors causing rapid growth in Medicaid costs for states include: increased enrollments (because of both the weak economy and expanded eligibility under health care reform); the elimination of federal funds associated with the enhanced matching rate of state costs from the Recovery Act; and per capita health care costs in general increasing faster than the economy. With Medicaid costs growing significantly and state revenue collections growing at a much slower pace, states are likely to face tight fiscal conditions for the foreseeable future."

LTC Comment: This semi-annual report from the National Governors Association and the National Association of State Budget Officers is the best gauge we have of state governments' ability to fund Medicaid long-term care benefits.  The picture is bleaker for states all the time, but brighter for private LTC financing alternatives as more and more people realize LTC will be more than ever a personal responsibility in the future. 

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10/31/2011, "CLASS Aside, Long-Term Care is a Key to Entitlement Reform," by Avik Roy, Forbes 

Quote:  "Lest you think that the $122-billion-plus in Medicaid long-term care spending is going entirely to the needy, it's not. Medicaid's inadequate eligibility rules allow wealthy individuals to game the system in order to gain Medicaid long-term coverage. In one such game, called 'spousal refusal,' one person can transfer his assets to his spouse, in order to claim that he is poor."

LTC Comment:  This is one of the better articles to come out of the CLASS post-mortems.

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10/31/2011, "Editorial: States are pushing it on Medicaid cuts," USA Today

Quote: "To get a sense for how desperate states are to cut Medicaid costs, think about this: Several of them are seeking federal permission to impose short, inflexible annual limits on hospital stays, no matter how sick or severely injured the patient is."

LTC Comment: In this USA Today editorial point/counterpoint, the newspaper thinks such Medicaid cuts are unconscionable; the state Medicaid directors reply they have no choice.  In the meantime, Medicaid exempts at least $525,000 of home equity (effective 1/1/12) while paying for the program's most expensive benefit, LTC.  Go figure.

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Updated, Friday, December 9, 2011, 10:22 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

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LTC Comment:  The 13th annual Health Sector Assembly brought together 70 thought leaders to discuss LTC services and financing.  Our message was heard loud and clear. Details follow the ***news.***

*** TOP TEN REASONS WHY MEDICAID NEEDS REFORM:  Check out this press release from Senators Orrin Hatch (R, UT) and Dr. Tom Coburn (R, OK) listing "ten examples of the fundamental flaws and problems confronting the Medicaid program that illustrate why this program needs to reformed."  They include:

1.  You can own a Rolls-Royce and still qualify for Medicaid today.
(Source: The Code of Federal Regulations: 20 CFR 416.1218.)

8.  You can own a half a million dollar luxury home and still qualify for Medicaid.
(Source: The Social Security Act: Section 1917(f).)

And especially this one citing the Center for Long-Term Care Reform:

9.  An entire consulting industry now teaches how to do financial planning around Medicaid’s long-term care offerings, and not surprisingly, taxpayers now finance 40 percent of long-term care services in America through Medicaid.
(Sources: The Center for Long-Term Care Reform: Medicaid Planning Quotes and Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured:  Medicaid and Long-Term Care Services and Supports.  March 2011) ***

LTC BULLET:  LTC AT SUNDANCE

LTC Comment:  It's been a little over a month since our last LTC Bullet.  Capping three months of hard work on the Hill and in the policy trenches of Washington, DC, I'm just back from three weeks of much-needed rest, respite and vacation in Southeast Asia, specifically Borneo, Singapore and a wide-ranging air and road tour of the Philippines.  But now it's time to dive back into the LTC policy fray.

In between DC and the wilds of Borneo, I spent three days (with Damon) at the 2011 "Health Sector Assembly" which convened at the Sundance resort near Salt Lake City, Utah.  This invitation-only, all-expense-paid, annual meeting focused this year on "Long-Term Care:  The Unacknowledged Elephant in the Room."  Organizers described the event thus:

The Health Sector Assembly of America is a gathering of health leaders from virtually every segment of the health universe.  Bringing together a wide range of philosophical opinions, experiential dimensions, and varying approaches to the future of health care in the United States, it has become an annual occasion when these individuals bond around the discussion table.  Without outside pressures, they are able to exchange openly and frankly often in a spirited manner.

Discussion at the Assembly was definitely open, frank and spirited, reflecting the widely divergent views of attendees representing leading national think tanks, trade and professional associations, consumer groups and including public officials and scholars.  Eight of the attendees were invited to offer formal, seven-minute "challenge remarks" from the podium to get the broader discussion started.  I was asked to speak on "Challenges to Effective Long-Term Care:  Cost and Affordability."

Following is a transcript of my remarks to the Health Sector Assembly.  At the end of those comments, I mentioned that I had prepared six "Briefing Papers" which ask and answer key questions about long-term care "from a perspective clearly at odds with conventional long-term care analysis."  Staff of the event distributed a summary sheet with links to all six essays to all of the attendees.  In the coming weeks and months, we will share the same material with you in forthcoming LTC Bullets.

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Health Sector Assembly Presentation
Sundance, Utah
November 4, 2011
Session:  "Challenges to Effective Long-Term Care"

"Challenge Remarks:  Cost and Affordability of Long-Term Care"
by
Stephen A. Moses

First some facts.  Long-term care is very expensive.  A private nursing home room for custodial care in 2011 averages $239 per day or $87,000 per year; a semi-private room runs $205 per day or $78,000 per year.  Both are up 4.4 percent from last year.  Base rates for assisted living climbed 5.6 percent to $3,500 per month or $42,000 per year.  Private-pay hourly rates for home health aides and homemaker/companion services remained unchanged from 2010 at $21 and $19 respectively.[1]  At these levels, few Americans could pay privately for very long which leads analysts to conclude that long-term care is unaffordable.

According to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), the United States spent $137 billion in 2009 for care provided in skilled nursing facilities or continuing care retirement communities.[2]  The country expended another $68 billion for home health care in the same year.[3]  The total of $205 billion for institutional and home care is up 47 percent from $139 billion in 2003.  As the Health Sector Assembly "Topic Statement" suggested, public and private long-term care expenditures are an unacknowledged fiscal elephant in the room.  Clearly unaffordable.

What's most interesting about these huge and expanding long-term care expenditures, however, is "who pays for what and why?"

For example, the percentage of nursing home costs paid by Medicaid and Medicare nearly doubled from 27 percent in 1970 to 53 percent in 2009.  In the same period, out-of-pocket expenditures declined two-fifths from 50 percent to 29 percent.[4]  Furthermore, half of the out-of-pocket costs reported by CMS are actually spend-through of Social Security income by Medicaid recipients who are required to contribute most of their income to offset Medicaid's costs for their care.  Clearly, direct and indirect government financing of expensive institutional care has increased dramatically over the past 39 years while personal financial liability for such care has declined substantially.

Government financing also predominates in home health care expenditures.  According to CMS, Medicare paid 44 percent and Medicaid, 36 percent for a total of 80 percent of home health care expenses in 2009.  Private insurance paid 7 percent.  Only 9 percent of home health care costs were paid out of pocket.[5]  Assisted living is another matter altogether.  Private payers account for roughly 90 percent of assisted living costs.  Government financing of the sector is very limited.  CMS doesn't even report assisted living costs among National Health Expenditures.

Now for my challenge remarks.  What questions should the hard facts of long-term care's high cost and unaffordability lead us to ask?  I suggest five.

1.  How did the USA come to have a welfare financed, institutionally biased long-term care system in the wealthiest country in the world where no one wants to go to a nursing home?  If heavy public financing created that problem, maybe less government and more private funding is the solution.

2.  Does qualifying for Medicaid long-term care benefits really require people to spend down into impoverishment as the popular and academic media suggest?  If not, maybe Medicaid rules cause the program's overuse and crowd out private long-term care services and financing.

3.  Will "rebalancing" Medicaid from mostly nursing home care to mostly home and community-based care save the program money?  If not, rebalancing might make Medicaid more desirable, expand its utilization, and further discourage private long-term care planning and financing alternatives.

4.  Is it inevitable that millions of Americans will become Medicaid's most expensive recipients or could different public policy incentives prevent or delay people from becoming dual eligibles?  So called "duals," people who receive both Medicaid and Medicare benefits, are heavy users of long-term care and, although they are only 15 percent of recipients, they account for 39 percent of Medicaid's expenditures.

5.  If long-term care is such a huge risk and cost, why don't more Americans save, invest or insure against it?  Perhaps Medicaid's large home equity exemption and relatively easy income and asset eligibility rules inhibit private long-term care financing alternatives such as reverse mortgages or insurance.

I have prepared six short "Briefing Papers" that ask and answer these questions from a perspective clearly at odds with conventional long-term care analysis.  With these remarks, in those briefs, and during the coming discussion, I challenge you to reconsider government's proper role in financing long-term care. 

Thank you.

End Notes


[1] Market Survey of Long-Term Care Costs:  The 2011 MetLife Market Survey of Nursing Home, Assisted Living, Adult Day Services, and Home Care Costs, October 2011; link
[2] Source:  http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf, Table 9.
[3] Source:  http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf, Table 4.
[4] Source:  http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf, Table 9.
[5] Source:  http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf, Table 4. 

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Updated, Friday, November 4, 2011, 10:38 AM (Pacific)

Sundance, UT--

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LTC BULLET:  WHY 9 OUT OF 10 GET LTCI WRONG

LTC Comment:  Today's guest column explains why the "Medicaid myth" is fallacious, but most LTCI agents still fall into the trap dragging too many potential buyers into it with them.

*** HEALTH SECTOR ASSEMBLY.  Damon and I are attending an invitation-only convocation of health policy experts in Sundance, Utah through the weekend.  This year's 13th annual HSA is focused exclusively on long-term care policy for the first time.  In honor of the event, I prepared six briefing papers on key aspects of the LTC service delivery and financing issues.  Check them out here.  I will also deliver one of the "Challenge Remarks" speeches intended to trigger discussion among the attendees.  My assigned topic is "Cost and Affordability of Long-Term Care." ***

*** NEW HOME EQUITY NUMBERS.  The Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 placed the first limits ever on Medicaid's home equity exemption.  To wit, a minimum of $500,000 or a maximum of $750,000 at state legislative option.  Those caps go up with inflation.  As of November 1, 2011, they increased to $506,000 and $758,000 respectively.  We've added this information to the "Key Medicaid and Medicare Numbers" in The Zone here. ***

*** OUTAHERE.  Steve Moses is taking a much-needed vacation starting November 8.  Believe it or not, I'm headed to Borneo.  I wanted to get as far away from work as possible and that destination pretty much filled the bill.  I'll have occasional access to email and Damon will be on the job in Seattle, so your Center for Long-Term Care Reform is available if and when you need us.  See you after Thanksgiving Day, of which I wish you a great one. ***

 

LTC BULLET:  WHY 9 OUT OF 10 GET LTCI WRONG

LTC Comment:  I was practically blown over when I read the following article by Steve Forman, a long time supporter of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform whose company, LTC Associates, is a corporate member of the Center.  "I couldn't have said it better myself" isn't praise I give often or lightly, but it's deserved in this case.  I hope you enjoy these excerpts and that you check out the full article on the Producers eSource here.

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Excerpts from "LTC Insurance:  Why 9 Out of 10 People Make the Wrong Choice," by Stephen D. Forman

"Keep in mind the lion's share of applicants qualify for Medicaid straightaway without needing or seeking professional assistance.  However, for the affluent a cottage industry of Medicaid Planners and Elderlaw Attorneys exists to finagle and exploit every loophole.  Rather than save, invest or insure, our wealthy neighbors use exotic financial planning techniques to hitch a ride on the public safety net.  Recently the GAO was asked to assess one such abusive 'self-impoverishment' technique- asset transfers- and concluded that mechanism alone (among the least popular) cost Medicaid around $1 Billion/year.  To put that in perspective: this amount of abuse from just one technique used by the middle-class and wealthy in order to 'game' Medicaid exceeds the annual LTC claims-paid by most of our industry carriers.

"Since both public and private insurance confer asset protection, I don't think it's a particularly strong selling point.  On consumer surveys you will often find respondents voicing 'asset protection' as an important feature to them- I don't deny that.  However, working against us is an undercurrent called the 'crowd-out effect': that sentiment taxpayers feel about paying for something that replaces a government benefit they already get for free.  It is estimated that Medicaid 'crowds-out' 2/3rds to 90% of our private LTCI market (the groundbreaking work for this paper was published in the most prestigious of economic journals, NBER).  This is why LTCi is bottled up and has yet to take off. 

"Having said this, I'm not dismal about our market, and neither should you.  There are good ways to sell our products, and a future which endorses them.  You've heard how Medicaid has become the dominant payor of long-term care in this country, and why it can be difficult to sell what is essentially 'ice' to Eskimos.  Now it's time to tell 'the rest of the story...'

"First, if you've kept an eye on our economy lately, then you're aware that what began as a New Year's Eve party is turning into a New Year's Day hangover of epic proportions.  One of the largest contributors to this has been- and continues to be- our Big Three entitlements (Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid).  According to a GAO Report from earlier this year, by 2020 our country could spend as much as 89-cents of every dollar on the Entitlements and Interest, leaving only 11-cents for every other program, need, interest group, and worthy cause we'd like to fund.

"Because this path is unsustainable, choices will be made which reduce or eliminate the easy access to Medicaid of the past.  In 5, 10, or 20 years we will not recognize Medicaid (or Medicare, for that matter) as the programs we know today.  Medicare is becoming increasingly means-tested as a result of the Affordable Care Act, raising both the payroll tax and premiums for higher wage-earners (Parts A, B and D), all for the sake of gaining 8 more years of solvency.

"Medicaid fares worse.  Jointly run by the Federal Government and the States, it's partially dependent on how much water the states can take on before sinking.  Unlike the Federal Government, States must balance their budgets, and going into 2012, they collectively face a $121B deficit- not counting the 17M new Enrollees they are mandated to add to their rolls in 2014 as a result of ACA.  (Washington has pledged to cover the cost of these new Enrollees for a few years, but these matching funds will eventually sunset.)

"States are feeling squeezed.  Already, nearly half (24) are preparing to cut $4.7B from their Medicaid budgets, reducing both provider reimbursement rates and services which beneficiaries receive.  Adding insult to injury, the President's recently unveiled Deficit Reduction Plan recommends an additional $320B in entitlement cuts over the next ten years.

"I hope by now the clever reader will acknowledge why I haven't suggested working 'with' Medicaid by selling a long-term care Partnership product.  What's the use of promoting a 'guarantee' from a Government Program which may be unrecognizable, capricious, or worse- bankrupt?

"To fully explore that point, let's talk about how we 'sell against' the 'Medicaid Insurance Company'.  We're going to win by making a qualitative sale, not a quantitative one.   . . .

"In the end, you can have coverage on the cheap, but there are serious trade-offs, including loss of quality, access, choice, and independence.  A cursory review of some of Medicaid's 'greatest hits' in the last two years includes canceling transplant coverage for 98 people dying on a waiting list; unilaterally raising the number of qualifying ADL's to 4 in Minnesota; providing unreliable coverage of Assisted-Living; and adding, constricting, expanding, then cost-cutting of HCBS like a sail caught in the political winds (and how is that 're-balancing' working out?  Fine, unless you count the 365,000 people wait-listed for Home Care).  Add to this the news that some major nursing home chains have made the switch to 'private-pay only', and it's all the proof you need that a 2-tier HealthCare system is developing in our country.

"That positions you right where you need to be: selling the experience.  Private long-term care insurance allows your clients to choose the highest-quality care in the most-appropriate setting of their choice.  Although Medicaid is a powerful undertow, you cannot let them get swept out to sea, subject to a budgetary system that is $100,000,000,000,000 in the red, and feverishly, furiously looking for ways to cut corners, including eligibility restrictions, provider payment reductions, and service cuts."

About Stephen D. Forman:  A pioneer and leader in LTC insurance since 1974, LTCA has distinguished itself as one of the country's leading voices on this specialized topic. As Senior Vice-President, Stephen D. Forman has dedicated nearly two decades to this field, and is frequently sought for his expertise, appearing in such publications as "Kiplinger's Personal Finance", "Agents Sales Journal", and in the Congressional Research Service's confidential report to Congress on the CLASS Act. He can be reached at 800.742.9444 or steve@ltc-associates.com.

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Updated, Monday, October 31, 2011, 11:19 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

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LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

(LTC Embed Report #13)

 

LATE BREAKING NEWS:  Repealing CLASS has no budgetary effect. 

 

In a letter today (10/31/11) to Senator John Thune (R, SD), Douglas W. Elmendorf, Director of the Congressional Budget Office, writes: 

 

"In its March 2011 baseline projections, CBO anticipated that the CLASS program would begin collecting premiums in fiscal year 2012 and that net receipts of the program over the 2012-2021 period would amount to $81 billion. In the absence of the program, the government would not receive that income-and, in addition, Medicaid costs would be about $2 billion higher, CBO estimates. Therefore, prior to the October 14 announcement by the Secretary of HHS, CBO would have estimated that the Repeal the CLASS Entitlement Act (S. 720, as introduced on April 4, 2011) would increase federal budget deficits by $83 billion over the 2012- 2021 period, relative to the March 2011 baseline.

 

"CBO considers the October 14 announcement to be definitive new information, and in its next baseline projections (which will be issued in January), CBO will assume that CLASS will not be implemented unless there are changes in law or other actions by the Administration that would supersede the Secretary's announcement. Further, beginning immediately, legislation to repeal the provisions of law establishing the CLASS program, such as S. 720, would be estimated as having no budgetary effect."

 

LTC Comment:  On Wednesday, October 27, I met with Tom Donlan, Editorial Page Editor of Barron's on Capitol Hill.  He had read our Cato report "Aging America's Achilles' Heel:  Medicaid Long-Term Care" and wanted to know more about how middle class and affluent people qualify for Medicaid LTC benefits.  I explained everything and handed him copies of two recent Center reports:  "Save Medicaid $30 Billion Per Year AND Improve the Program" and "Medi-Cal Long-Term Care:  Safety Net or Hammock."  He said he'll definitely write about the problem, including our analysis and recommendations, in Barron's.

 

On Friday, my last day in the nation's capital, I met with former Comptroller General (GAO Chief) David Walker.  His "Fiscal Wake-Up Tour" helped inspire the Center's 2008 "LTC Consciousness Tour."  Walker left GAO in 2008 to become President and CEO of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation.  Today, he leads his own "Come Back America" initiative.  I explained to Mr. Walker how easy access to Medicaid LTC benefits explodes program costs and crowds out private LTC financing alternatives.  He said he will weave our analysis and recommendations into his future presentations.

 

I'm back home in Seattle after a two-month-plus stay in Washington, DC.  We fought the good fight, but this was not the year to win.  Gridlock prevails on the Hill and between the Hill and the White House.  We have our eyes on 2013 as the next great opportunity to fix LTC financing.  Here's a story in Provider magazine about our best efforts this time around:  Patrick Connole, "Proposed Plan May Save Medicaid $30 Billion Per Year, But Congress Is Not Buying It," Provider, October 27, 2011, (link).

 

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10/29/2011, "The debt fallout: How Social Security went 'cash negative' earlier than expected," by Lori Montgomery, Washington Post (link)

Quote: "For most of its 75-year history, the program had paid its own way through a dedicated stream of payroll taxes, even generating huge surpluses for the past two decades. But in 2010, under the strain of a recession that caused tax revenue to plummet, the cost of benefits outstripped tax collections for the first time since the early 1980s.  Now, Social Security is sucking money out of the Treasury. This year, it will add a projected $46 billion to the nation's budget problems, according to projections by system trustees. Replacing cash lost to a one-year payroll tax holiday will require an additional $105 billion. If the payroll tax break is expanded next year, as President Obama has proposed, Social Security will need an extra $267 billion to pay promised benefits."

LTC Comment:  Social Security is sinking even faster than previously expected.  Not often considered a source of LTC financing, Social Security is actually a major LTC funder.  People in nursing homes on Medicaid must contribute most of their income, including their Social Security checks, to offset Medicaid's expenditures on their behalf.  People receiving home and community-based care under Medicaid use Social Security and/or SSI benefits to make ends meet.  If and when Social Security has to cut back benefits, public financing of LTC will be devastated.  Medicaid and Medicare, state budgets, nursing homes, home care providers and especially patients who lack private funds or insurance will suffer.

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10/28/2011, "Survey Finds Family Caregivers Most Concerned about Respite Care, Personal Health and Finances," PRWeb (link)

Quote: "Taking care of their personal health, lack of respite care and meeting monthly financial needs are the top concerns cited by 1,579 family caregivers, according to a survey by The National Family Caregivers Association (NFCA) and Allsup. Allsup is a nationwide provider of Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) representation and Medicare plan selection services. . . .  Additionally, most are interested in obtaining help with Medicare plan selection (60 percent) and long-term care insurance (57 percent)."  (Emphasis added)

LTC Comment:  Family caregivers are practically begging for help finding LTCI.

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10/28/2011, "Cutting Medicaid by 5% would spur loss of nursing home jobs, economists say," McKnight's LTC News (link)

Quote: "Cutting the state-federal Medicaid program by 5% could result in the loss of thousands of jobs in nursing homes and other healthcare-related industries, a new report finds.  Cuts to Medicaid by Congress, which pays for 43% of U.S. long-term care services, are looking increasingly likely, according to The Hill. A 5%-Medicaid cut would likely cost states - which will soon be tasked with widening their roles under the Affordable Care Act - $14 billion total, Reuters reported."

LTC Comment:  So, let's see, what does this mean?  We should go on warehousing infirm elders in welfare-financed nursing homes while sheltering up to $750,000 of home equity for their heirs because clamping down on such waste would cut nursing home jobs.  Twisted logic.  How many jobs would we create in the HCBS sector and the financial services industry by reforming Medicaid so it does not crowd out LTC insurance and home equity conversion? 

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10/28/2011, "States' Medicaid Cost-Cutting May Not Control Program Spending," Bloomberg

Quote:  "States will have to spend more on the health program for the poor to offset the loss of $100 billion in U.S. funds authorized by the 2009 economic stimulus law and to accommodate higher enrollment due to the flagging economy, according to an annual survey of Medicaid officials released today by the Kaiser Family Foundation."

LTC Comment:  A perfect fiscal storm is hitting state Medicaid programs and state budgets this year due to the end of enhanced federal matching fund rates as of June 2011.  Watch for Medicaid crowd out of the LTCI market to decline over time.

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10/26/2011, "Long-term care: Your clock is ticking!," Mike Causey, Mike Causey's Federal Report

Quote: "The uncertainty of life may be one reason that 270,000 federal workers have signed up for the federal LTC program at work. During the most recent open season, there were 45,000 new enrollees in the federal plan. Presumably, hopefully, many feds who didn't buy into the federal group program purchased a policy for themselves from one of the few remaining companies that offer LTC coverage." 

LTC Comment:  Paul Forte, CEO of the Federal Long-Term Care Insurance Program, is interviewed on this show.  Listen to the interview here.  Congratulations to Mr. Forte and the FLTCIP on an extraordinarily successful 2011 Open Season.

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10/26/2011, "Just for the Record," Gary Barg, The Fearless Caregiver

Quote: "One of every eight Americans aged 40 to 60 is in what is known as the 'Sandwich Generation,' both raising a child and caring for a parent. Many are also well within what has come to be known as the 'Club-Sandwich Generation,' raising kids while caring for parents and grandparents.  Of the over 65 million family caregivers in the US, over half spend on average 21 hours per week caring  for mostly elderly loved ones." 

LTC Comment:  Think maybe the "Club-Sandwich Generation" could use some LTCI?

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10/25/2011, "Loving LTCI Claim Time," by Honey Leveen, LifeHealthPRO 

Quote: "For me, claim time represents the ultimate affirmation of my career.  Back when I began selling LTCI at an aggressive clip in the early '90s, I sold tons of policies with 0-Day Elimination Periods. Such policies were plentiful and reasonably priced, as were Lifetime Benefit Periods. Consequently, I am now having a minor deluge of clients going out on claim. Once in awhile, I learn abut claims that went in without my even being aware of them. I don't have a way of knowing exactly how many LTCI claims my clients have had, but my best guess is that at least 300 of my clients have collected on their policies. Yow!"

LTC Comment:  Congratulations to the "LTC Queen" Honey Leveen, a long-time member and supporter of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform and one of our Regional Representatives. 

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10/25/2011, "Genworth Mortgage Insurance Unit Must Rebound or Wind Down, Haines Says," by Noah Buhayar, Bloomberg (link)

Quote:  "Genworth Chief Executive Officer Michael Fraizer has faced investor pressure to prevent mortgage insurance losses from draining capital at the Richmond, Virginia-based company, which also sells life and long-term care insurance."

LTC Comment:  Housing crisis backwash.

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10/25/2011, "Long-Term Care Costs in the U.S. Rise Again, Continuing a Trend, According to MetLife Mature Market Institute Survey:  Nursing Home, Assisted Living and Adult Day Services All Increased 4.4% or More," MetLife Mature Market Institute

Quote: "Costs continue to rise for those requiring long-term care in the U.S.  According to the newly released 2011 MetLife Market Survey of Nursing Home, Assisted Living, Adult Day Services, and Home Care Costs, conducted by the MetLife Mature Market Institute, national average rates for a private nursing home room increased 4.4% to $239 daily or $87,235 annually, in 2011. Assisted living base rates rose by 5.6% to $3,477 monthly or $41,724 annually. Adult day services went up by 4.5% to $70 per day. Home health aides and homemaker/companion service rates were unchanged at $21 and $19 per hour, respectively." (link to survey)

LTC Comment:  Center for Long-Term Care Reform members can always find the latest LTC cost surveys in The Zone here.  Contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com to get your user name and password if you've forgotten them or need to join.

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10/24/2011, "Is Granny Headed to the Ice Floe?," By John Goodman, John Goodman's Health Policy Blog

Quote:  "The need for long-term care may arise for all of us. Yet there is very little private insurance for this - only 7 million people are so insured. And the baby boomers have done a poor job of saving to pay for their own long-term care needs. . . .  Is there a responsible way of dealing with this problem - one that doesn't adopt chain-letter finance [like CLASS] and one that encourages each generation to pay its own way, each family to pay its own way and each individual to pay his own way?"

LTC Comment:  The author's research assistant contacted me for ideas and fact checking for this article.  The result is some pretty good thinking on Medicaid's home equity exemption, the need for stronger estate recovery enforcement, and ways to encourage LTC insurance.

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10/22/2011, "Retirement Health-Care Costs: How to Deal," by Andrea Coombes, MarketWatch

Quote: "Those whose parents needed long-term care 'are much more likely to buy long-term-care insurance,' Miller said, 'because they don't want to put their kids through what they went through.'"

LTC Comment:  Finding adult children of current policy holders, or better yet, progeny of nursing home occupants or home care recipients, might be a good prospecting approach.

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10/20/2011, "Half of Millenials declare Social Security dead," by Kelley M. Butler, Employee Benefit Views

Quote: "According to a poll of 642 18- to 29-year-olds conducted by the Strategic Research Institute at St. Norbert College in De Pere, Wis., 50% don't believe Social Security will exist by the time they become age-eligible for the program at 67. Another 28% think the program will be around, but will provide a much smaller benefit. Just 5% expect benefits to be the same as they are to current beneficiaries."

LTC Comment:  The Millennials get it and will be big buyers of LTC insurance, but not for a couple of decades.  Their parents are still the biggest, most imminent challenge.

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10/19/2011, "The Prophet of the Coming Age Boom," by Susan Adams, Forbes 

Quote:  "For three decades Ken Dychtwald has been proclaiming that a demographic tidal wave is approaching America. He calls it the Age Wave, which is also the name of his Emeryville, Calif. consultancy and a book he co-wrote back in 1989. Learn to ride it, he tells businesses, or you will be crushed and drowned. Now that the wave is beginning to hit full force, more and more businesses are listening."

LTC Comment:  "Ken Dychtwald's 1989 book Age Wave tuned me in to many of the key aging issues.  He's been a friend and supporter of the Center ever since.  This profile in Forbes highlight's his career, insights and achievements. 

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Updated, Friday, October 28, 2011, 12:59 PM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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LTC BULLET:  REMEDIAL CLASS

LTC Comment:  Wednesday's Congressional hearing on the brain dead CLASS program illustrates the inefficacy of seeking political solutions to the easily solvable LTC financing problem.  Details after the ***news.***

*** GO TO THE ZONE.  In it you will find the latest update on LTC insurance tax deductibility limits here.  You'll also find the annual limits going all the way back to the first year they were allowed, 1997.  Need your user name and password?  Contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com.  Don't have access to The Zone?  Join the Center and Damon will have you in The Zone today.  For a webinar guiding you through all the information resources available in the Center for Long-Term Care Reform's public and private websites, click here. ***

LTC BULLET:  REMEDIAL CLASS

LTC Comment:  The House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations and the Subcommittee on Health conducted a joint hearing on Wednesday, October 26, 2011 titled "CLASS Cancelled:  An Unsustainable Program and Its Consequences for the Nation's Deficit." 

Find the opening statements of the Chairman, the Ranking Member and the majority and minority members plus the witnesses' testimonies here.  But don't bother.  I sat through almost the whole thing and I can tell you in a few short paragraphs everything you need to know.

The Republicans on the subcommittees condemned the Obama Administration and the Department of Health and Human Services for hiding fatal problems with CLASS until long after the program passed.  It was all a scam, they said, to find $70 billion worth of phony savings to grease the skids for passage of the giant health care bill.  True enough.

The Democrats responded by defending the process of passage and review as well as the CLASS program itself.  They insisted all was done in a good faith effort to solve a terrible social problem, i.e., the need for affordable long-term care.  OK, let's assume, however dubious, that much is also true.

Here's the nitty gritty.  The Ds kept asking the one question that every blogger and editorial writer in DC has been posing interminably since Secretary Sebelius shelved CLASS on October 14.  To wit:  "If not CLASS, what?"  The R's only reply was stony silence.  Result of the hearing?  Stand off, stasis, status quo.  Another opportunity to deal with the real problem of long-term care financing was missed. 

Here's what should have been said: 

Medicaid has morphed into the dominant payer of expensive long-term care for most Americans.  Give Medicaid back to the poor.  Save it as a safety net.  Let middle class and affluent people pay for their own LTC (1) with savings that are now protected in unlimited amounts by wide open Medicaid eligibility loopholes, (2) with home equity protected now up to a minimum of $500,000, (3) or with the LTC insurance people would buy if their savings and home equity were actually at risk.

Instead, what we got in the hearing was Rs insisting on repeal of CLASS once and for all with nothing better to replace it and Ds suggesting life support for CLASS by activating the program's "Advisory Council" to study the LTC financing problem perpetually.  Einstein said doing more of the same and expecting a different result defines insanity.  Welcome to Washington, DC. 

I leave today for the saner Washington state, but I shall return.  The problem is too big and the solution so simple that giving up is not an option.  Keep your eyes on 2013 for our next big opportunity to save Medicaid for the needy, relieve taxpayers, unleash private financing alternatives and improve LTC access and care.  The end game has already begun.  We only need better field position.

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Updated, Monday, October 24, 2011, 1:24 PM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

LTC Comment:  We're playing "catch up" this week on tracking the news.  Hence this longer-than-usual LTC E-Alert.

 

The coming week is my last in DC for now.  I'm headed back to Seattle, then on to Sundance, Utah for the "Health Sector Assembly" which is an annual gathering of health policy experts focused this year on long-term care.  I'll speak on "Cost and Affordability."  I'm also preparing a series of "Briefing Papers" that explain the key issues and problems in long-term care service delivery and financing.  To wit:

 

·        "The History of Long-Term Care or How We Got into This Mess"

·        "Medicaid Long-Term Care Eligibility"

·        "Medicaid Planning"

·        "Rebalancing Long-Term Care"

·        "Dual Eligibles and Long-Term Care"

·        "Private Long-Term Care Financing Alternatives"

·        "Overview:  How to Fix Long-Term Care"

 

Soon I'll have a report ready on our Washington, DC project.  Then I'm heading off to the outback of Borneo for a vacation in November.

*** COPING WITH INCONTINENCE:  Check out an excellent webinar sponsored by editor Gary Barg and Today's Caregiver magazine here. ***

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10/20/11, "Medicare costs to reduce Social Security increase," by Stephen Ohlemacher, Associated Press  

Quote:  "That didn't last long. About 55 million Social Security recipients will get their first increase in benefits next year since 2009 - a 3.6 percent raise. But higher Medicare premiums could erase a big chunk of it."

LTC Comment:  What government giveth, it taketh away in very short order.

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10/19/11, "CLASS Act Failure Leaves Problem to Be Solved," by Norman J. Ornstein, Roll Call  

Quote:  "The world has changed since I had my brief brush, about 20 years ago, with this system. My father was at a point where we needed to explore long-term care options; we went to the facility in the Twin Cities that made the most sense, sat down with the nursing home administrator and were asked first about my dad's assets. We were told that Medicaid would pay for his care in the facility if he had very limited assets and were then told about ways to divest him of the not-quite-so-limited assets he did have."  (Emphasis added)

LTC Comment:  Here's a major DC thought leader acknowledging that he did Medicaid planning for his own father.  But somehow he misses the point that doing so helped cause Medicaid costs to explode and LTC insurance sales to lag.  So he concludes we need something like CLASS to replace CLASS, which definitely does not follow.  Note too that Minnesota has rate equalization between Medicaid and private pay.  By government fiat, nursing homes cannot charge private payers any more than Medicaid pays.  That's why the nursing home was so eager in this case to help qualify Mr. Ornstein's father for public welfare.  It's also interesting to note that nowadays, Minnesota's Medicaid program is so financially devastated, it has increased the threshold for receiving any LTC benefits to four activities of daily living (ADLs).  Private LTC insurance's standard is usually two ADLs.

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10/19/11, "Americans' Retirement Confidence Falls to Four-Year Low: Survey," by Larry Barrett, Financial Planning

Quote:  "American workers are becoming more and more pessimistic about their retirement prospects, according to a new survey by Sun Life Financial, but those who have invested in annuities or hold long-term care insurance are decidedly more confident."  (Emphasis added)

LTC Comment:  Silver lining. 

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10/18/11, "White House waffling on long-term care plan?," by Ricardo Alonso-Zaldivar, Associated Press

Quote:  "The White House appeared to waffle Monday on the fate of a financially troubled long-term care program in President Barack Obama's health overhaul law, as supporters and foes heaped criticism on the administration."

LTC Comment:  CLASS joins the undead, federal programs that never quite die.  Can public policy get any crazier?   

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10/16/11, "American Association for Long Term Care Insurance Industry Leader Warns More Medicaid Changes to Come," PR.com (link)

Quote:  "'Lawmakers realize that taxpayers simply will no longer allow lawyers to shelter the wealth of families while taxpayers pay the growing tab for long-term care,' declares Jesse Slome, executive director of the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance (AALTCI). 'With State Medicaid budgets in shambles, more states are going to have to take a serious look at the ways lawyers transfer this costly burden to working taxpayers.'"    

LTC Comment:  I hope Jesse is right, but my experience these two months in DC is that federal legislators aren't ready to tackle this issue.  It will probably take a single party in control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate to get the job done as was true for the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005.  Now is the time to educate and publicize how to give Medicaid back to the needy so we're ready when the opportunity occurs.  Read our reports here to see what the Center for Long-Term Care Reform is doing to set the stage.

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10/15/11, "CLASS is Killed: But How Will We Pay for Long-Term Care Services?," by Howard Gleckman, Forbes

Quote:  "To further encourage participation, Congress could require people who don't buy insurance to include the value of their home when figuring Medicaid eligibility, an asset that is excluded today."

LTC Comment:  It tickles me that this author, an opponent of LTC insurance and an advocate of CLASS and government financing of LTC, has come around to one of my principal recommendations:  reduce the Medicaid home equity exemption so people with housing wealth will pay their own LTC expenses, or buy LTCI to protect their wealth, and leave Medicaid for the people it's supposed to serve, the needy.

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10/15/11, "How Medicare Fails the Elderly," by Jane Gross, New York Times

Quote:  "Yet Medicare, which pays for all of the above [high-cost, low-effect, late-life medical interventions], does not, except in rare instances, pay for long-term care in a supervised, safe place for frail or demented old people, or for home aides to help with shopping, transportation, bathing and using the toilet." 

LTC Comment:  This interesting article contains two key fallacies.  First, Medicaid does not require impoverishment and does pay for most expensive LTC.  Second, Medicare does pay for arguably ineffectual late-life medical interventions, but it will be unable to do so much longer and it will never expand to cover LTC.  Failure to grasp these facts of reality prevents policy makers from seeing the solution:  target Medicaid to the poor so middle class and affluent people will use their home equity or buy more LTC insurance.  It'll happen by default if politicians don't wake up and do it through intentional policy.

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10/14/11, "CLASS Dismissed: Obama Administration Pulls Plug On Long-Term Care Program," by Julie Appleby and Mary Agnes Carey, Kaiser Health News (link)

Quote:  "Under one scenario shown in a report sent to Congress Friday, administration analysts said a basic CLASS insurance plan with a $50 a day benefit might have cost $235 to $391 month.  That might have been more than consumers would have been willing to pay based on the benefit."

LTC Comment:  Ya think?

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10/14/11, "Health Law to Be Revised by Ending a Program," by Robert Pear, New York Times

Quote:  "The Obama administration announced Friday that it was scrapping a long-term care insurance program created by the new health care law because it was too costly and would not work.  . . .  Ms. Sebelius said Americans still had an 'enormous need' for long-term care insurance."

LTC Comment:  CLASS finally succumbed to the obvious.  Politicians can't defy economic gravity any more than physicist's can defy physical gravity.  

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10/14/11, "National Consumer Ad Campaign Focuses On New Perspectives In Long-Term Care Planning," Life & Health Advisor (link)

Quote:  "The American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance (AALTCI), the nation's leading professional organization dedicated solely to promoting the importance of planning for long-term care needs, announced today it will publish in the December issue of Kiplinger's Personal Finance magazine, its third consumer-focused advertorial section, entitled Fresh Perspectives on Long-Term Care Planning."

LTC Comment:  Go, Jesse, go!

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10/13/11, "The Medicaid Planning Guidebook," Roccy DeFrancesco, The Wealth Preservation Institute

Quote:  "Thank you for your interest in Medicaid planning and for signing up to download the 74-page summary of the individual state laws on Medicaid. To download the 74-page summary, please click on the following link: http://www.thewpi.org/pdf_files/state.laws.mediciad.planning.pdf."

LTC Comment:  All I can say is "Take your blood pressure medicine before reading this."

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10/12/11, "Fitch: LTC Results Remain a Drag on U.S. Life Insurers," MarketWatch

Quote:  "The U.S. long-term care (LTC) insurance market continues to be plagued by adverse claims experience and poor overall results, which has led to rate instability, insurer solvency concerns, and market exits by several major insurers, according to Fitch Ratings in a new report." 

LTC Comment:  It's always darkest just before the dawn.  CLASS failed because it didn't heed the hard lessons private LTCI has learned.  As other government programs, i.e., Medicaid and Medicare, stop paying for so much LTC and crowding out LTCI, the private insurance product will take off.  When?  It's already starting to happen.  Fasten your seat belts.

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10/12/11, "Long Term Care Insurance Expert Warns Mild Strokes Have Serious Consequences," OpenPR (link)

Quote:  "'When it comes to long term care planning there is no such thing as a mild stroke,' explains Jesse Slome, executive director of the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance, the national trade group. Strokes are the second leading cause of long-term care insurance benefit payments according to AALTCI, after Alzheimer's disease. 'As more Americans live longer lives, there is greater need to understand the risk factors and the impact of stroke on individuals, their finances and families,' Slome adds."   

LTC Comment:  Truer words were never spoken. 

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10/12/11, "Prescription dementia drugs delay nursing home admission by one year, new study shows," McKnight's LTC News (Link)

Quote:  "The Liverpool University scientists followed 127 dementia patients who were prescribed medications known as cholinesterase inhibitors, and 212 dementia patients who did not take these drugs, over four years. At the 30-month point, researchers noted a delay in nursing home placement by a median of 12 months in patients who took the antidementia drugs."

LTC Comment:  If they delay nursing home institutionalization for a year, maybe LTCI should cover these drugs.

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10/11/11, "Health Insurers Bid to Take Elderly Poor Out of U.S. Plans," by Alex Wayne, Bloomberg

Quote:  "The U.S. may save as much as $125 billion over a decade if health insurers manage care for about 9 million people now covered by Medicare because of their age and Medicaid because they're poor, the companies have told Congress."

LTC Comment:  A far better way to save money on "dual eligibles" is to prevent them from becoming dependent on Medicaid in the first place.  How?  Read our report:  "Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion Per Year AND Improve the Program."

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10/11/11, "4 Signs Economy is Heading Up for Seniors," by Philip Moeller, US News and World Report

Quote:  "The country is still weathering a perfect economic storm--weak growth here and throughout the world, depressed job markets, big deficits depressing government employment, and a Congress incapable of agreeing on paths toward recovery and fiscal responsibility. But despite all this bad news, the outlook for older Americans actually may be turning more positive."

LTC Comment:  Kind of a stretch, but worth a read if you feel the need right now for a silver lining.

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10/11/11, "The impact of prolonged low interest rates on the insurance industry," Ernst and Young,

Quote:  "The insurance industry faces a challenging interest-rate environment that poses a major threat to performance and profitability. Economic uncertainty, the Federal Reserve's intention to keep rates low through mid-2013, and Operation Twist point to an increasing likelihood that currently depressed rates may be sustained for an extended period of time. Insurers will need to look to both sides of the balance sheet to develop creative solutions to counter the impact of this scenario on portfolio yields."  

LTC Comment:  Big pressure on LTCI reserves and premiums until interest rates turn up, then a boon.

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10/10/11, "Study: Growing population of cancer survivors means more preparation needed by providers," McKnight's LTC News (link)

Quote:  "The number of cancer survivors over the age of 65 is expected to increase by about 42% over the next 10 years, which could present new challenges to the healthcare community, study results show."

LTC Comment:  Interesting that this LTC provider trade journal picked up on the same study that Jesse Slome of AALTCI used in a press release to show the growing need for LTC insurance.

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9/29/11, "Best U.S. Cities For Seniors Not What You'd Expect, Says New Study," Bankers Life and Casualty  

Quote:  "Minneapolis is the best city in the United States for senior living, with Boston, Pittsburgh, Cleveland and Denver rounding out the top five, according to a new survey conducted for the Bankers Life and Casualty Company Center For a Secure RetirementSM." 

LTC Comment:  Newark, NJ (#10) beats out Seattle (#20)?  I'm dubious.

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Updated, Friday, October 21, 2011, 2:07 AM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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LTC BULLET:  CLASS IS UNDEAD
(LTC Embed Report #12)

LTC Comment:  The Obama Administration shelved CLASS, but refuses to repeal it.  Government programs do seem to live forever, but this one's officially a zombie.

 

LTC BULLET:  CLASS IS UNDEAD

LTC Comment:  If you're involved in long-term care financing and you can still fog a glass, you've probably had it up to here (pointing at top of head) with CLASS news.  We haven't bothered to cover it, because everyone and his cousin blogged their two cents worth last week.  Which is about what CLASS was worth all along.

In a nutshell, last Friday, the Administration announced that it couldn't find a way to make CLASS work actuarially or financially.  What a surprise!  Every serious analyst who looked at the program from day one said the same thing.  But now it's official.  As passed, CLASS won't work.  It isn't fixable without new legislation which is about as likely to happen as pigs flying (see cartoon illustration here).

So why won't the Ds agree to repeal CLASS as the Rs demand?  To drop CLASS explicitly would invite recalculation of alleged savings attributed by it to the Affordable Care Act, aka health reform, aka "ObamaCare."  So called "savings" of $72 billion (the difference between the $86 billion in premiums CLASS was supposed to collect and the $14 billion in claims it was expected to pay in the first ten years) would go poof.

So now, for the time being, probably until the next national election, we have a program on the books that everyone knows is unsalvageable, but which lives on to camouflage its real cost. 

The only other news about CLASS worth mentioning is that op-ed after op-ed lamented the program's passing, reminded us the problem CLASS was supposed to solve is still with us, and asked . . . often snarkily . . . "If not CLASS, what?"

For an answer to that question, you need go no further than to any of the articles, speeches and reports on the Center for Long-Term Care Reform's website here:  http://www.centerltc.com/articlesspeechesandreports.htm.

For our specific views on "The CLASS Act and the Future of Long-Term Care Financing," check out Steve Moses's paper of that title prepared for the Society of Actuaries January 2011 "Living to 100 Symposium" and recently published in SOA's "2011 Living to 100 Monograph."  Read the abstract here and the full paper here.

Although Steve was unable to attend the January 2011 conference because of a death in the family, he did deliver his remarks at the event by means of digitally recorded video.  You can view and listen to that speech here.

In the speech, Steve predicted the CLASS story would play out as follows and so far events are unfolding as expected:

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Speech Excerpt:

My best guess of what to expect for long-term care services and financing is that . . . 

CLASS will flounder . . .

State Medicaid programs will cut back radically to survive as federal-match bonuses from the "stimulus" disappear July 1, 2011, as 16 million new recipients are added by "health reform" in 2014, and as support from Social Security and Medicare declines as I explained in my paper.

Boomers, only one-third of whom have saved enough for their retirement income security, have set aside almost nothing to meet future acute and long-term care costs.  They will quickly spend through their savings and home equity if they need long-term care after they can no longer rely on Medicaid.

Reverse mortgages will become the dominant funding source for middle class and affluent home owners who require long-term care once Medicaid's home equity exemption has been eliminated or radically reduced as it will have to be.

As soon as Medicaid no longer operates as free inheritance insurance for heirs, more and more people will purchase private long-term care insurance to avoid the new, and this time very real risk of asset spend down.

Now that I've depressed you all sufficiently, let me close on an upbeat note.  We will get through this. 

When it is no longer available to middle class and affluent people after the insurable event occurs, Medicaid will be able to do a better job for fewer dependents at less taxpayer expense. 

In time, most people will see the real risk and cost of long-term care.  They will prepare to be able to pay privately for long-term care if and when the need arises. 

Private revenue will supply much needed financial oxygen to the service delivery industry.  People spending their own money or their private insurance benefits will not go to nursing homes until they need them medically.  So institutional bias will disappear.

When most patients pay market-based rates, long-term care providers will prosper, pay better salaries, and grow.  So problems of access, quality and caregiver supply will disappear.  Desperately needed private debt and equity capital will pour into the long-term care services industry when it is profitable again.

When people know they must pay for their own long-term care, the reverse mortgage and long-term care insurance industries will prosper and grow.  So there will be more jobs created and increased tax revenue.

Bottom line, if we stop doing what we've always done in long-term care services and financing, we'll get a different result.  Because CLASS does nothing to replace Medicaid as the dominant LTC payer, it will lead to more of the same. 

According to Albert Einstein, doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result is . . . well, let's be tactful and just say . . . not very useful.

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Now it's time to bury CLASS and turn to more realistic market-based solutions.

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Updated, Thursday, October 13, 2011, 1:41 PM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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MOSES REPLIES TO CONGRESSMAN'S QUESTIONS
(LTC Embed Report #11)

LTC Comment:  House Oversight and Government Reform Healthcare Subcommittee ranking member Danny Davis (D, IL) asked me some questions in writing after the 9/21 hearing on "Examining Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility Rules."  His questions and my answers follow.

***  WATCH THE 9TH & FINAL "Week in Review" video segment from the "3in4 Need More" National Bus Tour and Caregiver Make Over Contest here.  Congratulations to Dr. Marion, the 3in4 Need More, crew and to everyone who helped make this campaign a success.  What a great lead-in to Long-Term Care Awareness Month in November!  ***

*** STEVE MOSES will address the "Long Term Care Discussion Group" in Washington, DC on Wednesday, October 19, 2011 at 3pm Eastern Time on the topic "How to Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion per Year and Improve the Program."  According to its website at www.LTCDiscussionGroup.org

"The Long Term Care Discussion Group is a voluntary, independent group that meets for the purpose of educating the policy community on all facets of long term care. We convene monthly presentations exploring long term care policy, research, and advocacy issues. Membership is free and open to all. Participants span the entire spectrum of the long term care policy community, including federal agency and congressional staff, researchers, and representatives of a wide variety of stakeholder organizations. For more information or to be included on the distribution list, please contact Jenifer Allen at jallen@univitahealth.com."  

LTC Discussion Group members often call in from around the country to listen to the monthly presentations and participate in the discussion.  If you would like to do so, contact Jenifer Allen at jallen@univitahealth.com to request the call-in and verification numbers.  We're told that dial-in participation is limited to 100 lines, so evidently first come, first served.  Please do not contact the Center about accessing the program as we have no additional information. ***

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LTC BULLET:  MOSES REPLIES TO CONGRESSMAN'S QUESTIONS
(LTC EMBED REPORT #11)

LTC Comment:  First, let me thank all you faithful Center members and supporters for your many complimentary messages about the September 21 hearing "Examining Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility Rules." 

If you haven't watched the 90-minute hearing online yet, check it out here:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtJp0g38sxo.  You'll get an earful and an eyeful of how Medicaid long-term care eligibility really works.  Much of it isn't pretty.

You can read each of the witnesses opening remarks, including mine, here.  I was originally told that a full transcript of the hearing would be posted after two weeks.  Latest information is that a transcript will not be available to the public until six months after the hearing. 

In the meantime, I received five questions from the subcommittee's ranking member.  You may find his questions and my answers of interest.

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Reply to Ranking Member Davis's questions sent on Center for Long-Term Care Reform electronic letterhead stationery:

Question #1:  "Mr. Moses, you make allegations of widespread asset transfers among older people in order to fraudulently receive Medicaid assistance for nursing home services. Research by the Urban Institute shows that even the most aggressive approach to recovering transferred assets would yield a savings of only about 1 percent of total Medicaid expenditures for long-term services and supports. Similarly, a Government Accountability (GAO) report on this issue found that the median amount of money transferred was $3000, with older persons with low incomes and disabilities transferring less than those who were less likely to go on Medicaid. Another GAO report found a median amount of $15,152 in transferred for less than fair market value.  Do you have any hard evidence apart from anecdotes to refute these findings? Can you document with hard numbers the actual amounts being transferred fraudulently?"

Reply #1:  I did not in my testimony, nor have I ever in any of my published writings or otherwise, made "allegations of widespread asset transfers by older people in order to fraudulently receive Medicaid assistance for nursing home services."  The premise of your question is false.

If you read my testimony, or anything else I've published, you will see that the problem is not fraud, but rather the ease with which middle class and affluent people qualify legally for Medicaid LTC benefits under the basic eligibility rules.  Nothing in the sources you cite contradicts my evidence or argument in any way.

Question #2: Mr. Moses, your testimony is premised at least in part on the argument that Medicaid costs have risen to a large extent by increased numbers of older people going on Medicaid to pay for nursing home costs. Are you aware of CMS data showing that the number of older people receiving Medicaid assistance to pay for nursing home costs actually decreased by 23 percent between 1995 and 2008 - even while the older population was increasing by 16 percent? Are you aware that the percentage of older people using Medicaid to pay for nursing home care decreased from 4.6 percent in 1975 to 2.8 percent in 2008? Are these numbers consistent with the allegation that increasing numbers of older people are cheating or trying to game the system to get on Medicaid?

Reply #2:  My testimony was not premised in any way on "the argument that Medicaid costs have risen to a large extent by increased numbers of older people going on Medicaid to pay for nursing home costs."  The premise of your question is false. 

Excessive dependency on nursing homes, or "institutional bias," was caused by Medicaid's paying mostly for nursing home care since 1965.  That's why a healthy, private market for home and community-based services (HCBS) never developed.  As Medicaid "rebalances" from institutional care to HCBS, the danger is that government services will become even more attractive and expensive at a time when government funding is less and less available.  By controlling eligibility in ways I've recommended, Medicaid can cover a full range of home and community-based services for a smaller number of genuinely needy recipients and, at the same time, encourage middle class and affluent people to plan early, save, invest or insure for long-term care, and pay privately for their care, thus relieving Medicaid and tax payers of a huge financial burden and encouraging private sector jobs and new tax revenue.

Question #3: Mr. Moses, you have suggested requiring older people to take out a reverse mortgage, a loan from a private lender, and exhausting the person's home equity before becoming eligible for Medicaid long-term services and supports (LTSS). As you may know, the upfront costs on such loans can be in excess of $10,000 before the person gets a dime in loans. Do you think it is proper for Congress to require people to take out such expensive private loans as a condition of eligibility for public benefits?

Reply #3:  It is not necessary to require people to take out a reverse mortgage.  There are many ways for consumers to extract the equity from their homes to pay for long-term care.  The key point I'm making is that Medicaid should not exempt up to three quarters of a million dollars worth of home equity while paying for the home owner's long-term care services.  Doing so has turned Medicaid into free inheritance insurance for boomer heirs and impeded the program's true purpose, to be a quality long-term care safety net for people in need.  In my paper titled "Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion Per Year AND Improve the Program," I've explained my position on this issue in detail here.

Question #4:  Mr. Moses, you cite a study by the National Council on Aging as a basis for arguing that $30 billion a year in Medicaid savings could be realized by requiring those dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid to take out reverse mortgages before gaining eligibility. But that report indicates that only about 17 percent of older Medicaid beneficiaries could be candidates for using a reverse mortgage to pay for LTSS, even using a very broad definition of being a candidate. Only about 60 percent of duals are age 65+, so only roughly 10 percent of duals would even be eligible for a reverse mortgage - and many of them have homes with low values. How could tapping these meager resources generate $30 billion a year?

Reply #4:  I do not cite the NCOA study as a basis for "requiring those dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid to take out reverse mortgages before gaining eligibility."  The premise of your question is false. 

The point, as I clearly articulate in the paper you cite, is that if Medicaid did not exempt up to $750,000 of home equity, affluent people with homes of great value, would take the risk and cost of long-term care more seriously and plan more responsibly to pay for their own care and protect their real estate wealth.  The goal is to prevent people from ending up as dual eligibles because they failed to save, invest or insure for long-term care and, as a consequence, turn to Medicaid by default after they require care.

Question #5:  If an individual was single and was receiving Medicaid nursing home care, wouldn't that individual be more likely to sell his or her home, rather than take out a reverse mortgage, since the individual would not be living in his or her home?

Reply #5:  Under existing Medicaid eligibility rules, the home remains exempt as long as the Medicaid recipient or his or her representative expresses a subjective intent to return to the home.  It makes no difference whether the recipient is able medically ever to return to the home, is single or married, or whether anyone is residing in the home or not.  In the absence of estate recovery, which has been mandatory since OBRA 1993, but which most states have not implemented strongly and the federal government has not enforced, the value of the home redounds to the heirs and the cost of the care remains with Medicaid and tax payers.

If Medicaid eligibility rules were changed to exempt a smaller amount of home equity, individuals would need to extract the value of the home to pay for long-term care by various means.  Reverse mortgages, either formal ones with a financial institution or informal ones with family members, are one means to put home equity to use to fund LTC.  Sale of the home if no exempt relative remains in it is another option.  The key point here is that home equity becomes a source of private financing for quality home and community-based services, or assisted living or nursing home care relieving Medicaid of the need to pay for such services and recover from estates.

Sincerely,

Stephen A. Moses

Stephen A. Moses
President

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LTC Comment:  If any of these questions or my replies pique your interest, you'll find much more in the same vein by watching the hearing here or reading any of the Center's published reports here

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Updated, Monday, October 10, 2011, 12:27 PM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

(LTC Embed Report #10)

 

*** SPECIAL:  Members of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform receive two email publications from us each week.  On Mondays, we send LTC News and Comment, which is a compilation of the previous week's news with a citation and hyperlink to each article followed by a key quote and our comment or analysis.  Scroll down past today's special news and you'll find it.  On Fridays, we send the LTC Bullet which is usually a long-term care policy essay by Steve Moses.  When someone sponsors an LTC E-Alert or an LTC Bullet, we send them to a much wider audience than paid-up members of the Center.  Today's LTC E-Alert is especially important, so we're sending it free of charge to our largest email list as a sample of what members receive every week.  We invite current members to renew when the time comes and we urge non-members to join and support the Center's campaign for rational LTC public policy and responsible LTC planning.  To join or renew, please contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com. ***

 

LTC Comment:  By now, many of you have heard about the September 21 Congressional hearing on "Examining Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility Rules."  We published my (Steve Moses's) testimony at that hearing in LTC Bullet:  Friendly Fire in the Class War (LTC Embed Report #6).  In LTC E-Alert #11-037:  LTC News and Comment

(LTC Embed Report #7), we provided a link to a video recording of the hearing.  Unfortunately, that version of the video showed 20 minutes of dead time as the committee waited for one of the other witnesses to arrive and it cut off the tail end of the hearing, severing my reply to some personal attacks from antagonistic members of the committee.

 

I heard from several faithful Center supporters, who asked "Why did the video cut off just as you were about to reply to the attacks?  We want to hear what you said." 

 

Well folks, now you can see and hear the whole hearing.  Check it out here:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtJp0g38sxo.  Chairman Gowdy and members of the committee begin the proceedings with opening remarks.  My testimony, explaining how middle class and affluent people qualify easily for Medicaid LTC benefits, comes at 18 minutes, 45 seconds in.  New York elder law attorney and Medicaid planner David Dorfman, who excuses Medicaid planning, testifies at 25:00; Medicaid eligibility expert Janice Eulau, who says Medicaid applicants routinely qualify despite having hundreds of thousands of dollars of assets, begins at 29:50; and Illinois Medicaid Director Hamos, who describes her unsuccessful struggles to end Medicaid planning abuses, starts at 34:45.  Questions and answers from the Committee, including my responses to the personal attacks from members who defend the status quo, start at 39:35 and complete the one and one-half hour program.

 

I strongly encourage everyone to watch this hearing.  I promise you a valuable education in the Medicaid and long-term care financing issue.  You'll also get an amazing insight into the workings of Congress, or more accurately, into why Congress isn't working very well these days.  Ironically, everyone on the Committee agreed Medicaid should be a safety net for the poor.  Every witness on the panel acknowledged Medicaid planning (intentional self-impoverishment) occurs frequently.  The eligibility expert from New York said 60 percent of all Medicaid LTC recipients in her office do some form of Medicaid planning and that the average client has $300,000 in assets, often much more.  The Medicaid director said Illinois hasn't implemented provisions of the DRA '05 yet, that Medicaid planning is commonplace, and that she has faced great political opposition to ending wasteful practices that allow the affluent to qualify.  Nevertheless, some members of the Committee refused even to consider changes to Medicaid to eliminate such abuses.

 

What disappointed me most was that, although no one on the committee took substantive issue with my evidence, logic or conclusions, several members launched personal attacks based on questioning the source of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform's financial support.  I replied that such an argument is a logical fallacy, an ad hominem.  I explained that information about the Center's finances is none of the Committee's business; that it says nothing relevant, positive or negative, about the merit of my information or conclusions.  So, I refused to disclose the Center's donors.  Finally, I told the members who challenged my credibility that my professional mission ever since I was a career U.S. Government employee working for the Medicaid program in the 1980s has been to protect Medicaid as a long-term care safety net for people in need.  Unfortunately, the poor do not have money to donate to organizations like mine.  So I have to rely on support from individuals and businesses who stand to gain from public policy that improves Medicaid for people in need while encouraging middle class and affluent people to plan early and save, invest or insure for long-term care.

 

I believe any objective observer who watches this hearing from beginning to end will come away proud of our contribution and disturbed by the personal attacks made by defenders of the corrupt status quo.  So I strongly encourage you to watch the hearing, form your own judgments, and if you agree, please do what you can to support our work.  I'm in the middle of a two-month project in Washington, DC which is described in "LTC Bullet:  The LTC Opportunity."  I have three more weeks to make a difference in our nation's capital.  After that, our special project with the Cato Institute will be completed. 

 

Now here's some media coverage of the hearing:

 

10/6/11, "LTCI Watch: Mr. Moses Went to Washington: The Visit Was Not Fun," by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO

 

Quote:  "Moses, who worked for the inspector general of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services in the 1980s and is now president of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform, Seattle, spoke at a hearing on Medicaid planning organized by the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee's health care subcommittee." (LINK)

 

LTC Comment:  The DHHS Inspector General back then was Dick Kusserow, a powerful and influential curmudgeon.  Whenever Dick walked into a room and saw me, he'd say "Moses is here.  The subject must be Medicaid estate recovery."  The IG published my report titled "Medicaid Estate Recoveries" in 1988 and a few years later, the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 implemented most of our recommendations in that study including making Medicaid estate recovery mandatory.

Following is the kind of information we provide in every Monday's LTC E-Alert.

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10/8/11, "Editorial: Ready to do your part for the deficit?," Star Tribune  

Quote:  "Former U.S. Rep. Tim Penny told CAE [Center of the American Experiment] that he's purchased long-term care insurance, an individual decision that would reduce nursing home spending if more people did the same."

LTC Comment:  I wonder how many past and present members of Congress have made this one, simple contribution toward solving the Medicaid LTC financing crisis.

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10/8/11, "INSIDE WASHINGTON: A budget zombie? Gov't puts program on hold, but claims savings," Washington Post (LINK)

Quote:  "The Community Living Assistance Services and Supports program, CLASS for short, may just keep lurching along indefinitely. It would join other peculiar creatures of the federal budget such as 'trust funds' that are actually more like IOUs and Medicare cuts that can be counted twice. . . .   Don't expect CLASS to go away easily. If the congressional supercommittee tackling the debt decides to recommend repeal, the panel would have to come up with about $80 billion in other cuts - possibly real and painful - to offset the hypothetical savings from CLASS."  

LTC Comment:  Finally, some straight up reporting about what is really going on with CLASS.

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11/7/11, "Many Medicare patients get surgeries in last year of life," by Amanda Gardner, USA Today

Quote:  "By analyzing Medicare claims data the study authors found that, in a group of almost 2 million elderly beneficiaries, all of whom died in 2008, almost one-third had inpatient surgery in the year before they died, almost one in five in the last month of their lives and almost one in 10 in the week before they took their last breath."

 

LTC Comment:  Is this a problem or a point of pride?  What are the options?  Financial triage based on the cost-effectiveness of surgery late in life?  Who decides?  Families?  Payers?  Politicians?  Bureaucrats?

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10/7/11, "More Seniors Surviving Cancer Adds To Long-Term Care Crisis," AALTCI Press Release

Quote:  "According to an analysis of US cancer data, the greying of the baby boomer generation is at the root of the issue. 'Americans are already living longer lives and that will create a long-term care tsunami in the years to come,' explains Jesse Slome, executive director of the Los Angeles-based American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance. 'Because long-term care insurance can only be purchased when you can medically qualify, the tsunami will wreak havoc on family savings and state Medicaid welfare budgets.'"

LTC Comment:  Point well put.  AALTCI's recent outreach via press releases tying medical research reports to the importance of LTC planning continue to attract positive attention to both.

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10/6/11, "American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance Supports Wall Street Journal Call for Repeal of CLASS Act,” AALTCI Press Release (LINK)

Quote:  "The American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance, the national trade organization supported The Wall Street Journal editorial calling for the outright repeal of the CLASS Act." 

LTC Comment:  A link to the editorial in question follows below.  Taking a position on a political issue like this one is risky for a trade association, but it probably does reflect the dominant view of AALTCI's members.

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10/6/11, "CLASS Implementation Oversight Listed In HHS Work Plan," Kaiser Health News

Quote:  "The HHS Office of Inspector General has listed several ACA [Affordable Care Act, aka PPACA, 'health reform' and ObamaCare] investigations as part of its planned oversight for fiscal 2012, including the implementation of the CLASS Act . . .."

LTC Comment:  My former employer (1987-89), the HHS Inspector General, is going to investigate CLASS implementation.  When I worked for the IG, I carried a badge like an FBI agent's in am elegant leather holder, very intimidating.  Hopefully, the IG will take a close, objective look at CLASS and the political/financial shenanigans that preceded and followed its passage.

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10/6/11, "Medicaid explained: How would lower provider taxes affect state budgets?," by Christine Vestal, Stateline (LINK)

Quote:  "The Obama administration's current deficit reduction proposal, now before the so-called congressional 'Super Committee,' includes a variety of measures designed to roll back federal Medicaid spending. But one - a lower cap on the taxes that states charge hospitals, nursing homes and other health care organizations - would have the biggest potential impact on state budgets."

LTC Comment:  It's not just Medicaid planners who game Medicaid.  States do it too.  They tax LTC providers, return the funds to the providers in extra reimbursements, charge the feds, and collect up to three times as much from Uncle Sugar depending on their Medicaid match rate.  The President wants to end the practice.  States and providers object strenuously.  Why does it matter to LTC insurers?  It's more proof LTCI's biggest competitor, government financed LTC, won't crowd out the private insurance product as much in the future as it has in the past.

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10/5/11, "Nearly Half of U.S. Lives in Household Receiving Government Benefit," by Sara Murray, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "Means-tested programs, designed to help the needy, accounted for the largest share of recipients last year. Some 34.2% of Americans lived in a household that received benefits such as food stamps, subsidized housing, cash welfare or Medicaid (the federal-state health care program for the poor)."

LTC Comment:  Maybe the situation wouldn't be so bad if programs like Medicaid were only for the poor, but Medicaid funds it's most expensive benefit (LTC) for middle class and affluent people as well ballooning the program's cost and crowding out private financing alternatives like LTC insurance and home equity conversion.

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10/4/11, "Health Costs Remain Top Retirement Issue; Long-Term Care Needs More Attention," by Danielle Reed, Financial Planning (LINK)

Quote:  "When it comes to retirement income, clients are concerned about rising health costs, and they probably also should be concerned about long-term care, said a top executive of Merrill Lynch's Retirement Income Program, in a keynote address here Tuesday at the Retirement Income Industry Association's fall conference."

LTC Comment:  It's about time financial planners got with the LTC planning program.  This is another piece of evidence that it is starting to happen.

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10/4/11, "Anatomy of the CLASS Act 'Ponzi Scheme'," United States Senate Republican Study Committee

LTC Comment:  This is a timeline tracing the development, consideration, criticism, passage, and reconsideration of the CLASS Act.

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10/4/11, "The Definition of Insanity," editorial, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "The Obama health-care plan passed 18 months ago, and its cynicism still manages to astonish. Witness the spectacle surrounding one of its flagship new entitlements [CLASS], which is eliciting some remarkable concessions from its drafters."

LTC Comment:  This Wall Street Journal editorial covers the latest twist in the CLASS story, the government's pretension not to drop the dead program in order to avoid losing its phony budget "savings."

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10/3/11, "Home-Health Firms Blasted," by John Carreyrou, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "An inquiry by the Senate Finance Committee has found that the nation's three largest home-health companies tailored the care they provided to Medicare patients to maximize their reimbursements from the federal program." 

LTC Comment:  Gee, ya think?  Of course companies adapt to take advantage of government programs that lack the sensible controls which are routine in the private sector.  Can you imagine a better argument for less government financing of long-term care and more private financing through LTC insurance?

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10/2/11, "Fighting for market share in the LTC business:  Mutual insurers are winning LTC business over some big publicly held carriers," by Darla Mercado, Investment News (LINK)      

Quote:  "A handful of publicly held life insurers dominate the market for traditional long-term-care insurance, but mutual life insurers are beginning to make inroads with agents and financial advisers."   

LTC Comment:  The LTC insurance market continues to evolve.

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Updated, Friday, October 7, 2011, 1:30 PM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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LTC Bullet:  Why Don't Consumers Insure Against LTC Expenses?
LTC Embed Report # 9

LTC Comment:  Can you think of a more timely or important question than the one in today's title?  It's critical to our DC project and to everyone who ever will need, provide or pay for long-term care.


LTC BULLET:  WHY DON'T CONSUMERS INSURE AGAINST LTC EXPENSES?
LTC EMBED REPORT # 9

LTC Comment:  Why Don't Consumers Insure Against LTC Expenses?  That's the question I was asked to address on a webinar yesterday sponsored by the Society of Actuaries' LTC insurance "Think Tank."

My job was to respond to research findings presented by Dr. Gopi Shah Goda, Ph.D., an economist with the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.  Samples of Dr. Goda's published work can be found here and here.

In a nutshell, Dr. Goda's research has led her to conclude that people fail to purchase long-term care insurance for many reasons, but the expectation that government will pay for such care is not among the most important of those reasons.

She also concludes from her research that tax deductibility for LTC insurance does not save Medicaid more than the cost of the subsidy because people incentivized to purchase LTC insurance by tax deductions tend to be more affluent and less likely to "spend down" to Medicaid anyhow.

I don't have access to Dr. Goda's presentation, and some of the findings on which she reported and I replied yesterday, have not yet been published.  So, to be fair, please withhold any conclusions about her work until you can review it in full and in context.

For now, all I can offer is my explanation of why I believe mistaken assumptions about Medicaid LTC eligibility rules account for the common belief that Medicaid does not significantly discourage the purchase of LTC insurance. 

I also observe that if Medicaid really did require catastrophic asset spend down, then people would buy LTC insurance in much greater numbers and tax deductibility would save Medicaid considerable sums.

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Following are my 20-minute opening remarks for yesterday's webinar:

Let me begin by thanking the Society of Actuaries' "Think Tank" for inviting me to participate in this important conversation.

Over the years, I've read the research on who buys long-term care insurance, who doesn't, and why with great interest.

I've followed the debates and industry appeals concerning tax deductibility for the private LTC insurance product closely as well.

I confess I've been puzzled by the research findings.  People tend not to mention Medicaid as a reason for failing to purchase LTC insurance?  Tax deductibility appears to have a relatively small impact on the likelihood people will insure for long-term care?  Peculiar.

How can it be that a government program which pays for most expensive long-term care in the United States does not discourage people from buying private insurance?  Why wouldn't offering a tax credit or deduction create a major incentive to insure?

I've puzzled over these questions for a long time, so I appreciate this opportunity to learn from experts in the field as well as to think through, firm up and articulate my own views.

I do not have the social science credentials of Dr. Goda.  I am duly impressed with her expertise and both the quality and clarity of her work.  Far be it from me to challenge the technical aspects of her research or the accuracy of her findings.

So let me stipulate at the outset that given the assumptions on which her work is based, I accept her findings and analysis without question.  It is with her assumptions about Medicaid LTC eligibility and spend down, however, that I will take some issue.  That's where my expertise lies. 

It seems to me that if different assumptions were used with the same analytical model, the findings would be very different, would clarify more definitively how Medicaid crowds out the LTC insurance market, and would indicate how tax deductibility could save Medicaid considerably more money than otherwise expected.

I'll begin by citing a couple examples of assumptions I'd question in the articles published by Dr. Goda which I reviewed to prepare for this discussion.  Later I'll explain why I think those assumptions are incorrect.

Example #1 regarding Medicaid savings from tax deductibility of LTCI:

On page 744 of her article in the Journal of Public Economics, Dr. Goda writes:  "The results indicate that the average tax subsidy raises coverage rates by 2.7 percentage points, or 28%. However, the response is concentrated among high income and asset-rich individuals, populations with low probabilities of relying on Medicaid.  Simulations suggest each dollar of state tax expenditure produces approximately $0.84 in Medicaid savings, over half of which funnels to the federal government."  (Emphasis added.)

She continues on page 755:  "To have a larger effect on the allocation of long-term care financing, tax incentives would need to increase private insurance coverage for those who are at higher risk of spending down to Medicaid eligibility."

Observation #1:  What if "high income and asset-rich individuals" are not "populations with low probabilities of relying on Medicaid"?  What if income rarely interferes with Medicaid LTC eligibility?  What if asset-rich individuals can qualify easily for Medicaid LTC even without consulting Medicaid planning attorneys?  Wouldn't that change everything? 

Example #2 regards whether Medicaid crowds out demand for private LTC insurance: 

In an article titled "Why Don't Retirees Insure Against Long-Term Care Expenses? Evidence from Survey Responses," Dr. Goda writes (with co-authors Jeffrey R. Brown and Kathleen McGarry):

"[B]eliefs about Medicare and Medicaid do not appear to be systematically related to rates of long-term care insurance ownership. . . .  These results suggest that beliefs about Medicare and Medicaid are not a large factor in ownership decisions . . .." p. 18

Observation #2:  I think the mistaken assumption here is that asking people about Medicare and Medicaid will elicit useful answers to the question of why they don't buy LTC insurance.  Most people do not know who pays for long-term care.  When asked, they guess Medicare.  The more important question for us to ask is:  If long-term care is such a big risk and high cost, why don't people know more about who pays for it?  That's the issue I'll try to elucidate.

All right, we have two questions before us.  Why doesn't tax deductibility for LTC insurance generate larger savings for Medicaid? and Why don't more people buy LTC insurance?  Dr. Goda's answers to both questions are premised on the assumption that people with wealth have to spend down their assets before qualifying for Medicaid.  She concludes that tax deductibility for LTC insurance saves Medicaid relatively little because people most likely to buy LTC insurance are the least likely, because of their higher income and assets to qualify for Medicaid.  People don't buy LTC insurance for a lot of reasons Dr. Goda eloquently analyzes but evidently, according to her findings, not because they are planning to get Medicaid to pay. 

Medicaid LTC Eligibility

But let's consider some alternative explanations for the observed phenomena.  I've spent nearly 30 years studying how Medicaid long-term care eligibility actually works, as opposed to the conventional wisdom displayed in both the popular and academic media, that qualifying for Medicaid LTC benefits requires low income and catastrophic asset spend down.  I want to suggest that Medicaid eligibility is actually quite easy to obtain without significant asset spend down for most Americans and that, therefore, most people don't worry about long-term care until they need it.  After that, they qualify easily for Medicaid. 

Consequently, under the current system tax deductibility has relatively little influence on the public's likelihood to purchase LTC insurance.  Neither does planning to rely on Medicaid significantly influence their decision to purchase or not.  If Medicaid did operate as most commentators and academic writers assume it does . . . if Medicaid did require catastrophic asset spend down and if long-term care frequently resulted in devastating financial consequences for families, then people would buy LTC insurance out of concern for those consequences and tax deductibility would translate into major savings for Medicaid.  All I want to suggest today, is that Dr. Goda and her colleagues try applying their analytical model with a set of assumptions that more closely reflect actual Medicaid eligibility rules and practices.

What are those rules and practices?  Assuming an individual is over the age of 65 and has a long-term care level of medical need, he or she must qualify based on income and asset means tests.  So let's look at those tests and to what extent they restrict access to Medicaid LTC benefits.

Medicaid Eligibility Means Tests

Income

Despite the frequently stated claim that Medicaid LTC eligibility requires "low income," income is almost never an obstacle to qualification.  In a 2010 study of Medicaid and LTC financing that I conducted in Rhode Island, that state's LTC policy specialist told me that in his more than three-decade tenure with the program, Medicaid had only disqualified two people for LTC benefits based on excess income.  How can that be?

Income eligibility for Medicaid is determined in two different ways.  Most states (around 35) have "Medically Needy" income eligibility systems.  They deduct medical expenses, including the cost of nursing home care, from applicants' incomes before determining whether or not their remaining income is low enough, based on some percentage of the poverty level, to qualify.  Thus, people with large incomes who have comparably large medical and LTC expenses, qualify easily in such states.  One does not need "low income" to qualify for Medicaid LTC benefits, only a "cash flow" problem after paying for medical and LTC costs not covered by Medicare.

Other states have "income cap" eligibility systems.  In those states, people with over 300 percent of the Supplemental Security Income level (currently $2,022), do not qualify for LTC benefits.  But ever since the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, such individuals can divert their excess income into a Miller Income Diversion Trust in order to qualify.  For all intents and purposes, anyone with income below the cost of a nursing home, which averages around $75,000 per year, qualifies for Medicaid LTC benefits in either a "Medically Needy" or "Income Cap" eligibility system.

Dr. Goda writes in a May 2010 "Policy Brief":  "I find evidence that although tax subsidies raised insurance coverage by 30 percent, they did so mostly among wealthy and high-income populations who were unlikely to rely on Medicaid in the first place. Therefore, tax subsidies are unlikely to reduce Medicaid expenditures for long term care by more than the cost of providing the subsidy." (SIEPR Policy Brief, pps. 1-2)

Query:  If high-income populations are not actually excluded from Medicaid LTC eligibility based on income, how would this fact affect the conclusion that tax subsidies are unlikely to reduce Medicaid expenditures more than the cost of the subsidy? 

The Asset Test

Does Medicaid really require catastrophic asset spend down as a condition of eligibility for long-term care benefits?  Hardly.

First of all, there is no requirement under Medicaid that people spend down assets for long-term care.  As long as one does not give away assets for less than fair market value for the purpose of qualifying for Medicaid, it is perfectly acceptable to purchase anything for value.  Applicants are often advised by attorneys, but also by state Medicaid eligibility workers, to reduce their countable resources by purchasing exempt assets such as home improvements, furniture, a more expensive automobile, or prepaid burial plans.  Sometimes such recommendations extend to purchasing world cruises or throwing big parties.  All that matters is that the buyer get value and the goods purchased are either exempt or have been consumed already by the time of the Medicaid application.

In addition to the $2,000 in cash or resources easily convertible to cash that Medicaid recipients may retain ($13,800 in New York), virtually unlimited additional resources are exempt from the asset limit test.  I've provided hyperlinks to federal regulations governing these exemptions in several of my state level reports.  See especially "Medi-Cal Long-Term Care:  Safety Net or Hammock?" at www.centerltc.com or on the Pacific Research Institute's website.

A home and all contiguous property is exempt up to at least $500,000 in equity value ($750,000 in New York, California, and a few other states.)

The following resources are exempt without any limit:

One business including the capital and cash flow; household goods and personal belongings; one automobile; prepaid burial plans for the Medicaid recipient and immediate family members; term life insurance; and individual retirement accounts as long as the Medicaid recipient is receiving periodic interest and principal payments.

Over and above these generous asset limits, married couples can preserve additional income and assets for the healthy spouse in the community.  The Medicare Catastrophic Coverage Act of 1988 set these "spousal impoverishment" protections at up to $1,500 per month of income and $60,000 in assets.  They've increased with inflation to $2,739 per month of income and $109,560 of assets.

The vast majority of elderly Americans who need long-term care qualify easily based on these basic eligibility criteria.  Some people who are even more wealthy may consult Medicaid planning attorneys to self-impoverish artificially in order to qualify.  When GAO studied only one Medicaid planning technique--asset transfers--it concluded the cost to Medicaid was about $1 billion per year.  Hardly insignificant.  But asset transfers are only one method of Medicaid planning and not the most important one at that.  What might the cost be of commoner techniques such as special trusts, Medicaid friendly annuities, life-care contracts, reverse half-a-loaf strategies, life estates and purchasing exempt assets?  I'm not aware of any studies that estimate the actual impact on Medicaid of the full range of Medicaid planning methods.

Nevertheless, I believe this practice of intentional self-impoverishment, although very costly to Medicaid and destructive of Medicaid's mandate to protect the indigent, is only the tip of the iceberg.  The larger problem is that most people qualify without having to employ any sophisticated legal techniques. 

Conclusion

To conclude, I'll point out that according to data on sources of LTC financing cited in Dr. Goda's "SIEPR Policy Brief" article, Medicaid covers 48.5 percent; Medicare, 22 percent; and 8 percent comes from private insurance.  Out of pocket costs are only 21.5 percent of LTC financing.  It is important to understand that roughly half of those "out-of-pocket" costs for long-term care are actually contributions to their cost of care from their Social Security benefits of people already on Medicaid.  In other words, they represent "spend down" of income from another highly vulnerable government program.  They are not spend down of personal savings.  When you add up all the direct and indirect government payments for long-term care, you've accounted for over 80 percent of the total cost.  Add in private insurance payments and you're nearly up to 90 percent.  Thus, at most, only 10 or 12 percent of long-term care costs could come from asset spend down.

Bottom line, I want to suggest that the vast majority of all long-term care expenses are paid by government directly or indirectly.  Most of the remainder of such expenses are paid by third parties or they come from income, not assets.  Despite the conventional wisdom that life savings are at risk for catastrophic long-term care expenses, the reality is very different.  If people really did have to spend down savings, including most of their currently exempt resources, before qualifying for Medicaid . . .

  • They would be much more likely to purchase LTC insurance
  • Incentives to purchase LTC insurance such as tax deductions or credits would be much more effective
  • The availability of Medicaid after total asset spend down, whether consumers knew about it or not, would have much less impact on their decision to buy or not buy LTC insurance.  Who wants Medicaid if it doesn't save your estate?
  • Medicaid expenditures would plummet and the program would have more resources to expend for the care of truly indigent people.

Would I then advocate forcing people into total impoverishment before Medicaid helps?  Of course not.  All we need to do is implement some moderate and sensible reforms.

The most important such reform is to reduce Medicaid's home equity exemption from $500,000--13 times the level of asset protection allowed in England's socialized health care system--to something closer to what England allows or $38,000. 

If most home equity were at risk to fund long-term care, people would tap the equity in their homes to fund home and community-based care.  If they could no longer live at home, they could sell to family members or others to fund their institutional care.  The point is their need to rely on Medicaid would be delayed or completely eliminated.

Once home equity, the largest repository of seniors' wealth in the United States, is at risk for long-term care, families will pull together to find ways to protect their parents and their inheritances from LTC risk instead of fighting over the savings from putting a parent on Medicaid.

Unless and until Medicaid returns to its original purpose of providing a long-term care safety net for people in need, no amount of education, tax incentives, or LTC insurance salesmanship will convince many more people to buy protection they can get at a radical discount just by ignoring the problem.

Thank you.  

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Updated, Monday, October 3, 2011, 1:37 PM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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LTC E-ALERT #11-038:  LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

LTC Comment:  I'm in Dallas to attend and present at the National LTC Network's 2011 Producer Conference.  My topic is ""What's Happening in Washington, DC and Why It Matters to Producers, Distributors and Carriers." 

On Thursday, I'll debate Stanford economist Gopi Shah Goda, Ph.D. on a Society of Actuaries "Think Tank" webinar regarding whether or not Medicaid crowds out the LTC insurance market. 

Then, the challenges discussed in Friday's LTC Bullet await.  Busy times, but the good fight continues.  Thanks to and for your support of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform.

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*** 3 IN 4 NEED MORE:  Check out the 8th “Week in Review” video segment from the 3in4 Need More National Bus Tour and Caregiver Make Over Contest.  Watch it here:   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U6-FRIu0RXk&feature=channel_video_title. ***

*** PETER GELWAKS, Chairman of Gelbwaks Executive Marketing Corp of Plantation, Florida, will receive a Lifetime Achievement Award from the Florida Assisted Living Coalition at a gala celebration October 18, 2011.  Congratulations, Peter. ***

*** ROSS SCHRIFTMAN, LTCI producer, author and Center for LTC Reform member, has published his first book, My Million Dollar Mom.  Ross hopes to bring awareness of the need for long term care planning and how families can manage through the difficult and long process of caring for a loved one with conditions like Alzheimer's.  Get more information here or link directly to the book here. ***

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9/30/11, "Federal retirement plans almost as costly as Social Security," by Dennis Cauchon, USA Today 

Quote:  "Retirement programs for former federal workers - civilian and military - are growing so fast they now face a multi-trillion-dollar shortfall nearly as big as Social Security's, a USA TODAY analysis shows."

 

LTC Comment:  I've been waiting for this shoe to drop.  Just wait until the public finds out how much federal retirees receive and at what cost to taxpayers.  With interests rates at historic lows, retired feds are getting the equivalent of proceeds from a multi-million-dollar annuity.

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9/29/11, "Employer-Based LTC Shrank," LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "The percentage of all participating firms offering LTC benefits fell to 11% this year, from 19%, the researchers say.  The LTC offered rate fell to 20%, from 25%, at firms with 200 or more workers, and it sank to 11%, from 19%, at firms with 3 to 200 workers."

LTC Comment:  Bad news if correct, but I'm dubious.  Opinions?  Anyone challenge this report?

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9/29/11, "Advocates for disabled optimistic that CLASS Act program won't be scrapped," by Julian Pecquet, The Hill

Quote:  "'We recently received a report from the actuary retained by CLASS which provides the actuarial analysis of a number of potential CLASS benefit plans. This report will be included in its entirety in a comprehensive review of our work on CLASS over the last 18 months,' Assistant Secretary of Aging Kathy Greenlee, who oversees the program, wrote in a blog post.  'We are now reviewing the findings of the actuarial report in combination with the legal and policy analyses that we have undertaken as part of our careful exploration of the many aspects of operationalizing the CLASS program. Once this work is complete, HHS will issue a report along with recommendations about how to proceed. We are on target to release our comprehensive report by mid-October,' she added."   

LTC Comment:  The plot thickens.

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9/28/11, "Ways to Assess Long-Term Care Insurance Companies," by Leann Reynolds, Huffington Post 

Quote:  "Long before anyone expects to be thinking about in-home caregivers or nursing homes is precisely when they should be considering long-term care insurance."  

LTC Comment:  Hear, hear!  But what really makes this quote interesting is that it comes from the very liberal Huffington Post.  More evidence that even people who usually trust government and distrust the private sector are beginning to get it:  you can't rely on government for LTC benefits in the future which have been easy to come by in the past.

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9/28/11, "Obama Cracks Down on Nursing Home Quality," by Howard Gleckman, Forbes

Quote:  "Skilled nursing facilities whose patients are too frequently admitted to the hospital would face stiff new penalties according to the deficit reduction plan proposed by President Obama on Sept. 20."   

LTC Comment:  How absurd!  First government pays nursing homes less than the cost of the care under Medicaid, then threatens to reduce Medicare reimbursement when nursing homes don't provide the perfect care government isn't willing to pay enough to purchase in the first place.  Another example of more government regulation and interference being imposed to correct a problem created by excessive government involvement in the market, a vicious downward cycle that is approaching a dangerous nadir.

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9/28/11, "Low Vitamin B12 Linked To Cognitive Decline In Elderly," by Jesse Slome, OpenPR

Quote:  "Older individuals who have low levels of vitamin B12 in their blood have a greater risk of brain shrinkage, losing cognitive skills and greater risk of needing long term health care."

LTC Comment AALTCI director Jesse Slome has hit upon a very clever way to promote LTC insurance.  He finds relevant scientific reports like this one, publishes the information by means of a press release, and pivots toward the end of the article to a pitch for LTCI and the Association.  Clever and effective.

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9/28/11, "Ominous Signs for the Class Act," by Paula Span, New York Times

Quote:  "In the absence of real information, theories are circulating. Maybe these changes are part of a reorganization? Maybe the actuaries are finding that they can’t make the numbers work within the strictures of the statute, so Class has to go back to Congress? Maybe the administration just wants this program to go away until after the election?"

LTC Comment:  Most of us have had it up to here (pointing at top of head) regarding the CLASS Act's dubious status, but I'm passing this article on to you because of the significance of its being published in the New York Times.  Clearly the people who like CLASS are still deep into wishful thinking.

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9/28/11, "Debt panel eyes dual Medicare/Medicaid patients," by Donna Smith, Reuters  

Quote:  "Government health benefits for some 9 million of the sickest and poorest U.S. citizens will come under scrutiny from the congressional 'super committee' seeking to cut the nation's debt."

LTC Comment:  I bring this article to your attention because of a paper I wrote since starting our DC project with Cato which explains how to save $30 billion per year on Medicaid LTC expenses by diverting potential "dual eligibles" early to LTC insurance so they avoid Medicaid dependency.  My paper is here.  I also forwarded this article and my paper to 15 Hill staffers and other experts (with whom I've met in person during our project) with the suggestion they bring both to the attention of the SuperCommittee.

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9/28/11, "Boomers 'Delusion' About Health In Retirement," by Julie Rovner, National Public Radio

Quote:  "The good news is that when it comes to long-term care, the boomers are considerably more aware of the possibility of the crushing cost than previous generations have been. More than two-thirds said they were very or somewhat likely to have trouble paying for long-term care if they or a spouse needed it. That's slightly more than the three-fifths who feared they might have trouble paying overall medical bills."

LTC Comment:  Center supporter and LTCI agent/expert Sally Leimbach of FranklinMorris in Baltimore was interviewed for this NPR story.  We have Sally to thank for the following highlight of the importance of LTCI:

Quote:  "That's true of Jason Mitchell, 53, of Rockville, Md., who's in the process of purchasing private long-term care insurance for himself and his wife, Nina. 'A few years ago, my dad passed away at 89, and for the two years before passing away, we incurred some pretty high costs for private care,' Mitchell says. 'Luckily he had the means to pay for it, but I recognize it's probably a bigger risk as all of us are living longer.'"    

Quote:  "One thing people don't recognize very well, however, is who pays for long-term care. In the poll, a majority of those both retired and not-yet-retired thought Medicare, private savings and private insurance would be the primary payers if they needed a nursing home stays longer than 100 days. In fact, the primary payer for nursing home care across the nation is the joint federal-state Medicaid program. Yet that was identified as the most likely payer for their own long-term nursing care by only 7 percent of retirees and 10 percent of not-yet-retired boomers."

LTC Comment:  What this proves is that people have a vague sense that somebody or something pays for long-term care.  They are more likely to think the payer is Medicare than Medicaid because they associate Medicare with funding health care for old people.   But all that matters for the marketability of LTCI is that the government does in fact pay for most expensive LTC.  That's why the public is blasé about LTC risk/cost and fails to buy private insurance against it.

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9/28/11, "Committee Addresses Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility," ALFANewsBot

Quote:  "Chairman Trey Gowdy (SC-4) began the hearing by explaining that Medicaid is currently an unsustainable system due in part to beneficiaries gaming the system. The costs of Medicaid nationally have exploded from less than 75 billion dollars per year two decades ago to over 400 billion dollars per year, causing both state governments and the Federal Government to struggle financially. 'Although Medicaid technically has income and asset tests, these tests are easy to circumvent and abuse,' explained Chairman Gowdy, 'In fact, an entire cottage industry has arisen seeking to educate the wealthy on how to transfer assets so tax payers can pay for their long term care.'?" 

 

LTC Comment:  Kudos to Brian Blase, formerly of Heritage and currently with Chairman Gowdy on the Hill, for staffing this hearing and bringing in a panel of witnesses, including yours truly, who exploded the myth that only the poor qualify for Medicaid LTC. 

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9/27/11, "Companies That Could Profit From Baby Boomers," by Tom Sightings, U.S. News and World Report 

Quote:  "More than three million Baby Boomers are turning 65 in 2011. . . .  Along the way they will be managing their finances through asset managers and mutual funds. And before it's over, they will have bought long-term care insurance, done time in a senior citizen facility, and dropped an average of $8,000 per funeral."  (Emphasis added)

LTC Comment:  Now this is more like it!  A financial expert who assumes the huge baby boomer generation will buy LTCI.  The times they are a-changin'.

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9/27/11, "Poll shows retirees don't see Medicaid as important to their future LTC needs," McKnight's LTC News

Quote:  "Only 10% of pre-retirees and 7% of retirees think Medicaid will pay the majority of their costs for three months in a nursing home, according to the poll, conducted by NPR, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, and the Harvard School of Public Health. Additionally, only 32% of retirees want major changes in the Medicare program, compared to 47% of pre-retirees." 

LTC Comment:  This poll confirms what we've said all along:  Most people don't plan to use Medicaid for LTC, but their failure to plan responsibly for LTC is enabled by the fact that Medicaid has always been the dominant payer for most expensive LTC.  Medicaid is easy to get after the insurable event has occurred, unlike LTC insurance.

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9/26/11, "Republicans to HHS: What Did You Do with the CLASS Office?," by Arthur D. Postal, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "Congressional Republicans are demanding that the Obama administration clarify what it is doing about implementation - or non-implementation - of the Community Living Assistance Services and Supports (CLASS) Act long term care (LTC) insurance program.  Republicans in the House and the Senate have written to the U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius to get the details behind reports that the CLASS Act implementation office has been shut down.  The lawmakers have asked a total of 24 questions, and they are demanding that Kathleen Sebelius answer by Oct. 6."

LTC Comments:  Read this amazing letter to Secretary Sebelius here.  Death knell for CLASS.  Should be but advocates insist the misbegotten program can rise phoenix-like from the ashes.  It's enough to burn an actuary up!

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9/20/11, "The MetLife Study of Women, Retirement, and the Extra-Long Life: Implications for Planning," MetLife Mature Market Institute (link)

Quote:  This study "shows women face a number of unique risks - including longevity, aging single, lower retirement incomes, greater healthcare costs and added caregiving responsibilities - and have not planned adequately to address these concerns, leading to a significant shortfall."

LTC Comment:  Producers should see this report as a road map for interesting women in LTC planning.

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Updated, Friday, September 30, 2011, 1;12 PM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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LTC BULLET:  LTC EMBED REPORT (#8) FROM THE POLICY FRONT IN WASHINGTON, DC

Happy New Year's Eve!  (The 2012 Federal Fiscal New Year begins tomorrow)

LTC Comment:  Polarized political stalemate in Washington leads to a mid-course correction in the Center's DC project.  Details after the ***news.***

*** NPR STORY HIGHLIGHTS LTC INSURANCE AND SALLY LEIMBACH.  "When aging Americans need long-term care, especially in a nursing home, the costs can be enormous. In this part of the program, we're going to talk about those costs and some options for seniors and their families . . .."  That's how yesterday's story begins.  Listen to it here.  Read the transcript here.  Center supporter and LTCI agent/expert Sally Leimbach of FranklinMorris in Baltimore was interviewed for this NPR story. She and her client are quoted.  We have Sally to thank for adding this focus on the solution (LTCI) to a story mostly about the problem (how to finance LTC). ***

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LTC BULLET:  LTC EMBED REPORT (#8) FROM THE POLICY FRONT IN WASHINGTON, DC

LTC Comment:  Center for Long-Term Care Reform president Stephen Moses is in Washington, DC, living in the Silver Bullet of Long-Term Care, and working on a two-month project in coordination with the Cato Institute. 

You can find a description of our project here.  In a nutshell, we set out to assess the potential for major reform of Medicaid and long-term care financing policy as a means to reduce government expenditures while improving LTC access and quality.  We pitched our approach first as a way to pay for the "doc fix" here and then as a way to achieve one-quarter of the $1.2 trillion savings over ten years that the SuperCommittee needs to find, here and here.

The Center's reports on how to "Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion Per Year AND Improve the Program" plus our state-level studies on LTC financing in California, New York and Pennsylvania--all published this year--explained why Medicaid spends too much without fixing long-term care and what should be done to correct the problem.

With government spending out of control and all eyes on how to tame the debt and deficit by reducing expenditures, we figured the time was right to focus on policy changes aimed at targeting scarce public resources to the neediest while generating substantial government savings and encouraging private sector jobs and tax revenue.

Evidently, we were wrong.  Unlike in 2005, when our efforts contributed to the successful passage of the Deficit Reduction Act (DRA '05), today's politics are so polarized it seems unlikely any worthwhile legislative change can be achieved before next year's Presidential election. 

What's different?  One political party controlled the Presidency and both houses of Congress in 2005.  This year, divided government prevents action even when both parties fundamentally agree.  For example, in the House Oversight and Government Reform Health Subcommittee's hearing last week on Medicaid eligibility abuse--read about it here, watch it here--members from both parties agreed that Medicaid benefits should go to the indigent and that "loopholes" which allow the affluent to hijack limited Medicaid funds should be closed.

But one party has stated it will not cut Medicaid for any reason, no matter how sensible, and the other party says cutting Medicaid eligibility for the well-to-do is not possible this year because the first party refuses to consider any Medicaid cuts.  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform is non-political so we'll just let you guess which party is which in this scenario.

One incident in the hearing really drove home the frustrating hopelessness of meaningful reform any time soon.  No one took issue with the facts and logic Steve Moses laid out in his testimony and elaborated upon in answers to questions.  But when advocates for maintaining Medicaid's dysfunctional status quo questioned him, they asked exclusively about the Center for Long-Term Care Reform's funding sources.  One member of the Committee railed about the Center being a mouthpiece for the insurance industry and then stormed out of the room without allowing Steve to reply.

Steve adamantly refused to disclose any of the Center's funding sources.  He countered by observing that the only thing that matters about the Center's funding is that none of it comes from the federal government.  All of the Center's financial support is clean money earned legitimately in the private sector.  To oppose the Center's analysis and recommendations based on the source of our funding is a logical fallacy called ad hominem.  Such a tactic is baseless and base.  Center supporter and LTCI expert Bob Vandy of New York and National Long-Term Care Brokers asked "does this mean we can't believe what [the Congressman] says because he is simply a mouthpiece for his campaign contributors?"  Well put. 

Unfortunately, the video of the hearing cut off the end of the Q&A period in which Steve responded forcefully to these attacks.  Several of our readers who watched the hearing video complained that the coverage ended just as he was about to respond.  We've asked the committee to post the entire recording.  People who attended the hearing in person agreed that Steve successfully turned the criticism against his critics.

The bottom line is that continuing to pursue consensus and action on Medicaid LTC reform in the current political environment would be spinning our wheels.  Not because consensus is unreachable.  We have consensus.  We simply have no agreement that action, no matter how worthwhile, is possible.

So, when Plan A doesn't work, you shift to Plan B.  What is Plan B?  Instead of preparing legislative recommendations and persuading interest groups to support them, we'll focus on getting the word out more widely through "bullhorn organizations."  These are groups that don't necessarily conduct research or do analysis, but rather publish information and promote ideas to their membership and clientele.  Some examples include the Peterson Foundation, the Concord Coalition, Citizens Against Government Waste and former Comptroller General David Walker's new Comeback America Initiative.  If you have any contacts in such organizations, please make an email introduction to open the door for the Center.

To help get the word out, Steve Moses will prepare a series of "Briefing Papers" on key issues related to Medicaid and LTC financing.  Topics will include "The Sorry History of LTC Financing," "Easy Medicaid Eligibility," "Medicaid Planning or Welfare for the Well-to-Do," "The Mirage of Rebalancing," "Preventing Dual Eligibles," and "Private LTC Financing Alternatives."  We'll add an "overview" paper that shows how all these topics inter-relate and proposes a solution to the problems discussed.

Finally, let's close today's Bullet with this vote of confidence and support from Center for LTC Reform corporate member Stephen D. Forman of Long Term Care Associates.  He writes about the 9/22/11 ProducersWeb article titled "Medicaid planning critic goes to Capitol Hill," a good read in its own right.

"As Steve Moses has said, 'You can't sell apples on one side of the street while the government is giving them away on the other.' As long-term care insurance producers, the biggest obstacle to growth in our industry is the perverse incentive afforded by Medicaid LTC--an entrenched 45-yr old system of nursing-home biased, low-quality, but free health care.

"Bravo to the Center for LTC Reform for traveling to Washington, DC to testify during the 'Examining Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility Rules' Hearing (find the video and transcript here: http://1.usa.gov/Moses-Testifies-DC). . . .

"Where is the support, the hurrahs, the interest? Do the LTCI producers-at-large make the connection between the products you sell and Medicaid, and why the latter crowds-out 2/3rds to 90% of our market? Or do you disagree? The work the Center is doing is singular in its purpose--no other organization can perform the mission it can. I'm curious why a story like this seemingly flies under the radar . . .

"One of the future articles I'm writing in my series concerns unity in our industry: showing a united front; trading competition in favor of collaboration; taking responsibility for the attacks we incur and standing up to defend ourselves in the media-- not letting a handful of agents carry the water for us. . . ."

Regards,

Stephen D. Forman, SVP, LTCA INC

Read the article Steve Forman refers to in the last paragraph above here.

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Updated, Monday, September 26, 2011, 1:08 PM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

(LTC Embed Report #7)

LTC Comment:  Last Thursday's "LTC Bullet:  Friendly Fire in the Class War" described the Congressional hearing titled "Examining Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility Rules" conducted by the House Oversight and Government Reform Subcommittee on Healthcare, Wednesday, September 21, 2011.  In that Bullet, we referred you to a link for a video of the hearing which was not yet live.  It is live now and you can find the full video recording of the hearing here

Highlights:

  • Chairman Gowdy's opening statement begins at 9 minutes into the video.
  • Ranking Member Davis's opening statement begins at 15 minutes in.
  • Steve Moses's testimony begins at 27 minutes in.
  • Elder law attorney and Medicaid planner David Dorfman's testimony begins at 34 minutes in.
  • Janice Eulau, the Medicaid eligibility worker from New York who explained how people with hundreds of thousands of dollars routinely qualify for Medicaid, begins at approximately 38 minutes
  • Director Hamos from Illinois' Medicaid program begins at 44 minutes.
  • Questioning of the witnesses by members of the Committee, which becomes somewhat animated and confrontational, begins at 48 minutes in.


*** NATIONAL MEDICARE SUPPLEMENT INSURANCE CONFERENCE SCHEDULED for May 16-18, 2012 in Miami, Florida.  Organized by the American Association for Medicare Supplement Insurance, the conference will be held at the Hilton Hotel in Downtown Miami.  Obtain additional information by calling the Association offices at (818) 597-3205 or by visiting their website at http://www.medicaresupp.org/. ***

 

***  CONGRATULATIONS to CEO Paul Forte and the whole team at LTC Partners:  "More than 45,000 federal employees, spouses and same-sex domestic partners signed up for the Federal Long Term Care Insurance Program during the open season period earlier this year."  Source:  "45,000 Feds Sign Up For Long-Term Care Benefit," by Stephen Losey, Federal Times, September 22, 2011. *** 

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9/23/11, "Use Reverse Mortgages, Save $30 Billion on Medicaid?," by Elizabeth Ecker, Reverse Mortgage Daily

Quote:  "Reverse mortgages could play an important role in saving $30 billion per year in Medicaid spending, says long-term care reform advocate Stephen Moses. If people had to consume their home equity before qualifying for public benefits, spending on those public benefits would see a substantial decrease, Moses said in a congressional hearing Wednesday on Medicaid and long-term care financing."

LTC Comment:  I also explained to the committee that once home equity is at risk for long-term care, many more people will purchase private LTC insurance to pay for the care and protect the home equity.

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9/23/11, "Improved coordination of dual eligibles could save the federal government $125 billion over 10 years, report says," McKnight's LTC News (link)

Quote:  "Requiring dual eligibles - individuals receiving both Medicare and Medicaid benefits - to enroll in team-based coordination of care programs could save the federal government $125 billion over 10 years, a new report finds."

LTC Comment:  Huge efforts are being made to find better ways to manage dual eligibles, but to my knowledge no one except your Center for Long-Term Care Reform is promoting public policies to prevent people from becoming dual eligibles in the first place by eliminating Medicaid eligibility loopholes and using the savings to incentivize the purchase of LTC insurance.

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9/22/11, "Long Term Care Insurance Planning - Why 64 Is The Magic Cut Off Age," WebWire

Quote:  "Long term care insurance is best purchased between the ages of 52 and 64 according to a new report from the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance the national trade organization. . . .   'The reason according to [Jesse] Slome is the fact that when individuals reach age 65, they qualify for Medicare health coverage benefits.  'Ask anyone within a year or two of Medicare eligibility and they can't wait,' Slome declares.  'They delay seeing their doctor knowing that once Medicare kicks in, they are basically free to have every little ailment examined and treated.'  What consumers do not recognize however is the fact that long term care insurance companies will request medical information from individual applicants.  'You finally visit the doctor thanks to Medicare and his or her diagnosis makes you uninsurable or heath-rated so that you have to pay more for insurance coverage,' Slome notes." 

LTC Comment:  How ironic!  Seniors put off check ups waiting for Medicare to start and then lose insurability for LTC. 

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9/22/11, "Should rich people pay more for Medicare?," Reuters

Quote:  "Should affluent seniors pay more for Medicare than everyone else? How about Social Security? Should we cut benefits for wealthy Americans?  Ideas for 'means testing' these critical retirement programs are front and center as deficit reduction talks move back into high gear in Washington."

LTC Comment:  Just as I've predicted since 2008.  Means testing means conversion of Social Security and Medicare into welfare programs instead of "social insurance."

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9/21/11, "Medicaid Planning Critic Goes to Capitol Hill," by Allison Bell, National Underwriter

Quote:   "Stephen Moses, a man who has spent years fighting the rules that let relatively affluent people qualify for Medicaid nursing home benefits, got a chance today to explain his position to members of Congress. . . .  When people with substantial assets use Medicaid nursing home benefits, that hurts Medicaid program finances, the taxpayers who are paying for Medicaid, and genuinely poor people, who might be able to get better benefits if they did not have to share the Medicaid program with relatively affluent people, Medicaid planning critics said."  

LTC Comment:  For details on the hearing, see last Thursday's "LTC Bullet:  Friendly Fire in the Class War" and above for a link to the hearing video. 

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9/21/11, "Study Links Diabetes With Dementia And Long Term Care Insurance Risk," OpenPR

Quote:  "Adults with diabetes face a significantly higher risk of developing all types of dementia, including Alzheimer's disease, the leading cause of long term care insurance claims."

LTC Comment:  The epidemic of obesity and diabetes in the USA bodes ill for Americans insurability.

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9/21/11, "Boomers' spending binge presents additional retirement planning challenge," by Ann Marsh, Employee Benefit Adviser

 

Quote:  "Around the time they turn 50, many people unconsciously begin to ratchet up their spending. Instead, prominent retirement planning scholar Alice P. Munnell thinks financial planners and employers need to wage a campaign to get their clients and employees to hit the pause button at this crucial midpoint in their lives."

 

LTC Comment:  This advice fits perfectly with advice to invest in LTC insurance around the same time of life.

 

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9/20/11, "Survey: More than half of seniors confused by Medicare, healthcare reform," McKnight's LTC News 

Quote:  "Only 46% of seniors and baby boomers have a solid understanding of how Medicare works, and half of people over the age of 60 say they have a poor understanding of healthcare reform, a new report finds.  What's more, 39% of all seniors say their ability to navigate the numerous Medicare options is fair to poor, according to a survey of 1,500 seniors released by UnitedHealthcare and the National Council on Aging."

LTC Comment:  People say LTCI policies are complicated, but they've got nothing on Medicare in that regard.

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9/19/11, "Patient Protection Reform Could Mean Higher Healthcare Costs," Employee Benefit Adviser

Quote:  "Of the endlessly debated provisions in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA), the requirements for Medical Loss Ratios (MLRs) stand out for insurance companies because the requirements are designed to dictate how those companies pay their bills."

LTC Comment:  The Medical Loss Ratio issue could be the death knell for health reform or for agent sales. 

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Updated, Thursday, September 22, 2011, 1:48 PM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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LTC Bullet:  Friendly Fire in the Class War

(LTC Embed Report #6)

LTC Comment:  Steve Moses's Congressional testimony on Wednesday was well-received except for an ad hominem attack, "friendly fire" in the class war.  An explanation, witness testimonies, and a video of the hearing follow after the ***news.***

*** LATE BREAKING NEWS . . . "9/22/11 12:51 PM EDT   HHS has issued this statement:  While the staff of the CLASS office has been reduced, reports that the CLASS office is closing are not accurate. We are continuing our analysis of this program. As we have said in the past, it is an open question whether the program will be implemented. A CLASS program will only be implemented if it is fiscally solvent, self-sustaining, and consistent with the statute." ***

*** CLASS DIES?  LTC Bullets obtained the following email communication from an anonymous source:

September 22, 2011

Dear colleagues,

I'm leaving my position as the CLASS Office actuary as HHS has decided to close down the CLASS Office effective tomorrow.  I believe I have made a contribution to CLASS to the best of my ability and hope I haven't embarrassed the actuarial profession too much.

I had the good fortune to work with, and receive advice from, almost all of you during this assignment. Thank you so much for your help and guidance.  You have no idea how comforting it is to know that you have my back.  Special thanks to the government actuaries whose predicament I have learned to appreciate - overworked and underpaid.

I'll be taking some time off in late October.  But, as my beloved governor Arnold has promised, I'll be back.

If you have any questions or thoughts, please share them with me.

Take care.

Bob Yee ***

*** FURTHER DETAILS re CLASS come from AHIP:  "We are writing to let you know that the CLASS Office established under the Administration on Aging, to implement the CLASS Program, has been put on hold.  To date, the CLASS Office has been unable to develop an actuarially sound CLASS program.  Until a financially workable program has been developed, staffing for the CLASS Office will be significantly reduced and implementation of the program will be put on hold.  We also have been told that the CLASS Office is working on an official announcement that will likely be posted on its website (http://www.aoa.gov/AoARoot/CLASS/index.aspx) in the next few days." ***

*** NATIONAL UNDERWRITER covered yesterday's Congressional hearing "Examining Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility Rules" here.  Quote:  "Stephen Moses, a man who has spent years fighting the rules that let relatively affluent people qualify for Medicaid nursing home benefits, got a chance today to explain his position to members of Congress. . . .  When people with substantial assets use Medicaid nursing home benefits, that hurts Medicaid program finances, the taxpayers who are paying for Medicaid, and genuinely poor people, who might be able to get better benefits if they did not have to share the Medicaid program with relatively affluent people, Medicaid planning critics said." ***

------------

LTC BULLET:  FRIENDLY FIRE IN THE CLASS WAR

LTC Bullet:  On Wednesday, September 21, 2011 the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee's Subcommittee on Healthcare, District of Columbia, Census and the National Archives conducted a hearing titled "Examining Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility Rules."  Read witnesses' testimonies and watch the entire hearing here.  A transcript of the hearing will be available in approximately two weeks and we'll bring it to you then.

Hearing witnesses included Stephen Moses of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform; New York elder law attorney David Dorfman; Suffolk County (Long Island) New York Medicaid eligibility specialist Janice Eulau; and Julie Hamos, Director of the Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services, Illinois' Medicaid agency.  After opening statements by the Subcommittee Chairman Trey Gowdy (R, SC) and by ranking member Danny Davis (D, IL), witnesses had five minutes each to present their testimonies. 

Steve Moses explained how most elderly people who need long-term care qualify easily for Medicaid benefits without spending down their savings.  (Steve's testimony follows below.)  Attorney David Dorfman defended Medicaid planning for people who would not qualify otherwise based on their income and assets.  Eligibility expert Janice Eulau explained that her county's average Medicaid applicant has $300,000 in assets, that those with $500,000 are common, and that people with over $1,000,000, though less frequent, do qualify easily.  Illinois Medicaid agency director Hamos derided Medicaid planning abuses and explained how her program is trying to end them.

In the question and answer period after witnesses testified, subcommittee members probed for details.  Chairman Gowdy's first question went to attorney Dorfman.  He asked whether the Medicaid planner considered Medicaid a program for the indigent or "universal health care" for all.  Mr. Dorfman replied that Medicaid is a program for people who qualify, implicitly acknowledging that he believes Medicaid is for all people who can arrange their income and assets to qualify legally.  He stated that his average client has a home worth $500,000, $100,000 in retirement savings, and around $30,000 in liquid assets.

Eligibility expert Eulau said most of the Medicaid applicants she sees have much more wealth than Mr. Dorfman's average client.  Nevertheless, they qualify for Medicaid LTC benefits easily using techniques such as transfers, annuities, and promissory notes.  She explained in detail the most common Medicaid planning practice in her county, which involves using promissory notes to reduce spend down liability.

The most confrontational episode in the hearing occurred when some members attacked Steve Moses for receiving financial support from the insurance industry.  Moses responded by pointing out that such an ad hominem argument is a logical fallacy and that he would respond only to questions about his analysis, evidence and logic.  He refused to list his organization's corporate donors on the grounds that he receives no federal funds and it is none of the questioners' business.  "How ironic," Steve remarked after the hearing, "to attack me as a tool of corporate interests when I live in a trailer 3,000 miles from home fighting to save Medicaid as a long-term care safety net for the poor."

Steve's testimony follows.  He titled it "Medicaid Long-Term Care:  Friendly Fire in the Class War" for this reason:  Easy access to Medicaid LTC benefits since 1965 has led to middle class and affluent seniors crowding out the poor from access to quality care.  When your own troops shoot at you in war, it's called "friendly fire."  Politicians who oppose targeting Medicaid to people most in need are really helping the well-to-do and hurting the poor, the opposite of their stated objectives.  Hence, friendly fire in the class war.

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Testimony before the House Oversight and Government Reform Subcommittee on Healthcare by Stephen A. Moses, President, Center for Long-Term Care Reform (www.centerltc.com) on September 21, 2011

"Medicaid Long-Term Care Benefits: Friendly Fire in the Class War"

Mr. Chairman and members of the Committee: thank you for inviting me to speak to you about Medicaid and long-term care financing.

I've worked in this field since 1981, first as a career federal employee with the Health Care Financing Administration, then for the Inspector General of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, and since 1989 in the private sector. I am currently president of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform. In each of these roles, I conducted national and state studies of Medicaid and long-term care financing policy. My remarks today are fully developed and documented in published reports available on our website at www.centerltc.com.

Medicaid is supposed to be a long-term care safety net for people in dire financial need. Instead it has become the dominant payer for most Americans who require extended care at home or in a nursing home, including the middle class and even the affluent. How can this be true if Medicaid is a means-tested, public assistance program? That is the key question before you today. Here's the answer.

Although everyone says Medicaid eligibility requires low income, that is untrue for people over the age of 65 who need long-term care. Federal rules require most states to deduct medical expenses, including the cost of nursing home care, from applicants' incomes before determining eligibility. Some states apply "income caps" but those are easily evaded by means of special "income diversion trusts." Bottom line, income almost never disqualifies anyone for Medicaid long-term care eligibility.

But what about assets? It is true that cash or negotiable securities over $2,000 are disqualifying in most states, but it doesn't matter how people spend down to that level as long as they don't give their money away. Financial advisors frequently tell clients to purchase exempt assets, take a world cruise, or throw a big party, all non-disqualifying spend down methods.

Just how many exempt assets can applicants retain and still qualify for Medicaid LTC benefits? There really is no meaningful limit. Exempt home equity is capped at $500,000 or $750,000--13 to 20 times the amount protected in England's socialized health care system--but the following resources are exempt without any limit:

• One business including the capital and cash flow
• Individual retirement accounts (IRAs)
• One automobile
• Prepaid burial plans for the Medicaid recipient and immediate family members
• Term life insurance, which allows recipients to evade Medicaid's estate recovery mandate
• Household goods and personal belongings

The federal regulations and policies that require these exemptions are documented in our report titled "Medi-Cal Long-Term Care: Safety Net or Hammock?," a copy of which has been made available to the Committee.

Married applicants for Medicaid LTC benefits can retain substantially more income and assets than single people: up to $2,739 per month of income and half the couple's join assets not to exceed $109,500. If the healthy spouse's personal income and assets are below these levels, the Medicaid spouse's income and assets are transferred to bring her or him up to the limit. These "spousal impoverishment" protections increase annually with inflation.

Because of these very generous basic eligibility rules, the vast majority of America's elderly qualify easily for Medicaid when they need long-term care. The conventional wisdom that people must spend down into impoverishment before Medicaid will help is demonstrably untrue. Only the most affluent need to consult Medicaid planners and use special legal techniques--such as trusts, transfers, annuities, life estates, life care contracts and promissory notes--to qualify. The other panelists will discuss Medicaid planning. The key point to remember is that egregious Medicaid planning is only the tip of the iceberg. The bigger problem is that Medicaid's basic eligibility rules allow most people to qualify after they need long-term care and without spending down their wealth first.

Easy access to Medicaid has the effect of desensitizing the public to LTC risk and cost. Medicaid's home equity exemption prevents people from using reverse mortgages to finance home care. With most of their assets protected by Medicaid, few people plan early to save, invest or insure for long-term care. Well intentioned public policy has turned into a perverse incentive discouraging responsible LTC planning. Furthermore, consuming scarce public welfare resources to indemnify affluent baby-boomer heirs of well-to-do seniors hurts the poor instead of helping. It's like friendly fire in the class war.

Medicaid could save up to $30 billion per year if people had to consume their home equity before qualifying for public benefits as is true in England. The program's most expensive "dual eligible" recipients could be reduced by 20 percent. Reverse mortgages to fund long-term care would thrive and generate new jobs and tax revenue. The private long-term care insurance market would expand creating even more jobs and revenue. But most importantly, relieving the financial pressure on Medicaid in this way would enable the program to survive as a quality safety net for the truly needy.

My analysis explaining how Medicaid can save $30 billion per year by encouraging financing of long-term care through reverse mortgages and private insurance has been provided to the Committee.

Thank you for your attention.

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Updated, Tuesday, September 20, 2011, 1:20 PM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

LTC Comment:  The House "Oversight and Government Reform Subcommittee on Healthcare, District of Columbia, Census, and National Archives" will hold a hearing on Wednesday, September 21, 2011 at 10:00a.m. in Room 2247 of the Rayburn House Office Building.  The hearing is titled "Examining Abuses of Medicaid Eligibility Rules."  It's open to the public so do come if you can.

 

According to the Sub-Committee's chairman, Congressman Trey Gowdy (R, SC):  "The hearing will focus on eligibility rules for Medicaid long-term care services, the techniques used by individuals to qualify for Medicaid, and the overall impact of the eligibility rules."

Steve Moses will testify regarding Medicaid long-term care eligibility rules and how they  are stretched beyond Congressional intent to enable non-poor people to qualify for the program's most expensive benefits.  Other witnesses include a state Medicaid LTC eligibility worker and a New York elder law attorney.

We'll report on the hearing in Friday's LTC Bullet.  In the meantime, we hope to see you there.  Let's gather a cheering section for rational long-term care policy and responsible long-term care planning.

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Dr. Marion and the 3in4 Need More Tour visited Detroit's OneReverse Mortgage and the Heidelberg Project last week.  Check out episode 7 of the tour's "Week in Review" video coverage here.

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9/19/11, "GOP Vets an ObamaCare Program," by Joseph Rago, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "The Solyndra solar subsidy flare-up is getting all the media attention, but arguably as great a White House scandal concerns one of ObamaCare's multiple new entitlements. A trove of internal emails uncovered by congressional investigators shows that administration officials knew that a new program for long-term care really was the fiscal disaster that critics claimed at the time."

LTC Comment:  We covered this CLASS scandal before, but when the Wall Street Journal picks it up, it's news all over again.

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9/18/11, "Protecting Your Future: Using Medicaid Asset Protection Trust," by Bonnie Kraham, Times Herald-Record

Quote:  "If you want to protect your assets and pass them on to your children, and you don't have long-term-care insurance, then the best plan is the irrevocable Medicaid Asset Protection Trust (MAPT). Some people balk at the idea, because they fear losing control of their assets. In reality, an MAPT gives you more control of your assets, not less."

LTC Comment:  Medicaid planning persists.

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9/17/11, "Don't Join the Ostrich Generation," by Kelly Greene, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "Most boomers realize that care is pricey, but typically don't grasp the scale of rising costs.

"A private room in a nursing home, which now costs $82,125 a year on average, according to the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance, could escalate to $190,000 a year by 2030, according to estimates by insurer Sun Life Financial. Yet in a survey of 1,015 people who are 50 or older that Sun Life released earlier this month, the median guess was that costs would go up half that much.

"Some 70% of Americans older than age 65 will need long-term care, meaning help with daily activities such as eating and bathing, according to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Yet the same survey found that almost no one had discussed long-term care with a financial adviser or lawyer.

"Financial planners who confront their older clients with such statistics say the clients usually spring for long-term-care insurance, which costs about $2,350 a year for a 55-year-old couple (including discounts for good health and being married), or $4,660 a year for a 65-year-old couple, according to the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance.

"The main moving parts are the length of the benefit, which generally should last at least three years; the daily benefit amount, which should match up to costs where you live; and the "elimination period," meaning the period of time you choose to pay your expenses yourself before coverage starts. Particularly for people under age 70, many planners also recommend paying up for a rider that provides a 5% bump in the benefit each year to protect against inflation.

"Another option is a 'hybrid'-an annuity or life-insurance policy with a long-term-care benefit. Ms. Bajalia in St. Augustine recently set up an indexed annuity for Barbara Deckman, a 62-year-old retired teacher, which has a lifetime income benefit and a "double confinement" rider, meaning the policy pays twice as much each year if Ms. Deckman qualifies for long-term-care payments."

LTC Comment:  Great to find this in Kelly Greene's Wall Street Journal column!

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9/15/11, "CLASS Act flawed: American Association for Long Term Care Insurance Comments On Congressional Report," Life & Health Advisor (link)

Quote:  "'The President and the Democrats are in an impossible situation,' explains Jesse Slome, executive director of the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance, the national trade group.  'If Democrats throw CLASS under the bus, it opens the door for attacks on other aspects of healthcare law.  If they defend what they know is an unsustainable program, they are open to political attack as the party who never met an unsustainable entitlement program they didn't like.'"

LTC Comment:  Damned if they do and damned if they don't, but not if they hadn't!  "Oh what a tangled web we weave, When first we practice to deceive"-- Sir Walter Scott

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9/14/11, "Seniors Housing Weekly Market Update: 60 Seconds with Steve Monroe," Senior Care M&A Deals and News

Quote:  "The home health care industry provides a wonderful and much-needed service to the elderly market, but misleading marketing ploys can be damaging to its cause, as we saw in a recent example . . ."

LTC Comment:  I recommend this one minute video on comparing home care costs with assisted living or nursing home care.

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9/14/11, "When Health Insurance is Free," by John Goodman, NCPA Health Alert

Quote:  "Did you know that an estimated one of every three uninsured people in this country is eligible for a government program (mainly Medicaid or a state children's health insurance plan), but has not signed up?"

LTC Comment:  What would happen to the state and federal budgets if all these eligible people showed up, applied and sought care suddenly?

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9/13/11, "New Reverse Mortgage Product Has Lower Upfront Costs," ElderLawAnsers  

Quote:  "A new mortgage product is making 'reverse' mortgages more affordable. Reverse mortgages typically have high fees, but the new Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) Saver allows borrowers to get a reverse mortgage with lower upfront costs as long as they are willing to borrow a smaller amount."

LTC Comment:  The rap against reverse mortgages for high fees and complaints that LTC insurance costs too much are grounded in both a lack of understanding of the products, including how they differ from other financial products and in the lack of need for them to fund long-term care engendered by the easy availability of Medicaid.

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9/13/11, "Caregivers urge action as Obama administration drafts national Alzheimer's plan," Associated Press, Washington Post

Quote:  "Dementia is poised to become a defining disease of the rapidly aging population - and a budget-busting one for Medicare, Medicaid and families. Now the Obama administration is developing the first National Alzheimer's Plan, to combine research aimed at fighting the mind-destroying disease with help that caregivers need to stay afloat."

LTC Comment:  Great, and the money is coming from where?  Another example of how good intentions lead to unfunded liabilities.  Don't hold your breath waiting for the government to provide "help that caregivers need to stay afloat."  Smarter to insure for LTC and pay your own way.

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9/13/11, "Surprising Facts about America's Poor," Mike Brownfield, Heritage Morning Bell

Quote:  "The following are facts about persons defined as 'poor' by the Census Bureau: 

  • 80 percent of poor households have air conditioning
  • Nearly three-fourths have a car or truck, and 31 percent have two or more cars or trucks
  • Nearly two-thirds have cable or satellite television
  • Two-thirds have at least one DVD player and 70 percent have a VCR
  • Half have a personal computer, and one in seven have two or more computers
  • More than half of poor families with children have a video game system, such as an Xbox or PlayStation
  • 43 percent have Internet access
  • One-third have a wide-screen plasma or LCD television
  • One-fourth have a digital video recorder system, such as a TiVo"

LTC Comment:  Well, that's not exactly what I recall "poverty" being like when I lived in the Venezuelan outback from 1968 to 1970 as a Peace Corps Volunteer.

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9/12/11, "Why People Don't Buy Long-Term Care Insurance," by Howard Gleckman, Forbes

Quote:  "It isn't news that Americans are reluctant to buy private long-term care insurance. Only 7 million have policies and few people are buying new ones. But why don't we plan for the risk of needing assistance at some point in our lives? After all, 7 of every 10 of us will need care sometime after we reach age 65 and others will need it at younger ages due to injury or illness."

LTC Comment:  On Sept. 29, as part of the Society of Actuaries "Think Tank" programs, I will debate (by Web link) the author of the paper discussed in this column who argues that Medicaid does not crowd out LTC insurance and that tax deductibility for LTCI does not save Medicaid money.  Despite her fine scholarship, she's wrong for reasons she does not know, understand or consider.  I'll explain. 

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9/12/11, "VA Experience Shows Patient 'Rebound' Hard To Counter," by Jordan Rau, Kaiser Health News 

Quote:  "The Veterans Health Administration,  the largest integrated health care system in the country, has long employed many of the approaches Medicare is pushing on all hospitals to cut unnecessary readmissions. But new data show VA hospital patients are just as likely to end up back in a hospital bed as are patients at private hospitals." 

LTC Comment:  The best laid plans of mice and men (and ObamaCare) go awry.

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9/12/11, "A Squirt of Insulin May Delay Alzheimer's," by Gina Kolata, New York Times

Quote:  "A small pilot study has found preliminary evidence that squirting insulin deep into the nose where it travels to the brain might hold early Alzheimer's disease at bay, researchers said on Monday."

LTC Comment:  Flashes of hope regarding Alzheimer's seem rarely to pan out.

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Updated, Friday, September 16, 2011, Time 12:41 PM (Eastern)

Washington, DC--

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LTC BULLET:  LTC ACTION

(LTC EMBED REPORT #5)

LTC Comment:  Exciting things are happening as your Center for LTC Reform completes week two of our September-October LTC policy project in the nation's capital.  Read below about a CLASS attack, a Congressional hearing on our issues, plus CBO and GAO developments.

 

LTC BULLET:  LTC ACTION (LTC EMBED REPORT #5)

CLASS Act Attacked

The big news y