l   SAVE LTC CAMPAIGN   l   Articles, Speeches & Reports   l   LTC Bullets Newsletters   l   Media   l       Members-Only Zone   l   LTC TV   l   Search   l   About Us   l   Contact Us   l   Home  
|  
Join and Contribute Online   l   LTC Graduate Seminar   |


Our Mission:

The Center for LTC Reform is a private institute dedicated to ensuring quality long-term care for all Americans by promoting public policy that targets scarce public resources to the neediest, while encouraging people who are young, healthy and affluent enough, to take responsibility for themselves.   We do this through...


NEED A SPEAKER? Have Steve Moses speak at your next event.
Steve Moses spoofs CLASS at the 11th Annual ILTCI Conference. Listen.
Is Medicaid a LTC safety net or a hammock?  Read our California report. 
How Can You Work with the Center for LTC Reform?
Take our virtual tour of the Center's website.  This video webinar explains how to access and navigate the valuable content on the CLTCR website.
Testimonials
Read Medicaid Planning Quotes / Read "LTC Predictions"

CHECK OUT OUR LTC ALMANAC (Members Only)
Not a CLTCR member?  Get a free trial membership for your sneak peak at our LTC Almanac and Members-Only Zone. 
Contact us at 206-283-7036 or info@centerltc.com

Membership Levels and Benefits CLTCR Handout -- Online or PDF for print
Please share these links with others
ANNOUNCING:
The Save LTC Campaign
We Need Your Help!
Learn about our Members-Only Zone
Hear Steve Moses tell all about the online
version of our LTC Graduate Seminar

The CLTCR National LTC
Consciousness Tour Retrospective


ADS

Place your advertisement here.  

Email info@centerltc.com or call Damon at 206-283-7036 for advertising rates.   











LTCA enables GAs to receive top compensation and vesting directly from each carrier while supplying endorsed leads and support in a revolutionary new "hybrid" model: Click to see if you qualify for this limited opportunity.







Join the Center for Long-Term Care Reform.  Help us fight for rational LTC policy reform.  Receive our daily email publications.  Get a user name and password to our Members-Only Zone.  Only $150 per year.  Mail your check to Center for Long-Term Care Reform, Inc., 2212 Queen Anne Avenue North, #110, Seattle, Washington, 98109.  Contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com if you have questions.  Join the team!

 

 

 


READ STEVE'S BIO

############################# 

Updated, Monday, May 14, 2012, 3:30 PM (Pacific)

Seattle—

 

“3in4 Need More” Update and LTC News and Comment

 

############################# 

The latest stop in the “3in4 Need More” tour brings Dr. Marion to California, where she interviews Brenda Bufford, Director of California Partnership for Long-Term Care, attends a 3in4 "Bring Your Talent" contest, and receives an award for "Senior Long-Term Care Awareness." Watch the video, here.

The “3in4 Need More” campaign and tour are doing important work to help raise awareness for long-term care planning, and we thank them for all their hard work. Follow the tour at: www.3in4needmore.com.

############################# 

5/14/2012, Should You Purchase Long-Term-Care Insurance?, The Wall Street Journal

Quote: "Long-term-care insurance. It's a subject most people don't want to think about—but many people know they need to. At first blush, policies that help pay the costs of extended nursing care make perfect sense. Bills add up quickly when you can no longer take care of yourself and your needs exceed what family and friends can provide. Nursing homes, assisted-living centers and home care all are expensive, and there is no telling for how long you may need the service. Buying a long-term-care insurance policy can be a way of making sure your future physical needs will be met. Policies designed in partnership with state governments also give individuals and their families a way to protect savings in the event of burdensome care costs that stretch on for years."

LTC Comment: “The father of LTC Partnerships,” Mark Meiners, dispels some misconceptions about LTCi.

############################# 

5/13/2012, 12 Questions for 1 Successful LTCI Agent: Deborah Peterson, by Marilee Driscoll, LifeHealthPro

Quote: "Deborah Peterson has been the insurance business for over 25 years and specializing in long-term care insurance (LTCi) for the last 15. She also does some annuity sales for her LTCi clients. In January, Deborah became the first woman inducted into ACSIA's Blue Blazer club. This club, which currently includes 10 producers, is comprised of those who have both built a $1 million dollar book of business and been with ACSIA at least 10 years."

LTC Comment: An interesting Q&A by Center for Long-Term Care Reform long-time friend and member, Marilee Driscoll.

############################# 

5/11/2012, Why long-term care insurance is important, by Larry Swedroe, CBS News

Quote: "Even a well-developed investment plan can fail for reasons that have nothing to do with investments. It could fail because the family breadwinner dies prematurely and doesn't have enough life insurance to cover her loved ones. Or it could fail because of an auto accident that results in a large judgment, and there's insufficient liability insurance in the form of an umbrella policy. This is why it's critical to integrate an investment plan into an overall estate, tax, and risk management (insurance) plan. One area of concern that is all-too-often overlooked in the need for long-term care insurance (LTCI)."

LTC Comment: Some favorable coverage of LTCi in the mainstream media.

############################# 

5/10/2012, GAO: Fix the Medicare Advantage Diagnosis Gap, by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPro

Quote: "The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) should do a better job of adjusting for health risk grade inflation at Medicare Advantage plans, according to officials at the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO)."

############################# 

5/10/2012, SNFs prepare to absorb nearly $800 million in Medicare cuts, McKnight's Long Term Care News

Quote: "Medicare cuts scheduled to hit in January will cost skilled nursing facilities close to $800 million in fiscal year 2014, a new analysis estimates. Under the Budget Control Act, the mandated 2% across-the-board Medicare cuts would hit skilled nursing facilities in California, Florida, Texas, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Massachusetts the hardest, according to a analysis from Avalere Health and the Alliance for Quality Nursing Home Care. The cuts would total $782.3 million."

LTC Comment: As more cuts are made, access to high-quality LTC services will become even more scarce. Smart planners will save, invest or insure to cover their long-term care costs.

############################# 

5/10/2012/, Calculating Your Readiness to Retire, Financially and Otherwise, By John F. Wasik, NYTimes.com

Quote: "IN years past, retirement was guided by simple arithmetic. You knew exactly how much Social Security, savings and your defined-benefit pension would pay you, then cut back any unaffordable expenses when you hit 65. Now that Social Security and Medicare are being eyed for cutbacks and 401(k)’s produce ever-varying lump sums, the retirement planning process requires a more sophisticated strategy.

"Your retirement comfort number, of course, will change depending on what happens to Medicare and Social Security. Several proposals have been floated in the last year, ranging from Medicare 'premium support' plans that will give you money to buy privately issued insurance policies to means-tested benefit reductions for higher-income retirees. In nearly every benefit-cut assumption, though, you’ll most likely dig deeper into your pocket. Just what will happen with any of these proposals will depend largely on what happens in the November elections, which will shape the direction Congress will take."

LTC Comment: No matter what happens in November, people are getting the message that they cannot count on Medicare and Social Security alone to cover their expenses in retirement.

############################# 

5/9/2012, MassMutual Retirement Services Data Shows Women in 401(k) Plans are Saving More, Borrowing Less, Insurance Broadcasting

Quote: "MassMutual's Retirement Services Division data for the first quarter 2012 indicates that two segments of its defined contribution plan participants are increasing their savings levels at a higher rate than participants overall. For the quarter ended March 31, 2012, women increased their deferral rates at twice the level of men (4 basis point average increase for women vs. 2 basis point average increase for men)."

############################# 

5/9/2012, Cancer Is Leading Cause Of Critical Illness Insurance Claims

Quote: "Cancer accounted for over half of first-time claims by Americans who own critical illness insurance protection. Heart attack and stroke accounted for 29 percent of new claims in 2011. One million Americans now own critical illness insurance a form of protection that pays a cash benefit upon diagnosis of covered critical illnesses. Roughly half of new claims occurred prior to age 55 according to the 2012 Critical Illness Insurance Buyer & Claimant Study published by the American Association for Critical Illness Insurance and General Re Life Corporation."

############################# 

5/8/2012, Coming to Your City: The 3in4 Need More Bus Hits the Road With National Senior Talent Search & Awareness Tour, MarketWatch

Quote: "Non-profit organization 3in4 Association and its spokesperson, elder care expert & author Dr. Marion, today kicked off a 50-city bus tour to promote awareness for long-term health care planning, and launch a national senior talent contest to give away a free year-long stay at an Emeritus Senior Living community, valued at $45,000."

LTC Comment: The 3in4 Need More campaign is still going strong. Great job!

############################# 

5/8/2012, Long-Term-Care Insurance: Who Needs It?, by Marilyn Geewax, NPR 

Quote: "Americans routinely buy all sorts of insurance — for cars, homes, health and even pets and boats. But when it comes to long-term-care insurance, relatively few sign up. Out of more than 313 million Americans, only about 8 million have any such protection, according to the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance. The low participation rate largely reflects the high cost of long-term-care insurance."

LTC Comment: This article is far from perfect; it describes LTCi as “sketchy” and refers to policy holders as “fortunate,” rather than sensible or prudent. Nevertheless, it does make some good points about the product and offers a chart (provided by AALTCI) that highlights the relationship between an affordable policy, when purchased early enough, and the approximate increase in value of that policy as the policy holder ages.

############################# 

5/7/2012, Nationwide: Nearly Half of Pre-retirees Fear Adverse Impact of Healthcare Costs in Retirement, by Warren S. Hersch, LifeHealthPro

Quote: "Nearly half of soon-to-be-retired, high-net-worth boomers are concerned about the negative impact of healthcare costs on their retirement plans, new research reveals. Nationwide Financial, Columbus, Ohio, published this finding in a summary of results from an online poll of 625 adults ages 55-plus having $250,000 or more in household assets who plan to retire by 2020; and of 625 retired adults ages 65-plus having $250,000 or more in household assets. The survey was conducted for Nationwide by Harris Interactive Jan. 3-19, 2012."

############################# 

5/7/2012, California to Hold Hearing on LTC Program Bill, by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPro

Quote:  "The California Senate Appropriations Committee plans to hold a hearing May 14 on Senate Bill 1438, a bill that could eventually lead to the creation of a statewide long-term care insurance (LTCI) program in California. Members of the Senate Insurance Committee voted 5-3 to approve S.B. 1438 April 25. The bill, introduced by state Sen. Elaine Alquist, D-Santa Clara, Calif., calls for the California insurance commissioner to form a task force that would study the idea of creating an LTCI program."

LTC Comment: For further information on California’s LTC financing problems and solutions, please see "Medi-Cal Long-Term Care:  Safety Net or Hammock."

############################# 

5/5/2012, Medicare Covers In-Home Care, Anne Tergesen, WSJ.com

Quote: "Many people assume that Medicare provides little to no continuing coverage for in-home health care. In fact, the program covers up to 35 hours a week of nursing and home health care for those who meet specific requirements."

LTC Comment: At the Center for Long-Term Care Reform, we talk a lot about the crowd-out effect Medicaid has on long-term care insurance, but here's an example of how MediCARE crowds out LTCI.

#############################

Updated, Friday, May 11, 2012, 11:15 AM (Pacific)

Seattle—

LTC BULLET:  DOUBLE TROUBLE

LTC Comment:  Integrating Medicaid/Medicare funding and care delivery has been the holy grail of LTC dreamers, but their latest plan could backfire.  More after the ***news.***

*** 3IN4 CAMPAIGN BACK IN FULL SWING:  Check out the first "Week in Review" video segment plus highlights from the 3in4 Need More National Bus Tour and Free Rent Give Away Contest.  The 3in4 Need More campaign is dedicated to raising awareness of the importance of planning for one’s long term care needs.  The campaign utilizes multiple marketing strategies in order to increase awareness nationally.  Weekly Media Pick Ups include: 

* http://northridge.patch.com/articles/grannies
* http://www.oregonherald.com/oregon/local.cfm?id=1962
* http://finance.yahoo.com/news/coming-city-3in4-more-bus-154800047.html ***

*** GOVERNMENT SPENDING IS NOW CALLED INVESTING:  Long-time Center supporter, author and LTCI producer Ross Schriftman recently published this profound squib:  “To understand why our government is in such bad financial shape consider this.  Ben Franklin famously said, ‘A penny saved is a penny earned.’  Last week I was at a presentation where a high ranking Philadelphia official said, ‘A dollar spent is a dollar invested.’  This is the new narrative.  Count how many times our elected and appointed officials will call government spending an investment.  Sorry guys.  You can't invest money you already spent.  It doesn't work that way.  No wonder we are in big trouble.” ***

#############################

LTC BULLET:  DOUBLE TROUBLE

LTC Comment:  People who qualify for Medicare AND Medicaid are called “dual eligibles.”  Duals are very expensive.  For example, there are only about nine million Medicaid recipients who are also Medicare beneficiaries, but Medicaid spent $142.9 billion on them in 2009 or $16,056 each.  Duals comprise only 15% of Medicaid recipients but they consume 39% of its spending.  Dual eligibles are also heavy users of long-term care (LTC is 70% of their Medicaid expenditures) and acute care services not covered by Medicare (5%).  Medicaid pays for their Medicare premiums (9%) and cost-sharing (15%) too. 

In a paper the Center published recently, we estimated that Medicaid could save $30 billion per year by diverting only 21% of potential dual eligibles from ever becoming duals.  For details, see “Briefing Paper #5:  Dual Eligibles and Long-Term Care:  How to Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion Per Year and Pay for the ‘Doc Fix’.”  Our plan achieves that goal, by targeting Medicaid to the poor and creating incentives for the middle class and affluent to plan early, save, invest and insure for LTC so they never become a burden on Medicaid and hence do not become expensive dual eligibles.

Unfortunately, that is not an approach the federal and state governments have taken.  Instead, they focus entirely on managing the care of a huge and rapidly growing dual population.  The idea is to combine Medicare and Medicaid funding and place the duals in managed care.  When I was in Washington, DC last summer/fall, the director of the National Association of State Medicaid Directors told me that transitioning Medicaid recipients, including duals, into managed care was the single biggest initiative of the state directors.  At best, that approach can mitigate some of the exploding cost of caring for duals.  It is unlikely, however, to improve the quality of care they receive or reduce expenditures significantly.

Already, analysts from the political left and right are waving warning flags.  The left worries that private managed care companies will sacrifice care quality to maximize profits.  For example: 

The National Senior Citizens Law Center (NSCLC) released a special report . . . entitled "Assessing the Quality of California Dual Eligible Demonstration Health Plans" (link) that raises concern about the eight health plans the state has selected to handle the care of low income older adults and people with disabilities in Los Angeles, Orange, San Diego and San Mateo Counties. California has proposed a three-year demonstration project to enroll individuals dually eligible for Medicare and Medi-Cal [California’s name for Medicaid] into managed care plans.  (Source:  NSCLC Health Network Alert) 

The right worries about care quality too, but also that this new effort to push duals into managed care is just another Medicare money grab.  For example:

Dr. Scott Gottlieb, a former senior official at the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services in the Bush administration, warns that under Obamacare disabled seniors who are eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid will receive inferior care, according to a report by the New York Post.  Gottlieb, an American Enterprise Institute resident fellow, says these low-income people who are elderly or have disabilities will be uprooted from the tried-and-true Medicare fold and "herded" into state-run Medicaid plans as another phase of Obamacare grips the nation. . . .  Some cash-strapped states are jumping at the chance to capture federal Medicare dollars for their Medicaid programs, according to Gottlieb.  (Source:  Newsmax)

The biggest problem with government-financed health or long-term care is that well-intentioned interventions have a way of causing bigger problems than the ones they try to fix.  Instead of preventing people from becoming dual eligibles in the first place, the latest public financing approach is to cut costs by turning over care of the sickest and most disabled public dependents to big companies that may or may not be able to manage their complex care needs adequately.  This could be double trouble for vulnerable elderly people dually dependent on Medicaid and Medicare.  It definitely bears keeping a close eye on developments.

In the meantime, the only way to be sure you and your loved ones never have to rely on disintegrating entitlement programs--like the dying duo of Medicare and Medicaid--is to plan early and save, invest or insure for your health and long-term care needs.

#############################

Updated, Wednesday, May 9, 2012, 12:30 PM (Pacific)

Seattle—

May Day Celebration of Success and LTC News and Comment

############################# 

LTC Comment:  On May 1st, the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance announced the recipients of the 2012 National Long-Term Care Insurance Sales Achievement Award. The Center for Long-Term Care Reform thanks all of our nation’s industrious and talented producers who play a vital role in protecting against LTC risk and cost.  Results and further details here.

 

#############################

5/6/2012, Advisers shortsighted about long-term care, by Darla Mercado, InvestmentNews

Quote"Apparently, the best way to get a client thinking about long-term care is to turn his or her attention to family members.

"That also requires advisers to reposition long-term-care insurance as not just a product but as a stream of income that can help fund the overall financial plan."

LTC Comment:  This article highlights the link between sound financial planning to protect your family and long-term care insurance.

#############################

5/4/2012, Survey: Only 1 in 7 Employees on Track to Retire with 80% of Income, by Warren S. Hersch, LifeHealthPro

Quote"Despite a strong market rebound over the last two quarters, employees remain uncertain about their investing decisions and ability to retire. The survey says this 'appears to be a result of employees continuing to realize they are not on track to retire comfortably since the recession.'

"Liz Davidson, CEO and Founder of Financial Finesse, says that although employees are far from where they need to be, they are showing positive growth by realizing they are behind as they continue to put strong emphasis on proactive financial issues."

LTC Comment:  Although the results from this survey show a bleak financial outlook for many, they also show a positive trend in awareness of the necessity to plan financially for the future as well as the willingness to exercise that financial fortitude.

#############################

5/4/2012, White House makes $1.9 billion bet: Oregon can fix health care, The Washington Post

Quote"On Thursday, the Obama administration made a $1.9 billion bet that Oregon can dramatically reduce health costs in an unprecedented way. The Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services said it will chip in $1.9 billion of start-up costs to get Oregon’s Medicaid reforms going. In return, Oregon made a big promise: The state says it will keep its Medicaid costs growing 2 percent slower than in previous years."

#############################

5/3/2012, Critical Illness Insurance Claims Often Begin Prior To Age 55

"Just under half (47%) of new critical illness insurance claims in 2011 began prior to age 55 according to the 2012 Buyer & Claimant Study conducted by the American Association for Critical Illness Insurance (AACII) and General Re Life Corporation. This marks a significant increase in claims by younger policyholders compared to the prior year's analysis."

LTC Comment:  Already popular in other countries, critical illness insurance is gaining popularity in the United States, especially with our younger consumers.

#############################

5/3/2012, White House refuses to drop $8 billion Medicare private plan demo, by Charles Fiegl, amednews.com

Quote"Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius defended the Medicare Advantage quality bonus program during an April 27 hearing before the House Education and the Workforce Committee. Committee members strongly criticized HHS over findings in a recent Government Accountability Office report, which called for ending an $8 billion project that will offset some of the Medicare Advantage cuts mandated by the 2010 health system reform law."

#############################

5/2/2012, Will Medicare Costs Outpace Social Security Benefits?, by Kelly Greene, Total Return - WSJ

Quote"Here’s a heads-up if you or someone in your family receives Social Security retirement benefits: A new analysis shows that benefits probably won’t keep up with Medicare premiums – which are typically deducted from Social Security payments - in the next few years."

LTC Comment: A reality check for anyone who still believes they will be able to live comfortably on Social Security in retirement, without further financial planning.

#############################

5/2/2012, Genworth Chariman, CEO Resigns, by Matt Ackermann, Financial Planning

Quote"Genworth Financial announced Wednesday that Michael D. Fraizer, its chairman and chief executive officer, has resigned."

#############################

 

5/1/2012, Workers Turned Caregivers Lose More Than Wages, hosted by Steve Inskeep, NPR

Quote"The average caregiver is 49 years old. Cheryl Matheis, senior vice president for policy at AARP, tells Steve Inskeep when a worker has to leave their job to care for a relative, they lose on average $325,000 in lifetime income — from lost wages, Social Security and pensions." 

LTC Comment:  Another reason to plan ahead for the risk and cost of long-term care, but still no mention of private LTCi in this article.

#############################

5/1/2012, Guide Addresses Confusion on Long Term Care Insurance Partnership Program

Quote"Although Long Term Care Insurance Partnership Programs can be of tremendous benefit to buyers in most states, a report released last month by America's Health Insurance Plans (AHIP) reveals that only 25% of individuals age 50+ know if partnership type policies are available in their state. The National LTC Network has published a Guide that makes it easy for anyone to see if their state does indeed participate. Entitled ‘Tax Breaks and Incentives for Long Term Care Insurance,’ the Guide includes a comprehensive listing of whether or not each state participates in Partnership."

LTC Comment: Many LTCi prospects may not know if their state participates in Partnership, but it appears that many are realizing the necessity of planning ahead for their long-term care needs.

#############################

5/1/2012, LTCI Watch: Strong Persistency, by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPro

Quote"The only people more enthusiastic about private long-term care insurance (LTCI) than LTCI agents, brokers and wholesalers may be the LTCI policyholders themselves. One of the lessons of the latest round of first-quarter earnings reports is that, in terms of sheer, dogged loyalty and determination, LTCI policyholders are the kinds of people you would want at your side if you were ever planning to take a walk through Hell."

LTC Comment: So true. It may take an AMG (altruistic, masochistic, genius, as Steve Moses often says) to sell the product, but once purchased, keeping the coverage is a no-brainer.

#############################

 

5/1/2012, Discovering The True Cost Of At-Home Caregiving, by Marilyn Geewax, NPR

Quote"Walk through any nursing home, and your first thought might be: 'I need to take care of Mom myself.' Few people want to turn over a loved one to institutional care. No matter how good the nursing home, it may seem cold and impersonal — and very expensive. But making the choice to provide care yourself is fraught with financial risks and personal sacrifices. Those who become full-time caregivers often look back and wish they had taken the time to better understand the financial position they would be getting themselves into."

LTC Comment: This article displays some of the many sacrifices caregivers make for their loved ones and reminds us of the importance to responsibly prepare for the risk and cost of long-term care, but fails to mention the option of private LTCi.

#############################

5/1/2012, Senior Placement & Referral Agency Concierge Care Advisors Expands Throughout West Coast, MarketWatch

Quote"Concierge Care Advisors continued strong growth as it became a West Coast company by expanding into California's San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, due to demand for its high-quality services. Company presence also increased in Oregon and Washington. The senior placement and referral agency helps individuals and families identify the best in senior living, nursing homes, assisted living, memory care homes, and in-home care based on each individual's personal circumstance."

#############################

4/30/2012, CMS Still Figuring Out Assisted Living's Role in Community-Based Care, by Alyssa Gerace, Senior Housing News

Quote“The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) released its final rule implementing the Medicaid Community First Choice (CFC) option, but it’s still figuring out what assisted living’s role is in the program.”

#############################

4/30/2012, California Moves on Health Reform in 2012 with a Host of Measures, By Elizabeth Festa, LifeHealthPRO

Quote"The California state legislature is moving forward on a collection of health insurance reform bills, some specially tailored to conform to sections of the federal Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA).

"AB 999, a bill to modify the long-term care insurance premium rate process to protect consumers from excessive rate volatility to order to protect the financial stability and well-being of them and their families, remains stuck in the Senate Insurance Committee."

LTC Comment: For further information on AB-999 and to read our letter in opposition to the bill, please refer to this LTC Bullet. Also of interest is the Center for Long-Term Care Reform’s major study of LTC financing in California, titled "Medi-Cal Long-Term Care:  Safety Net or Hammock." The study was conducted in 2010 and published by the Pacific Research Institute in January, 2011. 

#############################

4/30/2012, Respite care cuts create opportunity for nursing homes, McKnight's Long Term Care News

Quote"Respite services provide temporary relief in the form of short-term home care workers, brief stays in residential facilities and adult day care centers. But these services, which are much less costly for families than skilled nursing facility stays, have been targeted by cash-strapped states. Respite care often allows the elderly to delay or prevent being admitted to a nursing home. The cuts may lead to more seniors being admitted, although families will likely struggle to cover the costs out-of-pocket."

LTC Comment:  This is just one of the many ways that uninsured consumers will be feeling the bite of Medicaid cutbacks.

#############################

4/30/2012, “Future looking less bright for private insurance,” by John O'Connor,  McKnight's Long Term Care News

Quote: "Insurance firms like to say they are in the business of managing risk. In truth, they are in the business of guessing right. These days, more of them are deciding that these policies are not worth selling. If that doesn't give you reason for pause, it probably should."

LTC Comment:  This editorial misses the point entirely.  The two main reasons LTC insurance is challenged are the artificially low interest rates imposed by the Federal Reserve and the fact that easy access to Medicaid crowds out demand.  Actuarial science still works; guessing has nothing to do with it.

 

#############################

4/29/2012, Shrunken Social Security figures into advisers' plans, by Darla Mercado, InvestmentNews

Quote"Anticipating a cloudy future for Social Security, many financial advisers are taking steps to de-emphasize the program's place in clients' retirement income plans.

"Confirming many advisers' fears, the Social Security Board of Trustees last week said that the federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds are expected to be exhausted by 2033, three years earlier than last year's estimate."

LTC Comment: The abundance of articles like this one exposing Social Security’s insolvency certainly tarnishes the sheen of how we anticipate our “Golden Years” to be. Savvy consumers will plan ahead, far ahead, for the risk and cost of getting old.  

 

#############################

Updated, Friday, May 4, 2012, 12:24 PM (Eastern)

Tampa Bay, Florida--

LTC BULLET:  THE LTC GRADUATE SEMINAR

LTC Comment:  Check out our newly updated version of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform’s classic “LTC Graduate Seminar,” after the ***news.***

*** THE ERIE, PENNSYLVANIA ESTATE PLANNING COUNCIL welcomed Steve Moses on Monday, May 1, 2012 to deliver a speech titled “Why Everything You Think You Know About Long-Term Care is Wrong.”  A warm welcome preceded Steve’s talk and hearty appreciation followed, including a beautiful framed picture of a Great Lakes tall ship as a speaker’s gift.  We thank Jeff Evans of Evans Capital Management, Inc. for arranging the program. ***

*** GENWORTH NEWS:  “Michael Fraizer, the chairman and chief executive of Genworth Financial Inc. (GNW), resigned abruptly on Tuesday, two weeks after the insurance company postponed a plan to raise funds by selling shares of an Australian subsidiary. . . . Fraizer had led the company since before it was spun off by General Electric Co. (GE) in 2004, and had remained at the helm through the financial crisis, when Genworth's U.S. mortgage-insurance unit began posting hundreds of millions in operating losses.  The company had struggled to get back on track, causing investors to punish Genworth's stock and, at times, publicly complain about the pace of the recovery.  Shares had been down by 50% in the past year and 83% in the past five years.  . . .  One of the nation's biggest sellers of mortgage and long-term-care insurance, the Richmond, Va.,-based company was among the harder hit insurers when the real-estate bubble burst, thanks to its large exposure to the nation's housing woes through its U.S. mortgage insurer. . . .  ‘Mike Frazier is an extremely capable individual but unfortunately, all of these businesses’ have proven problematic, said Andrew Kligerman, a stock analyst at UBS Securities.  Kligerman nonetheless said he was ‘kind of stunned’ by Fraizer's departure.”  (Erik Holm, “Update: Genworth CEO Resigns Abruptly, CFO Takes Over For Now,” Wall Street Journal, May 1, 2012) ***

*** SPOTLIGHT ON:  Medicaid and Medicare Key Numbers
Need the latest Medicaid and Medicare numbers? Your Center for Long-Term Care Reform has you covered. We have current data, updated annually, all the way back to the early 1990s. In this feature you not only have a historical archive of essential Medicaid and Medicare numbers, you have access to the current numbers as soon as they are released. The Medicaid and Medicare Key Numbers feature is located in our Members-Only Zone website. If you need your user name and password, or are not yet a member and would like to join, click here or simply contact Damon (206-283-7036 / damon@centerltc.com). Zone in today and you’ll find a wealth of useful resources! ***

#############################

LTC BULLET:  THE LTC GRADUATE SEMINAR

LTC Comment:  Remember the Center for Long-Term Care Reform's 2008 National Long-Term Care Consciousness Tour?  Steve Moses criss-crossed the country in the Silver Bullet of Long-Term Care, a 16-ft. Airstream trailer towed by a silver FJ Cruiser.  Check out some pictures here and a slide show here.

One of the highlights of our LTC Tour was the “Long-Term Care Graduate Seminar” which Steve Moses presented dozens of times to audiences of aspiring “AMGs.”  (That’s Steve’s term for the “altruistic, masochistic geniuses” who endeavor to sell long-term care insurance, a product the government still gives away after the insurable event has occurred.)

In response to popular demand from audience members, we published a transcript of the two-hour grad seminar and posted it on the Center’s website in 2009.  We’ve now posted an updated version of the program here.  Check it out.  Here’s what you’ll find: 

  • "The Elephant, The Blind Men and Long-Term Care" 
    • Do you understand LTC from the perspectives of all key interest groups:  government, the public, Medicaid planners, senior advocacy groups, LTC providers, LTC financiers and insurance carriers? 
    • If not, you may be like the blind men who identified an elephant as a hose, a rope, or the broadside of a barn, depending on which part of the animal they touched.
    • Our LTC grad seminar takes apart the puzzling “elephant of long-term care” and puts it back together in a way that makes much more sense.
  • Answers to three key questions:

1.      Why does the public remain asleep about the risk and cost of long-term care?

2.      Why are they about to be shocked awake?

3.      How can you help more people protect themselves in the meantime?

·        History of Long-Term Care and Why it Matters for Financial Advisors and LTCI Producers

    • How did we come to have a welfare-financed, nursing-home-based LTC system in the wealthiest country in the world where no one wants to go to a nursing home but most people remain oblivious to LTC risk and cost?
    • Why didn’t a strong home and community-based services infrastructure develop in the USA when most people would rather receive care at home?
    • Why didn’t private long-term care insurance penetrate 75% of its potential market as the actuaries originally predicted in the 1970s?
    • What does the history of long-term care suggest will happen next?
  • The “Welfare Paradigm” and the “Entitlement Paradigm”
    • Understand the difference between these two ways of looking at the long-term care issue and you’re on your way to helping more people insure for LTC.
    • Read this section of the “LTC Graduate Seminar” for a true “Aha!” experience.
  • “Key Money”
    • Ever wonder how “elder lawyers” sell Medicaid to their affluent clients despite the welfare program’s reputation for third-class, nursing home care?
    • They use “key money” and you’d better know what that is if you’re going to compete with them.
  • Did you know Social Security is a major funder of long-term care?  Do you know how Medicare props up Medicaid LTC? 
    • If not, you’d better read this section of the LTC grad seminar fast, because these facts represent two of the biggest vulnerabilities your clients face!
  • What’s going to happen next?
    • It doesn’t take a crystal ball to see what’s in store for long-term care financing.  But it does take some savvy, out-of-the-box analysis.
    • That’s exactly what you’ll find in the closing section of the LTC graduate seminar.
    • It means the end of “social insurance” as we’ve known it and the “welfarization” of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.

I hope we’ve inspired you to take a closer look at the “LTC Graduate Seminar.”  Steve Moses also conducts a full-day version of the grad seminar.  If you’d like to have him deliver either version to your group live and in person, contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com to schedule the program.

#############################

Updated, Monday, April 30, 2012, 12:12 PM (Pacific)

Seattle--

MOSES ON LTC-TV AND LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

LTC Comment:  A couple weeks ago, I was in Santa Fe, NM to meet with New Mexico Human Services Department Cabinet Secretary Sidonie Squier and Medicaid Director Julie Weinberg to discuss Medicaid and long-term care financing.  Executive Director Paul Gessing of the Rio Grande Foundation facilitated the meeting.  Afterwards, I met with reporter Rob Nikelewski of Capital Report.  Here’s an excerpt from his article titled “New Mexico’s impending old age crisis: We’ve got the fourth-highest rate of growth 85+”:

"Steve Moses, the president of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform in Seattle, says it means financial disaster unless some changes are made immediately.  'We can expect those costs for long-term care - care in a nursing home, assisted living or in the home to skyrocket as the aging population grows,' Moses told Capitol Report New Mexico in a recent interview."

Read the full interview and watch a two-minute video interview here.

#############################

4/26/2012, “MetLife Exits Reverse Mortgage Business,” InsuranceNewNet.com

Quote:  "MetLife, Inc. (NYSE: MET) announced today that it is exiting the reverse mortgage business.  Nationstar Mortgage LLC will purchase MetLife Bank's reverse mortgage servicing portfolio.  The transaction is subject to certain regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions.  MetLife Bank will no longer accept new reverse mortgage loan applications and registrations."

LTC Comment:  By exempting up to $786,000 of home equity from long-term care liability, the government has effectively crowded out markets for reverse mortgages and private insurance to fund long-term care leaving Medicaid with the insupportable burden of providing care to a burgeoning elderly population.  Another example of well-intentioned, but unexamined Medicaid policy with catastrophic unforeseen consequences.

#############################

4/26/2012, “Is it Worth Buying Long-Term Care Insurance?,” by Casey Dowd, Fox Business

Quote:  "Do boomers really need this kind of insurance, or are there ways for us to plan accordingly to not only cover any potential medical needs, but also have enough in our regular retirement savings?  I reached out to Robert Quinlan, an independent insurance agent located in New Windsor, N.Y., to discuss the pros and cons connected with long-term care policies."

LTC Comment:  Mass media exposure for the big LTCI question.

#############################

4/25/2012, “Women without Long-Term Care Plans Face Highest Risk; To Help Prepare, Newman Long Term Care offers Free ‘Woman's Guide to Long Term Care Insurance Protection’,” PRWeb (link)

Quote:  "To help women take the first step, Newman Long Term Care is offering a free guide 'A Woman's Guide to Long Term Care Insurance Protection.'  This free consumer piece contains eight pages of valuable information including a long-term care checklist, as well as tips for self-employed women and business owners.  The guide can be requested online at: http://www.NewmanLongTermCare.com/womenPR or by calling Newman Long Term Care at 612-454-4400."

LTC Comment:  Congratulations to Center Premium Member Deb Newman!

#############################

4/24/2012, “Health care laws leave hospitals overwhelmed by 'permanent patients',” by Kate Snow, Janet Klein and Dustin Stephens, Rock Center

Quote:  "They are known as 'permanent patients' and are hidden in plain sight in hospital rooms across the country.  That's because under federal law, hospitals must treat any patient who needs emergency medical attention even if they have no way to pay.  Nursing and rehab facilities are not required by law to do so.  At the same time, hospitals cannot discharge a patient without a plan in place for his or her ongoing care.  The result is patients stuck in the hospital in need of long-term care but with nowhere to go, large medical bills, and no way to pay - a cost that is usually covered at the hospital's expense."

LTC Comment:  At the same time as affluent elderly people qualify easily for Medicaid nursing home care without spending down significant assets, poor folks under age 65 remain in hospitals at enormous private cost which the hospitals are forced to assume by government rules.  Uncle’s right hand doesn’t know what his left hand is doing, doesn’t care, or maybe just wants to shift costs from the public to the private sectors.

#############################

4/23/2012, “The Social Insecurity Countdown,” by Kelly Greene, Wall Street Journal 

Quote:  "This just in:  Social Security's trust fund could be exhausted three years sooner than predicted last year.  The combined assets of the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance trust funds will be exhausted in 2033, according to the Social Security Board of Trustees.  At that point, there should be sufficient non-interest income coming in to pay about 75% of scheduled benefits."

LTC Comment:  This article lets you vote on how worried you are about the Social Security problem.  Results:  Extremely worried, 1358 votes, 63.8%; Somewhat worried, 474,  22.3%; Not that worried,142, 6.7%; Not worried at all, 155, 7.3%.  Well, at least 86.1% of these WSJ readers are thinking.

#############################

4/23/2012, “Hitting the Long-Term-Care Jackpot,” by Kelly Greene, Wall Street Journal

Quote"One in 10 claims started in 2011 began before the policyholder turned 70, mainly due to accidents and illnesses requiring care for an extended period.  Overall, the five most common reasons for claims are Alzheimer's disease, stroke, arthritis, circulatory issues and injury, the association says."

LTC Comment:  A winner in the LTC lottery:  $1.7 million paid on a single LTCI claimant.  Details here:  "The largest open long-term care insurance claim has reached $1.7 million in paid benefits, according to a just-released report from the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance (www.AALTCI.org).  The claimant, a woman, purchased coverage at age 43, paying an annual premium of $881.  Three years later her long term care insurance claim began and has continued for almost 15 years.  [Note: Payment of policy premiums ceases when an individual is receiving policy benefits.]  ‘Insurers paid some $6.6 billion in benefits to roughly 200,000 individuals last year,' explains Jesse Slome, Executive Director of the industry trade group that compiled the data from 10 leading long term care insurers.”

#############################

4/21/2012, “Readers Share Their Stories of Loss,” by Tom Lauricella, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "The biggest lesson learned:  While I have been diligent about saving for my retirement and my children's college education, I hadn't planned sufficiently for possible health-care problems and bills involving my parents."

LTC Comment:  Hello!  A welcome wake-up call in the WSJ.

#############################

4/20/2012, “Consumer-Directed U.S. Health Insurance Surges,” by Mark Miller, Reuters 

Quote:  "There may not be a consensus in the nation's capital on how to control the cost of health care, but businesses and their employees are not sitting around waiting for clarity.  They are voting with their wallets for one approach that's already available:  Account-based health insurance plans, which offer lower premiums in exchange for high deductibles."

LTC Comment:  I believe this development is important to LTC insurance because it means people are accumulating cash reserves in their HSAs and HRAs, etc., which reserves can someday be used to cover LTCI premiums they'll want to pay in order to protect those very reserves plus their other assets including home equity.

#############################

4/20/2012, “Majority of assisted living residents pay for their care out of their own incomes, survey finds,” McKnight’s LTC News (link)

Quote:  "The survey, conducted by the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, found that assisted living residents earn most of their income through annuitized forms, including Social Security, pensions, private annuities and investment income.  The majority of residents, according to the survey, don't need help from family members to pay for their care.  Many residents report actively spending down their assets for their care." 

LTC Comment:  This is the hard reality about "spend down."  People are willing to pay their own money to live in assisted living facilities even though Medicaid nursing home care is easily available without significant asset spend down.  Savvy boomers are learning from their parents’ experience in assisted living, that they need LTC insurance to avoid both spending down and going on Medicaid.

#############################

4/16/2012, “Too Many Pills for Aging Patients Personal Health,” by Jane E. Brody, New York Times

Quote:  "Overmedication of the elderly is an all too common problem, a public health crisis that compromises the well-being of growing numbers of older adults.  Many take fistfuls of prescription and over-the-counter medications on a regular basis, risking serious and sometimes fatal side effects and drug interactions."

LTC Comment:  A major problem of which I’m reminded every time a medical professional expresses wonderment that I take no prescription medicines, saying most people “at your age” take a half dozen prescriptions.

#############################

4/16/2012, “Marketing to Boomers:  'Where Did My Retirement Go?',” by Maria Wood, LifeHealthPRO 

Quote:  "In a recent survey conducted by LifeHealthPro.com and Senior Market Advisor, more than 90 percent of the respondents said boomers were a growing part of their business."

LTC Comment:  For more on boomers see, the MetLife Mature Market Institute’s How Boomers Turned Conventional Wisdom on Its Head:  A Historian's View on How the Future May Judge a Transitional Generation by W. Andrew Achenbaum. (link)

#############################

4/1/2012, “The end of group long-term care insurance? There is a shift in the industry as insurers pull out of the group LTC market,” by Brian M. Kalish, Employee Benefit Adviser (link

Quote:  "There are questions about the future of the group long-term care market, as two insurers have stopped offering the product in the past 17 months.  November 2010, MetLife announced it would discontinue the sale of new LTC insurance, and Unum announced it would do the same for group sales in February.  This leaves just two companies - Genworth and Prudential - offering group LTC insurance."

LTC Comment:  This article quotes several Center for Long-Term Care Reform supporters including AALTCI’s Jesse Slome; Barry J. Fisher of Paradigm Insurance Marketing; Todd Grove of LTCFP; and Debra Newman of Newman Long Term Care.

#############################

Updated, Monday, April 27, 2012, Time AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

LTC BULLET:  HOME EQUITY, LONG-TERM CARE, AND RETIREMENT INCOME SECURITY

LTC Comment:  Tap home equity first to maximize retirement income security?  So argues an interesting article in the Journal of Financial Planning, after the ***news.***

*** TODAY'S LTC BULLET is sponsored by Claude Thau, a General Agent whose proprietary sales tools enable your clients to make informed final decisions about whether to buy LTCi in 15-20 minutes. He’ll help you build your business in any market (individual, executive carve-out, work-site, affinity, financial institution, referrals from other professionals, etc.). Claude is the lead author of the Milliman Broker World LTCi Survey, was named one of the 10 "Power People" in the LTCi industry by Senior Market Advisor in 2007 and was Chairman of the Board of the Center for Long-Term Care Financing. Test Claude by calling 800-999-3026, x2241 or email him at claudet@targetins.com to ask questions or get references. ***

*** OLDIE BUT GOODIE . . .  I’m reminded that Claude Thau, today’s Bullet sponsor, wrote a very interesting article about home equity conversion, long-term care financing and Medicaid almost ten years ago.  We published it as “LTC Bullet:  How to Save Medicaid LTC” on Thursday, October 24, 2002.  Read it here.  If the government had followed Claude’s advice back then, Medicaid might not be in the mess it’s in now and the private LTC insurance market could be breaking new sales records. ***

*** AALTCI REPORTS . . .  "The sale of asset-based long term care insurance protection continued to grow significantly according to research by the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance the national long term care insurance trade organization. According to data gathered from leading insurers, premium increased nearly 20 percent and the number of covered lives increased 13.5 percent. . . . According to the Association's annual study of new policy sales, more than half (53%) of male buyers were under age 65. In the prior year's study, only 48 percent were under age 65. The percentage of women buyers under age 65 also increased to 50 percent, up from 44 percent in the prior year."  Full press release here. ***

*** SPOTLIGHT ON:  Take our "virtual tour" of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform's website here.  You'll learn how to navigate the Center’s indispensable website.  Get easy access to critical information--in our public website and in our popular Members-Only Zone.  Whether you are new to the Center for Long-Term Care Reform or a seasoned Center member, you'll find a wealth of valuable content on our website by taking this virtual tour.  Take this tour and if you find you need your user name and password, or are not yet a member and would like to join, contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com. ***

 

LTC BULLET:  HOME EQUITY, LONG-TERM CARE, AND RETIREMENT INCOME SECURITY

LTC Comment:  These days everyone is worried, especially boomers, about retirement income security.  The question “Will I outlive my savings?” gives rise to many worries. 

Can I afford to retire now?  How much longer should I work?  Will I be able to maintain my current life style?  What may I have to give up?  Could unlikely but predictable catastrophic expenses such as long-term care turn everything upside down?  What if this and what if that?

In more secure periods, the answers were pretty clear.  If you could draw down four percent of your savings per year and that was enough to live on adequately, you had a very good chance of making it through the next 30 years.  But lately, that formula is being challenged everywhere.  Furthermore, a large and growing percentage of aging Americans cannot manage for long on the combination of their savings plus Social Security at any draw down rate no matter how high.

Add to those problems the increasing vulnerability of the social safety net, likely increased means-testing of Medicaid, Social Security and Medicare, and doubtful private investment returns.  Where can people turn?

More and more we see home equity mentioned as a private retirement security safety net.  Certainly home equity is the biggest asset most people possess, especially older people.  This remains true even after the much-touted “collapse” of home values. 

But the home has always been sacrosanct before.  Our WWII generation paid off their mortgages and held on to their homes tenaciously as sanctuary in old age and their principal legacy to heirs.  Medicaid exempted the home and all contiguous property from long-term care liability with no limit until 2005 and up to $525,000 (37 states) or $786,000 (13 states and DC) currently.

But home equity is no longer untouchable.  To survive, Medicaid will likely be forced to reduce its home equity exemption radically.  That will put home owners at far greater risk for long-term care expenses than heretofore.  This is a risk few have anticipated but many will face.  Even if they dodge expensive long-term care, however, many boomers will need to use their home equity just to make ends meet.

So, a big question people need to ask is:  “What’s the best way to put home equity to use for retirement security?”  That is the question the following article from the Journal of Financial Planning attempts to answer.  Check out the excerpt provided below, follow the link to the full article, consider its provocative conclusions and ask some additional questions it does not address, such as:

What role should home equity play in financing quality long-term care for aging boomers?  Should Medicaid, a means-tested public welfare program, protect home equity from long-term care risk?  Wouldn’t it make more sense for home equity to help pay for long-term care through reverse mortgages?  Couldn’t supplemental income from home equity conversion make LTC insurance more affordable for more people thus protecting all their wealth:  savings and home equity?  Much to ponder.

---------------

Excerpt (footnotes omitted) from Barry H. Sacks, J.D., Ph.D., and Stephen R. Sacks, Ph.D., “Reversing the Conventional Wisdom:  Using Home Equity to Supplement Retirement Income,” Journal of Financial Planning, April 2012; http://www.fpanet.org/journal/ReversingtheConventionalWisdom/.

“Executive Summary

  • This paper examines three strategies for using home equity, in the form of a reverse mortgage credit line, to increase the safe maximum initial rate of retirement income withdrawals.
  • These strategies are: (1) the conventional, passive strategy of using the reverse mortgage as a last resort after exhausting the securities portfolio; and two active strategies: (2) a coordinated strategy under which the credit line is drawn upon according to an algorithm designed to maximize portfolio recovery after negative investment returns, and (3) drawing upon the reverse mortgage credit line first, until exhausted.
  • A three-spreadsheet stochastic model is described, with one spreadsheet incorporating each strategy. The three spreadsheets are run simultaneously, with the same investment performance and withdrawal amounts in each. The cash flow survival probability over 30 years is determined for each strategy, and the comparisons are presented graphically for a range of initial withdrawal rates. We find substantial increases in the cash flow survival probability when the active strategies are used as compared with the results when the conventional strategy is used. For example, the 30-year cash flow survival probability for an initial withdrawal rate of 6 percent is only 55 percent when the conventional strategy is used, but is close to 90 percent when the coordinated strategy is used.

“The model also shows that the retiree's residual net worth (portfolio plus home equity) after 30 years is about twice as likely to be greater when an active strategy is used than when the conventional strategy is used.

“The overriding objective for many retirees is to maintain cash flow throughout their retirement years, to avoid ‘running out of money’ in their later years. Cash flow survival is the central theme of this article.

“Although more than half of retirees age 65 and older (64 percent) get at least half of their retirement income from Social Security, there is a significant portion of the population of retirees whose primary source of retirement income is a portfolio of securities, often in a pre-tax account such as a 401(k) plan or a rollover individual retirement account (IRA). We will refer to any such account, whether pre-tax or after-tax, as an ‘account.’

“It has long been accepted that the maximum safe (or ‘safemax’) annual withdrawal from an account begins with a first year's withdrawal equal to between 4.0 percent and 4.25 percent of the initial portfolio value. Subsequent years' withdrawals then continue at the same dollar amount each year, adjusted only for inflation (thus maintaining constant purchasing power). In this context, the term ‘safe’ means a 90 percent or greater probability that the account will have sufficient assets to make such annual payments for at least 30 years.

“Many retirees find that the safemax amount of annual withdrawal is uncomfortably limiting and therefore tend to draw more than that amount. This article considers three strategies for coping with the economic risk, the risk of exhausting cash flow, that derives from taking withdrawals in excess of the safemax amount.

“The three strategies considered all involve the use of home equity as a supplement to withdrawals from the account. The conventional wisdom holds that home equity, drawn upon in the form of a reverse mortgage (discussed below) or similar product, should be used as a last resort, only if and when the account is exhausted. This is a rather passive approach. We show that the probability of cash flow survival is substantially enhanced by reversing the conventional wisdom. In particular, we show that cash flow drawn from home equity using either of two more ‘active strategies,’ in conjunction with withdrawals from the account, yields cash flow survival probability substantially greater than the more passive approach of using home equity as the last resort (the ‘conventional strategy’).

“One of the active strategies is quite simple: a straightforward reversal of the conventional wisdom. In this strategy, a reverse mortgage credit line is established at the outset of retirement, and the credit line is drawn upon every year to provide the retirement income until it is exhausted. Only after the reverse mortgage credit line is exhausted are withdrawals taken from the account. This is the ‘reverse-mortgage-first strategy.’

“The other active strategy is more sophisticated. It also uses a reverse mortgage credit line, but withdrawals from the credit line are taken in some years and not others. The withdrawals are taken according to an algorithm described later in this paper. Because the algorithm consists of coordination between the account and the line of credit, this strategy is termed the ‘coordinated strategy.’”

#############################

Updated, Monday, April 23, 2012, 11:14 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

 “THE REAL CHOICE” AND LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

LTC Comment:  Phyllis Shelton, a long-time corporate member of the Center, has a new plan called “The Real Choice.”  She describes it this way:  “Americans think deciding to insure for long-term care is a personal choice, affecting only them.  [But they] are really choosing between paying long-term care insurance premium which leaves dollars in the state budget for education or not buying LTC insurance, which diverts state budget dollars to Medicaid instead of to education and other vital services.”  See her full idea here:  http://www.ltcconsultants.com/articles/2012/real-choice/index.shtml.

Long-time Center supporter Ross Schriftman has a Mother’s Day gift idea for you.  He says:  “With Mother’s Day a few weeks away, consider my book as a great gift.

My Million Dollar Mom is my tribute to the life of my mother and the relationship of a son with his mom.  Here are links to the soft cover, hard cover and nook versions:

http://www.buybooksontheweb.com/product.aspx?ISBN=0-7414-6713-5

http://www.buybooksontheweb.com/product.aspx?ISBN=0-7414-6714-3

http://www.barnesandnoble.com

You can also purchase books directly from me.  When you purchase your copy please let me know and I will be glad to arrange to autograph it.  Ross Schriftman, Tel. 215-682-7075.”

#############################

4/19/2012, “'Elderly' No More,” by Judith Graham, New York Times

Quote:  "But what's the alternative for the rest of us, and for doctors who treat patients who fit this description, and for academics who study this demographic?  What terms should we use to discuss this age group without giving offense?  I decided to conduct a small, random, unscientific survey by calling a few mostly past-middle-age experts and asking what they thought.  Here are their responses."

LTC Comment:  A rose may be a rose by any name, but I guess it's pretty important for people who make their livings talking to aging Americans to stay abreast of this trend toward cautious euphemisms.

#############################

4/19/2012, “Should You Purchase Long-Term Care Insurance?,” Wall Street Journal 

Quote:  "We're seeking your opinions about long-term care insurance for an upcoming special report.  Vote in our poll and comment below for potential inclusion in print." 

LTC Comment:  Total votes:  775.  Yes:  564, 72.8%.  No:  211, 27.2%.  Something tells me a lot of LTCI producers read the WSJ.

#############################

4/19/2012, “Should I Wipe Out My Family's Assets? (In Order To Get Help With Nursing Home Expenses?),” Law Offices of Alice Reiter Feld & Associates (link)

Quote:  "As an Elder Law attorney, I get asked this question all the time.  Often, the 'asker' is someone who thinks it's necessary to spend down their assets.  And, often, if they haven't come to me in time, they're forced to live the rest of their life in poverty.  The truth is that it is possible to get [Medicaid] benefits without spending down...but only if you know the right way. . . . We know the Medicaid rules. And we're just a phone call away." 

LTC Comment:  If you still harbor the illusion that easy access to Medicaid after the insurable event occurs does not crowd out a market for private LTC insurance, read this Medicaid planner’s article and subscribe to her almost daily explanations of how she can make LTC financial risk go away by making the government pay.

#############################

4/19/2012, “Experts tout private and public long-term care funding reforms in Senate hearing,” McKnight's LTC News (link)

Quote:  "As the trajectory of long-term care costs rises, experts on funding gave varying approaches on how to achieve savings at a Senate hearing.  The availability of Medicaid presents a deterrent to some for the purchase of private long-term care insurance, said Douglas Holtz-Eakin, Ph.D., president of the American Action Forum at a Senate Special Committee on Aging titled 'The Future of Long-Term Care:  Saving Money by Serving Seniors.'  'The availability of Medicaid raises the perceived cost of purchasing private insurance or of saving,' Holtz-Eakin said."

LTC Comment:  Former Congressional Budget Office director Holtz-Eakin gets it.  He testified at the same Congressional hearing I did on April 27, 2005 regarding the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 and the need to target Medicaid to the needy.

#############################

4/19/2012, “Putting the 'Aged' in Engaged:  Financial Tips for Late Marriages,” by Julie Bawden-Davis, FoxBusiness

Quote:  "Also consider purchasing long-term care insurance for you both, which can help ease the burden on one partner if the other falls ill."

LTC Comment:  We’re seeing more and more advice like this in mass media outlets like FoxBusiness.

#############################

4/18/2012, “Gender differences in care home admission risk:  partner's age explains the higher risk for women,” by Mark McCann, Michael Donnelly, and Dermot O'Reilly, Age and Ageing (link)

Quote:  "This study goes some way to debunking the myth that older men do not do caring to the same extent as their female peers; the primary reason why married women are more likely than married men to be admitted to a care home is because they tend to have older partners."

LTC Comment:  British results, but interesting.

#############################

4/18/2012, “Long-Term Care Needs Demand Your Attention Now,” by Philip Moeller, U.S. News & World Report

Quote:  "The trend lines for the nation's long-term care needs are becoming distressingly clear.  As a society, we are running out of both the financial and human resources to provide adequate care to our oldest and often most frail citizens.  From an individual perspective, the bill for long-term care will become an increasing financial burden."

LTC Comment:  We’ve been saying the same thing for decades.  It’s good to know the national media are finally catching on.

#############################

4/18/2012, “No One Is Too Young (Or Too Old) For Genworth's LTC Mobile App,” by Larry Barrett, Financial Planning

Quote:  "Genworth Financial this week debuted a free, web-based mobile app that lets investors and advisors calculate their expected long-term care expenses from their iPhones or iPads and, simultaneously, get down to the business of adjusting their long-term financial planning goals to meet these rising costs as they age."

LTC Comment:  Good idea but probably won’t make much difference without an app that shows why LTCI’s biggest competitor – public LTC financing – is unlikely to be available to the middle class and affluent in the future as easily as in the past.

#############################

4/18/2012, “Retirement may be mission impossible for Gen X:  Skeptical about institutions, they face new rules of how Americans prepare for Golden Years,” by Jessica Rao, CNBC (link)

Quote:  "As kids, they sat on gas lines in the backs of their parents' cars.  As young adults, they saw the stock market crash, and when it finally came time to settle down, they bought a house at the peak of the housing bubble and then were faced with the worst economy since the Great Depression.  It's no shock that Generation X - those born from 1965 to 1981 - may get short changed in their golden years.  Though they've watched parents and grandparents nestled with pensions, Social Security and strong economic growth, these are no longer guarantees.  On the other hand, longer life spans with more medical bills and greater need for cash are the reality for many.  Gen X is the first generation to deal with the fact that the models of American retirement are changing - and its members are flustered.”

LTC Comment:  What have we done to our kids?

#############################

4/18/2012, “Where the Oldest Die Now,” by Paula Span, New York Times

Quote:  "The proportion of those very old people who died as hospital patients dropped to 29 percent in 2007 from 40 percent in 1989.  During the same time period, the proportion who died at home climbed to 19 percent from 12 percent. . . .  [T]he rates of very old people dying in nursing homes and other long-term care facilities have also increased, reaching 40 percent of those over age 85. . . .  Almost one in five experienced what the authors called ‘burdensome transitions’ in their final days:  transfers in the last three days of life, multiple hospitalizations, or moves from nursing home to hospital to a different nursing home."  

LTC Comment:  The best way to avoid “burdensome transitions” is to be able to pay privately for long-term care and remain independent of under-financed public programs like Medicaid.

#############################

4/17/2012, “One Roof, Three Generations, Many Decisions,” by Marilyn Geewax, National Public Radio

Quote:  "To cope with the hard times that began five years ago, millions of families pulled together - stacking two, three, even four generations on top of one another. Between 2007 and 2009, the total number of Americans living in multigenerational households shot up more than 10 percent, from 46.5 million to 51.4 million. . . . At NPR.org, stories will delve into the financial issues facing these three families - and millions of others like them.  Among the topics to be examined:  the need for financial planning; the options for elder care; costs of do-it-yourself care for the elderly; long-term care insurance; college costs; and reverse mortgages.”  (Emphasis added)

LTC Comment:  Hallelujah!  Is NPR finally getting it?

#############################

4/17/2012, “Baby Boomers are ready for retirement, mostly:  Generation is generally wealthy enough, but how Golden Years are paid for is changing,” by Dinah Wisenberg Brin, CNBC (link)

Quote:  "As of 2009, in the wake of the housing and stock market crises, some 51 percent of U.S. households were at risk of being unable to maintain their pre-retirement standard of living at age 65, the authors calculated in their report, ‘The National Retirement Risk Index: After the Crash’.  Some 41 percent of early Boomers, 48 percent of late Boomers and 56 percent of Gen Xers were at risk, they said."

LTC Comment:  Good news is many need and can afford LTCI.  Bad news is many others can’t and will place too much strain on the public safety net making it more important than ever that those who can, do in fact, get LTCI protection.

#############################

4/17/2012, “Deep cuts loom as state tries to save Medicaid:  Lawmakers, Quinn aides set to present suggestions this week,” by Monique Garcia and Ray Long, Chicago Tribune (link)

Quote:  "[Illinois's] plan for drastically slashing Medicaid in order to save it is expected to come into sharper focus this week as a group of lawmakers and aides reports back to Gov. Pat Quinn."

LTC Comment:  Expect many more stories like this one, starting with Illinois.  Likely California is next, then dominoes.

#############################

4/16/2012, “PPACA:  HHS Combines Aging and Disability Arms at ACL,” by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) is using a statement of ‘organization, functions, and delegations of authority’ to try to overhaul the way it handles people who need help with the activities of daily living.  HHS is putting several existing agencies, including the Administration on Aging, the Office on Disability and the Administration on Developmental Disabilities, in a new Administration for Community Living (ACL)."

LTC Comment:  No amount of federal reorganization will make up for the shortage of public funds to sustain the social LTC safety net.

#############################

4/16/2012, “Caregivers for Medicaid recipients often live in poverty, study finds,” McKnight’s LTC News

Quote"In 'Hidden in Plain Sight: California's Paid Medi-Cal Caregivers Are Vulnerable,' UCLA researchers say that about 290,000 paid caregivers in California provide services to adults on Medi-Cal, the state Medicaid program for adults with long-term illnesses or disabilities. These caregivers earn an average of less than $11 per hour and have monthly incomes of about $1,970, which is below 200% of the federal poverty level."

LTC Comment:  Medicaid pays dismally low rates to all levels of caregivers including nursing homes, assisted living facilities, and home caregivers. 

#############################

4/13/2012, “Boomers Flock to Niche Retirement Communities:  Stargazers, equestrians, and hippies find like-minded friends and age together,” by Daniel Bortz, US News & World Report (link)

Quote:  "Specialized retirement communities fit retirees' needs for a variety of hobbies and cultures. The most popular are university-based retirement communities, which Carle refers to as UBRCs, which offer retirees the opportunity to attend campus events, like concerts and arts programs, as well as sit in on classes."

LTC Comment:  Count on having to pay privately to get into places like these.

#############################

4/11/2012, “Cost of aging rising faster than expected: IMF,” by Stella Dawson, Reuters

Quote:  “People worldwide are living three years longer than expected on average, pushing up the costs of aging by 50 percent, and governments and pension funds are ill prepared, the International Monetary Fund said."  

LTC Comment:  What more proof do you need that private LTC insurance has a great future?

#############################

March 2012, “Quantification of the Natural Hedge Characteristics of Combination Life or Annuity Products Linked to Long-Term Care Insurance Research Projects - Long-Term Care,” by Linda Chow, FSA, MAAA, Carl Friedrich, FSA, MAAA, Dawn Helwig, FSA, MAAA, Milliman, Inc., sponsored by The Society of Actuaries LTCI Section  and  The ILTCI Conference Association (link)

Quote:  "The Society of Actuaries' Long-Term Care Insurance Section and the ILTCI Conference Association are pleased to make available a research report highlighting the characteristics of combination plans that serve to reduce the risks to insurers issuing these products.  Observations are provided to assist in the understanding of the factors that explain the profit change sensitivity results and the natural hedging against major risks that inherently is present within the linked products.  The report was authored by Linda Chow, Carl Friedrich, and Dawn Helwig of Milliman, Inc."

#############################

Updated, Friday, April 20, 2012, 10:07 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

LTC BULLET:  HOW RCFs AND DUALS IMPACT MEDICAID AND LTCI

LTC Comment:  Vital new information about residential care facilities and Medicaid/Medicare dual eligibles after the ***news.***

 

*** GOT AN LTC PLAN?  This column on LifeHealthPRO by Center-premium-member Honey Leveen of Houston strongly endorses the national “3in4 Need More” campaign.  Check it out here including the picture of LTCI stalwarts Sally Leimbach, Gail Steingold and “LTC Queen” Honey Leveen with 3in4 spokesperson Dr. Marion Somers. ***

*** THE PATH OF HOME AND COMMUNITY-BASED CARE.  Steve Monroe, editor of the Senior Care Investor does an excellent weekly 1-minute video called “Sixty Seconds With . . .”   Watch last week’s version here or read it here:  “We all know that most elderly want to stay in their homes for as long as possible.  Who wouldn’t?  But sometimes it may not be the best option.  When Medicaid funds were ‘waivered’ for use in assisted living, the intent was to 1) save on costs as assisted rates were much lower than skilled nursing rates, and 2) have a more appropriate setting for many of the elderly.  On the cost front, all that happened was that the pie got bigger, and more people wanted access to care paid for by someone else.  Now, take the case of the current push for home and community-based care, mostly to keep the elderly out of SNFs.  A wonderful concept, but aren’t we going down the same path, funding more people?  For those elderly residing full time in a skilled nursing facility, staying at home is usually not cheaper, nor is it safer or healthier, if they actually need the level of care that is provided in a SNF, but need it every day.  So, just like with assisted living Medicaid waivers, aren’t we setting ourselves up for creating a larger pool of recipients of state and federal aid, at a time when more money just isn’t available?  Do the math, it just doesn’t work.” ***

*** SPOTLIGHT ON:  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform’s “Almanac of Long-Term Care” is a compendium of information on all aspects of long-term care service delivery and financing organized chronologically by subject for quick and easy access.  The “LTC Almanac” conveniently provides information that will give you a competitive advantage in your long-term care profession.  Members can access the “LTC Almanac” by clicking here.  If you need your user name and password, or are not yet a member, contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com for quick access to The Zone and the LTC Almanac. ***

#############################

LTC BULLET:  HOW RCFs AND DUALS IMPACT MEDICAID AND LTCI

LTC Comment:  When the Medicaid program started paying for most nursing home care in 1966, it had the effect of distorting the market for long-term care in two ways.

First, because of its easy eligibility rules Medicaid made nursing home care virtually free.  The result was to crowd out a market for privately financed home and community-based care and create the “institutional bias” that has plagued America’s service delivery system ever since.

Second, easy access to Medicaid financing after expensive long-term care was needed prevented private financing alternatives like home equity conversion and private LTC insurance from expanding to their full market potential.

(For a more detailed history of Medicaid long-term care financing, see our briefing paper titled “The History of Long-Term Care Financing or How We Got Into This Mess.”)

By the late 1980s, deficient Medicaid funding for nursing home care caused serious quality problems resulting in a major backlash against publicly financed institutional LTC.  Even though people could get Medicaid nursing home care virtually for free, many chose to pay privately for the much more attractive alternative of assisted living.

Assisted living facilities were luxurious in comparison to Medicaid-dependent nursing homes and they cost about half of what private payers had to pay for nursing homes.  Now middle class people in need of LTC faced contradictory government-induced incentives:

  • Qualify easily for Medicaid but die in a nursing home on welfare, or
  • Pay privately for highly desirable assisted living.

The outcome was predictable.  Private payers in nursing homes nearly disappeared because cost shifting forced them to pay half again as much as Medicaid reimburses nursing homes.  If they were going to spend their own money, why not go into assisted living for half the cost of a nursing home?

Over time, academics and the government figured out that home and community-based (HCB) care, including assisted living, costs much less than nursing home care on a short-term per capita basis.  A nationwide push for “rebalancing” from institutional to HCB care ensued for the dual purpose of reducing Medicaid costs and providing the kind of care people preferred.

A strong case can be made, however, that rebalancing doesn’t save Medicaid money, but rather increases public expenditures.  See our briefing paper titled “Rebalancing Long-Term Care” for that argument.  In a nutshell, the more attractive Medicaid makes its free care, the more likely people are to take advantage of Medicaid and the less likely they are to plan early and responsibly to pay privately for LTC.  The total cost of long-term care to Medicaid continues to increase inexorably year after year despite the widely held view that paying for more home and community-based care “saves money.”

Nevertheless, the relentless trend for Medicaid to buy more HCB care and less nursing home care continues.  A new report from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) provides the first reliable data documenting the utilization of “residential care facilities.”  According to “Residents Living in Residential Care Facilities:  United States, 2010,” by Christine Caffrey, Ph.D., et al.:  "Using data from the first nationally representative survey of RCFs with four or more beds, this report presents national estimates of these RCF residents by selected resident characteristics."

Here are the highlights:

  • The majority of residents living in residential care facilities in 2010 were non- Hispanic white and female. More than one-half of all residents were aged 85 and over.
  • Nearly 2 in 10 residents were Medicaid beneficiaries, and almost 6 in 10 residents under age 65 had Medicaid.
  • Almost 4 in 10 residents received assistance with three or more activities of daily living, of which bathing and dressing were the most common.
  • More than three-fourths of residents have had at least 2 of the 10 most common chronic conditions; high blood pressure and Alzheimer's disease and other dementias were the most prevalent.

Further exacerbating Medicaid’s financial problems is the growing dilemma of the “dual eligibles.”  Duals are people who qualify both for Medicare and Medicaid.  Nearly all Americans 65 years of age or older qualify for Medicare.  Roughly nine million also qualify for Medicaid.  Dual eligibles are by far the most expensive Medicare beneficiaries and Medicaid recipients.  Here’s news about the duals:

Three new and updated briefs from the Kaiser Family Foundation’s Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured examine spending, utilization and policy efforts to align  payment systems and service delivery for the 9 million individuals nationally who are dually eligible for both Medicaid and Medicare. This population has long been of interest to policymakers due to its relatively high health care needs and correspondingly high cost.

Find a broad collection of resources on dual-eligible beneficiaries here:  http://www.kff.org/medicare/resources-dual-eligibles.cfm.  Read a shorter version of the latest research published in Health Affairs here:  available free of charge to non-subscriber “guests” for two weeks from date of publication (April 18, 2012).

Bottom line, dual eligibles are extremely expensive for both Medicare and Medicaid.  They are growing in number and cost.  The trend to finance their care more and more in the community instead of in nursing homes is likely to increase costs even more and discourage early planning to pay privately for LTC.  The entire academic and public policy focus on duals is toward managing their care under Medicare and Medicaid more efficiently and cost-effectively.

All to the good, but much more emphasis by academics and policy makers should also be aimed at preventing people from becoming dual eligibles in the first place.  That is the focus of our briefing paper titled “Dual Eligibles and Long-Term Care:  How to Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion Per Year and Pay for the ‘Doc Fix’ [link]."  The choice is stark: 

Bottom line, if Medicaid doesn’t tighten up eligibility rules, especially by radically reducing its home equity exemption (currently $525,000 minimum), and if the program continues to pay more and more for the home and community-based care people prefer, it will see census and utilization continue to increase and ultimately collapse financially.  Absent reforms to discourage reliance on Medicaid by the middle class and affluent, the program will be unable to provide a decent LTC safety net for the truly needy.

We are now in the end game of a nearly 50-year history of government interference in the LTC market which has left the public asleep about long-term care risk and cost, but the government unable to continue funding care for the vast majority of Americans.  An inevitable crash is coming.  The poor will be hurt the most.  The middle class and affluent who’ve failed to insure for LTC will lose their savings and home equity if they require expensive long-term care.

Left holding the bag are future generations who will not only lose inheritances to their parents’ LTC expenses but will be taxed interminably to pay for the unfunded liabilities of boomer entitlements that their generations will not receive, at least not in full measure.  What a sad commentary on our government’s past, present and on-going fiscal irresponsibility!

#############################

Updated, Monday, April 16, 2012, Time AM (Mountain)

Santa Fe, NM--

LTC E-ALERT #12-013:  LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

LTC Comment:  On Friday, I met with Cabinet Secretary Sidonie Squier and Medicaid Director Julie Weinberg of the New Mexico Human Services Department.  New Mexico faces a huge demographic challenge, ranking fifth in the nation for growth through 2030 of the 85-plus generation.  The state already strains to finance long-term care through Medicaid.  No wonder.  New Mexico’s Medicaid program provides easy access to government financed LTC, collects virtually nothing in estate recoveries, and does not participate in the LTC Partnership program.  I encouraged state officials to expand estate recoveries, participate in the Partnership program, and join me in urging federal legislation that would allow states to reduce the home equity exemption and tighten loose eligibility rules.

 

The previous Friday, April 6th 2012, I addressed the Bellevue, Washington Breakfast Rotary Club.  The Club published the following article about my presentation:

 

Husky Bob Holert introduced guest speaker Steve Moses, the founder of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform.  Steve's passion is to achieve top quality long-term care by encouraging private financing as an alternative to government programs.

Steve readily admitted that long-term care isn't a particularly exhilarating topic.  He defined the scope of care to include medical or custodial care when people cannot care for themselves, due to frailty, old age, injury, surgery, etc.

Long-term care is expensive.  A nursing home can cost $75,000 a year, and assisted living is about half of that.  The odds are that 70% of us will need long-term care at some point, and at least 20% will need five years or more long-term care.

Steve advocates using private insurance to help close the gap with the long-term risk, but that it is only one of the solutions to the problem.  The issue is an aging population due to the baby-boomer bubble, with Medicare and Medicaid funding at crisis levels.

He pointed out numerous ironies in how people need to shift wealth to become eligible for many government benefits.  In other words, if you aren't poor, you need to become poor.  He pointed out the many different ways how that model is dysfunctional, and it must be supplemented with private insurance.

Another problem is that insurance premiums are rapidly climbing, largely due to the costs of care, but more importantly due to the dropping Fed interest rates:  the insurance companies charged past premiums based on the expected financial performance of their large cash reserves.  With low Fed interest rates, the insurance companies cannot meet the expected payouts without substantial rate increases.

The government side of the equation is also bleak.  In Social Security, there is nothing in the "trust fund."  This year, 42% of the federal budget is deficit - that means that 42 cents of every dollar spent by the government is borrowed money.  The unfunded liabilities of Medicare and Medicaid dwarf the existing federal debt.

Steve's bottom line is that we need to take the long-term care reform issue more seriously than ever before.  His conclusion is that it's dangerous to manage long-term care by looking in the rear view mirror.  Instead, if you look through the windshield, you can see that you're heading for a brick wall at 100 mph.  In closing, he asserted that, "The best way to help the poor is to not become one of them."

More information on Steve Moses and his organization are available at www.centerltc.com.

#############################

 

4/13/2012, “Senate to Put LTCI Under the Microscope,” by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "The Senate Special Committee on Aging wants to look for ways to save money on long-term care (LTC), and also to talk about the future of private long-term care insurance (LTCI).  The committee has scheduled an LTC hearing to start at 2 p.m. EDT Wednesday. . . .  None of the witnesses on the initial witness list appears to have significant experience with designing, pricing, underwriting, selling or administering private LTCI products."

LTC Comment:  One more Senate hearing to bash LTCI and lament the lack of more government-financed LTC.

#############################

4/12/2012, “Reverse Loans, Pre-Retirement,” by Vickie Elmer, New York Times

Quote:  "REVERSE mortgages, once associated mainly with homeowners in their 70s and beyond, are now being taken out by people nearing retirement to help pay off debts and remain financially solvent, a new report shows."

LTC Comment:  This trend parallels the lowering age of purchase trend for LTC insurance.  When Medicaid stops exempting over a half million dollars of home equity, expect much more use of reverse mortgages to fund home care and to pay LTCI premiums.

#############################

4/12/2012, “Cost of long-term care coverage goes through the roof,” by Dave Lieber,

Quote:  "The long-term care insurance market is struggling, and some companies are dropping out of selling the insurance to individuals.  Others are raising premiums, but nobody is raising them as high as John Hancock, where some long-term care premiums in other states are jumping as high 90 percent." 

LTC Comment:  This article quotes LTCI producer and Center premium member Honey Leveen of Houston and nationally syndicated financial columnist Terry Savage of the Chicago Sun-Times.

#############################

4/12/2012, “More Senior Living Communities Needed Says New Report,” Assisted Living Facilities Association or ALFA

Quote"The report, created by the non-profit Center for Housing Policy, states that many of the senior housing challenges we are facing now, will be exacerbated in the coming years.  The report predicts that as the population ages more people will be living with a disability and will not have access to affordable housing options.  Currently 64 percent of households, in which the oldest member is 85 or older, contain a person with a disability.  Poorer households are more likely to be affected by a disability and less likely to have the funds to move into assisted living or retrofit their homes to accommodate the disability.  If this percentage remains stable, a larger number of seniors will be without adequate support." 

LTC Comment:  Translation:  more scarce safety net resources will have to go to a growing population of elderly poor.  Conclusion:  It’s more important than ever for those who can, to plan responsibly and pay privately for LTC.

#############################

4/11/2012, “Report declares dementia a global public health crisis,” Long-Term Living

Quote:  "A new report from the World Health Organization (WHO) and Alzheimer's Disease International (ADI) calls for nations to make dementia an international public health priority, declaring dementia a public health crisis.”

LTC Comment:  Any focus on Alzheimer’s should include how to finance quality long-term care.

#############################

4/11/2012, “Generations Faring Well in Expanded Households,” by Philip Moeller, U.S. News & World Report

Quote:  "More than 50 million Americans, including rising numbers of seniors, live in households with at least two adult generations, and often three.  That's approaching 1 in 6 Americans--a significant percentage.  The increases were driven largely by the Great Recession, with most of the gains occurring between 2007 and 2009.  At the same time, economic and housing problems have resulted in low rates of migration and new household formation."

LTC Comment:  The era of the “Club Sandwich Generation” is here.

#############################

4/11/2012, “Long Term Care Insurance Marketer Wins Coveted 'Social Media Rockstar' Finalist Award,” California Newswire (link)

Quote:    "Long Term Care Associates (LTCA), a member of the National LTC Network, was recently announced a finalist in the ‘Social Media Rockstars - Organizations’ category of SENIORHOMES.COM 2012 BEST OF THE WEB AWARDS. The contest sought to identify the most valuable resources across the web for seniors, caregivers and industry professionals in 10 categories, and was judged by a panel of leading experts in the senior living industry."

LTC Comment:  Congratulations to Steve Forman and the team at LTCA, corporate members of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform. 

#############################

4/10/2012, “Stroke means higher risk in affected person's siblings,” Nurse.com

Quote"People with a sibling who has had a stroke may face at least a 60% higher risk of having one themselves, according to a Swedish study."

LTC Comment:  Useful fact for underwriting and marketing although the one countervails the other and vice versa.

#############################

4/10/2012, “Why do more people die when the economy gets better?,” by Suzy Khimmat, The Washington Post 

Quote:  "In a new paper, researchers argue that economic boom times create a scarcity of caregivers in nursing homes, raising the mortality rate through a disproportionately high numbers of deaths among the elderly." 

LTC Comment:  What better reason to rely more on private LTCI, which pays adequately for care in good times and bad, as opposed to Medicaid which pays inadequately for care even in good times, but falls off dangerously in bad times due to state and federal budget cutbacks?

#############################

4/10/2012, “New Medicaid regulations give states flexibility with home and community based services,” McKnight’s LTC News (link

Quote"Both rules would give disabled and elderly individuals more alternatives to nursing home care.  Recent administrations have expedited efforts to move as many residents as possible out of institutionalized long-term care, which they view as a costly option."

LTC CommentUnfortunately, home and community-based care is not as cost-effective as public officials and academics believe and the more Medicaid provides attractive home care, the less likely people are to plan responsibly to pay privately for LTC.  We've covered this issue in several of our recent reports here.

#############################

4/10/2012, “Three Ways to Buy Long-Term Care Insurance,” by Jay MacDonald, Fox Business

Quote:  “When shopping for long-term care insurance, three options present themselves: a stand-alone long-term care, or LTC, policy, a fixed annuity with LTC benefits and a life insurance policy with an LTC rider.  Which option is right for you?  'Each has its pros and cons,' says Jesse Slome, executive director of the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance, an industry trade group.’”

LTC Comment:  Mass media TV coverage of LTCI.

#############################

4/9/2012, “Joining a Community By Staying at Home:  Some continuing-care campuses are doing away with the requirement to buy a residence,” by Anne Tergesen, Wall Street Journal (link)

Quote:  "Thinking about moving to a so-called CCRC, or continuing-care retirement community?  Perhaps you could stay in your home-and have the community come to you. That is the idea behind a concept called ‘CCRCs without walls.’  Rather than requiring members to purchase a residence on a campus, these programs dispatch services-administered by aides, physical therapists, nurses and care coordinators-to members' homes as needed.  By doing away with the residence requirement, they typically can charge less."

LTC Comment:  The LTC service delivery system continues to evolve.

#############################

4/9/2012, “New York Life Reports 2011:  Financial Results Surplus and asset valuation reserve increased by $1 billion, or 6.4%, to a record $17.9 billion,” WSJ MarketWatch (link)

Quote:  "The long-term care insurance operation generated a 17% increase in sales over the prior year."

"Also, New York Life was the sixth largest seller of new individual long-term care insurance premium, according to an industry source.  Source: LIMRA International, Fourth Quarter YTD 2011 Individual Long-Term Care Sales Survey, adjusted for level premium pay plans plus 10% of limited premium pay plans."

LTC Comment:  Congratulations to Center Silver corporate member New York Life.

#############################

4/9/2012, “Workers aren't taking full advantage of benefits options,” by Marli D. Riggs, Employee Benefit Adviser 

Quote:  "When asked how they would pay for out-of-pocket expenses due to an unexpected illness, 57% of respondents say they would have to tap into savings, while 30% would use a credit card and 19% would have to withdraw funds from their 401(k) plans to cover the costs."

LTC Comment:  None of those resources would cover LTC costs very long for most Americans.  Providing LTCI worksite benefit options would help.

#############################

4/8/2012, “Would Roosevelt recognize today's Social Security?,” by Robert J. Samuelson, Washington Post

Quote:  "Social Security has evolved into something [Roosevelt] never intended and actively opposed. It has become what was then called 'the dole' and is now known as 'welfare.' This forgotten history clarifies why America's budget problems are so intractable."

LTC Comment:  The gradual deterioration of “social insurance” into welfare is now almost complete.

#############################

Updated, Friday, April 13, 2012, 9:00 AM (Mountain)

Santa Fe, NM--

LTC BULLET:  LTC NUMBERS YOU CAN TRUST

LTC Comment:  Who says 70 percent of seniors will need LTC?  What exactly does that mean?  Whose numbers can you trust?  Observations after the ***news.***

*** HAPPY FRIDAY THE 13th . . .  Be careful out there! ***

*** GENWORTH FINANCIAL has published its 2012 Cost of Care Survey.  Check it out here; cost of care map, here; key findings here.  Damon has updated our list of all companies’ cost of care surveys in “The Zone” including updating links to past year’s surveys.  Highlights:  “Looking back at the past five years of survey results, Genworth recognizes emerging trends across the long term care services landscape. Overall, the cost of care among facility-based providers has steadily increased. For example, in 2007 the median annual rate for a private nursing home room was $65,700, compared with the 2012 median annual rate of $81,030. . . .  In contrast to facility-based care, rates charged by home care providers for 'non-skilled' services have remained relatively flat over the past five years. For example, whereas the national hourly private pay median rate charged by a licensed home health agency for a home health aide was $18 in 2007, the 2012 hourly rate has only slowly crept up to $19. The historical compound annual growth rate for this type of care service has been only 1.09 percent over a five-year period.” ***

*** STEVE MOSES is in Santa Fe, NM to meet with New Mexico Human Services Department Cabinet Secretary Sidonie Squier this morning.  Executive Director Paul Gessing of the Rio Grande Foundation facilitated the meeting. ***

 

LTC BULLET:  LTC NUMBERS YOU CAN TRUST

LTC Comment:  One of the biggest benefits of membership in the Center for Long-Term Care Reform is the ability to ask us questions about LTC financing and expect a quick reply. 

Long-time friend, supporter and member of the Center, LTCI broker Ed Hutman, CLTC, LTCP of Group LTC Services and Baygroup Insurance in Baltimore, Maryland recently posed the following question to us.  (Published with Mr. Hutman’s permission.)

“Steve:  I have not seen these particular statistics (from your newsletter shown below).

All right. We know 70 percent of seniors will require some long-term care and 20 percent will need five years or more. We know LTC is very expensive whether it's provided in a nursing home, assisted living facility or in your own home. We know private long-term care insurance is inexpensive compared to the cost of care if needed. We know most Americans could afford LTC insurance, but too few buy it. Why?  (From LTC Bullet:  The Completely Understandable LTCI Buyer’s Guide, Friday, March 30, 2012)

The only specific study that I have seen that appears to have credibility (though due to its age perhaps no longer relevant) is the Kemper Murtaugh Study reported in the New England Journal of Medicine in Feb. 1991.  I believe their finding was that of the people reaching age 65 in 1990 43 per cent would spend some time in a nursing home (52% women, 33% men) and of that number 1 in 11 (9%) would require care for longer than 5 years. If I misread the study and their statement was that 1 in 11 of the total population would require more than 5 years of care, then the percentage of those who actually required care for more than 5 years would be 20%.  If there was another study that was conducted, please let me know. . .  Ed

My same-day reply follows.  If you are a member of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform or if you join (here or by contacting Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com), we’ll do our level best to give you the same kind of accurate, quick-turnaround answers.  “The Almanac of Long-Term Care,” referenced in my reply to Ed, is a feature in our members-only website, “The Zone.”  Your user name and password as a Center member will get you into the LTC Almanac and many other resources available only in The Zone.

Hi Ed,

Excellent question. We haven't used the old Kemper Murtaugh NEJM article since this one came out:

Peter Kemper, Harriet L. Komisar, and Lisa Alecxih, "Long-Term Care Over an Uncertain Future: What Can Current Retirees Expect?," Inquiry, Vol. 42, Winter 2005/2006, pps. 335-350, http://www.inquiryjournal.org/.

Below is my entry in "The Almanac of Long-Term Care" describing and quoting the newer article including a link to my critique of it in a contemporaneous LTC Bullet.  I've highlighted the sentence that covers the "70%/20%" stats (actually 69%/20%) that you see referenced everywhere these days.  By the way, as a member of the Center you have access to the LTC Almanac in The Zone.  It's a good place to look when you're searching for information like this . . ..

I have a feeling that other readers may have the same question you raised.  They also might benefit from a reminder about the LTC Almanac resource. May I use your question and my answer in an upcoming [LTC Bullet]?

Best regards,

Steve

Stephen A. Moses, President
Center for Long-Term Care Reform
2212 Queen Anne Avenue North, #110
Seattle, WA 98109
Office: 206-283-7036
Fax: 206-283-6536
Email: smoses@centerltc.com
Web site: www.centerltc.com

The Center for Long-Term Care Reform is a private institute dedicated to ensuring quality long-term care for all Americans. Sign up for our LTC Bullets online newsletter and become a member of the Center at www.centerltc.com.

--------------

Excerpt from “The Almanac of Long-Term Care

Inquiry Article 2006

Peter Kemper, Harriet L. Komisar, and Lisa Alecxih, "Long-Term Care Over an Uncertain Future: What Can Current Retirees Expect?," Inquiry, Vol. 42, Winter 2005/2006, pps. 335-350, http://www.inquiryjournal.org/.  I purchased a copy of this article from Inquiry.  See files.

Steve Moses’s critique of the Inquiry article, taking issue with many of its assumptions and conclusions, is here:  “LTC Bullet:  Microsimulate This!,” Tuesday, March 28, 2006, http://www.centerltc.com/bullets/archives2006/622.htm)

Quotations from the Inquiry article follow.  The data points Ed Hutman asked about specifically are highlighted:

Abstract: "The leading edge of the baby boom generation is nearing retirement and facing uncertainty about its need for long-term care (LTC). Using a microsimulation model, this analysis projected that people currently turning age 65 will need LTC for three years on average. An important share of needed care will be covered by public programs and some private insurance, but much of the care will be an uninsured private responsibility of individuals and their families-a responsibility that will be distributed unequally. While over a third of those now turning 65 are projected to never receive family care, three out of 10 will rely on family care for more than two years. Similarly, half of people turning 65 will have no private out-of-pocket expenditures for LTC, while more than one in 20 are projected to spend $100,000 or more of their own money (in present discounted value). Policy debate that focuses only on income security and acute care-and the corresponding Social Security and Medicare programs-misses the third, largely private, risk that retirees face: that of needing LTC." (p. 335)

"Medicaid pays for LTC, but only for those with limited income and assets. This means individuals must have low income and savings, or must exhaust their financial resources, if they are to qualify for Medicaid coverage." (p. 335)

"In general, the model projections assume that current policy and behavior continue into the future. For example, Medicaid benefits and income and asset eligibility requirements are assumed to continue unchanged." (p. 338)

"For Medicaid eligibility and benefits, the model applies uniform eligibility rules, reflecting average national criteria, rather than modeling the details of each state's Medicaid program. This is because the core population on which the model is based is not representative at the state level." (p. 339)

"To determine Medicaid's role in nursing home care, the model simulates Medicaid eligibility, including the process of individuals using their income and drawing down their assets to pay for LTC, some to the level of Medicaid eligibility." (p. 340)

"Another important source of uncertainty surrounds changes in public policy and people's behavioral responses to them. For example, during the past decade, state expansions of Medicaid home and community-based services waiver programs and federal legislation changing Medicare's payment system for home health services affected the use of LTC services in important ways, but would have been difficult to foresee. Future policy changes are similarly difficult to foresee. For the present analysis, however, our purpose is to focus attention on the policy issues assuming there will be no change in policy, rather than to analyze the effect of policy that might be enacted." (p. 341)

"Over the rest of their lives, the current cohort of 65-year-olds will need, on average, LTC (facility care, formal home care services, or informal care at home) for a total of three years, according to the model simulations (see Table 1). Dramatic differences, although not surprising, exist between women and men. Women will need LTC for a longer time-for an average of 3.7 years, compared with 2.2 years for men.

"These averages mask enormous variation in the need for LTC. While an estimated 31% of people currently turning 65 will not need any LTC before they die, 20% will need care for more than five years. Indeed, those in the top 10% with respect to years of care need will account for 37% of the total years of care needed by the cohort (not shown)." (p. 341-42, emphasis added.)

"Because only 3% of people in the cohort are projected to use services paid for by private LTC insurance, out-of-pocket spending dominates the private expenditure distribution. Fifty percent of the retiring cohort will have no out-of-pocket expenditures for LTC, but 6% will incur out-of-pocket expenditures with a present value of $100,000 or more." (p. 345)

"Out-of-pocket expenditures will be incurred by those who rely on Medicaid as well as by those who do not. Among the 30% of people who will receive some LTC coverage under Medicaid during the rest of their lives, 95% will spend some money out of pocket for LTC (see Table 5). These expenditures include both assets that they ''spend down'' before becoming eligible for Medicaid and income, which Medicaid requires beneficiaries to contribute toward their care (except for a small personal-needs allowance). The amount spent out of pocket by those who rely on Medicaid for LTC will range widely. While 52% will have out-of-pocket expenses of less than $10,000 (including those with none), about 10% will spend $100,000 or more out of pocket in some combination of income and assets. Indeed, the average out-of-pocket expenditures for people who receive some Medicaid LTC will be an estimated $35,000." (p. 345)

"Public programs and private insurance will pay for 55% of paid care received either at home or in facilities. The remaining 45% of LTC expenditures will be paid for out of pocket." (p. 345)

Results

"Over the rest of their lives, the current cohort of 65-year-olds will need, on average, LTC (facility care, formal home care services, or informal care at home) for a total of three years, according to the model simulations (see Table 1). Dramatic differences, although not surprising, exist between women and men. Women will need LTC for a longer time-for an average of 3.7 years, compared with 2.2 years for men.

"These averages mask enormous variation in the need for LTC. While an estimated 31% of people currently turning 65 will not need any LTC before they die, 20% will need care for more than five years. Indeed, those in the top 10% with respect to years of care need will account for 37% of the total years of care needed by the cohort (not shown). [Emphasis added]

"Women have a higher risk of ever needing LTC than men-an estimated 79% of women currently turning 65 will need LTC sometime before they die, compared with 58% of men. Women also face a greater risk of a lengthy period of LTC need-28% will need care for more than five years versus 11% of men." (pps. 341-42)

"People currently turning 65 face a substantial risk of relying on their families for extended periods of caregiving. Sixty-five percent of all people in the cohort will spend some time at home with LTC need. Among the entire cohort, 30% will receive more than two years of care at home, and 11% will receive more than five years of care at home. Twenty-three percent of the cohort will rely solely on informal care for longer than two years, and 6% will do so for more than five years.

"Individuals also differ widely in their projected use of facility care. While 63% of people in the cohort will not use any nursing home or assisted living care, 8% will spend more than five years in facilities. The model projects that 35% of the cohort will use nursing home care, with 5% spending more than five years in nursing facilities. Fewer people will use assisted living facilities. The model estimates that 13% of the cohort will use this type of care, 1% for more than five years." (p. 343)

The model estimates that average lifetime use among nursing home users is about 2.3 years (not shown), within the 1.8- to 2.8-year range of previous estimates. Among nursing home users, the risk of using more than five years of care is about 14% (not shown), again within the 12% to 21% range of other estimates. (p. 343) 

"Projected expenditures for LTC services are substantial. The present discounted value of lifetime LTC expenditures is estimated to average $47,000 in 2005 dollars (see Table 3). This is the average amount per person that would have to be set aside and invested for people at age 65 to pay for all their LTC expenditures over the rest of their lives. The amount a specific person will need varies widely among individuals. Government programs are projected to pay for 53% of total LTC expenditures of the cohort turning 65. Private LTC insurance is projected to cover only about 2% of the cohort's LTC expenditures. On average, the cohort faces out-of-pocket expenditures of $21,100. Thus, 45% of the cohort's total LTC expenditures are projected to be an uninsured private expense.

"Nursing and assisted living facility care will account for the lion's share of the cohort's LTC expenditures-an average of $38,900. Over three-quarters of these expenditures will be for nursing facility care, based on the modeling assumptions about growth in assisted living. Public programs, primarily Medicaid, will pay for 46% of all facility care (not shown). The rest will be paid for privately, nearly all out of pocket. However, the mix of public and private funds will differ strikingly for nursing home and assisted living care-public sources will pay 57% of average lifetime nursing facility expenditures, while private sources (out-of-pocket spending and private LTC insurance) will pay 92% of the expenditures for care in assisted living facilities." (p. 343)

"Fifty percent of the retiring cohort will have no out-of-pocket expenditures for LTC, but 6% will incur out-of-pocket expenditures with a present value of $100,000 or more." (p. 345)

"These expenditures include both assets that they ''spend down'' before becoming eligible for Medicaid and income, which Medicaid requires beneficiaries to contribute toward their care (except for a small personal-needs allowance). The amount spent out of pocket by those who rely on Medicaid for LTC will range widely. While 52% will have out-of-pocket expenses of less than $10,000 (including those with none), about 10% will spend $100,000 or more out of pocket in some combination of income and assets. Indeed, the average out-of-pocket expenditures for people who receive some Medicaid LTC will be an estimated $35,000." (p. 345)

Discussion

"It is this wide variation in the projected need for LTC that poses a challenge for both individuals and policymakers. The challenge can be thought of usefully as an insurance problem. Indeed, given its wide variation and uncertainty, LTC need appears to be the archetypal insurable risk that could be spread by insurance, public or private. A private insurance market exists to do so, and government programs provide public insurance for some LTC. The simulations clearly show, however, that existing private and public insurance leaves substantial gaps in coverage of LTC risks-both risks of incurring out-of-pocket costs and risks to families of providing in-kind care." (p. 346)

"The role that private LTC insurance can play in spreading risk is relatively small for a number of reasons. First, not everyone can purchase insurance because insurers underwrite to protect against adverse selection (Murtaugh, Kemper, and Spillman 1995). Second, demand for private LTC insurance is limited. Premiums are high relative to the financial resources of many retirees. Many people consider the product expensive, in part because administrative costs such as marketing and underwriting expenses account for a substantial share of premiums (Lewis, Wilkin, and Merlis 2003; Brown and Finkelstein 2004a).8 People are also uncertain about whether the insurance benefits will cover enough care, and the right type of care, if they need it. In addition, Medicaid's safety-net coverage of LTC for people who exhaust their resources may provide a disincentive for some people to purchase private long-term care insurance.9 Finally, some argue that if private LTC insurance is to play an increased role in spreading risk, products need to be more heavily regulated to improve consumer protection. While regulatory changes and subsidies could increase the role of private insurance somewhat, underwriting and limited demand constrain its ability to spread remaining uninsured out-of-pocket expenses.

"Public insurance could be enacted to spread the uninsured risk of incurring substantial out-of-pocket expenditures, and many proposals have been suggested to do so (Rivlin and Wiener 1988; Scanlon 1992; Wiener et al. 2001). The principal obstacle to doing so is political. For example, the Social Security Act could be amended to add a LTC benefit to Medicare, but this would require a dramatic change in public policy thinking concerning the role of Medicare, which, as indicated, is intended to insure acute care, not LTC. Public responsibility for insuring acute care of the elderly is accepted, but the extent of public responsibility for insuring LTC continues to be debated.

"Incremental expansion of Medicaid coverage by raising financial eligibility limits or making home and community-based services or personal care mandatory benefits also could be enacted to improve access to LTC services. However, this would not insure against the risk of incurring out-of-pocket expenditures as would private or public insurance. Medicaid is designed to be a safety net for those who run out of money to protect against unmet need for LTC, not to limit out-of-pocket expenditures.10 Indeed, it is not insurance in the usual sense of the term: Medicaid insures the combined risk of needing LTC and being unable to pay for it. For those with moderate financial resources, it is contingent insurance for LTC-contingent on first spending nearly all their financial resources, often on LTC. It does not protect income and assets for other things such as living expenses or bequests, and it only partially protects financial resources for spouses.11 On the contrary, it ensures that private financial resources are exhausted before benefits are provided. We saw that 10% of those who eventually qualify for Medicaid will have more than $100,000 in out-of-pocket expenditures. While Medicaid plays an essential role as a LTC safety net for those with limited financial resources, it is limited as insurance against out-of-pocket spending." (p. 346)

"Policy debate that focuses only on income security and acute care-and the corresponding Social Security and Medicare programs-misses the third risk that retirees face: that of needing LTC. That risk is substantial; under current Medicare and Medicaid policy much of it is the uninsured private responsibility of individuals and families. And the uninsured risk is not easy to spread." (p. 347)

#############################

Updated, Monday, April 9, 2012, 11:14 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

LTC E-ALERT #12-012:  LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

 

LTC Comment:  Our weekly summary of the LTC financing news follows. 

 

Reminder:  subscribers to the Center for Long-Term Care Reform’s discounted “clipping service” received daily emails covering these and other news items in real time.  You too can stay on top of developing stories, the latest studies, and all sorts of breaking news to keep you ahead competitively.  Get all the details on our clipping service here http://www.centerltc.com/bullets/archives2012/942.htm.  Contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com to subscribe.

 

#############################

4/6/2012, “3in4 Association & Dr. Marion Rescue Overwhelmed Caregiver With Top-to-Bottom Home Makeover,” WSJ MarketWatch (link

Quote:  "Non-profit organization 3in4 Association and its spokesperson, elder care expert & author Dr. Marion, will today unveil a total home makeover valued at over $50,000 to rescue one California family from a long-term care crisis. The entire remodel was captured on film for an upcoming reality TV pilot, 'Dr. Marion to the Rescue.'"

LTC Comment:  Watch here for news about the 3in4 Need More campaign and its 2012 national bus tour.

#############################

4/6/2012, “LTC Sculpture for the People,” by David Port, LifeHealthPRO

Quote"To maintain [sales] momentum in 2012, the onus is on suppliers and salespeople to deliver products that resonate with buyers. And these days, what buyers want most are affordability and flexibility, according to Tom Riekse Jr., a managing principal at LTCI Partners, Lake Forest, Ill."

LTC Comment:  Good advice from a long-time supporter and corporate member of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform.

#############################

4/6/2012, “Don't Grow Old Without It,” by Kelly Greene, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "Long-term-care insurance: It can make the difference between living out your life the way you want and becoming a burden to your family or a ward of the state. But it is becoming significantly more expensive, more complicated and harder to get with each passing year."

LTC Comment:  The WSJ financial columnist’s advice on how to buy LTC insurance.

#############################

4/4/2012, “Why Is Critical Illness Insurance So Darn Hot?,” by Debbie Cecil, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "Combining voluntary benefits with high-deductible health plans is an effective way for employers to provide employees more coverage. Brokers and employers recognize that critical illness coverage, in particular, is the perfect complement to high deductible health plans, higher co-pays and Health Savings Accounts (HSAs)."

LTC Comment:  Critical illness insurance has been hot in Canada and the UK, but it’s catching fire now in the USA especially as a supplement to HSAs.

#############################

4/4/2012, “Contrary to Predictions, Boomers Are Retiring,” Life & Health Advisor

Quote:  "Despite the popular belief that Baby Boomers will continue to work well past the traditional retirement age of 65, those born in 1946 are retiring in droves, according to Transitioning into Retirement: The MetLife Study of Baby Boomers at 65. . . . The study reports that 59% of the first Boomers to turn 65 are at least partially retired - 45% are completely retired and 14% are retired, but working part-time. Of those still working, 37% say they'll retire in the next year and on average plan to do so by the time they're 68. Half (51%) of those who are retired say they retired earlier than they had expected. Of those who retired early, four-in-ten say they did so for health reasons. The majority (85%) of respondents consider themselves healthy, and almost all (96%) retirees say they like retirement at least somewhat. Seven-in-ten (70%) like it a lot." 

LTC Comment:  We reviewed this report in Friday’s “LTC Bullet:  Boomer Coma” concluding “A new study shows baby boomers are already cognitively impaired when it comes to financial and retirement planning.”

#############################

4/3/2012, “Genworth cuts off another limb,” by Michael Schwartz, RichmondBizSense.com

Quote:  "One of Richmond's biggest financial firms closed Monday on a deal to sell off yet another piece of itself. Genworth Financial sold its tax and accounting advisers unit, known as Genworth Financial Investment Services, to a Los Angeles-based firm."

#############################

4/2/2012, “State and Local Governments' Fiscal Outlook,” Government Accountability Office (GAO-12-523SP)

Quote"In the long term, the decline in the sector's operating balance is primarily driven by the rising health-related costs of state and local expenditures on Medicaid and the cost of health care compensation for state and local government employees and retirees.  Since most state and local governments are required to balance their operating budgets, the declining fiscal conditions shown in our simulations suggest that the sector would need to make substantial policy changes to avoid growing fiscal imbalances in the future.  That is, absent any intervention or policy changes, state and local governments would face an increasing gap between receipts and expenditures in the coming years."

LTC Comment:  Translation:  Medicaid is finished as the dominant payer for long-term care sooner rather than later.

#############################

4/2/2012, “Baby Boomers Will Transform Aging in America, Panel Says,” by Laura Rowley, Huffington Post

Quote"If the looming shortfall in entitlement programs is not addressed, boomers will confront challenges that rival those faced by their parents and grandparents in the Great Depression and World War II, argued Torres-Gil, who was the first assistant secretary for aging under President Bill Clinton."

LTC Comment:  It warms my heart and soothes my mind finally to see warnings like this one, which we’ve made frequently here, showing up in the national media.  Maybe the public will get the message soon enough after all to avoid the worst of those “challenges.”

#############################

4/2/2012, “The Draw-Down of Retirement Savings,” by James Poterba, Steven Venti, and David Wise, National Bureau of Economic Research

Quote:  Excerpts from the synopsis of a very interesting report:

"While there are many potential explanations that need to be explored more fully, the authors 'conclude from these patterns of wealth evolution that if anything, past studies of the cost of poor health in late life under-estimate the risks that households face from adverse health shocks.'" 

"Second, for the minority of households who reach retirement with substantial assets, late-life financial planning is complex and multi-faceted. Households face three main risks:  longevity, uninsured medical expenses, and poor asset returns." 

"Noting the financial pressures on programs like Social Security and Medicare, the authors conclude that the need to forecast government policies may be one of the most difficult challenges facing retirement-age households."  

LTC Comment:  Hear, hear!  Realizing that government safety-net “entitlement” programs are unlikely to be as rich and easily available in the future as they have been in the past may be the single most important and difficult challenge for consumers and financial advisers.

#############################

4/2/2012, “Long Term Care Insurance Industry Ad Appears,” by Jesse Slome, AALTCI

Quote:  "A new national long term care Insurance consumer awareness advertisement has been announced by the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance (AALTCI), the national trade group. According to AALTCI executive director Jesse Slome, the full-page ad appears in the May edition of Kiplinger's Personal Finance magazine."  

LTC Comment:  Another coup for AALTCI.

#############################

4/2/2012, “What Older Workers Don't Know About Social Security,” by Emily Brandon,  U.S. News & World Report

Quote:  "Many people on the verge of retirement lack knowledge about how Social Security works. Most older workers can't identify basic information about the Social Security calculation, including how many years of earnings are factored into their payout and how much their payments will increase due to delayed claiming, according to a recent AARP and Knowledge Networks online survey of 2,053 people ages 52 to 70 who plan to claim Social Security within the next 15 years."

LTC Comment:  If they know so little about Social Security, how much less do they know about long-term care financing?  LTCI producers who have and can teach knowledge about government programs have a critical key into the appreciation and trust of clients.

#############################

4/2/2012, “Long-Term Care and Couples:  Who Pays?,” by Kelly Greene, Wall Street Journal   

Quote:  "So-called Medicaid planning, which is essentially giving assets to loved ones so you can qualify for government assistance, is highly controversial. What do you think? Should it be allowed? Are there situations when it is, or isn't, appropriate? Or should families that don't buy long-term-care insurance simply be out of luck?"

LTC Comment:  The proper question is "Why expect people to buy LTC insurance if they can save their assets for heirs and get the government to pay after the insurable event occurs?”

#############################

3/31/2012, “In New York, Spousal Refusal Lives and Expanded Recovery Dies,” ElderLawAnswers 

Quote:  "New York elder law attorneys achieved two major victories in the state's recently finalized 2012-2013 budget. They beat back a proposal by New York Governor Andrew Cuomo to remove the right of spousal refusal for those seeking Medicaid coverage of care in the community. Not only that, but they managed to include in the new budget repeal of expanded estate recovery rules enacted in last year's budget."

LTC Comment:  New York's "spousal refusal" policy transfers scarce Medicaid resources from the poor to the affluent and undermines responsible LTC planning. But the state continues this fiscally suicidal policy.  For a full critique of New York’s Medicaid LTC program, see our report titled “Long-Term Care Financing in New York:  The Consequences of Denial” here.

#############################

3/21/2012, “How you can hedge long-term care costs,” by Terry Savage

Quote:  "There are several solutions to hedging the potential cost of long-term custodial care, which is not covered by Medicare or any supplement. And, while the solutions are costly, they are far less expensive than the potential of using up all your assets to pay for care - and then being placed in a state-funded nursing home, even though you could otherwise have been cared for in your home." 

"Peter Florek of MAGA LTC (800-533-6242), says these combo policies make sense for people who have savings, want some LTC benefits, and the death benefit, as well as liquidity. He advises those who do not have money for the cash deposit into such policies to at least purchase a small amount of traditional LTC insurance, despite the potential for rising premiums."  

LTC Comment:  Congratulations to syndicated financial columnist Terry Savage for her frequent coverage of long-term care insurance and to distributor MAGA LTC for their close work with Savage to explain the product’s value and the challenges it faces.

#############################

Updated, Friday, April 6, 2012, 9:48 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

#############################

LTC BULLET:  BOOMER COMA

LTC Comment:  A new study shows baby boomers are already cognitively impaired when it comes to financial and retirement planning.  Findings and analysis after the ***news.***

*** JOHN GOODMAN of the National Center for Policy Analysis published “Health Alert: How We Can Keep from Going Broke, Part I” a couple weeks ago.  It explains eloquently how “Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and other social insurance programs are bankrupting America.”  So it’s a perfect background and companion piece for today’s LTC Bullet.  In “Health Alert: How We Can Keep from Going Broke, Part II,” published two days ago, Goodman prescribes a solution.  Both articles are worth your attention, as is everything this gentleman writes at his “Health Policy Blog” and elsewhere. ****** NEW FEATURE:  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform’s public and members-only websites are full of useful information.  Yet members often tell us they were unaware of this or that resource.  So we’ve decided to point you periodically to information we think you can use.  Watch for our new “Spotlight On” feature in LTC Bullets and LTC E-Alerts.  Center VP Damon Moses will author them and you can contact him if you have any questions or comments:  damon@centerltc.com or 206-283-7036.  Here’s number 1 in our “Spotlight On” series:

SPOTLIGHT ON:  “LTC Bullets” Archives.  LTC Bullets is our informative newsletter covering the latest developments in long-term care services and financing.  You already know these critical emails--authored by CLTCR President, Stephen Moses--arrive in your inbox weekly, but did you know every “LTC Bullet” ever published is archived by date and by subject on our website?  Over 950 informative “LTC Bullets” dating back to 1998 are easily searchable and available for all to view.  Check them out here.  In the archive, you’ll find the “LTC Bullets” organized into seven subjects: (1) The LTC Problem and Solutions, (2) Reality Check: The Facts on LTCI, (3) Medicaid Planning, (4) LTC Services, (5) Politics and Legislation, (6) Demographics and Other Data, and (7) CLTCR News. We provide this free service to educate the public, legislators, policy makers and long-term care professionals in order to encourage rational long-term care policy reform and responsible LTC planning.  Browse to our “LTC Bullets” archives and start reading and researching today! ***

#############################

LTC BULLET:  BOOMER COMA

LTC Comment:  Baby boomers are retiring faster and in greater numbers than anyone expected.  What’s more, they’re surprisingly content and confident as they drift blithely into retirement, much more so than America’s economic reality justifies. 

That’s my take away from the latest MetLife Mature Market Institute’s study of the baby boomer cohort.  Find the “Executive Summary” and “Key Findings” of “Transitioning into Retirement:  The MetLife Study of Baby Boomers at 65” below.  Read the whole report here.  For example: 

“Despite the conventional wisdom that Boomers are ready to ‘work forever’ and significantly extend their formal working career, many of the oldest Boomers are already well into the retirement phase.  Almost twice as many 65-year-olds in 2011 stated that they were fully retired as were working full-time at age 65 (45% versus 24% respectively).  The average age at retirement for these Boomers was 59.7 for men and 57.2 for women.” (p. 2)

Evidently, MetLife’s respondents didn’t get the memo about these findings from a May 2011 Bankers Life and Casualty study:

  • “More than half of middle-income Boomers (55%) have saved less than $100,000 for retirement.  One-fifth (19%) have saved less than $10,000.”
  • “Two out of three (68%) middle-income Americans age 47 to 65 have experienced a decline in the value of their retirement accounts since 2008; one-third (30%) of those have not seen any rebound in value as of March 2011.”
  • “One-third (32%) of those surveyed who own a home have already paid off their mortgage; however, close to half (48%) do not expect to have it paid off before they retire.”
  • “Three-quarters (73%) of middle-income Boomers say the turbulent economy has caused their retirement timing expectations to change; seventy-nine percent (79%) of those are delaying their retirement, by five years on average.”
  • “Two out of three (66%) middle-income Americans age 47 to 65 are not receiving professional guidance of any kind regarding their retirement.”

In actuality, baby boomers’ annual savings rates as a percentage of their incomes plummeted from 7.3% in 1988 to .5% in 2007.  (Source)

What accounts for this apparent gap between boomers’ complacency toward early retirement and the hard facts about the generation’s lack of financial preparedness? 

I think the explanation is the same as for the boomers’ denial and naïveté about long-term care risk and cost.  All their lives, they’ve seen their grandparents and parents supported by Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.  Boomers think they can depend on the social safety net too.  They’re wrong.

The federal government is running massive deficits and borrows over 40% of everything it spends!  How long can that continue?

Social Security warns of dramatic benefit cuts when its trust fund runs out.  But there is nothing in the Social Security trust fund except IOUs; the program already spends more than it collects in payroll taxes; and its unfunded liability is $17 trillion. 

Medicare is a far bigger problem than Social Security.  Its infinite-horizon unfunded liability is $89 trillion and there’s nothing but treasury bonds, more IOUs, in its “trust fund.”  Like Social Security, Medicare already draws down general funds.

Of course, Medicaid, the biggest payer for long-term care—boomers’ greatest financial liability in old age—doesn’t even have a phony trust fund for naïve retirees to pretend they can rely on.  The handwriting’s already on the wall for all three of these insolvent social programs.

Between the long-standing and still-growing entitlement mentality these programs created and the collapsing values of personal responsibility so fully and depressingly documented in Charles Murray’s new book Coming Apart, it’s hard to imagine how the country will get through its imminent encounter with financial reality.

Adam Smith said “There’s a great deal of ruin in a nation.”  That’s why America could muddle through for so long.  But a country can’t defy economic gravity forever, any more than a hot air balloon can remain permanently aloft.  A hard landing is coming, and soon. 

Let’s hope enough boomers awaken from their entitlement-induced financial stupor in time to prevent a crash.  But don’t bet your life on it.  Make sure you and yours are protected with adequate savings and full private insurance protection before you consider retirement.

#############################

Following is an excerpt from “Transitioning into Retirement:  The MetLife Study of Baby Boomers at 65,” MetLife Mature Market Institute, Westport, Connecticut, April 2012, (link).

Executive Summary

In 2007, the MetLife Mature Market Institute (the Institute) began conducting a series of studies to better understand the Baby Boomer cohort, those born between 1946 and 1964. The first in this series, Boomers: Ready to Launch, studied Boomers on the cusp of reaching age 62 in 2008. In 2008, the Institute conducted Boomer Bookends: Insights Into the Oldest and Youngest Boomers (released in 2009), a comparative look at Boomers born specifically in 1946 and 1964. For each of these studies, respondents were re-contacted to compare their attitudes and experiences from the previous waves.

In 2010, the Institute released Boomers in the Middle: An In-Depth Look at Americans Born 1952-1958. This study examined the middle cohort of the Baby Boomers, who in some ways tend to favor attitudes and behaviors of either side of the Boomer spectrum.

In 2011, the oldest Boomers reached a new milestone - turning age 65 - an age that traditionally defined retirement. This study examines the attitudes and behaviors of this leading-edge Boomer segment as they transition into their next life stage. Respondents included those who agreed to be re-contacted from the 2009 study, so in many instances, direct comparisons of changes in circumstances, plans, and behavior are included in this report.

The results indicate that much can change in three years, with major changes in employment and retirement status specifically. Despite the conventional wisdom that Boomers are ready to "work forever" and significantly extend their formal working career, many of the oldest Boomers are already well into the retirement phase. Almost twice as many 65-year-olds in 2011 stated that they were fully retired as were working full-time at age 65 (45% versus 24% respectively). The average age at retirement for these Boomers was 59.7 for men and 57.2 for women. A large majority of those who have transitioned into their retirement also report that they are well satisfied with this new stage of their lives.

Of those still working, over one-third anticipated that they will retire within the coming year, when they turn 66 and are eligible for full Social Security retirement benefits. Despite this anticipation, a small minority (15%) are unconvinced of the Social Security program's long-term sustainability, and slightly more (21%) are fully convinced that it will be around. Almost two-thirds (63%) are also currently collecting Social Security retirement benefits. At the same time, of the 65-yearold Boomers who have not retired, many are considering working until even longer than in the past. Consistent with prior studies, major concerns are having adequate finances, staying active and productive, and long-term care costs.

With a large majority of these oldest Boomers without a living parent (76%) and 83% of those with children now also having grandchildren, much of their attention has turned to these younger generations. Of the approximately one in four who have at least one living parent, the incidence and activity of elder care has remained steady at 14%.

The respondents also revealed that concerns about the recession may be waning, although it still clearly concerns many, with 43% expressing optimism about the future (next 25 years). In this regard, 25% relate it to their personal finances and 22% to their health. Of those pessimistic, most attribute this to the government (49%) or the economy (21%).

Although health reasons play a major role in the decision to retire earlier than anticipated, a majority report good health and over two-thirds report no change in their health status. This may be a factor in why the oldest Boomers continue to push back the age at which they view themselves as old, now postponing this declaration until age 79, a full year more than they indicated in 2007.

Key Findings

• Almost one-half (45%) of 65-year-old Boomers are now fully retired (up from 19% in 2008), with another 14% reporting that they are retired but working part-time or seasonally.

• Of those who have not yet retired, 61% plan to retire at the same time as they planned one year ago. On average, Boomers who have not yet retired plan to do so by age 68.5.

• Almost four in 10 respondents (37%) who retired earlier than they had planned, cite health-related reasons for doing so, another 16%cited loss of a job or job opportunities. Those who retired later than they had planned mention needing a salary to pay for day-to-day expenses (27%) and a desire to stay active (13%) as the reasons for delaying retirement.

• The majority of Boomers (63%) have also started receiving Social Security benefits; of those, half started collecting before they had originally planned. Six in 10 Boomers are at least somewhat confident in the ability of Social Security to provide adequate benefits for their lifetime.

• Seven in 10 retirees report liking retirement "a lot" while another two in 10 say they "like it somewhat." The majority of Boomers like the word "retirement" to describe their life stage and feel it is as they expected it to be.

• Half of Boomers feel on track or have achieved their retirement savings goals. Just under half (48%) have consulted a financial advisor in the past 12 months, and six in 10 have calculated their needed monthly income during retirement. An equal percentage of retirees and those who are still working full-time have tried to calculate their monthly income needed in retirement (63% of retirees and 65% of full-time workers).

• Despite current difficult times, more than twice as many Boomers (43%) are optimistic about the future in the long-term than the less than one-fifth who are pessimistic. They are optimistic about their personal finances and their health. Those pessimistic about the future are most concerned about the government and the economy.

• Almost one-quarter of Boomers received an inheritance from their parents with an average value before taxes of $110K.

• Boomers still feel that they are in good health, with 85% reporting excellent, very good, or good general health ratings. Almost two in 10 report being in worse health than they were in 2008. Of those, half have suffered a major health problem in the past three years.

• The Boomers surveyed say on average that they will be old at age 79, a year later than reported in 2007. Nearly one-third (31%) of Boomers think that they were their sharpest mentally in their forties while about one-fifth feel the sharpest now, in their sixties.

• From 2008 to 2011, more Boomers have become grandparents - an increase from 77% to 83%.

• During that same period, the number of respondents who report having neither parent alive increased significantly from 67% in 2008 to 76% in 2011. However, the proportion of Boomers providing care to a relative has remained stable at 14%, providing an average of 11 hours of care on a weekly basis.

• Home ownership increased significantly from 2008, from 85% to 93% of Boomers. The majority of homeowners (83%) do not plan on moving. The average home value reported is $255,000, down slightly from $269,000 reported in 2008.

#############################

Updated, Monday, April 2, 2012, 10:34 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

#############################

LTC E-ALERT #12-011:  LTCI Opinion Survey and LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

LTC Comment:  Happy Anniversary to your Center for LTC Reform.  Fourteen years ago yesterday, attorney David Rosenfeld and Steve Moses founded the Center for Long-Term Care Financing.  David went on to hold critical jobs as a Congressional staffer, currently Senior Health Counsel to the House Republican Conference.  In 2005, the Center changed its name to the Center for Long-Term Care Reform, but our work has carried on with no change in the mission:  “To Ensure Quality Care for All Americans.”  Thank you for your long and abiding support.

Following is an invitation from LIMRA, a trade association of insurance and financial services companies, to participate in an opinion survey about private long-term care insurance.  I’ve completed the questionnaire and I encourage you to do the same.

Long-Term Care Insurance:  Industry Insights and Outlook

We would like to invite your participation in the Long-Term Care Insurance: Industry Insights and Outlook Survey. Every three years, LIMRA conducts a survey collecting opinions on the state of the long-term care insurance (LTCI) industry as well as predictions for the future. Please take a few minutes to complete this survey and submit it to LIMRA by April 13, 2012. We are interested in hearing from numerous individuals in the LTCI industry and are not looking for one "carrier response." As such, please feel free to forward this survey along to other LTCI folks in your company and/or elsewhere.

Individual participants and their responses will not be identified by name in the final report. Participants will receive a free copy of the results.

Click here to preview a pdf version of the survey.

As always, feel free to contact me with any questions regarding this survey.

Click here to begin the survey.

Thank you,

Jennifer Douglas
LTC Product Research
Jdouglas@limra.com
860-285-7742

#############################

3/31/2012, “Practical Matters: 10 tips for the 'sandwhich generation,'” by Alice Haine, The National 

Quote:  "3 Discuss the future with your parents: Talk to your parents about their retirement planning and discuss the possibility of them obtaining long-term care insurance. Long-term care insurance can help to secure your parents' choices without putting a burden on you. However, never categorically promise your parents that you will not put them in a nursing home because in some cases it could be the only option as they may need more care than you can humanly provide."

LTC Comment:  Thoughtful counsel.

#############################

3/30/2012, “Critical Illness: Insurers Report $227 Million in U.S. Sales,” by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "[T]he results available suggest that the participating carriers generated at least $227 million from providing critical illness protection for 734,230 people, according to a summary of the results that Gen Re, Stamford, Conn., posted on the Gen Re website. The researchers found that 13% of the premiums from new critical illness coverage sales came from sales to individuals, 14% from sales of true group plans, and 72% from sales to individual workers through individual worksite sales programs or through voluntary, employee-paid group coverage programs. The policies provided a total of $8.7 billion in protection."

LTC Comment:  Most critical illness insurance sales occur in other countries, especially Canada and the UK, but the U.S. market is growing.

#############################

3/30/2012, “Medicaid Gets Harder to Tap,” by Kelly Greene, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "Here's how to preserve some assets and possibly still qualify for help."

LTC Comment:  My note to the author: 

Kelly: Your article about Medicaid planning relies solely on sources who make their livings selling Medicaid planning. I'd be glad to provide you a different perspective. I worked for the federal Medicaid program for a decade and I've followed its gradual decline--due in part to excessive Medicaid planning--for three decades. Without more balance in your reporting, WSJ readers may come away with the idea that planning responsibly to be able to pay for their own long-term care is unnecessary, or even foolish. Years ago, your columns also explained the risks and downsides of Medicaid planning and you covered other planning options if I recall correctly.  Steve 

#############################

3/29/2012, “Long-term care insurance policy costs rising,” by Christine Dugas, USA TODAY 

Quote:  "Just as aging Baby Boomers are realizing they may need long-term care insurance, the marketplace is shrinking, the cost of premiums is soaring, and providers are altering the policies they offer."

LTC Comment:  Nothing new in this article, and it fails again to point out the greater risk and vulnerability of the social safety net, but it is noteworthy for quoting industry advocate and Center supporter Deb Newman in defense of LTCI.  

#############################

3/29/2012, “Giving Stuff To Your Kids Could Leave You Broke, Sick, And On The Street!,” Law Offices of Alice Reiter Feld & Associates

Quote:  "I recently met with a couple in which the wife needed long-term care. They told me they had given financial help to their divorced daughter. When I told them their gifts were going to cause them severe penalties now that the wife needed care, they were devastated. . . . The moral? Don't even think about applying for Medicaid without seeing an Elder Law attorney who specializes in long-term care benefits and estate planning!"

LTC Comment:  This Medicaid planning ad is typical of information inundating consumers to the effect that long-term care costs are avoidable, without private insurance, by consulting a lawyer.

#############################

3/28/2012, “Long-term care benefits come most easily if you know your policy,” by Terry Savage, Chicago Sun-Times

Quote:  "Long-term care insurance has been getting its share of bad press lately, because of premium increases. But for those who are already receiving benefits, and their families, there is a very positive side to this story."

LTC Comment:  LTCI's friend in the national media, syndicated financial columnist Terry Savage, cites producer Honey Leveen, wholesaler Claude Thau, and trade association chief Jesse Slome in this column.

#############################

3/28/2012, “Cumulative cuts spell bad news for SNFs, report finds,” McKnight’s LTC News

Quote:  "Nursing homes are planning to layoff direct caregivers, reduce employee benefits and cancel facility expansion plans as a result of cumulative Medicare and Medicaid cuts, a new survey finds."

LTC Comment:  As predicted here for many years:  Access to quality care, at home or in a SNF or ALF, will depend increasingly on the ability to pay privately and avoid Medicaid.

#############################

3/28/2012, “3in4 Association and Dr. Marion Team Up with Emeritus to Shine the Spotlight on Seniors and Long-term Care Planning,” MarketWatch

Quote:  “Non-profit organization 3in4 Association and its spokesperson, elder care expert & author Dr. Marion, today announced a partnership with Emeritus Senior Living, a leading national provider of senior living services, to raise awareness about the crucial need for Americans to form a plan for their long term care needs." 

LTC Comment:  Go 3in4! 

#############################

3/28/2012, “Low interest rates put cash in Americans' pockets,” by Dennis Cauchon, USA TODAY

Quote:  "A historic drop in interest rates is helping U.S. households save more than $3,000 a year on average, allowing consumers to spend more even as their earnings fall, a USA TODAY analysis finds."

LTC Comment:  Historically low interest rates forced on the economy by the Federal Reserve may be driving carriers out of the LTCI market by reducing investment returns on reserves, but isn't it interesting that consumers are saving enough on the low interest rates ($3,000 annually) to purchase private LTCI policies? This might be a way to show prospects where to find the funds to pay for LTCI coverage.

#############################

3/27/2012, “LTC industry generates $259 billion in revenue during 2011,” Long-Term Living

Quote:  "Overall revenues for the U.S. long-term care industry grew 31 percent since 2006, reaching $259 billion in 2011, according to a new report from Kalorama Information. The four market segments included in the report are: nursing home, assisted living, hospice and home care. . . 'Nursing homes will face less reimbursement. Assisted living, already non-reimbursed by government plans, will increasingly become an option for those with long-term care insurance.’”

LTC Comment:  As Medicaid and Medicare cut back, private LTC insurance will fill the gap increasingly.

#############################

3/27/2012, “Genworth Bets on Long-Term Care as Insurers Flee Market,” by Andrea Ludtke, Bloomberg

Quote:  "Genworth Financial Inc. (GNW), the biggest U.S. seller of long-term care coverage, is betting on a rise in interest rates to boost profits as other insurers flee the business."

LTC Comment:  A better bet than most you could find in Las Vegas!

#############################

3/27/2012, “Insurers and the Supremes,” by Holman W. Jenkins, Jr., Wall Street Journal  

Quote:  "Why the Affordable Care Act (as the law is widely known) even keeps insurers around is a bit of a mystery. But keep them it does, collecting a rake-off for administering a system of national health care masquerading as insurance regulation."

LTC Comment:  Interesting column. What ever happened to the principle of insurance, i.e., spreading and pricing risk so that a small and affordable premium protects against a large but unlikely risk?

#############################

3/27/2012, “Getting a doctor's appointment tougher on Medicaid,” by Amy Norton, Reuters 

Quote:  "Americans on Medicaid have a harder time getting a prompt doctor's appointment, which may help explain why some end up going to the ER, a new study finds."   

LTC Comment:  The same holds true for Medicaid recipients’ difficulty accessing quality long-term care, especially in non-institutional settings.

#############################

3/26/2012, “Editorial: Boomers unready for long-term needs,” StarTribune

Quote:  "Greater awareness of long term care costs is needed. So is an ‘all of the above’ strategy -- tax breaks, more-affordable reverse mortgages, new types of long term care insurance -- when it comes to policy changes that would enable more Minnesotans to take responsibility."

LTC Comment:  No truer words were ever spoken and it is heartening to see them said in a major-newspaper editorial.  I’d add this:  “Target scarce Medicaid resources to the truly needy and you can soon have ‘tax breaks, more-affordable reverse mortgages, new types of long term care insurance.’”

#############################

3/26/2012, “Caring for elderly parents catches many unprepared,” by Christine Dugas, USA TODAY

Quote:  "More than 42 million Americans provide family caregiving for an adult who needs help with daily activities, according to a 2009 survey by the AARP. An additional 61.6 million provided at least some care during the year. And many are unprepared." 

LTC Comment:  As stories like this proliferate in the national media, interest in LTC insurance and sales will grow rapidly.

#############################

3/25/2012, “Editorial:  Dementia Behind Bars,” New York Times

Quote:  "Many inmates, obviously, can never be released, and they will continue to require special care. But the states must pursue other avenues as well. They can foster partnerships between prisons and nursing homes to improve the quality of care; consider compassionate release programs for frail inmates who no longer present a threat to public safety; and, no less important, revisit the mandatory sentencing policies that did away with judicial discretion and filled the prisons to bursting in the first place."

LTC Comment:  Watch for demented prisoners ending up in Medicaid-financed nursing homes and assisted living facilities.

Helpful Hint:  Center member Sue Howarth of TBG West wrote us:  “I just went out to my DVR to set this up to record and had a difficult time finding the show locally. I finally did find it when I searched for ‘Independent Lens,’ which is the name of the series of which this is one episode. You might want to share that tip with your subscribers.”  Done, Sue, thanks.

#############################

3/23/2012, “Tips for Successfully Selling Long-Term Care Solutions,” by Shawn Britt, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "Careful analysis of a client's financial situation, thorough knowledge of product opportunities, a compelling story, and forethought to approaching the LTC discussion will allow you a better opportunity to offer your client the type of LTC coverage they are more willing to purchase for protecting their assets, protecting their family from burden and protecting their own choices for care."

LTC Comment:  Good advice for the “AMGs” (altruistic, masochistic geniuses) who sell this product that the government insists on giving away.

#############################

Updated, Friday, March 30, 2012, 10:00 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

#############################

LTC Bullet:  The Completely Understandable LTCI Buyer’s Guide

LTC Comment:  Craig McCormick’s new book is a good read and needed.  Check out my unabridged “Foreword” to it after the ***news.***

*** SPOTLIGHT ON:  “LTC Embed Reports” are special on-site reports from wherever the LTC policy battle takes us.  Whether it’s a Congressional hearing in Washington, D.C., an LTCi conference, or field reports from our latest project, we’ll take you deep into the trenches of LTC policy reform with our first-hand coverage.  If you can’t be there, count on us.  Center for Long-Term Care Reform members receive our “LTC Embed Reports” immediately upon release and have access to our Embed Report archive chronicling major LTC policy events back to 2004.  If you’re a Center member, log in and browse the archive here and read our latest report from the recent ILTCI conference in Las Vegas.  If you are not a member, but are interested in becoming one, click here or simply contact Damon (206-283-7036 / damon@centerltc.com). ***

*** HAVE YOU READ OUR LATEST publications?  Check ‘em out:

“How to Fix Long-Term Care:  Six Briefing Papers,” Center for Long-Term Care Reform, Seattle, Washington, February 3, 2012; http://www.centerltc.com/BriefingPapers/Overview.htm.

"Near-Term Prospects for Long-Term Care Financing Reform:  Final Report to the Milbank Foundation for Rehabilitation,” Center for Long-Term Care Reform, Seattle, Washington, January 27, 2012; http://www.centerltc.com/pubs/NearTermProspectsforLTCFinancingReform.pdf. ***

*** WHY GET OUR CLIPPINGS?  How much time do you spend each week reading articles on the internet about health and long-term care?  Is it all time well spent?  Or do you scan a dozen articles to find one that you really need to read?  Why not delegate the searching to Steve Moses?  Prioritize your research time by reading the best of the best articles, which he’ll send you daily.  Details on our “clipping service” are here, but in a nutshell Center members can subscribe by becoming premium members at the $250 or $500 level; non-members get the clippings for $120 per year.  Spend pennies a day to save dollars and precious professional hours daily.  You’ll get an average of three articles per day with a pithy quote, a link to the source, and when necessary, a sentence or two of interpretation. ***

 

LTC BULLET:  THE COMPLETELY UNDERSTANDABLE LTCI BUYER’S GUIDE

LTC Comment:  You’ll find my opinion of Craig McCormick’s “The Completely Understandable LTCI Buyer’s Guide” in the following “Foreword.”  This is the only place you can read the full “Foreword” as it was condensed slightly to fit into the final version of the book.  Find author McCormick’s professional credentials here.  Buy his book here.  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform thanks Craig McCormick for his steadfast support of our work and for writing this valuable contribution to the literature on long-term care financing.

----------------- 

Foreword to “The Completely Understandable LTCI Buyer’s Guide”
by
Stephen A. Moses

Let this Foreword's first and main message be "Forward!"  If you're considering this book, buy it.  If you've bought it, read it.  When you've read it, act!

Why this book?  I don't have to go any further than the title to answer. 

"The Completely Understandable LTCI Buyer’s Guide" is completely understandable.  For a complicated subject like long-term care financing, clear, concise and comprehensive exposition and analysis are critical.  You'll find them here.

But odds are you'll still demur.  The single biggest problem we have with long-term care in America is procrastination.  "Denial is not a river in Egypt," they say.  Rather, it's the main reason most people don't plan responsibly for the risk and cost of long-term care.

But if the risks and costs are so great and if the private insurance solution is so obvious, as this book makes crystal clear, then why are less than ten percent of eligible Americans insured for long-term care?

I think answering that question is the most important contribution I can make to persuade you to buy this book, and more importantly, to get the LTC insurance protection you need.

All right.  We know 70 percent of seniors will require some long-term care and 20 percent will need five years or more.  We know LTC is very expensive whether it's provided in a nursing home, assisted living facility or in your own home.  We know private long-term care insurance is inexpensive compared to the cost of care if needed.  We know most Americans could afford LTC insurance, but too few buy it.  Why?

The usual explanations don't pass muster. 

  • Too expensive?  So you'd rather spend dollar-dollars later than nickel dollars now?
  • Won't happen to me?  So you're exempt from the laws of probability?
  • I'd shoot myself first?  So, you'll do it before Alzheimer's Disease makes you forget why you bought the gun?
  • My kids will take care of me?  So you're OK with your daughter giving up her career to change your diapers someday?

Come on!  The excuses people give to avoid or delay getting long-term care insurance are not the reasons they don't buy.  The real reason is subtler and more pernicious.

The American public has been anesthetized to the risk and cost of long-term care by well-intentioned but perversely counterproductive public policy.

The vast majority of all expensive long-term care in the United States has been paid by government programs since 1965.  They include Medicaid, Medicare, the VA, and Social Security income that people on Medicaid have to contribute to offset their cost of care.  These have accounted for more than three-fourths of LTC expenditures for more than four decades.

Consequently, most people look backwards at long-term care risk, at how their parents or grandparents ended up in nursing homes on Medicaid or some other government-financed program.

No wonder they don't want to think about it.  The outcome is undesirable (hence denial) and inexpensive (hence easy to ignore).

The book you're about to buy and read explains why it is not a good idea to rely on government programs to pay for your long-term care.  It explains how financially vulnerable the entitlement programs are that pay for long-term care.  It warns about the problems of access and quality you're likely to face.  It describes the downsides of Medicaid estate planning.

So let me just add this:  What's actually going to happen to America's entitlement safety net?

Social Security and Medicare now face unfunded liabilities of $107 trillion.  Their "trust funds" are empty, having already been spent for other government priorities and replaced with bonds, that is, IOUs. 

David Walker, former Comptroller General of the United States, says the government will have to double payroll taxes or cut benefits by half just to save those programs.

That's not even counting Medicaid, the dominant payor for long-term care, for which we can't even calculate an unfunded liability because it lacks even the phony trust funds disguising the financial disaster about to confront Medicare and Social Security.

Query:  do you really think politicians will double taxes or cut benefits by half to deal with this fiscal crisis?  Not likely.  What will happen instead?

I predict much stricter Medicaid LTC eligibility rules.  Soon people won't be able to shelter half a million dollars in home equity and get the government to pay for long-term care.  Unlimited exemptions for businesses, automobiles, prepaid burials and term life insurance will disappear.  Mandatory recovery from recipients' estates of Medicaid benefits paid will be aggressively enforced. 

But it's not just the Medicaid safety net that will be pulled away from the middle class.  Look for traditional "social insurance" programs like Social Security and Medicare to be converted to means-tested welfare programs too.

Alas, that process has already begun.  Social Security benefits are taxed above relatively low income levels.  You'll lose one dollar of Social Security income for every two dollars of earned income between age 62 and your full retirement age.  President Obama wants to charge payroll taxes, that now stop at $110,100 in income, on incomes above $250,000.  Look for more means-testing measures like these to curtail access to Social Security benefits for affluent, and increasingly, middle class people.

Will Medicare be affected too?  It already is.  Part B premiums skyrocket for higher income earners.  The newer Part D pharmaceutical program premium is also tied to income level.

Bottom line, the social safety net for long-term care, retirement income security, and acute care financing is being and will continue to be slowly retracted.  More and more, you'll hear our first priority must be to protect the truly poor.  With fewer resources available to meet that goal, more and more of the cost will come from cutting access to the social safety net programs for people of means.

So here's the main reason you should take my opening advice and move forward, buy, read and heed this book.

When it comes to all aspects of retirement planning, but especially long-term care, you must ignore the rear-view mirror and look bravely through the windshield.  Because what's coming toward you at 100-miles-an-hour is a brick wall of fiscal reality. 

You can avoid the collision, protect yourselves and your families.  But only if you act decisively and soon.

You're lucky to have such a fine road map as "The Completely Understandable LTCI Buyer’s Guide" to point the way.

#############################

Updated, Monday, March 26, 2012, 10:19 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

#############################

LTC E-ALERT #12-010:  “3IN4 NEED MORE” AND LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

LTC Comment:  We lead today with news about the “3in4 Need More” Campaign.  Jonas Roeser, president of the 3in4 Association reports: 

“The 2012 - 3in4 Need More bus tour will kick off at the end of April.  Our PR efforts will start within the next 10 days. The 3in4 Association asks that you place the 2012 tour schedule link in your producer communications to showcase your support of the campaign and to encourage more LTC professionals to participate.”

Contact jonas@3in4needmore.com with your ideas for tour stops and political or media connections to synergize the tour with your local efforts.

***  JACQUELINE MARCELL’s book Elder Rage, or Take My Father... Please! How to Survive Caring for Aging Parents, a Book-of-the-Month Club selection, is now available in audio.  Download it at Amazon here or Audible here.  More at the ElderRage website. ***

*** REVERSE MORTGAGES.  “A comprehensive new study from the MetLife Mature Market Institute shows the age of those seeking Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (HECM), popularly known as reverse mortgages, has plummeted in the four years since the collapse of the housing market in the U.S. It also reports that these mortgages, special types of home loans that allow people to draw on home equity without monthly mortgage repayments, have evolved into a way for many older Baby Boomers to help manage urgent financial needs. Boomers age 62-64 currently represent one-in-five prospective borrowers of the product, which was once associated with a much older age group.”  Check it out here. ***

*** WIND IN OUR SAILS.  We work pretty hard here at your Center for LTC Reform.  But, frankly, sometimes it feels like our efforts fly right from the computers into a digital black hole.  Once in awhile, however, something happens that makes it all feel worthwhile.  As I was standing in the food line at the big Las Vegas ILTCI conference last week, a woman came up to me, introduced herself, and asked about supporting the Center.  I explained individual memberships are $150 per year, but she replied she was thinking of something more like $1,000.  I said that would qualify her for a corporate membership with all the many benefits accruing thereto.  [See our “Membership Levels and Benefits” schedule here.]  She explained she’s semi-retired, not interested in any benefits per se, and just wanted to support the Center’s efforts which she’s appreciated so much over the years.  “Great,” I said, as she walked away, and I figured that might well be the end of it.  But a little later, Barbara Huguenin, CSA, LUTCF, LTCP, of Emmett, Idaho, returned, kissed me on the cheek, and handed me a check made out to the Center for $1,000.  Thanks, Barbara, and thanks to all the rest of you whose support makes our work here at the Center possible.  You are the wind in our sails. ***

#############################

3/25/2012, Caregiver's anguish: 'I need to be 2 people',” by Helena Oliviero, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Quote:  "In some ways, her mom's financial resources eased her mind. Gaines has long-term care insurance. And with the sale of her mother's house, Beckett is able to cover the cost of memory care at Sunrise."

LTC Comment:  In the absence of Medicaid's $525,000 to $786,000 home equity exemption, many more sandwich-generation families would ease the wrenching experience of caregiving by planning early, purchasing LTCI, and using home equity to pay for top-quality care. 

#############################

3/22/2012,  Should Medicare Payments Subsidize Medicaid Residents?,” by Alyssa Gerace, Senior Housing News

Quote"So-called 'excess' Medicare funding isn't being used to increase providers' margins solely for profit, he says; it's being taken to help balance Medicaid shortfall and keep facilities afloat."

LTC Comment:  Without generous Medicare reimbursements, nursing homes could not survive on deficient Medicaid payments and disappearing private payers.  If successful, efforts by Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC) bureaucrats to cut Medicare payments will further impair the access to and quality of nursing home care for all skilled nursing facility residents regardless of their payment source.

#############################

3/21/2012, Long Term Care Insurance Career Center Launched by Trade Group,” PR.com

Quote:  "An online Career Success Center has been established to attract individuals to a full or part-time career selling long-term care insurance. Launched today by the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance the Center aims to provide valuable information to those looking for a new career opportunity or those seeking a means of earning additional income."

LTC Comment:  Jesse Slome and AALTCI just keep adding benefits for their members and services for the LTCI industry.

#############################

3/19/2012, Minnesota seniors facing a spike in long-term care cost,” by Warren Wolfe, Star Tribune 

Quote:  "Premiums are soaring by 20 to 90 percent for thousands of Minnesotans who carry long-term care insurance, and many older people are struggling to figure out what to do."

LTC Comment:  To blame insurers for higher premiums is commonplace but unfair and hypocritical when the cause is government, i.e. the Fed's arbitrary low interest rates. Adding to the irony is that entitlement reserves, i.e. the "trust funds," have nothing in them and the government is already borrowing from future generations to pay current expenses with no hope of paying future entitlement claims.  But this is not to say insurers and state insurance departments don’t bear some of the responsibility especially for the most egregious premium increases as Center member Ed Hutman pointed out to me in an email commenting on the foregoing item when it was forwarded to our clipping service recipients.  [Learn more about the clipping service here; subscribe by contacting Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com.]

#############################

3/18/2012, Long-term-care insurance may go way of the dinosaur,” InvestmentNews.com

Quote:  "As more life insurers abandon long-term-care insurance, actuaries and financial advisers are questioning the viability of the product and arguing that if it remains unchanged, it eventually will serve just a tiny niche market."

LTC Comment:  How ironic that this kind of bunk is becoming conventional wisdom even as LTCI's biggest competitor (Medicaid) is on its last legs and LTCI will thrive increasingly as the best choice for savvy consumers. 

#############################

3/18/2012, The New Retirement Resorts,” by Kelly Greene, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "A growing number of intrepid retirees, wary of spending years in an assisted-living facility or staying at home, are opting for arrangements that provide them with a full range of services and a greater sense of adventure-fully staffed homes in Costa Rica, backyard bungalows on their children's property, so-called cohousing arrangements, full-time spa living and even serial cruises." 

LTC Comment:  Who says long-term care has to be boring?!

#############################

3/14/2012, Fitch: States Partly to Blame for LTCI Woes,” by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO  

Quote:  "Insurers may be leaving the private long-term care insurance (LTCI) market partly because of states' efforts to regulate LTCI premium changes." 

LTC Comment:  Price controls of all kinds distort markets.  If insurers can’t raise rates to cover costs and ensure their ability to pay claims, they’d be irresponsible not to get out of the market.  Would that someone held Medicaid’s feet to the fire in the same way so that private LTC insurance had a chance. 

#############################

3/13/2012, This Threat Could Cost You Your Life Savings,” by Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Quote:  "Protecting yourself against potentially catastrophic health-care expenses is smart, but not if it costs you too much to get that protection. Weighing the benefits and options available under different long-term care policies can help you balance affordability and financial security. With a combination of lower policy limits, longer periods before benefits kick in, and other traits, you may be able to tailor a long-term care policy that meets most of your needs and gives your nest egg enough protection to survive an extended period of skilled nursing or home health care." 

LTC Comment:  Sound advice from a popular financial adviser team.

#############################

3/13/2012, 75-Year Study Finds Dramatic Rise in U.S. Lifespans,” by Steven Reinberg, HealthDay

Quote:  "For those aged 85 and older, the risk of dying dropped 38 percent."

LTC Comment:  Amazing new stats on lengthening lifespans mean more LTC for more people and greater need for LTC planning.

#############################

3/12/2012, LTCI Watch: What's Wrong?,” by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "Alan Monheit, the editor of Inquiry, is asking whether the U.S. private long-term care insurance (LTCI) market is sustainable. . . . And what if the Medicaid nursing home benefit program proves to be (as well [we] know it must be) far flimsier than the private LTCI programs, and it collapses, too. What then?"

LTC Comment:  Point well taken.

#############################

3/12/2012, “Report: Healthcare law cuts put Medicare Advantage benefits at risk in some states,” by Julian Pecquet, The Hill (link)  

Quote:  "Seniors in a number of states risk losing their Medicare Advantage benefits because of cuts in President Obama's healthcare reform law, according to a new report from Avalere. The law contains about $200 billion in direct and indirect cuts to private Medicare plans through 2017. Their effect would be felt unevenly throughout the country, however, because the additional benefits and reduced cost-sharing offered by Medicare Advantage plans vary greatly by state."

LTC Comment:  Everything hinges on the Supreme Court’s review of health reform beginning this week.

#############################

3/12/2012, A New Look at Pet Insurance,” by Carol Harnett, Human Resource Executive Online

Quote:  "The employees who buy pet insurance . . . also participate in long-term care insurance and supplemental life plans at higher rates."

LTC Comment:  An interesting tidbit you might share with prospects who have pets.

#############################

3/12/2012, Why Are We Going Broke?,” by John Goodman, National Center for Policy Analysis

Quote:  "Both Medicare's health insurance for the elderly and the disabled and Medicaid's long-term care insurance cost about twice as much as well-designed private insurance should cost."

LTC Comment:  Excellent column by a prolific advocate of rational health and LTC public policy.

#############################

3/6/2012, Aging in America: Scammers vs. Seniors,” by David Crary, LifeHealth PRO

Quote:  "A federally funded study conducted for the National Institute of Justice in 2009 concluded that 5 percent of Americans 60 and older had been the victim of recent financial exploitation by a family member, while 6.5 percent were the target of a nonfamily member. . . . A report last year by insurer MetLife Inc. estimated the annual loss by victims of elder financial abuse at $2.9 billion, compared with $2.6 billion in 2008."

LTC Comment:  Query:  Is it financial exploitation of the elderly when adult children of frail or infirm elders take premature inheritances with the help of a Medicaid planner?  If so, why isn’t that practice of law investigated as such?

#############################

Updated, Friday, March 23, 2012, 9:51 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

#############################

LTC BULLET:  LTC EMBED REPORT FROM THE ILTCI CONFERENCE IN LAS VEGAS

LTC Comment:  The big annual Intercompany Long-Term Care Insurance Conference was well attended and a great value in spite of the industry’s recent travails.  Highlights follow.

LTC BULLET:  LTC EMBED REPORT FROM THE ILTCI CONFERENCE IN LAS VEGAS

LTC Comment:  This year’s Intercompany Long-Term Care Insurance Conference (link) in Las Vegas (Mar. 18-21) was another hit in a long series (12 already) of top-notch professional meetings.  With registrations over 800 and more than 700 actual attendees, the program attracted a very respectable attendance despite concerns that recent turmoil in the industry might diminish participation.  No way.  The energy level was high and the tone optimistic.

I’ll touch on some of my favorite parts of the program and then give you details of the heavy-weight intellectual battle that many folks considered the high point of the whole conference.

DAY ONE opened with a keynote address by “futurologist” David Smith.  His presentation demonstrated “the powerful impact that glimpses of the future afford business and government alike as they seek to achieve their strategic goals.”  Smith captivated the audience with humorous historical references, worrisome predictions and thoughtful analysis.  For example, he pooh-poohed the use of focus groups to learn what consumers want, citing Steve Jobs:  “People don’t know what they want until you show them.”  So much for the research value of asking people why they don’t buy LTC insurance.

The first break-out session I attended was “How to Become a Billion Dollar Industry Again,” produced by National LTC Network President Terry Truesdell.  The highlight of this presentation was Louis Brownstone’s trenchant critique of LTC politics and his conclusion that “Government can’t do it, so we’ll have to.”  Also on the panel were LTCI Partners’ Steve Cain, Hancock’s Marianne Harrington and Genworth’s Buck Stinson.  Note that you can find the presentation materials for this and all 50 of the conference’s sessions here:  http://iltciconf.org/Powerpoints.php.

Next came lunch in the exhibit hall, which was packed with booths of companies offering services spanning the full range of long-term care delivery and financing options.  Incidentally, more than one person told me the food at this meeting was the best of any so far.  Alas, I arrived too late at one meal time and found the sushi “boat” nearly empty.  Many thanks to the corporate sponsors of the conference whose investment helped make it such a success.  Find a list of them from Diamond to Silver level here:  http://www.iltciconf.org/sponsors.php.

During the lunch hour, Jonas Roeser provided an update on the “3in4 Need More” campaign.  The non-profit’s 21 board members and 15+ supporting companies and organizations had a great start-up year in 2011.  The campaign to raise consciousness about the importance of LTC planning garnered earned media value of $2.8 million with a cash expenditure of only $228,000.  Some planned activities for 2012 include another 12-week bus tour, a “reality TV pilot,” and a national contest with a prize of one free year’s rent in an Emeritus assisted living facility.  Go “3in4 Need More”!  Margie Barrie and Sally Leimbach reported on their successful development of a 50-minute presentation for NAHU local chapters.  The “Bright Idea Award” went to producer Tony Prince of ACSIA.

DAY TWO of the conference began with an excellent overview of the likely impact of health reform (“ObamaCare” to many) on long-term care.  Gary Jacobs, Senior Vice President of Universal American and a frequent participant in LTCI conferences over the years, gave an excellent summary of the issues and likely outcomes.  Check out his 25 slides here.  Following Gary came former-Kansas-Governor Mark Parkinson, President and CEO of the American Health Care Association, who hammered home the point that aging demographics being what they are government cannot meet LTC financing needs so private LTC insurance is critical.  Most depressing was Jeff Ellis’s presentation.  He’s Vice President of MGM Resorts International, which employees 53,000 people averaging 47 years of age, yet he said no one has even tried to interest him in offering LTC insurance since his company dropped the coverage in 2008 due to minimal participation.  He explained that LTC insurance isn’t even on his radar screen because health insurance costs and the threat of growing expenses due to health reform are already consuming all of his time and his company’s money. 

Moderated by American Health Care’s Karl Polzer, lobbyists Sam Morgante and Bob Blancato presented their annual update, titled “Washington Watch,” on what’s happening in the nation’s capital.  Check out their slides here:  http://iltciconf.org/index_htm_files/27-WashingtonWatch.pdf.  After their presentations, I asked this question:  “You fellows have been working the Hill for decades.  Every year you tell us what’s going on and for that, thank you very much.  But it’s always just process, never results.  Can you give us any hope that your efforts will someday produce something that benefits the LTC insurance industry?”  Their answer:  nothing’s going to happen between now and the presidential election.  Nor do they hold out much hope for anything helpful thereafter.

The last session I attended was a post-mortem on CLASS titled “Meeting the Needs that CLASS Intended,” moderated by Prudential’s Malcolm Cheung with presentations by Bob Yee, lately CLASS’s actuary; Yair Babab from the University of Illinois, Chicago; and Mark Meiners, the father of the LTC Partnership Program.  Their slides are here.  I came away convinced less-than-ever that anything about CLASS is salvageable and more convinced than ever that LTC financing solutions must come from reducing government interference in the market, not increasing it.  Stop giving away LTC to people who should, could and would buy LTCI and the market will work its magic.

CLASH OF TITANS

Now to recount the most fun that was had at the conference.  In the afternoon of DAY ONE, a great debate ensued titled “Clash of the Titans:  Moses vs Gordon on Medicaid and Other Dark Matter.”  Ably produced and moderated by Federal Long-Term Care Insurance Program CEO Paul Forte, the program included a dramatic “fight poster” inviting the audience to attend, slides featuring great debates of the past, e.g. Lincoln/Douglas, etc., and a dual-podium presidential-style debate format. 

Moses and Gordon each began with 3-minute opening statements.  (Find a transcript of the “fable” I began with at the end of today’s Bullet.)  After a coin flip to see who would get the first question, Forte pummeled the combatants in turn with six queries ranging from why the LTCI market languishes to what they’d advise presidential candidates to say about LTC financing.  Answers were strictly enforced to no more than two minutes, with a one-minute rebuttal, and a final 30-second “re-direct” by the original answerer. 

The program moved fast with lots of humor and more than just a little gentlemanly confrontation.  In the second phase of the debate, the participants asked each other questions, with the same time limits applying.  Neither knew what the other would ask so the questions and responses were totally spontaneous.  Finally, the audience submitted written queries pinning down the debaters with new and different viewpoints.  Bruised, bloodied, but upright, Moses and Gordon shook hands at the end and affirmed they remain friends.  They look forward to continue pursuing their different paths toward the common goal to improve long-term care for all.

Who won?  Just between you, me and the lamppost, here’s how LTCI producer and author Craig McCormick, a former college debater himself, scored the match up:  13 to 4, for Moses.  Now, I acknowledge that Mr. McCormick may have a bias in my favor.  So I invite any of you faithful readers out there who may have attended the debate to weigh in with your own scoring of the event.  I’d particularly like to hear from anyone who gave the win to Harley instead of me.  Well, I want to hear from anyone except you, Harley!  I’ll publish any thoughtful comments or analysis of the debate in a future LTC Bullet.  Let us hear from you.

#############################

The Elephant, the Blind Men and Long-Term Care:  Three-Minute Opening Statement” by Stephen A. Moses for the Debate with Harley Gordon at The 12th Annual Intercompany Long-Term Care Insurance Conference in Las Vegas, Nevada on Monday, March 19, 2012

Once upon a time, some blind men approached an elephant.

The first blind man grasped the elephant’s tail and exclaimed:  “This is a rope.”

The next blind man patted the elephant’s flank and said:  “This is the side of a barn.”

A third blind man clutched the elephant’s trunk and stated confidently:  “This is a hose.”

The moral of this fable? 

You don’t know any complex thing until you comprehend its entirety, including all of its facets and their interrelationships.

Long-term care is like the elephant in this story and LTC interest groups are like the blind men.

Government is a blind man of long-term care.  It’s paid for most expensive LTC since 1965, but can no longer afford the cost.  The elephant of LTC gobbles budgets.

The public is a blind man of LTC.  Most people don’t worry about LTC despite the apparent risk and cost.  Somehow the elephant of long-term care provides.

Senior advocates blindly demand more and better long-term care from the government.  To them the elephant of LTC is a cornucopia of free benefits.

Home care and nursing home providers obsess over low government reimbursements.  They see the elephant as a stingy, but demanding customer.

What do long-term care insurers see when they look at the elephant of LTC?  A puzzle.  Why don’t consumers buy the product when they obviously need it?

If you want to understand the elephant of long-term care, you’d better be able to explain why those five blind men see the elephant so differently.

How can the government be bankrupt; the public, asleep; senior advocates, naïve; LTC providers, spoiled; and LTC insurers, befuddled?  All at the same time.

No new policy designs, nor tax incentives, nor education programs will sell more LTC insurance until we resolve that paradox.

Here’s how I see it:

Government pays for most expensive LTC which desensitizes consumers to LTC risk resulting in a lack of demand for LTC insurance.  But senior advocates and LTC providers are hooked on government money and dubious of private LTCI.

Nothing will end this stalemate short of weaning the elephant of long-term care away from the trough of public financing. 

That’s what’s about to happen, either on purpose or by default, and that’s why the future of LTC insurance is bright.

#############################

Updated, Friday, March 16, 2012, 12:46 AM (Central)

Alpine, TX--

#############################

LTC BULLET:  PRIVATE LONG-TERM CARE FINANCING ALTERNATIVES

LTC Comment:  Paying privately for LTC is the best way to ensure access to quality care in the most appropriate setting, yet private-pay LTC is the exception, not the rule, in the USA.  Why and what should be done, after the ***news.***

*** ILTCI CONFERENCE COVERAGE:  Your Center for Long-Term Care Reform will cover the 12th Annual Intercompany Long-Term Care Insurance Conference this coming week in Las Vegas.  Damon’s on his way this morning to help set up for the meeting.  He’ll be conducting interviews during the program with carrier, distributor and producer reps.  Look him up and get your two cents worth into the mix.  Steve will debate Harley Gordon on Monday, the 19th, with Federal LTCI Program CEO Paul Forte as moderator.  We’ll report, objectively of course, on the outcome of this confrontation, billed by the producers as a “Clash of Titans,” in next week’s LTC Bullet.  Until then, faithful readers, take a breather as we’ll skip the LTC E-Alert otherwise scheduled for Monday. ***

*** LTCI PRICE INDEX:  According to the 2012 National Long-Term Care Insurance Price Index, published by the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance (www.AALTCI.org), prices for long-term care insurance policies currently being offered are between six and 17 percent higher than comparable coverage a year ago.  “Insurance prices have increased as a result of the historic low interest rates and yields on fixed income investments,” explained Jesse Slome, AALTCI’s executive director.  Between 40-and-60 percent of the dollars an insurer accumulates to pay future claims comes from investment returns. For more information, visit the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance's website at www.aaltci.org or call (818) 597-3227. ***

*** REVERSE MORGAGES:  "A comprehensive new study from the MetLife Mature Market Institute shows the age of those seeking Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (HECM), popularly known as reverse mortgages, has plummeted in the four years since the collapse of the housing market in the U.S. It also reports that these mortgages, special types of home loans that allow people to draw on home equity without monthly mortgage repayments, have evolved into a way for many older Baby Boomers to help manage urgent financial needs. Boomers age 62-64 currently represent one-in-five prospective borrowers of the product, which was once associated with a much older age group."  Details here. ***

-----------------

LTC BULLET:  PRIVATE LONG-TERM CARE FINANCING ALTERNATIVES

LTC Comment:  Over the past several weeks, we’ve published five Briefing Papers on long-term care financing designed to show you step by step how America’s LTC system became dysfunctional, why it has been so hard to fix until now, and exactly what to do to improve it.

Today’s LTC Bullet presents the sixth and last installment in this series.  It explains why private financing of long-term care remains relatively uncommon despite the enormous access and quality benefits people receive who purchase long-term care in the private market with personal cash or insurance benefits.

The arguments and conclusions presented in today’s LTC Bullet will be much more persuasive if you’ve read the preceding five “Briefing Papers.”  That’s because we laid down the historical background and factual documentation in those earlier papers that support today’s presentation.  So here’s a quick recap with links:

In February, we published LTC Bullet:  How to Fix Long-Term Care, which provided an overview of the LTC problem and its solution. 

We followed with LTC Bullet:  The History of Long-Term Care Financing or How We Got into This Mess, which explained how the richest country in the world came to have a welfare-financed, nursing-home-based long-term care system. 

Then LTC Bullet:  Medicaid LTC Eligibility described how easy Medicaid LTC benefits are to obtain after care is needed without substantial asset spend down.  More importantly, we explained why it matters.

Three weeks ago, in LTC Bullet:  Medicaid Planning for Long-Term Care, we tackled the controversial topic of how affluent people artificially self-impoverish to qualify for Medicaid LTC benefits and what the government has attempted unsuccessfully to discourage the practice.

Next, in LTC Bullet:  Rebalancing Long-Term Care, we addressed the question of whether or not Medicaid can save money by funding more home care and less nursing home care.  Could Medicaid’s providing more services people want and less care they would rather avoid . . . attract more recipients, increase overall costs, further desensitize the public to LTC risk and crowd out private financing alternatives?

Last week, in LTC Bullet:  Dual Eligibles and Long-Term Care:  How to Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion Per Year and Pay for the "Doc Fix", we covered the complicated issue of “dual eligibles,” the most expensive beneficiaries of Medicaid and Medicare.  Is it possible to prevent people becoming dual eligibles and thereby reduce their enormous cost to public programs?

Now read the concluding paper in this series which capitalizes on all the rest by explaining the paradox of private LTC financing, i.e., its rarity despite its benefits, and what to do about it.

-----------------

Dedicated to ensuring quality long-term care for all Americans

Briefing Paper #6:
Private Long-Term Care Financing Alternatives
By
Stephen A. Moses

There are only four sources of private financing that might offset Medicaid long-term care expenditures. These are (1) increased personal asset spend-down, (2) Medicaid estate recovery, (3) home equity conversion, and (4) private long-term care insurance. How well does the United States take advantage of these potential resources?

Increased Personal Asset Spend-Down

As explained in Briefing Papers #2 on Medicaid Long-Term Care Eligibility and #3 on Medicaid Planning, asset spend-down for long-term care is very easy to avoid. Some people do pay privately for LTC for three common reasons. The poor, who are unaccustomed to consulting financial advisers, often lose everything to high-cost LTC before they find their way to Medicaid. The middle class and affluent may voluntarily pay out of pocket for highly desirable care venues, such as assisted living, which Medicaid does not usually fund. People with private long-term care insurance or who can otherwise afford the sentiment may pay privately because of a sense that turning to public welfare is unethical.

In the end, however, Medicaid is the dominant LTC payer and out-of-pocket expenditures are relatively small because of (1) easy access to Medicaid financing after care is needed, (2) the widely held belief that access to publicly financed long-term care is a "right," both legally and ethically appropriate for anyone who follows the lenient income and asset rules and (3) readily available legal advice on how to qualify for Medicaid without spending down assets. Medicaid will remain the dominant payer for expensive LTC unless and until measures are taken to (1) ensure that personal income is used first to purchase HCBS in the private market at market rates, (2) Medicaid's home equity exemption is reduced or eliminated so that real estate wealth is used to fund quality LTC, and (3) other wide-open, unlimited asset exemptions are limited to levels more commensurate with Medicaid's being a means-tested LTC safety net for the poor.

Medicaid Estate Recovery

Medicaid estate recovery is another source of private financing for long-term care that is mandatory under federal law and expressly intended to relieve the financial burden on state and federal resources. The Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 (TEFRA '82) authorized state Medicaid programs to recover benefits correctly paid from the estates of deceased recipients or from the estates of the recipients' last surviving exempt relatives. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 (OBRA '93) made estate recovery mandatory for every state Medicaid program as a condition of receiving federal matching funds. Nevertheless, few states enforce estate recoveries strongly; the federal government has not required states to recover at a reasonable minimum level; and some states, such as Georgia, Michigan, and Texas have only recently complied with the estate recovery mandate at all.

Oregon, the top-ranked state among comparable estate recovery programs, recovered $14 million or 5.8% of its Medicaid nursing home expenditures in 2004, the latest year for which we found national data.[1] The country as a whole recovered only .8% of Medicaid nursing home expenditures. If all states had recovered at the same rate as Oregon, total estate recoveries would have been $2.6 billion or $2.2 billion more than they actually were. Federal law includes many safeguards to protect Medicaid recipients and their families from excessive estate recoveries. For example, states may not recover from a recipient's estate if the recipient has a surviving dependent spouse or exempt child.

Medicaid planning advice on how to avoid estate recovery is readily available. For example, according to California Advocates for Nursing Home Reform:

The best way to avoid an estate claim is to have nothing in the Medicaid beneficiary's estate at the time of death. The State can only claim for the amount of Medicaid benefits paid or the value of the estate, whichever is less. The "estate" is composed of what is in the beneficiary's name at the time of death. Minimizing the estate at the time of death will minimize the amount of the claim.

 

The main asset in the estate is often the home. Protecting the home from recovery often entails transfer of title out of the beneficiary's name. However, there are a number of ways to transfer property and still retain some control over the property. Any such transfer should be discussed with a qualified estate planning attorney knowledgeable about Medicaid and the tax considerations related to real estate transfers.[2]

The gradual dwindling of assets, especially home equity, before and during Medicaid dependency, the ready availability of Medicaid planning advice on how to evade the estate recovery requirement, and the administrative difficulty of recovering from Medicaid recipients' estates severely limits the potential of Medicaid estate recoveries as a revenue source to offset public expenditures. Ensuring that assets are consumed for long-term care in the private marketplace before Medicaid begins to pay is a much more efficient way to reduce Medicaid's LTC expenditures.

Home Equity Conversion

Home equity conversion by means of reverse mortgages could generate a huge source of private long-term care financing to offset Medicaid LTC expenditures, especially to fund home- and community-based services. Four out of five elderly people own their homes and two-thirds of these own their homes free and clear of mortgage debt. People age 62 and older can access their home equity easily, and without incurring monthly payments, by means of "reverse mortgages." Reverse mortgages can be arranged formally through financial institutions or informally within families, whereby usually adult children engage to purchase the parents' home over time while the older generation remains in the home.

But very few people use reverse mortgages to fund home- and community-based services that would enable them to remain in their homes longer. Even fewer tap their home equity to supplement their income sufficiently to afford private LTC insurance premiums. Why is home equity so rarely used to fund long-term care? The median sale price of homes in the United States as of July 2011 was $244,000.[3] Medicaid's home equity exemption is at least $525,000, more than double the value of the median home. There is little wonder why few people tap the equity in their home to fund long-term care or to purchase LTC insurance when Medicaid financing is so easy to obtain and estate recovery is so simple to avoid.

On top of these reasons, reverse mortgage interviewees consulted during studies reported at www.centerltc.com stated that the product is heavily regulated in many regards, requires extensive outside counseling prior to closing, and receives a great deal of negative publicity, much of which is inaccurate and unfair. So, the interviewees explained, education of consumers, suitability of marketing, and fair evaluation of products are keys to the widest and most appropriate use of reverse mortgages for any purpose, including long-term care financing.

Private Long-Term Care Insurance

Private long-term care insurance is another potentially large funding source that could relieve Medicaid. Responsible people mitigate potentially catastrophic financial risks with private insurance. Most Americans have auto and health insurance; many own life insurance; but relatively few have long-term care insurance. Roughly 7.3 million LTC insurance policies were in force as of 2009, up 2.8% from 2008. Premiums earned by LTC insurance carriers were $137 billion in 2009, up 9.6% from 2008 and claims incurred were $55 billion in 2009, up 12% from 2008. That may sound impressive until you realize the USA already has nearly 100 million people age 50, the prime market for long-term care insurance.

Why isn't private long-term care insurance more commonly purchased? The usual reasons cited for the low rate of purchase are consumers' irrational denial of the risk and the product's unaffordability. But the risk and cost of long-term care are extremely high and well documented. The cost of LTC insurance is high but the cost of the risk being insured is much higher still. If every tenth house burned down, fire insurance would not be inexpensive either. So, the key question is: how can consumers remain in denial about such a huge risk and cost? What is the real reason most people do not purchase private long-term care insurance?

Published, peer-reviewed research confirms that between two-thirds and 90 percent of the private long-term care insurance market is crowded out by the availability of Medicaid-financed long-term care.[4] People don't fail to purchase private long-term care exclusively, or even mostly, because of denial or cost. Rather, they don't buy it because they don't think they need it and they don't think they need it because Medicaid has paid for most expensive long-term care since the program's inception in the 1960s. In fact, the easy availability of Medicaid services after the insurable event occurs has enabled the public's denial of LTC risk and cost.

LTC Partnerships, The CLASS Act and Tax Deductibility

Over the years, policy makers have tried many ways to encourage more private LTC insurance. LTC Partnerships, created in the 1980s and reinvigorated by the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005, were designed to encourage the purchase of special LTC insurance policies by forgiving Medicaid spend-down requirements. Buy a certain amount of private coverage, say $100,000, and if you use it up, you can qualify for Medicaid while retaining $102,000 instead of the $2,000 limit otherwise. The Partnerships were less successful than hoped because, as Briefing Papers #2 and #3 in this series explained, Medicaid spend down requirements are lenient at best, easy to avoid, and would occur, if at all, many years after most people consider purchasing LTC insurance. The prospect of ending up in a Medicaid nursing home after consuming private insurance benefits in home care or assisted living also discouraged coordinating benefits between private insurance and public welfare.

The CLASS Act, passed in March 2010 as part of health reform, aspired to create a voluntary LTC funding system aimed primarily at the working disabled. Because of its lack of medical underwriting, unlimited lifetime benefits, expected adverse selection whereby good risks would avoid the program, and likely resultant rapid insolvency, the Obama Administration shelved the program in October 2011.

Roughly half the states have tried to encourage the purchase of private LTC insurance by means of tax incentives. Tax deductions or tax credits do increase the likelihood that people will purchase LTC insurance. Some analysts have argued, however, that people who purchase LTC insurance because of tax incentives are likely to be wealthy enough that they would not qualify for Medicaid anyway, so that tax incentives are unlikely to reduce Medicaid expenditures. The fallacy in such an analysis is that Medicaid LTC eligibility does not exclude higher income people with substantial wealth from the program because of the generous income and asset eligibility limits described in Briefing Paper #2 and because of Medicaid planning opportunities described in Briefing Paper #3.

Conclusion

Easy access to Medicaid-financed long-term care after the insurable event has occurred results in Medicaid, an ostensibly means-tested public assistance program, paying for most expensive LTC in the United States. Consequently, most Americans do not worry about LTC until they need it because of a chronic long-term illness such as Alzheimers, Parkinson's or stroke. At that point, private insurance is unavailable; personal income and assets are at risk; but Medicaid protects most assets including seniors' biggest resource, home equity. In this way, perverse incentives in well-intentioned public policy discourage responsible LTC planning, overwhelm Medicaid's scarce resources, and severely limit care access and quality for the poor while subsidizing access and quality for the affluent who have "key money" to pay privately and gain access to the best LTC facilities. The whole system is now at risk of collapsing to the detriment of everyone.

End Notes


[1] U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, Office of Disability, Aging and Long-Term Care Policy, "Medicaid Estate Recovery Collections," Policy Brief No. 6, September 2005, http://aspe.hhs.gov/daltcp/Reports/estreccol.pdf.
[2] CANHR, “Your Home and Medi-Cal,” last modified December 30, 2008, retrieved October 6, 2010; http://www.canhr.org/factsheets/medi-cal_fs/html/fs_medcal_your_home.htm.
[3] RealEstateABC.com, last updated October 2, 2011, information extracted October 25, 2011; http://www.realestateabc.com/outlook/overall.htm.
[4] For example: "We examine the interaction of the public Medicaid program with the private market for long-term care insurance and estimate that Medicaid can explain the lack of private insurance purchases for at least two-thirds and as much as 90 percent of the wealth distribution, even if comprehensive, actuarially fair private policies were available." (Jeffrey R. Brown and Amy Finkelstein, "The Interaction of Public and Private Insurance: Medicaid and the Long-Term Care Insurance Market," National Bureau of Economic Research, December 2004, cited from the paper's abstract; http://www.nber.org/~afinkels/papers/Brown_Finkelstein_Medicaid_Dec_04.pdf.)


2212 Queen Anne Avenue North, #110, Seattle, Washington 98109 Phone (206) 283-7036 Fax (206) 283-6536
E-mail info@centerltc.com Web Site www.centerltc.com Ask how you can support the Center today!

#############################

Updated, Monday, March 12, 2012, 11:48 AM (Central)

Alpine, TX--

#############################

THE COMPLETELY UNDERSTANDABLE LTCI BUYER’S GUIDE” AND LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

LTC Comment:  Craig McCormick, a long-time corporate member of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform, has authored a fine new book titled “The Completely Understandable LTCI Buyer’s Guide.”  We will publish Steve Moses’s “Foreword” to the volume soon in an LTC Bullet.  In the meantime, Mr. McCormick will attend the 12th Annual Intercompany Long-Term Care Insurance Conference in Las Vegas (March 18-21, 2012).  He’ll introduce his book and be available to autograph copies.  Look him up, buy the book, and follow its recommendations for a stronger LTCI marketplace.  Visit http://ltcieducationalservices.com for further information on the book or contact Mr. McCormick at ltcieducator@yahoo.com or 877-685-9844.

#############################

3/9/2012,Long-Term Care: What Now?,” by Kelly Greene, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  “Shopping for long-term-care insurance? You should expect higher costs and a tougher approval process as a growing number of household-name insurers quit selling the policies.”

LTC Comment:  I’d like to see Kelly Greene and the WSJ cover government’s deficient LTC programs and unfunded liabilities as assiduously as they write about challenges to the LTC insurance industry.  The awful irony is that private companies are behaving responsibly by either making sure they can pay for their LTCI policy promises or getting out of the business, whereas government endlessly continues its financial irresponsibility with no hope of meeting its long-term commitments.

#############################

3/8/2012,Insurers among ‘most admired’ on Fortune's list,” by Carrie Burns, Employee Benefit Adviser

Quote:  "From a list of companies that ranked in the top 25% in last year's surveys and those that finished in the top 20% of their industry, 3,855 executives, directors and securities analysts were asked to select the 10 companies they admired most."

LTC Comment:  For the results, see the article.

#############################

3/8/2012, “LTC Financial Partners Ramps Up Long-Term Care Insurance Offerings as Prudential Exits Individual LTC Insurance Market,” Send2Press (link)

Quote:  "These moves are in contrast to UNUM Group's announcement on February 6 that it would discontinue group long-term care insurance sales to new group customers; and the March 7 announcement of Prudential Group Insurance, a business of Prudential Financial, Inc., that it would discontinue the sale of individual long-term care products and focus solely on group long-term care insurance."

LTC Comment:  The best way to deal with marketplace adversity is to keep on keepin’ on.  Perseverance now will pay great dividends in the future.

#############################

3/8/2012,Report: Yearly cost of Alzheimer's tops $200 billion,” CNN Health

Quote:  "The Alzheimer's Association's '2012 Alzheimer's Disease Facts and Figures' finds that the cost of caring for patients with Alzheimer's and other dementias will total $200 billion this year and is projected to increase to $1.1 trillion a year by 2050. 'That is real money, even in government terms,' says Dr. William Thies, Chief Medical and Scientific Officer with the Alzheimer's Association. 'It's unsustainable, we can't pay that, and if we get to that stage [of $1.1 trillion in costs per year], we just won't be able to take care of people.'"

LTC Comment:  Hello!  Note the words “unsustainable,” “can’t pay,” and “we just won't be able to take care of people."  This is the sad but inevitable outcome of long-standing government LTC policy.  Once it actually comes to pass, expect consumers to pursue LTC insurance in the future as much as they have shunned it in the past.

#############################

3/8/2012, “States are actively working to regulate assisted living facilities, report says,” McKnight's LTC News (link)

Quote:  "The report, which is published every March, provides observations on assisted living regulations across 21 categories, including life safety, physical plant requirements, medication management, and move-in/move-out criteria, training and education."

LTC Comment:  As more and more ALFs accept Medicaid they come under federal and state regulation.

#############################

3/7/2012,Not Your Grandmother's Assisted Living Facility,” by Howard Gleckman, Forbes

Quote:  "Assisted living and other residential care facilities are looking more and more like nursing homes. About one in four provide skilled nursing services, between half and two-thirds offer case management, and- at least among larger facilities-two-thirds offer their residents physical or occupational therapy. More than one-third of residents will make an emergency visit to the hospital and more than one in four will be admitted to a hospital during the course of a year. . . . Until recently, these care homes have been largely financed by individuals paying out of pocket. But the recent expansion of Medicaid home and community based waiver programs is changing that mix. The study found that about 20 percent of residents are receiving Medicaid assistance for their long-term care services (but not for room and board)."

LTC Comment:  I submitted the following comment in response to this column: "Medicaid financing of assisted living is very dangerous and risks ALFs deteriorating like nursing homes as I explained years ago in this article: "The Sirens' Call, The Primrose Path, and Assisted Living," Assisted Living magazine, April 2004: http://www.centerltc.com/pubs/Articles/sirens_call.htm."  

#############################

3/7/2012,Exercising an Aging Brain, by Denise Grady, New York Times

Quote:  "Many studies do find that being mentally active is associated with a lower risk of Alzheimer's disease. But the standard caveat applies: association does not prove cause and effect, and there is always the chance that the mentally active people who never got Alzheimer's simply had healthier brains to begin with."

LTC Comment:  Whether it’s only association or actually cause and effect, aging fit remains a very good idea indeed. 

#############################

3/7/2012, "Long-Term Care Coverage for Employees Continues to Decline As More Insurers Leave, Says HighRoads Study,” PRWeb (link)

Quote:  "Key findings show that 51% of survey respondents provide long term care while 49% do not. About half of those who have dropped LTC say they did so because the insurance carrier offering the coverage has exited the market. On a positive note: 96% of companies who are offering LTC coverage say they will continue to do so.”

LTC Comment:  Lost ground but still a foothold.

#############################

3/7/2012,Medicare Combats Fraud With Billing Statements That Beneficiaries Can Understand,” by Susan Jaffe, Kaiser Health News (link

Quote:  "The new, more consumer friendly format, which goes online Saturday on Medicare's secure website, www.mymedicare.gov, includes larger type and explanations of medical services in plain English. The revised paper version, which is mailed to seniors every three months, will be phased in early next year."

LTC Comment:  What a concept!  Invoices consumers can understand.  And it only took Medicare 47 years to come up with the idea.

#############################

3/6/2012,How to Plan for Long-Term Health Care,” by Donna Fuscaldo, Fox Business Published March 06, 2012   Read more:

Quote:  "It's good news that Americans are living longer, but that doesn't mean we are doing it in perfect health. More people should be planning for long-term health care, but how they should financially prepare for coverage varies."

LTC Comment:  This article quotes Center-member Tom Hebrank at length.

#############################

3/6/2012, “MetLife Mature Market Institute Offers New Consumer Advice Tools and Resources on Web Site” (link)  

Quote:  “The MetLife Mature Market Institute recently launched a new section on its web site dedicated to providing free resources to help consumers navigate through personal finance, retirement, aging and caregiving decisions.  The site, www.metlife.com/mmi/publications, contains more than 30 publications for free download.”

LTC Comment:  Another great resource from the prolific folks at MMMI.

#############################

3/4/2012,The high costs of elder care,” by Jerry Large, Seattle Times

Quote:  "Liz Taylor of Aging Well Consortium, is a writer and aging consultant who for many years wrote a column on aging issues for The Times. . . . 'Most care facilities in King County haven't taken Medicaid for decades,' she said. Few adult family homes, retirement communities or assisted-living facilities do. Nursing homes do accept it, but they are not the first choice for many families, and not everyone needs that level of care. Taylor said, 'Seventy percent of people will need care before they die.' But people have two thoughts about that, she said: First, it's never going to happen to them; and second, the government will take care of them."

LTC Comment:  Wise and scary warning by one who knows.

#############################

3/3/2012,Predict Long Term Care Insurance Risk With Life Span Calculators,” by Jesse Slome, AALTCI Press Release 

Quote:  "To provide greater access to information to consumers, the Association has added information to it's Consumer Learning Center with links to leading online life span calculators. 'We urge all adults over the age of 55 to take five minutes to see how long they may live,' Slome urges. 'We think many will be surprised though they may then realize they are not prepared.'"

LTC Comment:  Interesting exercise.  I used the life span calculator here.  Takes about 20 minutes.  My life expectancy at 66 years of age is 94 years.  That’s a lot more LTC Bullets!

#############################

3/1/2012,More Americans Rejecting Marriage in 50s and Beyond,” by Rachel L. Swarns, New York Times

Quote:  "The elderly, who have traditionally relied on spouses for their care, will increasingly struggle to fend for themselves. And federal and local governments will have to shoulder much of the cost of their care. Unmarried baby boomers are five times more likely to live in poverty than their married counterparts, statistics show. They are also three times as likely to receive food stamps, public assistance or disability payments."

LTC Comment:  The problem is that federal and local governments will not be able to shoulder as much of their care as in the past, much less more care for more of them in the future.  Savvy singles should face the facts of fiscal reality and plan accordingly.

#############################

3/1/2012,The Parent Trap: Adult Children Care For Elderly Parents,” by Marilyn Werber Serafini, Kaiser Health News 

Quote:  "By 2030, 18 percent of the population will be over age 65, up from 13 percent in 2010, according to the Pew Research Center. The toll on the sandwich generation can be substantial, draining their time, finances and emotions, experts say. Many begin to neglect their own needs and sink into depression."

LTC Comment:  What’s your plan to prospect the sandwich generation?

#############################

2/29/2012,Easing the Burden of Retiring Single,” by Robert Laura, Forbes

Quote:  "Single retirees need to consider the risks of losing their sole income as well as the prospects of care as they get older. Therefore, investigate options for disability insurance to protect your lifestyle and ability to save for retirement while you're working as well as long-term care insurance to help pay for professional care in the future."

LTC Comment:  What’s your plan to prospect aging singles?

#############################

2/29/2012, “Generation X Turns 47:  Will They Buy LTCI Before They Go to Seed?,” by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO (link)

Quote:  "[O]ne thought for LTCI marketers to keep at the back of their minds is that the oldest members of the 'baby bust generation,' or 'Generation X,' have started turning 47."

LTC Comment:  What’s your plan to prospect Gen X?

#############################

2/28/2012,'Means testing' to bolster Social Security? It's already happening,” by Allan Sloan, Washington Post

Quote:  "The bottom line: Social Security is already seriously means-tested, without having made a point of it."

LTC Comment:  It is ironic and important to understand that government is gradually welfarizing social insurance programs (Medicare and Social Security) even as it turns welfare programs (Medicaid and Supplemental Security Income) into realistically un-means-tested “entitlements.”

#############################

Updated, Friday, March 9, 2012, 11:40 AM (Central)

Alpine, TX--

#############################

LTC BULLET:  DUAL ELIGIBLES AND LONG-TERM CARE:  HOW TO SAVE MEDICAID LTC $30 BILLION PER YEAR AND PAY FOR THE "DOC FIX"

LTC Comment:  After the ***news,*** we explain how to prevent people from becoming Medicaid/Medicare’s most expensive “dual eligible” beneficiaries by diverting them years in advance to preferred private LTC financing alternatives.

*** TODAY'S LTC BULLET is sponsored by Claude Thau, a General Agent whose proprietary sales tools enable your clients to make informed final decisions about whether to buy LTCi in 15-20 minutes. He’ll help you build your business in any market (individual, executive carve-out, work-site, affinity, financial institution, referrals from other professionals, etc.). Claude is the lead author of the Milliman Broker World LTCi Survey, was named one of the 10 "Power People" in the LTCi industry by Senior Market Advisor in 2007 and was Chairman of the Board of the Center for Long-Term Care Financing. Test Claude by calling 800-999-3026, x2241 or email him at claudet@targetins.com to ask questions or get references. *** 

*** PRUDENTIAL announced March 7 that:  “After a thorough analysis of our long-term care insurance business, we've made the difficult decision to discontinue sales of our individual long-term care insurance products, including LTC3SM, LTC EvolutionSM, and our multi-life programs (ESP and Affiliation). We will continue to market our group long-term care insurance products, Solid SolutionsSM and LTC123SM. Our decision reflects the challenging economics of the individual market and our desire to focus our resources and capital on the group market, where we see the greatest opportunity.”  More here. ***

*** BEAT YOUR COMPETITION.  Get industry news, reports, key statistics, and the best analysis faster and easier than slogging through the internet on your own.  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform will do the research for you.  Get all the details here.  In a nutshell:  Subscribe to our new “LTC Clipping Service” and Steve Moses will send you an average of 1 to 3 critical LTC articles per day so you can do business instead of searching the web.  Cost?  Discounted thanks to a grant:  Only $100 per year for Center members; $120 per year for non-members; and free to Regional Representatives of the Center.  Contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com to subscribe. ***

*** SPOTLIGHT ON: Articles, Speeches and Reports.  Have you been reading our LTC Bullets and getting interested in our message, but want to learn more? The Articles, Speeches and Reports section of our website is a great next step. Here you’ll find articles authored by Steve Moses that have appeared in such publications as McKnight's Long-Term Care News, Broker World, and The Wall Street Journal; transcripts as well as audio and video recordings from speeches, including Congressional testimony, delivered by Steve; and dozens of reports he’s authored dating from 2012 back to 1985, all providing evidence and analysis supporting positions advocated by your Center for Long-Term Care Reform. Whether you are new to the Center or are a seasoned LTC savant looking to refine your knowledge, you’ll find an abundance of valuable information in our Articles, Speeches and Reports. If you like what you find there, our Members-Only Zone may interest you as well. If you are considering membership, or would like to join and help support our important work, please contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com. ***

*** MARCH 15 DEADLINE LOOMS to register for November’s LTC Insurance Producers Summit in Las Vegas at the lowest possible cost.  Click here to access the Summit website pages: Or type www.aaltci.org/2012summit into your browser's address bar. ***

#############################

LTC BULLET:  DUAL ELIGIBLES AND LONG-TERM CARE:  HOW TO SAVE MEDICAID LTC $30 MILLION PER YEAR AND PAY FOR THE "DOC FIX"

LTC Comment:  In February, we published LTC Bullet:  How to Fix Long-Term Care, which provided an overview of the LTC problem and its solution. 

Four weeks ago, we published LTC Bullet:  The History of Long-Term Care Financing or How We Got into This Mess (link), which explained how the richest country in the world came to have a welfare-financed, nursing-home-based long-term care system. 

Three weeks ago, in LTC Bullet:  Medicaid LTC Eligibility, we described how easy Medicaid LTC benefits are to obtain after care is needed without substantial asset spend down.  More importantly, we explained why it matters.

Two weeks ago, in LTC Bullet:  Medicaid Planning for Long-Term Care, we tackled the controversial topic of how affluent people artificially self-impoverish to qualify for Medicaid LTC benefits and what the government has attempted unsuccessfully to discourage the practice.

Last week, in LTC Bullet:  Rebalancing Long-Term Care, we addressed the question of whether or not Medicaid can save money by funding more home care and less nursing home care.  Could Medicaid’s providing more services people want and less care they would rather avoid . . . attract more recipients, increase overall costs, further desensitize the public to LTC risk and crowd out private financing alternatives?

This week, we cover the complicated issue of “dual eligibles,” the most expensive beneficiaries of Medicaid and Medicare.  Is it possible to prevent people becoming dual eligibles and thereby reduce their enormous cost to public programs?

Next week, stay tuned for how to unleash the potential of private LTC financing alternatives such as long-term care insurance and home equity conversion.

In other words, stick with us through this entire series of six Briefing Papers and we’ll show you step by step how America’s LTC system came to be so dysfunctional, why it has been so hard to fix until now, and exactly what to do to improve it.

#############################

Dedicated to ensuring quality long-term care for all Americans

Briefing Paper #5:
Dual Eligibles and Long-Term Care:
How to Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion Per Year
and
Pay for the "Doc Fix"

A Foundation in Facts

Medicaid expenditures today are huge ($366.5 billion for 2009)[1] and growing rapidly (up 7.9% for 2010 and up 11.2% for 2011, estimated).[2] Medicaid is the biggest item in state budgets (22% on average), exceeding elementary and secondary education combined.[3] Long-term care (LTC) accounts for 22.0% to 63.7% of total Medicaid expenditures in the states, 33.3% on average.[4] Medicaid-financed nursing home care totaled $45.0 billion and home care, $24.3 billion in 2009.[5]

LTC and Dual Eligibles

Medicaid LTC recipients consume a disproportionate share of total program expenditures. For example, people eligible for Medicaid and Medicare or "dual eligibles" account for 39% of Medicaid spending ($142.9 billion for 2009), although they comprise only 15% of Medicaid recipients.[6] Dual eligibles are heavy users of long-term care (LTC is 70% of their Medicaid expenditures) and acute care services not covered by Medicare (5%). Medicaid pays for their Medicare premiums (9%) and cost-sharing (15%) too.[7]

The aged, blind and disabled--also heavy users of LTC--are 1/4 of Medicaid recipients (25.3%) but account for 2/3 of program costs (67.1%), whereas poor women and children are 3/4 of the recipients (74.7%) but account for only 1/3 of the cost (32.4%).[8]

Potential Medicaid Savings

Researchers and policy makers are trying to find ways to manage dual eligibles more cost-effectively, but no one has focused on how to prevent people from becoming dual eligibles in the first place. This briefing paper will suggest how Medicaid could save $30 billion per year by preparing people to pay privately for long-term care so they do not end up as dual eligibles dependent on Medicaid.

The heaviest users of Medicaid's most expensive benefit (LTC)--dual eligibles and the aged, blind and disabled (ABD)--consume a disproportionate share of Medicaid's total resources.[9] Therefore, every actual or potential dual eligible, ABD or LTC recipient diverted from Medicaid dependency will result in a disproportionate savings to the Medicaid program. Conclusion: prevent Medicaid dependency for even a small number of these heavy LTC users, and the savings will be extraordinarily high.

Queries

Aren't dual eligibles, the aged, blind and disabled, and heavy LTC users the poorest of the poor? Isn't Medicaid their safety net which protects them only after catastrophic spend down has devastated their life's savings and driven them into financial destitution? How can you possibly hope to divert such people from Medicaid dependency without destroying their lives and the lives of their spouses and dependents?

Are people on Medicaid necessarily poor?

Only if they need acute or preventive medical care. Not if they're aged, blind or disabled and eligible because they need long-term care. Income is rarely an obstacle to Medicaid eligibility for people who require LTC. If they have too little income to pay all their medical expenses, including nursing home care, they're eligible.[10] In other words, you don't need to have low income to qualify for Medicaid long-term care benefits. All you need is a cash flow problem after you pay all your medical and LTC bills.

Medicaid limits non-exempt assets for LTC recipients to $2,000. But, exempt assets are practically unlimited. For example, a home and all contiguous property up to $525,000 plus a business including the capital and cash flow, one automobile, prepaid burial plans, term life insurance, personal belongings and other resources are excluded without limit from eligibility asset caps. Married couples are assured of even higher income and asset protections, including up to $2,841 of monthly income and up to $113,640 of assets for the community spouse as of 2012.[11]

For more details, see Briefing Paper #2 in this series: "Medicaid Long-Term Care Eligibility."

Medicaid Planning

On top of these already generous income and asset limits, Medicaid planners use both simple and sophisticated techniques to protect additional hundreds of thousands of dollars for affluent clients and their heirs. Such techniques include gifting strategies, annuities, trusts, life care contracts and dozens of others delineated in hundreds of law journal and popular media articles and books. Google "Medicaid estate planning" to find thousands of methods and purveyors of self-impoverishment to qualify for Medicaid. Similar techniques allow people with substantial income and assets to avoid Medicaid's estate recovery requirements, which in any case, are rarely enforced effectively by the states.

For more details, see Briefing Paper #3 in this series: "Medicaid Planning"

Bottom Line

Medicaid is not primarily a long-term care safety net for people who have spent down into impoverishment. Rather, Medicaid is the principal payor of long-term care for nearly everyone.

Medicaid pays less than one-third of the dollars for nursing home care (32.8%),[12] but covers nearly 2/3 of nursing home residents (64%)[13] and touches over 80% of all nursing home patient days with its extremely low, quality-destroying reimbursement rates.[14]

Out-of-pocket expenditures for nursing home care are down from 49.5% in 1970 to 29.1% in 2009.[15] Nearly half of these already low out-of-pocket costs actually come from the Social Security income of people already on Medicaid, not from asset spend down.[16]

When you back out all nursing home costs paid by Medicaid, Medicare, private health insurance, Social Security and other personal income spend-through by Medicaid recipients, individuals' and families' assets are at risk for less than one dollar in six of nursing home costs.[17]

Home care is even less a private burden. Only 8.8% of $68.3 billion home health care costs in 2009 were paid out of pocket. Medicare (43.6%) and Medicaid (35.6%) paid 79.2% of the total and private insurance paid 7.3%.[18]

Building on These Facts

How can we take advantage of the fact that Medicaid LTC does not require impoverishment to improve the program, reduce its cost and generate substantial savings?

First ask: what is the single biggest asset Medicaid protects from long-term care costs? Answer: the home. Medicaid exempts the home and all contiguous property up to an equity value of at least $525,000 and up to $786,000 in some states, e.g. NY, CA, ID.[19]

What do we know about senior's home equity? Roughly 81% of seniors own their homes; 65% of these senior homeowners own their homes free and clear.[20] Altogether, seniors own nearly two trillion dollars worth of home equity.[21] This home equity wealth is currently illiquid, largely untapped for long-term care costs, mostly exempted from Medicaid eligibility limits, and usually avoids Medicaid estate recovery.

There are ways to liquefy this wealth and put it to use financing quality long-term care for frail and chronically ill seniors. For example, reverse mortgages are private financial products that allow people to convert illiquid home equity into usable income or assets which they can use in any way they see fit and still remain in their homes as long as they are able.[22]

According to the National Council on the Aging (NCOA), 48% of America's 13.2 million households age 62 and older could get $72,128 on average from reverse mortgages. "In total, an estimated $953 billion could be available from reverse mortgages for immediate long-term care needs and to promote aging in place."[23]

Yet, reverse mortgages are rarely used to finance long-term care today. Why?

Because Medicaid LTC financing co-opts the market for reverse mortgages by paying for most formal long-term care for most Americans, exempting most home equity, and thus obviating the need to tap home equity for long-term care.

How to Save Medicaid LTC $30 Billion Per Year

To save Medicaid billions of dollars every year and improve the program, replace the home equity exemption with a requirement that people consume their home equity before they become eligible for Medicaid LTC benefits.

How much could this save? Medicaid spent $142.9 billion on 8.9 million dual eligibles in 2009 or $16,056 per dually eligible recipient.[24] To save $30 billion per year, Medicaid would only need to reduce the number of dual eligibles by 1,868,460 or 21%.[25]

Is that feasible? Yes, because as NCOA reports, half of households headed by people over 62 could get over $70,000 each from a reverse mortgage. That much money added to other income and assets and used for long-term care, especially private home and community-based services, could delay or prevent Medicaid eligibility for millions of Americans. The savings to Medicaid would easily exceed $30,000,000,000 per year in combined state and federal expenditures, probably much more.

Over time, Medicaid savings will increase rapidly beyond these initial estimates as more and more people plan ahead to pay their own LTC expenses by means of home equity conversion and private long-term care insurance, a product whose market will expand if and when it becomes needed to protect home equity from LTC expenses.

Objections and Answers

If this is such a great idea, why don't people already use reverse mortgages for long-term care expenses? Why would they when Medicaid exempts the home and all contiguous property regardless of value and estate recovery is easy to avoid? Put home equity at risk and consumers will take long-term care seriously, plan for it, and save, invest or insure against the risk. Consequently, many fewer will end up as dual eligibles.

How does requiring people to use their home equity improve Medicaid? With fewer people to serve, Medicaid will have more resources to help those who are genuinely in need. Medicaid will require fewer eligibility workers and estate recovery staff, thus reducing administrative costs. Part of the Medicaid savings can be applied to increasing reimbursement rates and expanding the continuum of services provided, thus improving access to and quality of care. Finally, the jobs created in the financial services industry (reverse mortgage lenders) and the insurance industry (LTC insurance agents) will generate new tax revenues to help states and the federal government support Medicaid.

Wouldn't reverse mortgages impoverish spouses of Medicaid recipients and leave them dependent on public assistance? No, just the opposite. Reverse mortgages provide extra income indefinitely. They are fully insured by the federal government so that families retain the income and the use of the home until they move, sell or die even if the home equity is entirely consumed.

Doesn't this take away a sacred right people have to pass their homes to heirs? No, Congress made it clear over 20 years ago "that all of the resources available to an institutionalized individual, including equity in a home, which are not needed for the support of a spouse or dependent children will be used to defray the cost of supporting the individual in the institution."[26] That was the justification for estate recovery, which has not worked well because it is punitive, after the fact, and politically sensitive. Reverse mortgages as a pre-condition of eligibility would achieve the same objective far more efficiently.

Long-term care providers, including nursing homes, assisted living facilities, and home care agencies, would lose Medicaid patients, wouldn't they? Yes, and they'll be thrilled to replace Medicaid recipients, whose reimbursement is often less than the cost of providing their care, with private patients who pay a sustainable market rate for access to the top quality care they demand and receive as paying customers. Furthermore, the influx of new revenue will improve care access and quality for all long-term care patients, private pay and Medicaid.

Won't baby boomer heirs, who are counting on inheritances protected by Medicaid, object strenuously? Probably, but why should Medicaid, which was intended as a safety net for the poor, be inheritance insurance for middle-class boomers anyway? Boomers are exactly the generation we need to awaken to long-term care risk and to their need to insure against it. For nearly 50 years, Medicaid has done exactly the opposite. It has anesthetized boomers to the risk by paying for their parents' long-term care. We worry about the unfunded liabilities of Social Security and Medicare, but at least those programs have putative "trust funds." Medicaid is a dead-weight drag on state and federal general funds. Medicaid has nowhere to turn as the demographic tsunami hits.

How would you prevent people from gaming this rule the same way they use Medicaid planning to circumvent the current system? Most people who transfer assets to qualify for Medicaid do it after they have a long-term care crisis or when they (or usually their heirs) anticipate such a crisis coming soon. By that time, they don't qualify medically or cannot afford private LTC insurance, so they turn to Medicaid by hook or by crook. Confront them with a real Medicaid spend down liability while they are still young, healthy and affluent enough to insure privately and most people will do so. Unlike transfers of liquid assets or negotiable securities, real property transfers are publicly recorded and easily discovered. It would be simple to hold people accountable who give away large amounts of home equity any time before applying for Medicaid, even a decade or more. The asset transfer look back period for real property should be at least ten years, instead of five as now.

This is a political non-starter because Medicaid is a "third rail" like Social Security and Medicare. Nonsense. We are quickly approaching the time when failure to confront exploding Medicaid costs will exceed the political risk of confronting them honestly. How will politicians justify cutting dental benefits for poor children or slashing higher education or letting roads go unrepaired just so prosperous seniors can pass their wealth to affluent heirs at the expense of ever-skyrocketing Medicaid long-term care costs?

Do enough people currently receiving Medicaid LTC benefits own their homes to achieve such big savings immediately? No, probably no more than 15% to 20% of people already receiving Medicaid still own their homes. Besides, policy makers would probably want to grandfather in current recipients under the status quo. The major savings will come over a period of three years as the Medicaid long-term care population turns over and fewer new recipients qualify until after they spend down their home equity with a reverse mortgage. The big question here is: what happens now to the homes owned by 81% of seniors by the time they qualify for Medicaid and most of them no longer own their homes? Are the homes being transferred to heirs? Are they being sold and the money used somehow? How? Evidently not for long-term care as the data explained above shows. Research is needed to answer these questions.

Summary

Medicaid is supposed to be America's long-term care safety net for the poor. Instead, it is the principal LTC payor for nearly everyone. Medicaid's LTC benefit has become "inheritance insurance" for baby boomers, lulling them into a false sense of security regarding their own future long-term care needs. Medicaid's generous LTC eligibility and elastic income and asset limits create perverse incentives that invite abuse and discourage responsible long-term care planning.

The conventional wisdom that most people must spend down their life savings before they qualify for Medicaid long-term care benefits is a myth, demonstrably false. If people's biggest asset, their home equity, were at risk to pay for long-term care, most people would plan early to save, invest and insure against that risk. Reverse mortgages permit people to withdraw supplemental income or assets from their otherwise illiquid home equity without giving up use of the home. This extra cash can purchase services to help them remain at home and delay or avoid Medicaid dependency altogether.

The single most effective step Congress and the President can take to fix Medicaid, reduce its cost, and improve America's long-term care service delivery and financing system is to reduce or eliminate Medicaid's home equity. That simple measure will pump desperately needed financial oxygen into the LTC service delivery system, relieve the burden of Medicaid on taxpayers, enable Medicaid to provide better access to higher quality care for the genuinely needy, and expand the market for LTC insurance and home equity conversion products, thus generating additional tax revenue for state and federal coffers.

Afterword on the "Doc Fix" Problem

The sustainable growth rate (SGR) formula the government uses to pay physicians is set to slice nearly 30% off the doctors' Medicare reimbursement rates on January 1, 2012. Almost everyone agrees that can't be allowed to happen. But no one knows how to pay for avoiding it. The "Doc Fix" is estimated to cost $30 billion per year, $300 billion over ten years, and $500 billion soon if nothing is done.

In the meantime, Medicaid long-term care is fraught with virtually boundless waste, fraud and abuse, as Cato's Michael Cannon has documented.[27] Recent exposés by video-muckraker James O'Keefe dramatize the problem.[28] All it would take to save most of the cost of the "Doc Fix" is to think clearly about Medicaid LTC and reform it. In other words, "Pay for the Doc Fix by Fixing Medicaid LTC." This Briefing Paper explained how.

End Notes


[1] Kaiser Family Foundation, StateHealthFacts.org, extracted July 27, 2011; http://www.statehealthfacts.org/comparecat.jsp?cat=4&rgn=6&rgn=1.
[2] National Governors Association and the National Association of State Budget Officers, The Fiscal Survey of States, Spring 2011, p. 51; http://nasbo.org/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket=yNV8Jv3X7Is%3d&tabid=38.
[3] Ibid.
[4] Kaiser Family Foundation, StateHealthFacts.org, extracted July 27, 2011; http://www.statehealthfacts.org/comparecat.jsp?cat=4&rgn=6&rgn=1.
[5] Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, National Health Expenditure Data, Table 9: Nursing Care Facilities and Continuing Care Retirement Communities Aggregate, Per Capita Amounts, and Percent Distribution, by Source of Funds: Selected Calendar Years 1970-2009 and Table 4: National Health Expenditures, by Source of Funds and Type of Expenditure: Calendar Years 2003-2009, extracted July 27, 2011; http://www.cms.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf.
[6] Kaiser Family Foundation, "Dual Eligibles: Medicaid's Role for Low-Income Medicare Beneficiaries," May 2011, p. 2; http://www.kff.org/medicaid/upload/4091-08.pdf.
[7] Ibid.
[8] Kaiser Family Foundation, StateHealthFacts.org, extracted July 27, 2011; http://www.statehealthfacts.org/comparemaptable.jsp?ind=858&cat=4..
[9] "Per capita spending for dual eligibles in nursing facilities averages $44,600, or about four times greater than spending for dual eligibles in the community ($10,900) or for other Medicare beneficiaries ($8,400). Because Medicare does not cover long-term care, the higher costs for the institutionalized fall heavily on the Medicaid program and account for nearly 4 out of 5 dollars that Medicaid spends on dual eligibles." Judy Kasper, Risa Elias and Barbara Lyons, "Dual Eligibles: Medicaid's Role in Filling Medicare's Gaps," Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured, March 2004, p. 10, (link).
[10] This is true in "medically needy" states. In "income cap" states, a Miller income diversion trust achieves the same purpose.
[11] These "spousal impoverishment" protections began at $1,500 per month of income and $60,000 in assets with passage of the Medicare Catastrophic Coverage Act in 1988. They increase with inflation annually.
[12] Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, National Health Expenditure Data, Table 9: Nursing Care Facilities and Continuing Care Retirement Communities Aggregate, Per Capita Amounts, and Percent Distribution, by Source of Funds: Selected Calendar Years 1970-2009, extracted July 29, 2011; http://www.cms.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf.
[13] Ari Houser, Wendy Fox-Grage, Mary Jo Gibson, "Across the States: Profiles of Long-Term Care and Independent Living," eighth edition, 2009, AARP, Washington, DC, http://assets.aarp.org/rgcenter/il/d19105_2008_ats.pdf.
[14] S. Feinleib, P. Cunningham, and P. Short, Use of Nursing and Personal Care Homes by the Civilian Population, 1987 (AHCPR Pub. No. 94-0096), National Medical Expenditure Survey Research Findings 23, Agency for Health Care Policy and Research, Rockville, MD: Public Health Service, August 1994, p. 4.
[15] Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, National Health Expenditure Data, Table 9: Nursing Care Facilities and Continuing Care Retirement Communities Aggregate, Per Capita Amounts, and Percent Distribution, by Source of Funds: Selected Calendar Years 1970-2009, extracted July 29, 2011; http://www.cms.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf.
[16] Although Social Security is not usually considered to be a financing source for nursing home care, the fact is that it contributes very significantly albeit indirectly as “spend-through.” Social security spend-through refers to income most seniors collect in the form of Social Security benefits which must be contributed toward their cost of care when they receive nursing-home services paid for by Medicaid. According to HCFA: “An estimated 41 percent...of out-of-pocket spending for nursing home care was received as income by patients or their representatives from monthly social security benefits.” (Helen C. Lazenby and Suzanne W. Letsch, “National Health Expenditures, 1989,” Health Care Financing Review, Vol. 12, No. 2, Winter 1990, p. 8.) Later research confirmed that Social Security spend-through is almost half of nursing home out-of-pocket costs. (Nelda McCall, "Long Term Care: Definition, Demand, Cost, and Financing," in Nelda McCall, editor, Who Will Pay for Long-Term Care, Health Administration Press, Chicago, Illinois, 2001, p. 19.)
[17] Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, National Health Expenditure Data, Table 9: Nursing Care Facilities and Continuing Care Retirement Communities Aggregate, Per Capita Amounts, and Percent Distribution, by Source of Funds: Selected Calendar Years 1970-2009, extracted July 29, 2011; http://www.cms.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf.
[18] Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, National Health Expenditure Data, Table 4: National Health Expenditures, by Source of Funds and Type of Expenditure: Calendar Years 2003-2009, extracted July 29, 2011; http://www.cms.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/tables.pdf.
[19] Medicaid exempted one home without regardless of value until the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 set the home equity limit at $500,000 or, at each state legislature's option, at $750,000.
[20] As of 2010, 81.6% of people 65-69 years of age; 82.4% of those 70-74 and 78.9% of those 75 and older own their homes. (U.S. Census Bureau, Housing Vacancies and Home Ownership: Annual Statistics: 2010 (Including Historical Data by State and MSA), Table 17, "Homeownership Rates by Age of Householder and Family Status for the United States;" http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/housing/hvs/annual10/ann10ind.html.)

As of 2009, 65.3% of elderly households are owned free and clear of mortgage debt. (U.S. Census Bureau, American Housing Survey National Tables: 2009, Table 3-15 Mortgage Characteristics--Owner-Occupied Units, http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/housing/ahs/ahs09/3-15.xls.)

For comparison: "Recent studies show that older Americans, including those who have serious health problems and need long-term care, want to live at home rather than in an institution. Most elders (81% of those age 62 and older) own their homes and 74% of those own them free and clear. With $1.9 trillion tied up in home equity, this financial resource has the potential to dramatically increase the ability of seniors to pay for long-term care at home. Reverse mortgages can free up needed cash while enabling seniors to continue to own their home." (Press Release of the National Council on the Aging, "Use Your Home to Stay at Home(tm) Program Study Shows That Reverse Mortgages Can Help Many with Long-Term Care Expenses," April 15, 2004.)

[21] Press Release of the National Council on the Aging, "Use Your Home to Stay at Home(tm) Program Study Shows That Reverse Mortgages Can Help Many with Long-Term Care Expenses," April 15, 2004.
[22] A good source of information on home equity conversion is the National Reverse Mortgage Lenders Association at http://www.reversemortgage.org/default.aspx . Also see AARP's website at http://www.aarp.org/revmort/ and the National Center for Home Equity Conversion at http://www.reverse.org/.
[23] National Council on the Aging Press Release and Fact Sheet, "Use Your Home to Stay at Home(tm): Program Study Shows That Reverse Mortgages Can Help Many with Long-Term Care Expenses," April 15, 2004.
[24] Kaiser Family Foundation, "Dual Eligibles: Medicaid's Role for Low-Income Medicare Beneficiaries," May 2011, p. 1; http://www.kff.org/medicaid/upload/4091-08.pdf.
[25] More than a third of dual eligibles, 3.4 million, are younger persons with disabilities, including the MRDD population, Mentally Retarded and Developmentally Disabled. Very few of these recipients can be diverted from Medicaid dependency. If we consider only the 5.5 million dual eligibles over age 65, saving $30 billion per year would require diverting 34% of them from dependency on Medicaid, arguably doable though difficult. (Dual eligible numbers come from Kaiser Family Foundation, "Dual Eligibles: Medicaid's Role for Low-Income Medicare Beneficiaries," May 2011, p. 1; http://www.kff.org/medicaid/upload/4091-08.pdf.)
[26] United States Code, Congressional and Administrative News, 97th Congress—Second Session—1982, Legislative History (Public Laws 97-146 to 97-248) Volume 2, St. Paul, Minnesota, West Publishing Company, p. 814
[27] Michael Cannon, "Entitlement Bandits," National Review Online, July 5, 2011, (link)and Michael Cannon, "Medicare/Medicaid Fraud: It's Everywhere; It's Brazen; It's Other People's Money," Cato Institute video, July 20, 2011, (link).
[28] Watch O'Keefe's explosive videos showing Medicaid eligibility workers suborning fraud here: http://www.theprojectveritas.org/node/51.

#############################

Updated, Monday, March 5, 2012, 11:19 AM (Central)

Alpine, TX--

#############################

LTC BULLET:  REBALANCING LONG-TERM CARE

LTC Comment:  Will rebalancing from nursing homes to home care save Medicaid money or drive up utilization and costs?  How will rebalancing Medicaid affect the private LTC insurance market?  Answers after the ***news.***

*** HOST STEVE MOSES:  “By hosting an informative event, a Florida agent developed 16 B-to-B prospects, with two multi-life sales in the works. The relationship George Braddock II developed with an expert in the burgeoning field of Long Term Care insurance created an opportunity for both of them recently. When Seattle-based LTC think-tank president Stephen Moses planned to pass through Florida on vacation, he contacted Braddock who quickly set up a lunch meeting, found a sponsor in his local Continuing Care Retirement Community (CCRC), and created a great hook to attract professionals involved in any aspect of financial advising to attend. Offering a discussion of the CLASS Act provided the base for the two to reach out to Florida professionals to share valuable information and build Braddock's client base at the same time.”  Details and “how to do it” appear in an article by Jennifer Samson on the Personal PR Forum (http://pprforum.ning.com/) here. ***

*** REGISTRATION IS OPEN for the 12th Annual Intercompany Long-Term Care Insurance Conference to be held March 18-21, 2012 at the Paris and Bally’s Hotels in Las Vegas. Check the hotels for special rates.  Click here or on the banner above for all the details and to register. Some highlights:

* Apply for a (non-home-office) agent scholarship at a special $395 rate here.
* First time attendees may qualify for a new, special $495 registration ($995 otherwise)
* Take Harley Gordon’s CLTC Master Class for only $95 extra, regular $1,395! (12-15 CE hours, the exam and one re-take included; use the “edit registration link” to sign up for this class)
* Be sure to register for each breakout session at the "edit registration link"
* Consider attending:  ILTCI Business Technology Group meeting on Sunday, March 18th, from 2:00-4:00 p.m.
* New this year:  Mobile app (for smart phones) available for all
* And don't miss this conference highlight:  Steve Moses and Harley Gordon will debate in a program titled "Clash of the Titans!” ***

*** LTCI PRODUCERS SUMMIT early discounted registration ends March 15.  Register here.  KNIGHT KIPLINGER, editor-in-chief of The Kiplinger Letter and Kiplinger’s Personal Finance magazine will keynote the 2012 American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance industry Summit to be held November 10-12 at the Tropicana Hotel in Las Vegas.  Details here: http://www.aaltci.org/2012summit/conference.html.  “The Summit takes place a week after Election Day and Mr. Kiplinger’s outlook for the U.S. economy and personal financial products couldn’t come at a better time,” declares Jesse Slome, executive director of the organization. *** 

-----------------

LTC BULLET:  REBALANCING LONG-TERM CARE

LTC Comment:  A month ago, we published LTC Bullet:  How to Fix Long-Term Care, which provided an overview of the LTC problem and its solution. 

Three weeks ago, we published LTC Bullet:  The History of Long-Term Care Financing or How We Got into This Mess (link), which explained how the richest country in the world came to have a welfare-financed, nursing-home-based long-term care system. 

Two weeks ago, in LTC Bullet:  Medicaid LTC Eligibility, we described how easy Medicaid LTC benefits are to obtain after care is needed without substantial asset spend down.  More importantly, we explained why it matters.

Last week, in LTC Bullet:  Medicaid Planning for Long-Term Care, we tackled the controversial topic of how affluent people artificially self-impoverish to qualify for Medicaid LTC benefits and what the government has attempted unsuccessfully to discourage the practice.

This week we address the question of whether or not Medicaid can save money by funding more home care and less nursing home care.  Could Medicaid’s providing more services people want and less care they would rather avoid . . . attract more recipients, increase overall costs, further desensitize the public to LTC risk and crowd out private financing alternatives?

In the weeks ahead, we will cover the complicated issue of “dual eligibles” and how to unleash the potential of private LTC financing alternatives such as long-term care insurance and home equity conversion.

In other words, stick with us through this entire series of six Briefing Papers and we’ll show you step by step how America’s LTC system came to be so dysfunctional, why it has been so hard to fix until now, and exactly what to do to improve it.

--------------

Dedicated to ensuring quality long-term care for all Americans

Briefing Paper #4:
Rebalancing Long-Term Care
By
Stephen A. Moses

 

Is Rebalancing a Panacea?

Briefing Paper #1 in this series on "The History of Long-Term Care Financing" explained how Medicaid's bias toward funding nursing home care crowded out a privately financed home and community-based services (HCBS) market. Since the 1980s Medicaid has gradually moved away from financing nursing home care toward paying for more HCBS. Will this change save money and improve the program as advocates of rebalancing insist? Or could it cost more and potentially harm access and quality? What are the downside risks?

Institutional Bias Gives Way

The federal Medicaid LTC program started in 1965. To win industry support, the new program originally paid exclusively and generously for nursing home care. But exploding costs and declining quality led in time to calls for Medicaid to "deinstitutionalize" or "rebalance" LTC benefits.

The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 authorized HCBS waivers which allowed state Medicaid programs to fund home care with restrictions. For example, states couldn't spend more for HCBS than they would have spent for nursing home care.

The Supreme Court's 1999 "Olmstead" decision held that people with disabilities have the right to live at home or in the community if they are able and do not prefer nursing home care. Olmstead encouraged states to provide more HCBS within reasonable budget limitations.

Major initiatives during the George W. Bush Administration expanded opportunities for state Medicaid programs to cover HCBS. The Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 and the Affordable Care Act of 2010 (health reform) added options and funding to encourage rebalancing to HCBS.

The Argument for Rebalancing

The argument in favor of HCBS, made strenuously by many academic and policy experts, is that taking care of frail or chronically ill elders in their homes is much cheaper than in a nursing home. Therefore, rebalancing from skilled nursing facility (SNF) services to HCBS should save the state and federal Medicaid programs money while giving people more of what they want (home care) and less of what they would rather avoid (nursing home care). But is that true?

Considerations

Intuitively, it would seem so. SNF services are expensive and HCBS apparently much less so. Surely, Medicaid can serve more people in their homes and communities for less money and with better outcomes than in nursing facilities. But the reality is more complicated. Decades of empirical studies show HCBS delay but do not replace institutionalization. For example:

When compared to an elderly population for whom traditionally available care is offered, recipients of expanded community-based services do not use significantly fewer days of nursing home care.[1]

 

An increasingly large number of studies, including the results of a national channeling demonstration program, have shown that non-institutional services typically do not substitute for nursing home care, but, rather, represent additional services most often to new populations.[2]

 

Although community-based LTC programs proved beneficial to both clients and informal caregivers in the LTC demonstrations, they did not prove budget neutral or cost effective.[3]

 

The Channeling demonstration . . . found that, while community-care models were often welcome by recipients and their caregivers, they led to overall increases in public spending for long-term care.[4]

 

The primary argument for the cost savings potential of home care rests on a comparison of the average per person Medicaid expenditures for people in the community and in nursing homes. The average annual Medicaid expenditures for home care for older people and adults with physical disabilities ($8,355 in 2004) per person are dramatically less than average annual Medicaid expenditures ($27,650 in 2004) per person for nursing home care. This comparison, however, is incomplete because it does not address differences in disability levels, use of acute care services, and the exclusion of housing and room and board costs from home care expenditures. Thus, it is not strictly an 'apples to apples' comparison.[5]

 

The research evidence that changing the delivery system will produce substantial Medicaid savings is not strong, but it is a premise strongly held by many state officials and consumer advocates.[6]

Year after year, combined costs for SNF care and HCBS continue to rise in spite of, or perhaps because of, rebalancing. Tough questions arise. Would people who receive HCBS have otherwise entered SNFs? Do they reduce costs or merely add recipients? Isn't losing the institutional economy of scale very expensive? How can providing home care services people want instead of nursing home care they dread save money?

California Case Study[7]

In-Home Supportive Services (IHSS) is California's largest Medi-Cal (Medicaid in California) HCBS program. IHSS has lenient functional eligibility requirements and allows Medi-Cal recipients to hire and pay their own caregivers, including family members. One study found that this policy helps "prevent further functional decline," "addresses tight labor pools and supports family caregiving."[8] The same study claimed that HCBS programs are cost-effective.

Unfortunately, this policy of easy access to IHSS and paying family members for care drives up program participation and induces population-wide complacency about LTC risk. It replaces free private care-valued in 2007 at $48 billion or five times Medi-Cal LTC spending and 9.1 times Medi-Cal HCBS spending[9]-with paid services at enormous public cost.

California's Legislative Analyst concluded in 2010: "After accounting for both costs and savings to the state and counties, IHSS probably results in net costs. This is because the savings (in the form of avoided nursing home costs) are probably more than offset by the costs (to provide IHSS and related services) for those recipients who would not be institutionalized in the absence of the program."[10]

Conclusion

Believers that rebalancing can save money and improve Medicaid-financed LTC cling to hope while disregarding hard reality. The only study supporting their position "found that states with well-established HCBS programs had much lower rates of spending growth compared to those with low HCBS spending" but only after "a lag of several years before institutional spending appeared to decline."[11]

States efforts to reduce Medicaid LTC expenditures by rebalancing from nursing home care to home and community-based care have clearly failed. But the solution cannot be a return to the institutional bias that plagued the program in years past. Not only would covering more people in nursing homes again cost more money, it isn't possible anyway because low-acuity patients no longer qualify medically for SNF care in many states.

The Solution

The path to a more promising outcome lies through a better understanding of why and how most Americans who need long-term care end up on Medicaid. As explained in Briefing Papers #1, #2 and #3 on the History of LTC, Medicaid LTC Eligibility, and Medicaid Planning, respectively, easy access to Medicaid LTC benefits after care is needed has resulted in excessive dependency on publicly funded long-term care. Offering more attractive HCBS, without controlling easy eligibility, increases costs and impairs quality.

For Medicaid to afford quality HCBS for all recipients it must have fewer recipients. By tightening eligibility, closing eligibility loopholes, preventing Medicaid planning, and enforcing estate recovery, the program can do a better job for fewer genuinely needy eligibles. When middle class and affluent people understand their savings and home equity are at risk for LTC, they will avoid Medicaid dependency by paying privately from savings, home equity conversion and private insurance. These points are developed more fully in Briefing Paper #5 on Dual Eligibles and Briefing Paper #6 on Private LTC Financing Alternatives.

End Notes


[1] General Accounting Office, "The Elderly Should Benefit From Expanded Home Health Care But Increasing Those Services Will Not Insure Cost Reductions" (Dec. 7, 1982) p. 43, http://archive.gao.gov/f0102/120074.pdf.
[2] John F. Holahan and Joel W. Cohen, Medicaid: The Trade-off between Cost Containment and Access to Care, (Washington DC: The Urban Institute Press, 1986), p. 106.
[3] Kenneth G. Manton, "The Dynamics of Population Aging: Demography and Policy Analysis," The Milbank Quarterly, vol. 69, no. 2, 1991, p. 322.
[4] Francis Caro, "Long-Term Care: Informed by Research," AcademyHealth, Washington, D.C., 2003, p. 2; http://www.academyhealth.org/files/publications/ltcresearch.pdf.
[5] Joshua M. Wiener and Wayne L. Anderson, "Follow the Money: Financing Home and Community-Based Services," Pennsylvania Medicaid Policy Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, 2009, p. 10, footnote omitted; http://www.pamedicaid.pitt.edu/documents/Homecare_rp_09.pdf.
[6] Ibid, p.22.
[7] Stephen A. Moses, "Medi-Cal Long-Term Care: Safety Net or Hammock?," Pacific Research Institute (San Francisco, CA) and Center for Long-Term Care Reform (Seattle, WA), January 2011; (link).
[8] Robert Mollica and Leslie Hendrickson, “Home and Community-Based Long-Term Care: Recommendations to Improve Access for Californians,” report prepared for California Community Choices and California Health and Human Services Agency under Grant CFDA 93.779 from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, November 2009, p. v; (link).
[9] Ari Houser and Mary Jo Gibson, "Valuing the Invaluable: The Economic Value of Family Caregiving, 2008 Update," Insight on Issues 13, AARP Public Policy Institute, Washington, DC, November 2008, table 2, p. 4, and table 3, p. 5; http://assets.aarp.org/rgcenter/il/i13_caregiving.pdf.
[10] Legislative Analyst's Office, "Considering the State Costs and Benefits: In-Home Supportive Services Program," Sacramento, California, January 21, 2010, p. 3; (link).
[11] Robert Mollica and Leslie Hendrickson, "Home and Community-Based Long-Term Care: Recommendations to Improve Access for Californians," report prepared for California Community Choices and California Health and Human Services Agency under Grant CFDA 93.779 from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, November 2009, pps. 1-2; (link) citing Kaye, LaPlante, and Harrington, (January, 2009), “Do Noninstitutional Long-Term Care Services Reduce Medicaid Spending?” Health Affairs, vol. 28, no. 1, pp. 262-272; http://content.healthaffairs.org/cgi/content/abstract/28/1/262.


2212 Queen Anne Avenue North, #110, Seattle, Washington 98109 Phone (206) 283-7036 Fax (206) 283-6536
E-mail info@centerltc.com Web Site www.centerltc.com Ask how you can support the Center today!

#############################

Updated, Friday, March 2, 2012, 11:33 AM (Central)

Alpine, Texas--

#############################

FRANK TITUS EULOGY BY PAUL FORTE AND LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

LTC Comment:  Paul Forte is the Chief Executive Officer of Long Term Care Partners, LLC the company that manages the Federal Long Term Care Insurance Program.  We re-publish his eulogy of Frank Titus with Mr. Forte’s permission:

“Frank Titus, former Federal Executive and first FLTCIP Contracting Officer, passed away yesterday [February 2, 2012] after a serious illness. He was 65.

“In his thirty-year federal career, Frank held every executive level position associated with the retirement and insurance programs that OPM administers, except that of Chief Actuary. In 1985, he instituted a cash management program for major health carriers that greatly reduced federal outlays. In 1987, he implemented a new Federal Employee Retirement System (FERS), for which he received a Presidential Rank Award. In the 1990’s he implemented the Patient Bill of Rights, Patient Safety, and Mental Health/Substance Abuse Parity Program in the Federal Employees Health Benefits program (FEHB), for which he received a second Presidential Rank Award. In 1999 he began work on the FLTCIP. As his record suggests, his success with it was no accident. Frank’s knowledge and experience of large-scale benefits programs prepared him to undertake the difficult work of creating the nation’s largest long term care insurance program.

“Frank was involved in drafting the authorizing legislation that created the FLTCIP in September 2000. He conducted research into best practices in long term care insurance. He led the team that put the original FLTCIP contract out to bid in 2001 and that evaluated proposals from qualified contractors. After the contract award in December 2001, he supervised the installation of the FLTCIP, developed the regulations, and helped to plan the first Open Season in 2002-2003, working closely with LTCP, John Hancock, and MetLife on the national marketing campaign. Those of us who were here in Portsmouth when LTCP opened its doors in the spring of 2002 and in the early years of operation know how much was owed to Frank’s guidance.

“Frank was personally proud of Portsmouth and made a number of visits here. He chose the John Hancock/MetLife consortium at least in part because of its plans to build a dedicated facility. He believed that such a facility was the best long-term solution for FLTCIP administration. He also believed that Portsmouth had the potential to do other important federal work. This was evident in 2004 when he approached us about doing premium allotments for FSAfeds, and then in 2005, when he asked us to introduce the new FEDVIP via a Voluntary Benefits Portal later known as BENEFEDS. Frank drew up the requirements for implementation of BENEFEDS with LTCP in 2006. As the original Contracting Officer for the portal, Frank believed that BENEFEDS could serve not only as the enrollment and premium processing platform for the FEDVIP, ensuring its success, but as the administrative hub for all federal benefits programs, including FEHB, the nation’s largest health plan. He was right on both counts.

“Blessed with an ability to listen closely and a powerful memory, Frank registered everything without ever writing it down. He once impressed a group of us in Washington by repeating almost verbatim the technical statements that each of us had made over a 10 minute period. None of us had ever seen anyone do that before. Frank could present a gruff exterior, especially if you were a vendor, and he could make the room feel warm, if he didn’t care for what you were telling him. But that masked great sympathy and kindness. At his retirement party in 2006, Frank was recognized both for his professional achievements and his generosity as a manager and colleague. He had many friends in the Federal community and was much loved by those who knew him well.

“Frank was a bold, original, and determined person who worked hard to improve the lives of the Federal Family, and by extension, all Americans. He will be missed.”

Paul Forte, CEO, Long Term Care Partners

#############################

2/29/2012, Married to the Job,” by Paula Span, New York Times

Quote:  "Ms. Hadas continued to hire aides for her husband (luckily, they'd bought long-term care insurance two years before his diagnosis), but eventually had to place him in a series of facilities, starting in 2008."

LTC Comment:  The New York Times rarely has anything good to say about LTC insurance, but this is an exception.

#############################

2/29/2012, Small business owners are unprepared for retirement,” Life & Health Advisor

Quote:  "Just 37 percent of the women and 38 percent of the men think their retirement planning needs are complex. This suggests a potentially dangerous tendency to oversimplify an increasingly complicated financial planning situation that needs to account for inflation, medical expenses, longevity and asset management as well as the accumulation and distribution of income, long-term care and tax management."

LTC Comment:  An ironic and usually uncommented effect of the fraying “social safety net” is that too few people worry about future financial security.  That’s a danger for the complacent but an opportunity for the financial adviser.

#############################

2/28/2012, “Avoiding Stress in Eldercare: What 7 At-Risk Groups Need to Know,” by Paula Spencer Scott, Caring.com/New America Media (link)

Quote:  "Editor's Note: The following article is part of a series on family eldercare and what caregivers should know about minimizing their stress and maintaining their health."

LTC Comment:  Good advice for caregivers.

#############################

2/27/2012, Long-term care uncertainty is a growing issue,” by Bob Rosenblatt, Los Angeles Times

Quote:  "The cost of long-term care is the big health insurance uncertainty for Americans 65 and older. How will they pay for long-term care? The biggest shock for people entering the Medicare system is learning that it won't pay for custodial care in a nursing home."

LTC Comment:  After they absorb that shock, however, they learn that Medicaid does pay for such care and that it is easy to qualify for without much asset spend down.  No wonder the next generation doesn’t worry enough about LTC risk and cost.

#############################

2/25/2012, The Vanishing Mind:  Life, With Dementia,” by Pam Belluck, New York Times  

Quote:  "Dementia in prison is an underreported but fast-growing phenomenon, one that many prisons are desperately unprepared to handle."

LTC Comment:  Watch for states to deal with this problem of demented prisoners by transfering them in to Medicaid-financed nursing homes.  One more reason to insure, pay privately, and stay out of such places.

#############################

2/25/2012, The elderly should share the burden,” by Robert J. Samuelson, Washington Post

Quote:  "What this suggests is that some cuts in Social Security benefits or increases in Medicare fees, even for those already on the programs, would not impose undue hardship. In any deficit deal, the elderly should be part of the bargain. All the adjustment should not be heaped on the working-age population."

LTC Comment:  Expect many more columns and recommendations like these to reduce and means test benefits to seniors.

#############################

2/24/2012, Alzheimer's Draft Authors Mention LTCI – Briefly,” by Allison Bell, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "The authors of the new draft National Plan to Address Alzheimer's Disease mention the role of private LTCI coverage only in passing. . . . Under the 'helping families plan' heading, plan drafters suggest that HHS should find out why middle-aged adults fail to plan for long-term care (LTC) needs. The drafters suggest that HHS also should expand LTC awareness efforts."

LTC Comment:  The Center for LTC Reform has drafted a study proposal to answer the question once and for all of why people fail to plan for LTC. Details in a future LTC Bullet.

#############################

2/23/2012, “New retirement reality, longer life expectancy cause many to rethink planning for later years,” by Lisa Gillespie, Employee Benefit Adviser (link

Quote:  "According to findings from a new survey from Merrill Lynch, 58% of affluent Americans have a positive view of the prospect of living to be 100. However, three out of four would approach their money management differently if they knew today that they were going to live that long. A few things they'd consider are continuing to work part-time during retirement (39%), investing in an annuity (32%), contributing more to a savings vehicle (32%) and retiring closer to 85 rather than 65 (25%)."

LTC Comment:  Did they even ask about LTC insurance?

#############################

2/23/2012, A Shift From Nursing Homes to Managed Care at Home,” by Joseph Berger, New York Times  

Quote:  "Faced with soaring health care costs and shrinking Medicare and Medicaid financing, nursing home operators are closing some facilities and embracing an emerging model of care that allows many elderly patients to remain in their homes and still receive the medical and social services available in institutions." 

LTC Comment:  "Rebalancing" from Medicaid-financed nursing home care to home and community-based care may not be as easy or cost-effective as this article suggests as I explain here:  Briefing Paper #4: Rebalancing Long-Term Care www.centerltc.com/BriefingPapers/4.htm -- (PDF for print)

#############################

2/23/2012, “Part II: Selling LTCI: You Must!,” by Honey Leveen, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "In last month's column, I described what I believe is the right way, certainly a more enjoyable and less stressful way, to break into long-term care insurance (LTCi) sales. I've gotten several calls and comments from last month's column, so this subject is evidently relevant. This month I'll expand on how you can earn as you learn how to sell LTCi. . . . I consider my subscription to www.centerltc.org a 'must'."

LTC Comment:  Thanks to Center Regional Rep Honey Leveen for this valuable article and for shouting out the Center for LTC Reform.

#############################

2/23/2012, Providers pleased with Supreme Court Medicaid decision,” McKnight’s LTC News 

Quote:  "The U.S. Supreme Court has not ruled against the idea of providers suing the state of California for its efforts to cut Medicaid reimbursements by 10%."

LTC Comment:  Expect many more lawsuits like this one as long-term care providers are caught between the rock of inadequate Medicaid reimbursement rates and the hard place of mandatory quality.

#############################

2/21/2012,Missing from the Presidential Debate: Long-Term Care,” by Ken Schwartz, National Council on the Aging press release

Quote:  "[T]he issue of long-term care has been completely absent from this year's presidential campaign. No questions have been asked during the debates. The candidates have not posted any views or positions on their websites, and only two candidates have responded to a national survey on their views to address this growing national challenge."

LTC Comment:  The two respondents were President Obama and Newt Gingrich.  Read the survey questions and their responses here.

#############################

2/2012, The Long-Term Care Imperative,” by Bryan Langdon, LifeHealthPRO 

Quote:  "Our industry has long known the combination of pricing, benefits, risk selection and anticipation of future claims is a learned science. Today we are dealing with low interest rates, a lower-than-average applicant age, better care delivery systems and many more changing dynamics, which has made it difficult for carriers to chart a consistent path to profitability … yet we continue to learn and adapt. Our sales are growing, the market gets bigger and our options to solve have never been greater. For years we told advisors that the baby boomers were coming and their needs would be changing. Well, they have not only arrived but they are also learning firsthand the true cost, financially and emotionally, of a long-term care event. It is those experiences that are changing the buying decisions of our clients."

LTC Comment:  You may need to scroll down to get to this article.

#############################

2/19/2012, “Popular payroll tax cut will cost Americans later,” by Terry Savage, Chicago Sun-Times

Quote:  “The [Social Security] system will become means tested - meaning those who also saved money in retirement accounts will certainly have their Social Security benefits reduced, or taxed away.” 

LTC Comment Terry Savage is a nationally syndicated financial columnist who writes frequently and positively about the importance of long-term care insurance.  Her "Savage Truth" columns are often right on the money.

#############################

2/14/2012, The Future. LTCI Product Design. Discuss. Now that the CLASS Act program has died, what impact will that have on sales?,” by Ed McCarthy, LifeHealthPRO (link)

Quote:  "So what's on the post-CLASS LTCI horizon? Cheung suspects that some benefits managers who were waiting to see what the act produced may now revisit the idea of setting up private employer-sponsored coverage."

LTC Comment:  After CLASS, what?  Prudential’s Malcolm Cheung and AALTCI’s Jesse Slome opine in this article.  It would make a good topic for a fuller survey of industry opinions.

#############################

12/2011,Residential Care Facilities: A Key Sector in the Spectrum of Long-term Care Providers in the United States,” National Center for Health Statistics (link)

Quote:  "Residential care facilities (RCFs)—such as assisted living facilities and personal care homes—provide housing and supportive services to persons who cannot live independently but generally do not require the skilled level of care provided by nursing homes. RCFs are not federally regulated, and state approaches to RCF regulation vary widely (1). The ability to provide a comprehensive picture of the long-term care (LTC) industry has been hampered by the lack of data on RCFs (2,3). Previous estimates of the size of the RCF sector varied depending on how RCFs were defined (4,5). Using data from the first nationally representative survey of RCFs with four or more beds, this report presents national estimates of RCFs and compares characteristics and services by facility size."

LTC Comment:  Valuable new data on the LTC venues that are replacing nursing homes for custodial care.

#############################

Updated, Friday, February 24, 2012, Time AM (Pacific)

Bristol, Virginia--

#############################

LTC BULLET:  MEDICAID PLANNING FOR LONG-TERM CARE

LTC Comment:  What is Medicaid planning and why does it matter?  Find out after the ***news.***

*** REGISTRATION IS OPEN for the 12th Annual Intercompany Long-Term Care Insurance Conference to be held March 18-21, 2012 at the Paris and Bally’s Hotels in Las Vegas. Check the hotels for special rates.  Click here or on the banner above for all the details and to register. Some highlights:

* Apply for a (non-home-office) agent scholarship at a special $395 rate here.
* First time attendees may qualify for a new, special $495 registration ($995 otherwise)
* Take Harley Gordon’s CLTC Master Class for only $95 extra, regular $1,395! (12-15 CE hours, the exam and one re-take included; use the “edit registration link” to sign up for this class)

* Be sure to register for each breakout session at the "edit registration link"

* Consider attending:  ILTCI Business Technology Group meeting on Sunday, March 18th, from 2:00-4:00 p.m.

* New this year:  Mobile app (for smart phones) available for all

* And don't miss this conference highlight:  Steve Moses and Harley Gordon will debate in a program titled "Clash of the Titans!” ***

*** SPOTLIGHT ON:  Medicaid and Medicare Key Numbers
Need the latest Medicaid and Medicare numbers? Your Center for Long-Term Care Reform has you covered. We have current data, updated annually, all the way back to the early 1990s. In this feature you not only have a historical archive of essential Medicaid and Medicare numbers, you have access to the current numbers as soon as they are released. The Medicaid and Medicare Key Numbers feature is located in our Members-Only Zone website. If you need your user name and password, or are not yet a member and would like to join, click here or simply contact Damon (206-283-7036 / damon@centerltc.com). Zone in today and you’ll find a wealth of useful resources! ***

*** THE GREAT CONNECTIONS SEMINAR for Students Ages 16-24; July 21-28, 2012, in Chicago.  Ask your favorite students:

  • “Are you looking for more than memorization and tests? Do you want to be challenged to think for yourself?
  • “Can you connect abstract ideas with life decisions and world events? Can you confidently argue for - and act on - your point of view?
  • “Do you want to gain powerful knowledge and skills and discuss life’s most challenging questions...while enjoying music, dancing, architecture, and art to the fullest?”

If their answer is "yes," point them to a "total immersion" experience of intensive classes, interactive sessions, off-campus expeditions, and rewarding camaraderie. It just might change their lives, as it has for previous students.  Description and application.  Offered by the Reason, Individualism, Freedom Institute:  www.rifinst.org ***

*** KNIGHT KIPLINGER, editor-in-chief of The Kiplinger Letter and Kiplinger’s Personal Finance magazine will keynote the 2012 American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance industry Summit to be held November 10-12 at the Tropicana Hotel in Las Vegas.  Details here:  http://www.aaltci.org/2012summit/conference.html.  “The Summit takes place a week after Election Day and Mr. Kiplinger’s outlook for the U.S. economy and personal financial products couldn’t come at a better time,” declares Jesse Slome, executive director of the organization. ***

#############################

LTC BULLET:  MEDICAID PLANNING FOR LONG-TERM CARE

LTC Comment:  Three weeks ago, we published LTC Bullet:  How to Fix Long-Term Care, which provided an overview of the LTC problem and its solution. 

Two weeks ago, we published LTC Bullet:  The History of Long-Term Care Financing or How We Got into This Mess, which explained how the richest country in the world came to have a welfare-financed, nursing-home-based long-term care system. 

Last week, in LTC Bullet:  Medicaid LTC Eligibility, we described how easy Medicaid LTC benefits are to obtain after care is needed and without substantial asset spend down.  More importantly, we explained why it matters.

This week, in LTC Bullet:  Medicaid Planning for Long-Term Care, we tackle the controversial topic of how affluent people artificially self-impoverish to qualify for Medicaid LTC benefits and what the government has attempted unsuccessfully to discourage the practice.

In the weeks ahead, we will cover the difficulty of “rebalancing” Medicaid, the complicated issue of “dual eligibles,” and how to unleash the potential of private LTC financing alternatives such as long-term care insurance and home equity conversion.

In other words, stick with us through this entire series of six Briefing Papers and we’ll show you step by step how America’s LTC system came to be so dysfunctional, why it has been so hard to fix until now, and exactly what to do to improve it.

#############################

Dedicated to ensuring quality long-term care for all Americans

Briefing Paper #3:
Medicaid Planning for Long-Term Care
by
Stephen A. Moses

What is Medicaid Planning?

As explained in Briefing Paper #2 of this series, on "Medicaid Long-Term Care Eligibility," the program's income and asset means tests are very generous and elastic.  Nevertheless, people with substantial income and assets sometimes exceed those limits and are thus disqualified. 

Medicaid planning or Medicaid estate planning is often called "artificial self-impoverishment."  It involves manipulating one's or a client's income and  assets so that an individual who would otherwise not qualify for Medicaid LTC benefits can slip in below the financial eligibility limits and qualify after all.

What Are the Principal Methods of Medicaid Planning?

Over the years, as explained below, the state and federal governments have tried to discourage Medicaid planning.  For each eligibility loophole they've closed, however, a very creative Medicaid planning bar seems to open several new ones.  Among the techniques most popular today are:

·        Purchase of exempt assets such as personal belongings, home furnishings, an automobile, prepaid burial plans, or a more expensive home. 

·        Early planning through asset transfers in any amount done before the current 5-year transfer of assets look-back penalty period

·        Irrevocable income-only trusts into which assets including home equity have been transferred early in anticipation of future LTC expenses

·        Medicaid friendly annuities through which assets are transferred, often between spouses, replacing countable cash with cash flow from an annuity of equal economic value, but without causing ineligibility because income rarely disqualifies applicants.

·        Life care contracts, whereby elders transfer assets to family members or others in exchange for their promise to take care of the elder until he or she needs heavy LTC.

·        The reverse half-a-loaf strategy, whereby the ailing elder gives away half his or her assets, purchases a promissory note with the other half, lives on the proceeds of the note until the transfer penalty on the gift expires, and thus qualifies for Medicaid in half the time and at half the cost intended by Congress.

·        Life estates whereby the elderly Medicaid applicant transfers the remainder interest in a home to an heir (usually an adult child) while retaining a life estate, i.e., the right to live in the home until death, including the right to mortgage, sell or convey an interest in the property, i.e., "special powers."  Although this could be considered a transfer of assets, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) have allowed it. 

·        Commonplace in New York and Florida is spousal refusal whereby healthy spouses of institutionalized Medicaid recipients are encouraged to refuse to make their lawful contribution toward the ill spouse's care and are rarely held to account.

Who Does Medicaid Planning?

Books, articles and websites that advocate Medicaid and explain how to transfer or shelter income and assets are common.  An internet search for "Medicaid planning" will reveal hundreds of examples.  See for example "The Medicaid Planning Guidebook" advertised here:  http://www.thewpi.org/pdf_files/state.laws.mediciad.planning.pdf.

Ordinary people have easy access to published materials urging them to plan early in order to qualify for Medicaid if and when they should experience high LTC expenses.  Simple techniques such as transferring wealth at least five years before applying for Medicaid or purchasing exempt assets after expensive care is already needed are well within the ability of many elderly people and their families.

People who have hundreds of thousands of dollars in various kinds of financial instruments beyond the value of their homes may need to employ more sophisticated Medicaid planning techniques with the help of special "elder law" attorneys.  Although there is no practical limit on how much money such Medicaid planners can protect on behalf of clients, multi-millionaires may find that other estate planning considerations, such as gift taxes or capital gains deferral, may take precedence over getting Medicaid to pay for LTC.

Medicaid Planning Quotes

The following advertising extracted last year from a Pennsylvania Medicaid planner's website is very typical.  For numerous additional examples, search the internet for "Medicaid planning techniques" or go to "Medicaid Planning Quotes" here:  http://www.centerltc.com/medicaid_planning_quotes.htm.

"For all practical purposes, in the United States the only social 'insurance' plan for long-term institutional care is Medicaid. . . . Medicaid . . . is a form of welfare - or at least that's how it began.  So to be eligible for Medicaid, you must become 'impoverished' under the program's guidelines."

"Those who are not in immediate need of long-term care may have the luxury of distributing or protecting their assets in advance.  This way, when they do need long-term care, they will quickly qualify for Medicaid benefits."

"Levandowski and Darpino specializes in elder law and elder care planning.  Let us help you to:

* Plan in advance to limit the devastating expense of long-term care.
* Protect your home and life savings.
* Preserve the financial security of your spouse and dependents.
* Legally transfer assets to children and grandchildren.
* Minimize private payments of nursing home costs.
* Maximize public benefits from Medicare, Medicaid, and other programs.
* File the complicated Medicaid application. . . .

"If you wait, it may be too late to take some of the steps available to preserve your assets."[1]

How Common is Medicaid Planning?

Janice Eulau, a Medicaid eligibility supervisor in New York state for 36 years, testified under oath on September 21, 2011 before the U.S. House of Representatives Oversight and Government Reform and Healthcare Subcommittee, that approximately 60% of the people who apply for Medicaid LTC in her office have done some form of Medicaid planning.  She further testified that the average successful applicant for Medicaid LTC has $300,000 in assets, but that half a million is not unusual and over a million does happen.  She said the amount of money makes little difference.

In Ms. Eulau's office, eligibility workers told researchers that 75% of nursing home applications are completed by attorneys or para-legals; half of all applications include asset transfers; 25% to 30% include trusts; nearly every case with a community spouse involves "spousal refusal"; 75% have prepaid burial expenses to reduce countable assets; 35% transferred a home years in advance of applying.[2]  Similar levels of Medicaid planning have been reported by eligibility workers in other states.  Rhode Island workers said 85% of applications are filed by someone other than the applicant and that 60% are processed without face-to-face contact with the applicant.  In Rhode Island, 75% to 80% of applicants purchase prepaid burials to reduce assets.[3]

For many more examples of Medicaid planning techniques and estimates of their frequency of use, see the numerous state-level and national reports linked at http://www.centerltc.com/reports.htm

How Much Does Medicaid Planning Cost Taxpayers?

No one knows for sure what the full cost of Medicaid planning is.  The few studies conducted have looked only at "asset transfers."  Waidman and Liu concluded "pursuit of transferred assets would recover only about 1 percent of total Medicaid spending for long-term care."[4]  Total Medicaid LTC expenditures in 2009 were $114 billion which suggests the cost of asset transfers alone is at least $1.1 billion.

But asset transfers are only one--and not the most important one--of the many Medicaid planning techniques used to divest or shelter financial resources from income and asset eligibility tests.  No government agency or think tank has ever studied the financial impact on Medicaid of the full range of Medicaid planning techniques including the most common and expensive ones, e.g., purchase of exempt assets, trusts, annuities, life estates and promissory notes.

Given that these techniques of Medicaid planning are commonplace according to state Medicaid eligibility workers, it is likely that a study aimed at measuring their financial impact would deliver dramatic results probably in the tens of billions of dollars per year.  Nevertheless, as large as the potential savings from curtailing Medicaid planning may be, it is important to note that such egregious self-impoverishment is not the biggest financial problem facing Medicaid.  It is only the tip of the iceberg.  The bigger problem, as explained in Briefing Paper #2 on "Medicaid Long-Term Care Eligibility," is the fact that most people qualify for Medicaid LTC easily without spending down significantly and without having to employ lawyers or fancy Medicaid planning legal techniques.  Only the wealthiest need Medicaid planning to qualify.

What Has the Federal Government Done to Discourage Medicaid Planning Abuses?

The federal government has tried for decades to close loopholes and discourage the abuse of Medicaid LTC benefits by affluent people and their legal advisors.

The first major measure in this direction was the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982, or TEFRA '82.  TEFRA authorized state Medicaid programs for the first time to (1) penalize asset transfers done for the purpose of qualifying for Medicaid, (2) place liens on real property in order to hold that property in a recipient's possession during their period of Medicaid eligibility, and (3) to recover the cost of their care from the estates of deceased recipients.  The critical thing to understand about TEFRA '82 is that it was entirely voluntary. 

In 1985, in the Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act, Congress took the next step by putting a stop to "Medicaid qualifying trusts."  MQTs had become the technique of choice for elderlaw attorneys to impoverish their affluent senior clients and qualify them for Medicaid nursing home care.   

The Medicare Catastrophic Coverage Act of 1988 (MCCA '88) was mostly about Medicare, but it did have some provisions that affected Medicaid long-term care eligibility.  The most important change was, for the first time, to require state Medicaid programs to penalize asset transfers for less than fair market value done for the purpose of qualifying for Medicaid long-term care benefits.  MCCA '88 required state Medicaid programs to look back 30 months for inappropriate asset transfers.  It established an ineligibility penalty equal to the amount of assets transferred for less than fair market value for the purpose of qualifying for Medicaid divided by the average cost of a nursing home in the state.  MCCA '88 also established a limit of 30 months as the maximum penalty for asset transfers.

In 1993, the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act (OBRA '93) implemented most of the recommendations from the DHHS Inspector General's 1988 "Medicaid Estate Recoveries" report [http://oig.hhs.gov/oei/reports/oai-09-86-00078.pdf].  OBRA '93 extended the look-back period for asset transfers to a full three years (36 months) for most improper transfers and to five years for transfers into or out of a trust.  The law also eliminated the time 30-month limit on the eligibility penalty. 

In 1996, in the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA '96 or the Kennedy/Kassebaum Act), Congress made it a crime to transfer assets for less than fair market value for the purpose of qualifying for Medicaid.  To do so, according to HIPAA '96 would be punishable by a fine of up to $10,000 and a jail term of as much as a year.  Senior advocates called this the "throw granny in jail law" and Congress repealed it a year later.

But Congress replaced the throw granny in jail law with the Balanced Budget Act of 1997, AKA the "throw granny's lawyer in jail law," which made it a crime to recommend asset transfers to a client for a fee.  Attorney General Janet Reno refused to enforce the law on the grounds that an attorney could not be held legally culpable for recommending a practice that was legal again after the "throw-granny-in-jail law" was repealed.

The next and latest law to restrict Medicaid planning was the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 (DRA '05) which extended the transfer of assets look back period to five years, capped the Medicaid home equity exemption for the first time ever at $500,000 or $750,000 at each state's option, and ended the single most common Medicaid planning technique at the time, the "half-a-loaf" strategy, whereby people could give away half their assets, hide the rest, and qualify for Medicaid in half the time intended by the earlier law.

What Needs to Be Done?

Clearly, nothing 15 Congresses and five Presidents have done over the past 30 years has succeeded in eliminating the practice of Medicaid planning or the problem of people with substantial wealth co-opting Medicaid's scarce LTC resources.

The idea behind OBRA '93 was to retain generous eligibility rules but enforce estate recovery so that people stricken by long-term chronic illnesses would not be devastated financially, but neither would they avoid paying the cost of their care in the end.  That strategy didn't work because the generous eligibility rules remained but estate recovery was never implemented fully by most states, nor was it enforced strongly by the federal government.

The best approach now is to eliminate or radically reduce Medicaid's $500,000 to $750,000 home equity exemption so that people who require LTC consume their own wealth first, through formal or informal (family) reverse mortgages or through sale of the home, before they qualify for Medicaid.  The potential savings to Medicaid of $30 billion per year are explained in Briefing Paper #5 of this series on "Dual Eligibles and Long-Term Care."

End Notes

#############################


 

[1] Levandowski & Darpino, LLC, 17 Mifflin Ave., Suite 202, Havertown, PA 19083, information extracted July 26, 2010 from http://www.levandowskidarpino.com/medicaid.php4.
[2] Stephen A. Moses, "Long-Term Care Financing in New York:  The Consequences of Denial," Center for Long-Term Care Reform (Seattle, WA) and Empire Center for New York State Policy (Albany, NY), March 2011, p. 17ff; http://www.centerltc.com/pubs/NY-Consequences_of_Denial-CLTCRfull.pdf.
[3] Stephen A. Moses, "Doing LTC RIght," Center for Long-Term Care Reform (Seattle, WA) and Ocean State Policy Research Institute (Providence, RI), January 2010, p. 14; http://www.centerltc.com/pubs/Doing_LTC_RIght.pdf.
[4] Timothy Waidmann and Korbin Liu, "Asset Transfer and Nursing Home Use:  Empirical Evidence and Policy Significance," Urban Institute, published April 2006 by the Kaiser Family Foundation, p. 1; http://www.kff.org/medicaid/upload/7487.pdf.

#############################

Updated, Tuesday, February 21, 2012, 11:26 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

#############################

ARE ADVISERS WHO FAIL TO RECOMMEND LTC PLANNING ACCOUNTABLE? AND LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

LTC Comment:  First, some LTCI industry news.

*** CONGRATULATIONS TO LOUIS BROWNSTONE:  The National LTC Network recognized the outstanding service of immediate past Chairman Louis Brownstone at its Board of Directors meeting on February 2, 2012. Brownstone was Chairman of the Board for the past four years. Current Network Board Chair Mike Skiens, President of member firm MasterCare, spoke gratefully and passionately about Brownstone's service as Chair. The Center for LTC Reform is proud to have Louis Brownstone, the National LTC Network, and MasterCare as corporate members. ***

***  CONGRATULATIONS TO DEB NEWMAN:  "Newman Long Term Care Announces Strategic Alliance with AdvisorNet Financial:  As 10,000 baby boomers turn 65 every day, two leading financial planning and insurance firms team up to help solve the nation's growing long-term care needs."  The Center for Long-Term Care Reform is proud to count Deb Newman and her company among our corporate members. ***

*** ARE ADVISERS WHO FAIL TO RECOMMEND LTC PLANNING ACCOUNTABLE?  There’s an urban legend that attorneys and financial planners who fail to recommend LTC planning and insurance are highly vulnerable to professional penalties and lawsuits.  I’ve never been able to find much evidence of this.  In fact, it seems the opposite may be more often the case as in this example supplied by Randall Sorensen, CPA.

“Ione Sorensen's Certified Financial Planner recommended that she cancel her long-term care insurance policy because her financial adviser believed that the government takes care of everyone. Because Ione trusted her CFP, Ione won't have $300,000 in insurance benefits to pay for the high cost of her Alzheimer care. Instead of staying at the ‘best’ Alzheimer care facility, Ione can only afford a sub-standard care facility.

“During the last year we have filed complaints with the Certified Financial Planner's Board in Washington, D.C., the Arizona Attorney General's Office and the Arizona Department of Insurance. To-date no one wants to help an 80 year-old grandmother who can no longer speak for herself. Don't let this happen to your Mom or Dad. Make an appointment ASAP to review your parents long-term care needs. As a result of a negligent financial planner, Ione will be forced to sell North Dakota farmland that has been in the family for 100 years. If you know of an attorney or legal organization that might be able to help Ione Sorensen, my family would appreciate any thoughts or suggestions. My email is RSorensen@ezdoc.net and my direct phone number is 480-831-1169.”

#############################

2/18/2012, New Resources for Caregivers,” by Kelly Greene, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "Genworth Financial, a large long-term-care insurer, and AARP, the membership group for older Americans, on Thursday introduced a new service for AARP members through which the families of older adults with dementia and other illnesses can assess their needs and develop a care plan-either online, over the phone or in person with a registered nurse. (Genworth already has marketed long-term-care insurance with AARP's logo for nearly five years.)"

LTC Comment:  Medicaid programs throughout the country are trying to provide a similar service as a means to save money by discouraging nursing home institutionalization.  It will do neither but Medicaid’s involvement will reduce the market for the private product.

#############################

2/17/2012,  “Women's Views on financial responsibility to their families Study: Boomers focus on self-reliance; younger generations on education,” Life & Health Advisor (link)

Quote:  "While women across generations are willing and eager to provide financial support to their family members, they are also placing a strong emphasis on self-reliance, according to the MetLife Mature Market Institute study, ‘Women's Views on Family Financial Obligations: A MetLife Survey of Intergenerational Findings of Baby Boomers and Generations X and Y.’"

LTC Comment:  Download the full MetLife study here.

#############################

2/16/2012, Tracking Down Government Aid,” by Paula Span, New York Times

Quote"The National Council on Aging and the National Association of Area Agencies on Aging are kicking off a campaign to nudzh [i.e., pester or annoy] older people into taking advantage of programs they could qualify for but don't apply for."

LTC CommentJust what we needed: a vast, well-financed campaign to persuade seniors to apply for welfare whether they need it or not.

#############################

2/16/2012, Transitional Senior Housing & ‘Granny Pods’ as Aging-in-Place Alternatives,” by Alyssa Gerace, Senior Housing News (link)

Quote:  "MedCottages are small (288-square-feet), modular buildings that can easily be placed on a homeowner's property and hooked up to the main house's water and electric utilities. They're designed with seniors in mind and include technology that incorporates motion detection and interactive monitoring."

LTC Comment:  We called them "Granny Flats" the last time this idea appeared, during an earlier recession. Will this be the next thing advocates want government to fund and  LTCI to insure?

#############################

2/16/2012, Defendant pleads not guilty in court,” by Anna Bitong, Thousand Oaks Acorn  

Quote:  "From December 2009 to July 2010, Bellucci allegedly used false names, addresses and income information on long-term-care insurance applications and submitted them to Genworth Life Insurance Company, according to the California Department of Insurance. He's also been charged with impersonating some of the fabricated applicants in follow-up phone interviews with Genworth employees."

LTC Comment:  A sordid commentary if true.

#############################

2/16/2012, As seniors climb from poverty, young fall in,” by Marisol Bello, USA TODAY 

Quote:  "The ratio of senior-to-child poverty was close in 1980: There were three counties with more than 20% of children living in poverty for every four counties with 20% of seniors in poverty. Now the two are reversed, and the gap has widened considerably. Eight counties have high child poverty for every one that has high senior poverty."

LTC Comment:  Adding insult to injury we pass the future bill for seniors’ current prosperity to the very same generation we’ve impoverished to enable it.

#############################

2/16/2012, “MedAmerica and LTC Financial Partners Announce a Broad Suite of Long-Term Care Insurance Products for the Workplace,” MarketWatch (link)

Quote:  "On the Heels of UNUM's Decision to Stop Marketing Group LTC Plans to New Customers, the New Program Fills a Growing Need for Flexible Protection of American Employees." 

LTC Comment:  Good luck to both companies.

#############################

2/16/2012, Do You Face 'Money Death' in Old Age?,” by Philip Moeller, U.S. News & World Report

Quote:  "They [longevity annuities] make the most sense for healthy people who expect to live into their late 80s or 90s. Also, they make the most sense for relatively affluent people who could spend $100,000 or more right now on a longevity annuity without making a big dent in their retirement nest egg."

LTC Comment:  This article received a lot of play. It got me thinking that LTC insurance is kind of "longevity insurance" for middle class people who maybe can't quite afford the product recommended in the article.

#############################

2/15/2012, Sleeplessness Tied to Early Alzheimer's, Study Says But it's too soon to say one leads to the other,” by Maureen Salamon, HealthDay (link

Quote"Poor-quality sleep may have worse effects than simple fatigue: A preliminary new study suggests it's linked to the buildup of brain plaques seen in people with Alzheimer's disease."

LTC Comment:  News that can keep you awake at night?

#############################

2/15/2012, Despite pleas, Burlingame care center closing,” by Victoria Colliver, San Francisco Chronicle

Quote:  "Burlingame Long-Term Care is a victim of state and local budget constraints, including a proposed 23 percent reduction in Medi-Cal reimbursement rates. The financial squeeze was the biggest reason Tupou and some 230 other poor and disabled residents, most of whom are on Medi-Cal and other government programs, will now have to find a new home. Concerns over the building's aging infrastructure and safety also played a role in the decision to close Burlingame Long-Term Care."

LTC Comment:  I bring this story to your attention because it was brought to my attention by a Center member who wrote: "Steve...Thought you would be interested in this front page story in the San Francisco Chronicle. 230 residents, most of them on Medi-Cal, will be kicked out and will have to relocate...God knows where. I'm sure no one wants this to happen, but there's no money. We're starting to see the Government's reduced role in providing long term care benefits."

I replied: "Very interesting. Just what I've been predicting. As news like this enters the media bloodstream and consumers' consciousness, I'm confident it will translate into increasing LTCI sales. In fact, I think we may be seeing that trend develop already. That's good for LTCI but it's equally good for the long-term survival of the Medicaid safety net."

It is sad, but fascinating to see what we've expected playing out in the real world right on schedule. I wonder what the hundreds of "Medi-Cal" planners in California have to say for themselves now.

#############################

2/14/2012, “Your Uninsurable Long-Term Care Insurance Client  When No Means It's Time To Come Up With More Ideas,” by Stuart Armstrong, LifeHealthPRO (link)

Quote:  "In summary, if your client is uninsurable the value you can provide to them doesn't end there it may just begin and by providing a thorough service, your reward may well be referrals to other prospective LTC clients."

LTC Comment:  The author offers this as a last resort strategy:

“There are various estate and legal planning strategies that can help address paying for long-term care and how to help protect and allocate your client and their spouse's assets. These might include giving away assets, utilizing pooled trusts, re-titling other assets in a spouse's name, etc. and becoming more aware of community resources that might be available to your client.”

Unfortunately, most people are presented with Medicaid planning as the obvious choice after they already need long-term care which they did not insure for because they didn’t worry about it because Medicaid has always paid for most expensive LTC.  At the very least, this author should have disclosed that Medicaid has a dismal reputation for problems of access, quality, reimbursement, discrimination, institutional bias, and loss of independence and choice. 

#############################

2/14/2012, Why You Might Need Less Retirement Income Than You Think,” by Janet Novack, Forbes

Quote:  "Long term care insurance could liberate you. . . .  Retirees who had long term care insurance spent a lot more than those without such insurance. So what? You have to be reasonably well-off to afford the stiff premiums. True enough. But even when Banerjee controlled for wealth and income, he found that those with insurance spent more. That suggests that those who haven't bought insurance are spending less than they might, because they're worried about saving for nursing home and other long term care bills."

LTC Comment:  Don’t end up pinching pennies on long-term care.

############################# 

2/14/2012, U.S. seniors missing out on $20 billion of benefits,” by Bernadette Baum, Reuters  

Quote:  "Millions of seniors in the United States are missing out on more than $20 billion in aid that could help pay for food, medicine and heating, simply because they don't know it's there, according to a report released on Tuesday by organizations that advocate for seniors."

LTC Comment:  And millions more are receiving aid who shouldn't, couldn't and wouldn't have needed it if they'd just planned responsibly.

#############################

2/13/2012, “Unum's Halt of New LTC Sales a Credit Positive, Says Moody's,” by Elizabeth D. Festa, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "Unum Group's decision announced last week to exit new sales of group long-term care (LTC) insurance during the first quarter of 2012 is credit positive for the company, Moody's stated, citing potential growing risks and losses from this business line. Unum is not alone-just another victim of industry trends and lower interest rates."

LTC Comment:  I wish we could send only good news.

#############################

2/11/2012, Top 10 E-Marketing Mistakes,” by Alan Blume, LifeHealthPRO

Quote:  "When using e-marketing or email communications, it's better to focus on what is likely to arrive, than on what might look good on your computer screen."

LTC Comment:  A few good pointers because we're all reaching out with email more and more.  Damon observed that he uses the techniques recommended in this article constantly to help ensure that your emails from the Center are clear and readable.

#############################

Updated, Friday, February 17, 2012, 10:43 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

#############################

LTC BULLET:  MEDICAID LTC ELIGIBILITY

LTC Comment:  Despite the conventional wisdom that people must spend down into impoverishment before qualifying for Medicaid LTC benefits, the truth is that income and asset eligibility rules are so generous that most people qualify easily without spending down significant wealth.  Find out how and why after the ***news.***

*** TODAY'S LTC BULLET is sponsored by Claude Thau, a General Agent whose proprietary sales tools enable your clients to make informed final decisions about whether to buy LTCi in 15-20 minutes. He’ll help you build your business in any market (individual, executive carve-out, work-site, affinity, financial institution, referrals from other professionals, etc.). Claude is the lead author of the Milliman Broker World LTCi Survey, was named one of the 10 "Power People" in the LTCi industry by Senior Market Advisor in 2007 and was Chairman of the Board of the Center for Long-Term Care Financing. Test Claude by calling 800-999-3026, x2241 or email him at claudet@targetins.com to ask questions or get references. ***

*** PREMIUM MEMBERSHIP in your Center for LTC Reform makes our new, discounted “clipping service” available to you for pennies per day.  Maybe you qualify to become a “Regional Representative” of the Center.  Get the details on the clipping service here.  Learn about all our individual and corporate membership opportunities here.  To join or upgrade, contact Damon at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com. ***

*** BOOK STEVE MOSES to speak at your next event.  Details here.  Contact Steve directly at 206-283-7036 or smoses@centerltc.com to inquire.  Says he:  “Just as it’s always darkest before the dawn, the challenges to LTC insurance are about to fall away as a bright future unfolds.”  Pollyanna or prescient?  Hear him out.  Then decide.  No matter what, you’ll have fresh new ideas and a huge head of emotional steam to motivate you and your producers. ***

#############################

LTC BULLET:  MEDICAID LTC ELIGIBILITY

LTC Comment:  Two weeks ago, we published LTC Bullet:  How to Fix Long-Term Care, which provided an overview of the LTC problem and its solution. 

Last week, we published LTC Bullet:  The History of Long-Term Care Financing or How We Got into This Mess, which explained how the richest country in the world came to have a welfare-financed, nursing-home-based long-term care system. 

This week, in LTC Bullet:  Medicaid LTC Eligibility, we’ll show how easy Medicaid LTC benefits are to obtain after care is needed and without substantial asset spend down.  More importantly, we explain why it matters.

In the weeks ahead, we will cover the problem of “Medicaid planning,” the difficulty of “rebalancing” Medicaid, the complicated issue of “dual eligibles,” and how to unleash the potential of private LTC financing alternatives such as long-term care insurance and home equity conversion.

In other words, stick with us through this entire series of six Briefing Papers and we’ll show you step by step how America’s LTC system came to be so dysfunctional, why it has been so hard to fix until now, and exactly what to do to improve it.

#############################

 

Briefing Paper #2:
Medicaid Long-Term Care Eligibility

By Stephen A. Moses

Theory Vs. Practice

Medicaid is supposed to be a long-term care safety net for people in dire financial need. Instead it has become the dominant payer for most Americans who require extended care at home or in a nursing home, including the middle class and even the affluent. How can this be true if Medicaid is a means-tested, public assistance program? That is the key question this Briefing Paper addresses.

Income Eligibility

Although everyone says Medicaid eligibility requires low income, that is untrue for people over the age of 65 who need long-term care. Federal rules require most states to deduct medical expenses, including the cost of nursing home care, from applicants' incomes before determining eligibility. Some states apply "income caps" but those are easily evaded by means of special "income diversion trusts." Bottom line, income almost never disqualifies anyone for Medicaid long-term care eligibility.

Asset Eligibility

Spend Down

But what about assets? It is true that cash or negotiable securities over $2,000 are disqualifying in most states, but it does not matter how people spend down to that level as long as they don't give their money away. Financial advisors frequently tell clients to purchase exempt assets, take a world cruise, or throw a big party, all non-disqualifying spend down methods.

Exempt Assets

How many exempt assets can applicants retain and still qualify for Medicaid LTC benefits? There really is no meaningful limit. Exempt home equity is capped at $525,000 or $786,000--13 to 20 times the amount protected in England's socialized health care system--but the following resources are exempt without any limit:

· One business including the capital and cash flow

· Individual retirement accounts (IRAs)

· One automobile

· Prepaid burial plans for the Medicaid recipient and immediate family members

· Term life insurance, which allows recipients to evade Medicaid's estate recovery mandate

· Household goods and personal belongings

The federal regulations and policies that require these exemptions are documented in our report titled "Medi-Cal Long-Term Care: Safety Net or Hammock?," a copy of which may be found on the Center for Long-Term Care Reform's website here: http://www.centerltc.com/articlesspeechesandreports.htm.

Spousal Impoverishment Protections

Married applicants for Medicaid LTC benefits can retain substantially more income and assets than single people: up to $2,841 per month of income and half the couple's joint assets not to exceed $113,640 as of 2012. If the healthy spouse's personal income and assets are below these levels, the Medicaid spouse's income and assets are transferred to bring her or him up to the limit. These "spousal impoverishment" protections increase annually with inflation.

Most Qualify Easily

Because of these very generous basic eligibility rules, the vast majority of America's elderly qualify easily for Medicaid when they need long-term care. The conventional wisdom that people must spend down into impoverishment before Medicaid will help is demonstrably untrue. Only the most affluent need to consult Medicaid planners and use special legal techniques--such as trusts, transfers, annuities, life estates, life care contracts and promissory notes--to qualify. Briefing Paper #3 in this series explains Medicaid planning. The key point to remember is that egregious Medicaid planning is only the tip of the iceberg. The bigger problem is that Medicaid's basic eligibility rules allow most people to qualify after they need long-term care and without spending down their wealth first.

Friendly Fire in the Class War

Easy access to Medicaid has the effect of desensitizing the public to LTC risk and cost. Medicaid's home equity exemption discourages people from using reverse mortgages to finance home care. With most of their assets protected by Medicaid, few people plan early to save, invest or insure for long-term care. Well-intentioned public policy has turned into a perverse incentive inhibiting responsible LTC planning. Furthermore, consuming scarce public welfare resources to indemnify affluent baby-boomer heirs of well-to-do seniors hurts the poor instead of helping. It is like friendly fire in the class war.

Estate Recovery

The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 required all state Medicaid programs to recover benefits correctly paid from the estates of deceased recipients. The goal of this mandate was to ensure that resources sheltered from Medicaid LTC income and asset eligibility limits, such as home equity and the other exempt assets listed above, would be used in the end to help pay for the recipient's care and reimburse Medicaid. Unfortunately, few states implemented estate recoveries effectively and the federal government did not enforce the estate recovery mandate aggressively. When Medicaid LTC eligibility is very generous, but estate recovery is not pursued, Medicaid operates essentially as free inheritance insurance for the heirs of Medicaid recipients.

Potential Savings

Medicaid could save up to $30 billion per year if people had to consume their home equity before qualifying for public benefits as is true in England. The program's most expensive "dual eligible" recipients could be reduced by 21 percent. Reverse mortgages to fund long-term care would thrive and generate new jobs and tax revenue. The private long-term care insurance market would expand creating even more jobs and revenue. But most importantly, relieving the financial pressure on Medicaid in this way would enable the program to survive as a quality safety net for the truly needy.

Briefing Paper #5 "Dual Eligibles and Long-Term Care" explains how Medicaid can achieve savings of $30 billion per year by encouraging long-term care financing through reverse mortgages and private insurance.

#############################

Updated, Monday, February 13, 2012, 10:39 AM (Pacific)

Seattle--

#############################

MEDICAID ESTATE RECOVERIES REVISITED AND LTC NEWS AND COMMENT

*** REGISTRATION IS OPEN for the 12th Annual Intercompany Long-Term Care Insurance Conference to be held March 18-21, 2012 at the Paris and Bally’s Hotels in Las Vegas. Check the hotels for special rates.  Click here or on the banner above for all the details and to register. Some highlights:

* Apply for a (non-home-office) agent scholarship at a special $395 rate here.
* First time attendees may qualify for a new, special $495 registration ($995 otherwise)
* Take Harley Gordon’s CLTC Master Class for only $95 extra, regular $1,395! (12-15 CE hours, the exam and one re-take included; use the “edit registration link” to sign up for this class)
* Be sure to register for each breakout session at the "edit registration link"
* Consider attending:  ILTCI Business Technology Group meeting on Sunday, March 18th, from 2:00-4:00 p.m.
* New this year:  Mobile app (for smart phones) available for all
* And don't miss this conference highlight:  Steve Moses and Harley Gordon will debate in a program titled "Clash of the Titans"! ***

#############################

LTC Comment:  The following letter from a constituent to Congressman Charles W. Boustany, Jr., M.D. (R, LA) was brought to my attention by the Congressman’s aide Mike Thompson.  Mr. Thompson asked me:

“Do you have thoughts on his comment related to liens by states when the person enters a skilled nursing facility. . . .  [T]o what extent do states file liens or go collect the value of the home now?”

Here’s the letter, reprinted with permission, followed by my reply.

------------

Mr. Boustany,

I am a closing attorney who handles the transaction of real estate in this part of our state.  In my practice, I come across situations where the owner of a home is placed in a nursing home.  As you probably are aware, Medicaid will not pay for anyone until they have exhausted their own assets. However, one exception to this is that the personal home is allowed to be kept in that person’s name.  It is my understanding that Medicaid has the right to pursue the home once that person dies to seek reimbursement of the monies paid, but it is my experience that Medicaid does not have the manpower to do so.

It does not seem fair for people who have significant equity in their home, not to have to use that equity to pay for their care.  Why should taxpayers pay if they have the means to reimburse Medicaid for their care?

I think there could be a very simple legislative solution.  If Medicaid had the right to record a lien for their reimbursement rights immediately upon the person entering the nursing home, then the heirs would have to deal with Medicaid in order to sell or mortgage the home.  Medicaid would not have to pursue the property, the heirs in most cases would come to Medicaid for a payoff.

I think Medicaid is leaving millions if not billions of dollars on the table that could help the system work more efficiently.

As a title attorney, if a lien shows up when I do title I would not close until I get it cancelled or I collect the amount necessary to get it cancelled.

I would be happy to talk to you or any of your staff about this if you have any questions.

Randy Olson

------------

Steve Moses’s reply:

Mike:

Smart constituent you have there.

Medicaid not only has the right to recover from the estates of deceased recipients, including the value of real estate, it's been mandatory to do so since OBRA '93 which implemented most of the recommendations in my 1988 Medicaid Estate Recovery report for the DHHS Inspector General.  Read it here:  http://oig.hhs.gov/oei/reports/oai-09-86-00078.pdf, but excuse the HHS’s sloppy copy job.  Most states don't bother with pursuing estate recoveries diligently and the federal government doesn't enforce the requirement aggressively.

Billions are left uncollected annually but that isn't the biggest loss.  The fact that Medicaid pays for most LTC and rarely collects from estates has had the effect of desensitizing people to LTC risk and cost so they don't plan or insure and end up on Medicaid by default if they ever need LTC.  It’s all right there in my 1988 report for anybody who wants to understand.

States have been able to file liens on home property before death since TEFRA '82 but only under very limited conditions, so most states don't bother.  You can read all the details regarding TEFRA liens in the aforementioned report starting on p. 18.  Basically, the state must be able to demonstrate that the institutionalized Medicaid recipient will be unable to return to the home within six months.  Of course, there can be no exempt dependent relatives in the home.  Both those requirements should be eliminated. The lien doesn't hurt anyone; it only guarantees that the Medicaid program will be able to recover costs if and when the home is sold.

Steve

------------

*** IF YOU SUBSCRIBED to the Center’s new discounted “clipping service,” you would have had the following news in your email in-box the same day it was reported—in time for it to make a difference competitively.  See details here and contact Damon to subscribe at 206-283-7036 or damon@centerltc.com. ***

 

#############################

2/11/2012, Even Critics of Safety Net Increasingly Depend on It,” by Binyamin Appelbaum and Robert Gebeloff, New York Times

Quote:  "Older people get most of the benefits, primarily through Social Security and Medicare, but aid for the rest of the population has increased about as quickly through programs for the disabled, the unemployed, veterans and children.  The government safety net was created to keep Americans from abject poverty, but the poorest households no longer receive a majority of government benefits. A secondary mission has gradually become primary: maintaining the middle class from childhood through retirement. The share of benefits flowing to the least affluent households, the bottom fifth, has declined from 54 percent in 1979 to 36 percent in 2007, according to a Congressional Budget Office analysis published last year. "

LTC Comment:  The entitlement mentality continues to creep higher and higher into middle class economic strata.

#############################

2/10/2012, As nursing home care improves, some problems slow to mend,” by Paul Monies, USA Today 

Quote:  "U.S. nursing homes that consistently received the lowest rating -- one star -- since the federal government began ratings in late 2008. The list includes homes receiving a one-star overall rating for each of seven consecutive ratings periods analyzed from 2009 to 2011. See all homes."

LTC Comment:  Care to guess whether or not these persistently sub-par nursing homes have higher-than-average Medicaid census?

#############################

2/2012, On the Verge: The Transformation of Long-Term Services and Supports,AARP Public Policy Institute

SummarySummary of this report by Karl Polzer of the American Health Care Association: "A report just released by the AARP Public Policy Institute describes how states are transforming financing and delivery of their long-term services and supports (LTSS) systems. The report documents states' rapid movement toward Medicaid managed care, the continuing trend toward providing Medicaid services in home and community-based (HCB) settings, and the push to integrate care for people dually eligible for Medicaid and Medicare."  An "In Brief" version is available here.

LTC Comment:  In case you aren't familiar with the awkward phrase "Long-Term Services and Supports" or LTSS, this is the new expression replacing "long-term care" favored by advocates of government financing because they think "long-term care" implies nursing home institutionalization. 

#############################

2/10/2012, Attack on Alzheimer's,” by Gautam Naik, Wall Street Journal

Quote:  "The disease is a growing problem, especially in aging societies, but no effective treatment has been found. The drugs used today work just for a short time and only relieve symptoms, instead of halting the disease.  Over the years, drugs in about a half-dozen late-stage human trials have failed to make the cut."

LTC Comment:  Hopes raised and dashed—the history of Alzheimer’s research in a nutshell.

#############################

2/9/2012, Frank D. Titus, senior federal executive,” Washington Post

Quote"Frank D. Titus, 64, a senior federal executive who retired from the Office of Personnel Management in 2006 as assistant director of the retirement and insurance division, died Feb. 2 at Inova Alexandria Hospital. . . . Mr. Titus, who joined OPM in 1972, played a key role in shaping a federal long-term-care insurance program in the early 2000s."

LTC CommentI didn't know Frank well, but I remember his attending some industry conferences during the period of development for the federal LTCI program, so perhaps some of you knew him better.

#############################

2/9/2012, Daddy Issues:  Why caring for my aging father has me wishing he would die,” by Sandra Tsing Loh, The Atlantic 

Quote:  "Recently, a colleague at my radio station asked me, in the most cursory way, as we were waiting for the coffee to finish brewing, how I was. To my surprise, in a motion as automatic as the reflex of a mussel being poked, my body bent double and I heard myself screaming: ‘I WAAAAAAAANT MY FATHERRRRRR TO DIEEEEE!!!’ Startled, and subtly stepping back to put a bit more distance between us, my co-worker asked what I meant."

LTC Comment:  This is a long read, but I bet any prospect you persuade to read it won't turn down LTC insurance for self and will become an advocate for parents, siblings and children insuring.  And that despite some brief badmouthing of LTCI in the piece.

#############################

2/9/2012, “The 2012 State of the [LTCi] Union: Where have we been? Where are we now? Where do we go from here?,” by Robert M. Vandy, Life & Health Advisor (link

Quote:  "Despite some recent negative press reports, negative sentiment among some financial professionals and a general societal desire for a 'quick fix,' LTC insurance will remain the most viable financing alternative for those who have the ability to 'read the tea leaves' and who are prepared to plan ahead. The question for the advisor to present to their clients is simple: if not LTCi, then what? Take heart, fellow financial professionals. Long-term care insurance isn't going anywhere."

LTC Comment:  Congratulations to Bob Vandy of New York & National Long-Term Care Brokers for this excellent article.  And thanks for your long-standing support of the Center for Long-Term Care Reform.

#############################

2/8/2012, Social Security retirees can't ditch Medicare, court rules,” by Nedra Pickler, Associated Press

Quote:  "Social Security recipients sued to opt out of Medicare, saying the benefit limits their private insurance coverage. But federal appeals court rules they can't reject Medicare if they receive Social Security."

LTC Comment:  A free country still?

#############################

2/2012, “Income-Relating Medicare Part B and Part D Premiums Under Current Law and Recent Proposals:  What are the Implications for Beneficiaries?,” Kaiser Family Foundation (link)

Quote:  "This issue brief explains provisions of current law that impose income-related premiums under Medicare Part B and Part D, describes recent proposals that would modify these current-law requirements, and analyzes the potential implications of these proposals for the Medicare population."

LTC Comment:  Medicare used to be "social insurance."  Everyone paid the same premiums and everyone received the same benefits.  Not anymore.  Part B & D premiums are tied to income level and the income levels vulnerable to higher premiums are likely to fall fast.  Medicare is a means-tested welfare program now and is likely to become more and more like Medicaid over time.   

#############################

2/7/2012, “Medicare Misconceptions Could Land Middle-Income Retirees in Financial Hardship, New Study Says,” WSJ MarketWatch (link)

Quote:  "An alarming number of our country's middle-income retirees on Medicare lack understanding or have misconceptions about the program's coverage and costs resulting in unexpected financial surprises, according to the latest findings released by the Bankers Life and Casualty Company Center for a Secure Retirement(SM) (CSR)."

LTC Comment:  It’s not exactly news that many people think mistakenly that Medicare covers long-term care.  What’s really important, however, is that Medicaid DOES cover LTC, is easy to get after the insurable event occurs, and thus incentivizes the denial that crowds out LTC insurance. 

#############################

2/7/2012, Americans' lifespan shorter than previously thought, study finds,” McKnight’s LTC News 

Quote:  "A person's risk of death in a given year after age 30 doubles every eight years of age, which is known as the Gompertz Law."

LTC Comment:  Now there’s a happy thought.  But I guess I like this “law” better than the one that says the probability of having Alzheimer’s Disease doubles every five years after age 65.

#############################

2/6/2012,  Unum Retreats From Long-Term Care Coverage, Takes Charge,” by Andrea Ludtke, Bloomberg

Quote:  "The insurer took a $561.2 million charge in the fourth quarter tied to its review and decision to scale back, Chattanooga, Tennessee-based Unum said today in a statement distributed by Business Wire."

LTC Comment:  More from a confidential, personal source:  FYI, from Unum's 4th Quarter financial results announcement today, which can be found at http://unum.newshq.businesswire.com/press-release/financial-news/unum-group-reports-fourth-quarter-2011-results (paragraphs 4 & 5):

The Company concluded its strategic review of its long-term care business and announced that it will discontinue new sales of group long-term care contracts during the first quarter of 2012 and reclassify the long-term care line of business from the Unum US segment to the Closed Block segment. The results for the fourth quarter of 2011 include an after-tax charge of $561.2 million ($1.92 per diluted common share) to reflect an increase to long-term care policy and claim reserves of $573.6 million before tax and an impairment of long-term care deferred acquisition costs of $289.8 million before tax.

"The decision to discontinue new sales of group long term care policies and move this business to our closed block allows us to further refine our focus on the markets that provide the greatest long-term opportunity for our Company and create maximum value for Unum shareholders," added Watjen. "We are well positioned financially to take this action, and this decision does not impact the general financial guidance we have provided for 2012."

From speaking with folks at Unum, we understand this to mean that they will continue to allow new hires to enroll in existing GLTC plans, but will create no more new GLTC plans - or at least, for now, that's what they plan to do...

#############################

2/6/2012, “Federal Medicaid matching rate to decline in 2014,” McKnight’s LTC News

Quote:  "About 30 states can expect a drop in federal matching rates for Medicaid in fiscal year 2014, with only a handful seeing an increase, according to a new report."

LTC Comment:  This could be the straw that breaks Medicaid's back because state budgets are already hurting, Medicaid already eats up resources intended for education and other priorities, and "health reform" is about to put 30 million or more new people on the program. 

#############################

2/3/2012, Industry Adds 1,100 Jobs in January,” by Jeff Jeffrey, InsuranceNewsNet.com

Quote:  "Life insurance weekly wages increased 4.8% to $1067.19; health 4.2% to $1037.19; property/casualty 4.1% to $1085.06; agents/brokers 5.4% to $839.08; claims adjusting 5.11% to $967.57; and third-party administration of claims 3.7% to $815.69. Reinsurance again saw the most dramatic increase in weekly wages, jumping 37.4% to $1315.55."

LTC Comment:  Evidently things are looking up.

#############################

2/1/2012, CI policies gain sales gain ground, become part of employers' overall strategy,” by Marli D. Riggs, Employee Benefit Adviser

Quote:  "CI programs have been rapidly evolving. As a result, Willis and MetLife are adding more conditions to the roster of conditions that are covered. At Willis these include: cancer, heart attack, stroke, benign brain tumor, permanent paralysis, Alzheimer's and many more. At MetLife, cancer, heart attack, stroke, major organ transplant, coronary artery bypass, kidney failure are generally being offered."

LTC Comment:  Critical Illness policies are big in Canada where they’re marketed as a means to ensure quick access to quality health care in the United States in case of serious illness.  Quite a commentary on public vs. privately financed health care systems.

#############################

LINKS

Here are some links you can check out to find valuable information on long-term care providers, financiers and insurers.  This is just for starters.  We'll add many more as time goes on plus advice on what to look for on their sites.

www.ahca.org American Health Care Association

www.leadingage.org American Association of Homes and Services for the Aging

www.alfa.org Assisted Living Federation of America

www.nic.org National Investment Center

www.ahip.net America's Health Insurance Plans 

ltcconsultants.com           Phyllis Shelton's website 

www.aaltci.org American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance 

ltcconnection.com LTCi producers' information

www.ltcsales.com LTCi Sales Strategies

www.ahia.net Association of Health Insurance Advisors


 

  


2212 Queen Anne Avenue North, #110, Seattle, Washington 98109 ~ Phone (206) 283-7036 ~ Fax (206) 283-6536

Email info@centerltc.com ~ Ask how you can support the Center today! ~ Subscribe to "LTC Bullets"

 

Please address all web site feedback to webmaster@centerltc.com